Monday, April6, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Carrollton, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 7:34PM Monday April 6, 2020 1:34 AM EDT (05:34 UTC) Moonrise 5:00PMMoonset 5:09AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 1000 Pm Edt Sun Apr 5 2020
Overnight..S winds 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A slight chance of showers.
Mon..SW winds 10 kt, becoming N in the late morning and afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Tue..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers.
Wed..W winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 foot.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night..NW winds 15 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
ANZ600 1000 Pm Edt Sun Apr 5 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure will drift offshore overnight. A weak cold front crosses the region on Monday. A stronger cold front will approach from the west by midweek and cross the waters late Thursday through Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carrollton CDP, VA
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location: 36.97, -76.43     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 060533 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 133 AM EDT Mon Apr 6 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front approaches the local area this evening before crossing the area on Monday. The front moves back north as a warm front Monday night through Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 930 PM EDT Sunday .

Only minor tweaks to the near term forecast, mainly expanding the chance pops across the north where a few widely scattered light rain showers are occurring. Looking at obs, as expected only a few hundredths of an inch of rain is falling. Remainder of the forecast remains on track.

Previous discussion .

As of 250 PM EDT Sunday .

Much nicer wx over the entire FA this afternoon as weak sfc hi pres is slow to exit off the coast. SSW winds inland/SE winds near the coast . mainly avgg 10 mph or less w/ temperatures mainly in the m-u60s . except for u50s-l60s at the (immediate) coast.

A weak cold front is currently back near the mountains this afternoon . and that front will be slowly pushing ESE across the FA tonight. The result will be increased clouds and an expansion of PoPs (from near 15%) over the far WNW this evening to across the entire FA (to 15-30% . highest far N and NE) after 03-06Z/06. QPF through tonight will be very light (avgg less than a few hundredths of an inch). Lows tonight will be in the m-u40s in rural inland areas to the l50s in most metro/urban areas.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 315 PM EDT Sunday .

A 15-30% chc (highest SE) for SHRAs will persist Mon morning as the aforementioned front settles SSE into NC/off the coast. A remnant of that front will become aligned WNW-ESE Mon afternoon. Some re-development of SHRAs is expected along/S of the front Mon aftn (mainly over far srn VA/NE NC). Forecast soundings show best instability (albeit limited mainly over NC and any mid-upper level support remains meager. Slightly warmer Mon w/ Mon w/ highs ranging from the l-m60s near the coast (where winds become NNE) to the l-m70s over far srn VA and interior NE NC.

The weak boundary moves back N as a warm front Mon night-Tue as lo pres tracks E across the nrn Plains to the wrn Great Lakes. That boundary will likely struggle pulling back N of the entire area (on Tue) w/ clouds and chc PoPs (40-50%) remaining over N and NE locations in FA. Lows Mon night from the m40s-around 50F on the ern shore/nrn Neck-Middle Peninsula to the l50s elsewhere.

Additional s/w in WNW flow aloft will approach and move into the area Tue afternoon Along w/ potential SCT SHRAs. becoming warmer central VA on S and SW w/ a slight uptick in available instability may result in ISOLD afternoon tstms central/SW. SPC has most of the FA outlined in a General Thunder risk. Highs Tue from the m60s on the ern shore to the u70s-around 80s central/srn VA to NE NC.

Coverage of pcpn decreases Tue night w/ a mainly dry forecast after 06z (except for a slight chc of showers on the Lower MD Ern Shore) Lows Tue night in the 50s-around 60F. On Wed. WSW winds and partly cloudy conditions will lead to a warmer day for all areas. Highs from the u60s-m70s on the ern shore to the u70s-l80s elsewhere.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 150 PM EDT Sunday .

The extended period will be dominated by WNW flow aloft (and a transition from above normal temperatures to those avgg near-below normal). Sfc lo pres will be tracking by N of the FA Thu pushing a cold front (w/ diminishing moisture) across the region. Cooler/dry air is expected to follow Thu night-Sat By Sun. another cold front is expected to arrive from the NW . leading to increased clouds and chances for SHRAs.

Lows Wed night in the l-m50s N to the m-u50s S. Highs Thu from the l-m70s N and along the coast to around 80F elsewhere. Lows Thu night in the l40s N and NW to the u40s SE. Highs Fri in the u50s-around 60F N and NE to the l-m60s S and SW. Lows Fri night in the u30s-around 40F N and NW to the m-u40s along the SE VA/NE NC coasts. Highs Sat in the u50s-around 60F N and NE to the l-m60s S. Highs Sun 60-65F N and NE to the u60s S.

AVIATION /05Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 130 AM EDT Monday .

VFR conditions expected through the 06z TAF period. SCT-BKN mid level clouds over RIC/SBY/PHF will eventually overspread the remaining terminals this morning. There are a few showers aligned from near CHO-SBY, with dry wx across the VA/NC terminals early this morning. Maintained the mention of VCSH at SBY, with no mention of pcpn elsewhere (although there is a slight chc that the showers reach RIC by 08-09z). Winds are SSW aob 10 kt at the terminals.

A front moves across the area from N to S after 12z and will turn the winds to the N then NE at the terminals, with wind speeds remaining aob 10 kt. Scattered showers/isolated tstms develop along and S of the boundary this aftn-evening, but should mainly stay SW of area TAF locations. ECG would have the highest chance of seeing pcpn, but even there chances are too low at this point to mention in the TAF attm. CIGs remain VFR today w/ SCT mid-level clouds.

