Monday, January27, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carrollton, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 5:26PM Monday January 27, 2020 8:25 PM EST (01:25 UTC) Moonrise 9:04AMMoonset 8:07PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 705 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 am est Tuesday through Tuesday morning...
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 3 ft after midnight.
Tue..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..NE winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Thu night..N winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..NE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of rain.
Sat..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of rain.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ600 705 Pm Est Mon Jan 27 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A weak disturbance tracks across the southern part of area through tonight. High pressure returns for the middle of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrollton CDP, VA
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location: 36.97, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 272320 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 620 PM EST Mon Jan 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak disturbance tracks across North Carolina this evening then exits overnight. High pressure builds in for Tuesday and Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/. As of 145 PM EST Monday .

Weak mid-upper level system still on track to move across NC this evening then exit overnight. BKN-OVC clouds will be the main impact across srn VA-NE NC (clearing out late) . w/ only low PoPs (mainly 20-30%) confined to S of the VA-NC border. Only a few hundredths of an inch QPF is expected at best. Otw . averaging out partly cloudy tonight as WSW winds (5-15 mph now) become NW by/shortly after midnight. Lows in the u20s W and NW to the m-u30s far SE VA-coastal NE NC.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 205 PM EST Monday .

Continued resemblance of a trough aloft from New England extending down into the mid-Atlantic states Tue into Wed while the next storm system takes shape INVOF srn Plains (Tue) then tracks E across the gulf states to the SE CONUS coast (Wed into Thu).

A little bit of low level CAA on Tue thus it will be a cooler than today/past couple of days. Sunny to partly cloudy w/ highs from the m-u40s NE to the l50s SW. Sfc hi pres from ern Canada will extend S into the local area Wed-Thu and lo pres tracks by (well) to the S. Will keep PoPs AOB BLO 10% Wed-Thu w/ conditions no worse than partly cloudy. Lows Tue night from the m-u20s N and W to the l30s along coast SE VA-NE NC. Highs Wed mainly 45-50F. Lows Wed night in the l-m20s N to the m20s-around 30F S. Highs Thu in the m-u40s . except l50s over coastal NE NC.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 140 PM EST Monday .

Weak sfc hi pres will be over the region Thu night-Fri while a trough remains offshore. Models continuing to try and hone in a potential storm for Fri night-Sat. 12Z/27 GFS and ECMWF are about as close together as they have been over the past few days w/ lo pres tracking from the SE states to off the (lower) mid- Atlantic coast Cold air will continue to be lacking. so p-type appears to be mostly RA. Highest PoPs (capped 40-50% for now) will be across the S and E Fri night into Sat morning. Upper level trough trailing behind is expected to cross the region Sat night-Sun resulting in VRB clouds and possible SCT SHRAs. Another warmup is expected early next week.

Lows Thu night from the m-u20s along-W of I 95 to the 30s at the coast. Highs Fri mainly 45-50F. Lows Fri night from the l-m30s inland to around 40F along the immediate coast in SE VA-NE NC. Highs Sat mainly in the m-u40s. Lows Sat night in the l-m30s inland to the u30s-around 40F at the coast. Highs Sun in the l50s . except u40s on the ern shore. Highs Mon in the m50s on the ern shore . u50s-around 60F elsewhere.

AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 620 PM EST Monday .

SCT-BKN mid level clouds this eve as a weak area of low pressure tracks across NC as well as a weak sfc trof drifting se across the Delmarva. Radar wise, the bulk of the pcpn is progged to track ese across NC this eve with ECG being on the northern fringes of the pcpn shield. Thus, added VCSH at ECG for the next few hrs. Otw, clouds sct out after midnite as both weak systms shift east. Winds become NNW behind the departing systms blo 10 kts.

OUTLOOK . Weak low pres passes south of the region Wed night and Thu . though VFR conditions are expected to continue.

MARINE. As of 320 PM EST Monday .

Generally west and northwest winds at 5-10 knots across the marine area this afternoon as a weak shortwave trough aloft and surface reflection swings across the southern half of the area. Waves are around 1 foot and seas are 2-3 ft.

