Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carrollton, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:49AMSunset 8:30PM Thursday July 2, 2020 6:36 PM EDT (22:36 UTC) Moonrise 5:11PMMoonset 2:31AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 315 Pm Edt Thu Jul 2 2020
Tonight..NE winds 5 kt, becoming W late this evening, then increasing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E late. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sat night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 315 Pm Edt Thu Jul 2 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure continues to build into the region from the northwest through Friday. A weak back door cold front will cross the area on Saturday before dissipating south of the area late in the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrollton CDP, VA
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location: 36.97, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 021901 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 301 PM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure continues to build into the region from the northwest through Friday. A weak back door cold front will cross the area on Saturday before dissipating south of the area late in the weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. As of 245 PM EDT Thursday .

Pleasant summer day across the region as high pressure from the NW continues to build into the region. Most of the region will remain dry, with just a 10-15% chance of a stray shower or storm through early evening. Mostly clear to partly cloudy (MD eastern shore) overnight with low temps Friday morning ranging from the mid to upper 60s inland to around 70 near the coast.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. As of 245 PM EDT Thursday .

High pressure from the NW remains in control on Friday, with mostly dry and hot conditions expected. High temperatures will be in the low to mid 90s. A back door cold front approaching from the NE may result in a late day shower over the MD eastern shore.

The back door cold front will move through the area on Saturday. While pops are not high (25-35%), any thunderstorm that develops during the afternoon will be slow moving. In addition to the weak mid level flow, propagation vectors may oppose the weak mid level flow, which would promote an environment of backbuilding or cell mergers. WPC has much of the region from the VA piedmont/southside over to NE NC in a marginal risk for excessive rain. Due to the uncertainty of how much convective coverage there will actually be on Saturday, will hold off for now on any mention in the HWO, but will continue to monitor model trends over the next day. High temps on Saturday will range from the mid 80s over the eastern shore to lower 90s inland VA/NC.

The front will drift south of the area on Sunday and eventually dissipate, and the high over the Great Lakes will shift east. Locally, a moist E/SE flow will result in diurnal driven showers/storms Sunday afternoon/evening. High temps generally in the mid to upper 80s.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 245 PM EDT Thursday .

Early next week a low forming over the deep south will slowly drift to the E/NE. As is expected with a weakly organized low, the global models continue to struggle with how far it advances by mid week. Regardless, the presence of this low will draw deeper moisture into the region resulting in slight chance to chance pops each day Monday through Wednesday mainly during the afternoon/evening hours. Temperatures Monday through Wednesday will be around seasonal norms, with high temps ranging from the upper 80s to lower 90s and low temps ranging from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 115 PM EDT Thursday .

VFR through the period. Scattered CU this afternoon and early evening will give way to mostly clear skies overnight. Northerly winds under 10 kts this afternoon will become light and variable overnight into early Friday, and then becoming N/NW towards the end of the period. VFR conditions will continue through Friday and into the weekend. Scattered showers/storms this weekend may result in brief flight restrictions.

MARINE. As of 245 PM EDT Thursday .

Not much change in the forecast. Benign boating conditions are still expected today through Friday night. Winds will be variable at 10 kt or less. Waves will be 1-2 ft and seas will be 2-3 ft. High pressure will build in from the northeast as a low pressure system forms well offshore Saturday night. NE or E winds 5-15 kt will occur Saturday afternoon into Saturday night, then NE or E winds 10 kt or less Sunday morning, becoming SE by late in the day. No SCA headlines are anticipated at this time through the holiday weekend and into Monday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . CMF NEAR TERM . CMF SHORT TERM . CMF LONG TERM . CMF AVIATION . CMF MARINE . CP/TMG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 1 mi48 min E 5.1 G 8.9 83°F 1011.7 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 6 mi48 min 80°F1011.3 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 6 mi132 min 81°F 1011.1 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 7 mi48 min NE 5.1 G 7 84°F 1011.1 hPa
44087 15 mi40 min 81°F2 ft
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 15 mi48 min NNE 7 G 8.9 86°F 80°F1011 hPa
44072 18 mi36 min ESE 7.8 G 9.7 82°F 82°F1 ft
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 18 mi48 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 84°F 79°F1010.9 hPa
CHBV2 19 mi54 min N 8 G 9.9 82°F 1010.3 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 20 mi48 min ENE 8 G 8.9 82°F 1011.9 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi48 min WNW 2.9 G 5.1 82°F 1011.5 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 27 mi48 min N 12 G 15 79°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 34 mi66 min NNE 1.9 87°F 1012 hPa69°F
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 42 mi36 min NE 7.8 G 9.7 82°F1 ft1015.3 hPa (+0.6)
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 45 mi48 min NNW 11 G 12 1011.6 hPa

Wind History for Dominion Terminal Associates, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA8 mi97 minNE 710.00 miA Few Clouds87°F66°F50%1012 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA9 mi1.7 hrsNNE 810.00 miFair86°F68°F56%1012.1 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA12 mi42 minVar 310.00 miFair88°F68°F52%1011.3 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA13 mi45 minVar 510.00 miFair86°F66°F53%1011.2 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA15 mi40 minN 310.00 miPartly Cloudy87°F70°F58%1011.1 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA22 mi41 minNNE 57.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F64°F50%1011.5 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA22 mi41 minENE 510.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F69°F61%1011.8 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA23 mi40 minNNW 610.00 miPartly Cloudy85°F64°F50%1011.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNGU

Wind History from NGU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5SE4SE5SE4SW4W5CalmN5N3CalmN5NW6NW4NW76N6N7N9N8NE7NE7NE7NE7N5
1 day agoNE5--S5SE6S6S4SW5SW4SW5CalmCalmS3CalmCalmNW5N5NW7NE4E4N6NE10NE9NE18
G28
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2 days agoE5E4CalmCalmCalmSW3CalmSW4CalmCalmSW3SW3W6W7W6W6W5W8NW6W6W6N12N8N7

Tide / Current Tables for Newport News, James River, Virginia
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Newport News
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:57 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:50 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:50 AM EDT     2.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:48 PM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:20 PM EDT     3.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.1-0.10.10.61.31.92.32.42.21.710.4-0-0.20.10.71.52.32.93.23.12.72

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:59 AM EDT     -1.36 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:29 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:09 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:16 AM EDT     0.68 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:03 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 12:55 PM EDT     -1.45 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:57 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:09 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:43 PM EDT     1.28 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:31 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.2-1.4-1.2-0.7-0.10.40.70.60.40-0.4-0.9-1.3-1.4-1.2-0.700.71.21.31.10.70.3-0.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.