The front lifts back north as a warm front Mon night-Tue AM, but may stall before reaching the Lower MD Ern Shore. A moist southerly flow is expected following the warm FROPA. Near term guidance is suggesting that sub-VFR ceilings are possible Tuesday morning through early afternoon (especially at SBY). In addition, isolated-scattered showers/tstms may develop across the VA Piedmont Tue aftn before moving toward RIC/PHF by late aftn-evening.

MARINE. As of 330 PM EDT Sunday .

High pressure remains over the region this afternoon with generally light winds at 5 to 10 kt over much of the coastal waters. SCA for the mouth of the Ches Bay has been cancelled due to waves dropping to 2 to 3 feet. SCAs for seas in the coastal waters remain in effect due to seas of 5 to 7 feet this afternoon associated with a 12 to 13 sec long period swell. Seas will gradually subside to 4 to 6 feet overnight before dropping below SCA criteria in the northern coastal waters tomorrow morning. Seas are expected to remain at SCA criteria through tomorrow evening in the southern coastal waters due to onshore flow working against the weakening swell.

High pressure drifts offshore this evening ahead of a weak cold front expected to move through the region tomorrow morning. Winds become S at 10 to 15 kt tonight before shifting to N behind the cold front tomorrow morning. The front is expected to wash out or lift back N Mon night as winds shift to SE. Mainly sub-SCA conditions expected to continue from tomorrow night through late week with slightly stronger westerly flow expected Wednesday. The greatest chance for SCA conditions will be late Thursday/Friday.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 355 PM EDT Sunday .

Will be canceling Coastal Flood Warnings at 400 PM this aftn and re-issuing Coastal Flood Advisories for late this evening into very early Mon morning for portions of the northern Neck adjacent to the Potomac (Lewisetta) and for the Bayside of the MD eastern shore (Crisfield/Bishops Head/Cambridge).

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 AM EDT early this morning for MDZ021>023. NC . None. VA . Coastal Flood Advisory until 3 AM EDT early this morning for VAZ075-077. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ654. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ656- 658. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ650- 652.

SYNOPSIS . CMF/ERI/TMG NEAR TERM . ALB/CMF SHORT TERM . ALB/ERI LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . CMF/ERI MARINE . RMM/TMG TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . AKQ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 1 mi52 min S 8 G 8.9 55°F 1018.4 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 6 mi52 min 56°F1017.9 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 6 mi46 min SSW 11 G 12 55°F 1017.5 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 7 mi46 min S 8 G 9.9 55°F 1017.9 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 15 mi46 min SSW 4.1 G 6 54°F 58°F1018 hPa
44064 18 mi34 min SW 12 G 14 54°F2 ft1017.8 hPa (-0.2)
44072 18 mi34 min W 9.7 G 14 55°F 54°F1 ft
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 18 mi46 min SSW 8 G 9.9 56°F 55°F1017.2 hPa
CHBV2 19 mi52 min SW 8.9 G 12
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 20 mi46 min SW 12 G 13 56°F 1018.2 hPa
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi46 min S 11 G 15 54°F 1018.1 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 27 mi46 min SSW 6 G 8 54°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 34 mi64 min Calm 56°F 1018 hPa47°F
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 38 mi34 min 50°F4 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 42 mi28 min SSW 7.8 G 9.7 54°F1020.1 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 45 mi46 min S 13 G 15 1018.6 hPa

Wind History for Dominion Terminal Associates, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA8 mi95 minS 710.00 miPartly Cloudy55°F46°F74%1018.4 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA9 mi38 minS 1010.00 miOvercast55°F51°F86%1018.2 hPa
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA12 mi40 minSSW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy56°F46°F72%1017.8 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA13 mi43 minSSW 910.00 miFair55°F46°F74%1017.9 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA15 mi38 minS 610.00 miPartly Cloudy56°F48°F76%1017.2 hPa
Chesapeake, Chesapeake Municipal Airport, VA22 mi39 minSSW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy50°F47°F92%1018.6 hPa
Suffolk, Suffolk Municipal Airport, VA22 mi39 minS 410.00 miFair52°F48°F88%1018.6 hPa
Virginia Beach, Oceana, Naval Air Station, VA23 mi38 minSSW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy52°F46°F80%1018.2 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA24 mi39 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy57°F50°F77%1018.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNGU

Wind History from NGU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW5N6N6NE8NE7NE7E7E10SE10SE7SE5S7S8S7S7S8
1 day agoN10N9N10N8N9N9N7N9N11N14N13NE12
G19
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Tide / Current Tables for Newport News, James River, Virginia
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Newport News
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:38 AM EDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:08 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:52 AM EDT     3.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:05 PM EDT     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:00 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:16 PM EDT     3.20 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.2-0.2-0.30.10.81.62.42.93.12.82.21.40.6-0-0.3-0.10.51.32.22.93.23.12.6

Tide / Current Tables for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:36 AM EDT     -1.57 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:42 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:12 AM EDT     1.15 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:31 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:04 PM EDT     -1.66 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:05 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:58 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:43 PM EDT     1.33 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:06 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.1-1.5-1.5-1.2-0.60.20.91.11.10.70.3-0.3-0.9-1.4-1.7-1.5-0.9-0.10.71.21.31.10.60.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.