Monday, August10, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Puxico, MO

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:13AMSunset 7:59PM Monday August 10, 2020 2:30 PM CDT (19:30 UTC) Moonrise 10:51PMMoonset 11:41AM Illumination 57% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Puxico, MO
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location: 36.98, -90.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Paducah, KY
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FXUS63 KPAH 101641 AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 1141 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020

UPDATE. Issued at 1141 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020

Aviation update.

SHORT TERM. (Today through Wednesday night) Issued at 408 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020

Upper-level flow continues to be west-northwesterly in otherwise nearly zonal flow. This pattern will lead to a series of quick hitting disturbances with shower and thunderstorm potential. At the surface, high pressure to the east is helping steer southerly flow across the Quad State region. A few showers could linger into the morning hours. A few models continue to develop precip with this disturbance through the day but others are unimpressed, resulting in slight chance to low-end chance PoPs for today. A more organized line of convection is likely to develop late this afternoon north of the area and cross the Quad State this evening. The ARW/NMM have the line at the I-64 corridor by early evening while the HRRR and NAM time it closer to late evening. SPC has a marginal risk for most of the Quad State, primarily for the potential of a few strong wind gusts in the evening. WPC has a slight category excessive rainfall outlook today/tonight for the Quad State except southernmost SEMO counties and far western KY. While the line movement should be fairly perpendicular to the line, a few discontinuities or training could result in localized flooding issues since moisture levels remain very high. Convective activity will slowly weaken overnight.

The NAM, GFS, Canadian, and ECMWF all agree on some sort of shortwave system on Tuesday, but vary significantly in positioning with some focusing it towards SEMO and others towards SW Indiana. The HiRes models do not develop as much precip during the day Tuesday so PoPs are mainly kept in the upper chance range. A boundary dropping into the Quad State Tuesday will cut off the southerly flow and provide an area for potential development. Wednesday will bring another round of convection, with the boundary aiding as a focusing point.

Today will be the warmest day of the week, with highs near 90 up to the mid-90s for SEMO. A heat advisory covers SEMO, much of Southern Illinois, and far western Kentucky with widespread heat index values of 100-105F expected. Tuesday and Wednesday have higher PoPs and a cut off southerly flow, which should keep highs in the mid to upper 80s. Lows early this morning will be in the low to mid 70s, only dropping closer to 70 for subsequent days. Dew points will track similarly to the lows.

LONG TERM. (Thursday through Sunday) Issued at 408 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020

The models continue their broken record airmass for the "Dog Days" of August thru the late week and weekend. Upper half 80s for highs, around 70/ish for lows, and daily, midday dew points in the lower half 70s basically covers the entirety of the FA for the duration of the long term portion of the forecast. This abundance of heat energy with high humidity will also continue about the only relief from the heat we will get . scattered daily showers/storms that provide a chance of rain and/or potentially a little brief cloud cover that temporarily mutes the heat. The modeled synoptic pattern has the basic same evolutions it has shown all week, and while there are a few subtleties to keep an eye upon for day-to-day fine tuning, esp pops/sky, the overall dog days theme remains unchanged, with little indication of breaking save for some potential move out from underneath the stronger ridging by day 7 and perhaps beyond. This might knock the 'edge' off by a degree or two in terms of daily temps/dew points, and end up drying the pops some out of the blended Sunday (and post) forecast.

AVIATION. Issued at 1141 AM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020

Generally VFR conditions through 00 UTC, with SSW winds 6 to 12 kts. There is a slight chance of thunderstorms.

Tonight, thunderstorm chances will increase, highest across southern IL and southwest IN and parts of southeast MO through 06 UTC, with chances continuing south into west KY overnight. Exact track, timing and evolution are a bit uncertain. MVFR/IFR conditions likely with thunderstorms, along with the possibility of strong and gusty winds. Winds will be light and variable outside of storms. The chance of showers and storms should be on the decrease Tuesday morning.

PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. IL . Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for ILZ075-080>082- 084>086-088>090-092>094.

MO . Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for MOZ076-086-087-100- 107>112-114.

IN . None. KY . Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for KYZ001>006.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poplar Bluff, Poplar Bluff Municipal Airport, MO20 mi38 minS 910.00 miFair92°F75°F60%1014.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPOF

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Last 24hrS7S5S3S4S3S7CalmCalmCalmS4S3SW4SW4CalmCalmS3SW4--SW6SW9SW9S10SW7S9
1 day agoS6SW5CalmCalmS3SE3CalmCalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3N9NE8SE5S6SW8SW9SW6SW7
G15
2 days agoNE3NE44S7SE4CalmE3CalmN3CalmCalmN3CalmNW3Calm--CalmCalmCalmS3S45--S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

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Wind Forecast for Paducah, KY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Paducah, KY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.