Cold front drops south this evening with winds becoming NW and increasing to 15-20 knots after midnight. SCA headlines go into effect from north to south tonight over the Ches bay, lower James River, and Currituck Sound. Conditions continue to look too marginal for headlines in the York and Rappahannock Rivers where winds will average 10-15 knots. Winds offshore will be similar to those expected in the Ches bay, 15-20 knots sustained with gusts to 25 knots. Given the higher thresholds over the coastal waters and the relatively short duration, opted not to raise any headlines for the offshore zones. Seas will slowly build to 3-4 ft tonight in NW/offshore flow with the relative best chance for seas to exceed 5ft across the southern coastal waters, especially out near 20nmi Tuesday morning into the early afternoon. An additional surge of CAA is expected Tuesday night when winds are forecast to increase to around 15 knots in the bay and 15-20 knots offshore. Northerly flow continues on Wednesday but decreases to around 10 knots in the afternoon.

Models continue to struggle with the strength, placement, and even the potential for any appreciable storm during the late week/weekend period.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ632- 634. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ633- 638. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ630-631.

SYNOPSIS . CMF NEAR TERM . ALB SHORT TERM . ALB/CMF LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . MPR MARINE . LKB/RHR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 1 mi56 min 47°F 1009.2 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 6 mi56 min 49°F 1008.3 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 6 mi56 min 46°F1008.6 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 7 mi56 min 47°F 1008.7 hPa
44087 15 mi56 min 44°F1 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 15 mi56 min 50°F 48°F1008.6 hPa
44072 18 mi46 min ESE 5.8 G 5.8 44°F
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 18 mi56 min 47°F 45°F1008.2 hPa
44064 18 mi56 min S 1.9 G 1.9 42°F 1008.5 hPa
CHBV2 19 mi56 min 47°F 1007.5 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 20 mi56 min 46°F 1009.3 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi56 min 46°F 1008.8 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 27 mi56 min 45°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 34 mi56 min WSW 1.9 38°F 1010 hPa33°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 38 mi56 min 46°F2 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 42 mi56 min WSW 1.9 G 1.9 44°F1012.8 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 45 mi56 min 1009.5 hPa

Wind History for Dominion Terminal Associates, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA8 mi87 minW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy49°F36°F61%1008.9 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA9 mi90 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy48°F36°F62%1009.4 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA12 mi92 minNNW 310.00 miFair46°F34°F63%1008.6 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA13 mi35 minWNW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy49°F36°F61%1008.7 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA15 mi30 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy41°F35°F79%1008.8 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA22 mi31 minN 010.00 miFair43°F34°F73%1009.1 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA22 mi51 minN 010.00 miFair45°F36°F73%1009.1 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA23 mi30 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy42°F36°F79%1009 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA24 mi51 minN 010.00 miFair43°F35°F76%1009.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNGU

Wind History from NGU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W6W9W6W6W6W6SW3S3SW5SW5CalmSW6SW9W8W9W10W10W6W5NW9W5W6W4
1 day agoNE5CalmCalmSW5W3SW4W5W4W6W4W5W5W7W63NW6W9W7NW6W6W4SW3SW3SW5
2 days agoE5SE8SE9SE10SE10
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Tide / Current Tables for Newport News, James River, Virginia
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Newport News
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:51 AM EST     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:03 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:09 AM EST     2.58 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:24 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:30 PM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:07 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 11:29 PM EST     2.24 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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21.60.90.3-0.1-0.200.51.21.92.42.62.52.11.50.80.2-0.1-0.10.20.81.41.92.2

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:18 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:50 AM EST     -1.22 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:05 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:01 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:42 AM EST     0.96 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:57 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:20 PM EST     -1.18 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:23 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 07:45 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:06 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 10:04 PM EST     0.70 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.1-0.3-0.8-1.1-1.2-1-0.6-0.10.50.90.90.80.4-0-0.5-1-1.2-1.1-0.9-0.40.10.50.70.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.