Tuesday, April7, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bethel Manor, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 7:34PM Tuesday April 7, 2020 9:23 PM EDT (01:23 UTC) Moonrise 6:14PMMoonset 5:44AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 716 Pm Edt Tue Apr 7 2020
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms this evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon.
Wed night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Thu..SE winds 5 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming W 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Fri..W winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 3 to 4 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers.
Sun night..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft. Showers likely. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 716 Pm Edt Tue Apr 7 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A warm front will lift off to the northeast of the area this evening. A cold front then pushes in from the northwest on Wednesday, with a stronger cold front crossing the local area on Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bethel Manor, VA
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location: 37.17, -76.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 080110 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 910 PM EDT Tue Apr 7 2020

SYNOPSIS. A warm front will slowly lift north of the area overnight. A cold front then pushes in from the northwest on Wednesday, with a stronger cold front crossing the local area on Thursday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 900 PM EDT Tuesday .

Convection this eve just about over as the last of the strong storms exits off the nrn OB. Typical NW flow stroms, mainly hail and gusty winds. The latest MSAS has a warm front ivof the I64 corridor and will slowly lift nne thru the overnite hrs. Addntl shwrs are dvlpng along and north of this bndry attm. So have adjusted the grids to reflect the on- going conditions.

The next wave is progged to slide sse along this bndry later tonite into Wed morn. This will likely allow for anthr round of convection to dvlp mainly across the nrn half of the fa while the south remains dry. SPC keeps the nrn 2/3rd of the fa in a slght risk overnite as they expect large hail and damaging winds with the complex of storms. The latest data suggests the greatest threat for svr tstms aftr midnite will remain nnw of the AKQ forecast area, but still can't rule out gusty winds as they weaken and drift sse towards morning. Lows 55-60.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 355 PM EDT Tuesday .

On Wed, a sfc low will be moving through ern PA and off the Delmarva coast, pushing a weak frontal boundary through the local area during the latter part of the day. Isolated to sctd showers and tstms will be possible Wed aftn into early Wed evening, due to a warmer/more humid airmass in place in advance of the boundary.

SPC has the fcst area in a marginal risk for severe wx on Wed. Otherwise, partly cloudy with highs ranging from the mid 70s to mid 80s. The weak boundary washes out Wed night and winds turn back to the SE or S, as strong low pressure (sfc-aloft) tracks across srn Canada. The associated (trailing) cold front is expected to reach near/just west of the Appalachians by 12z/Thu. Dry wx Wed night with lows in the 50s. That cold front will cross the region during Thu, leading to isolated/sctd pcpn for mainly N and NE areas. Otherwise, partly cloudy and breezy/windy with highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s over extrm nrn counties and the Lower MD and VA ern shore, to the mid 70s to lower 80s elsewhere.

Strong WNW winds will usher much drier and cooler airmass into the region for Thu night and Fri. Lows in the upper 30s to upper 40s Thu night. Highs on Fri in the mid 50s to lower 60s.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 355 PM EDT Tuesday .

Quiet start to the extended forecast period with high pressure building into the region. Northwest winds will bring cooler temperatures into the area on Friday night with lows ranging from the mid 30s inland to right around 40 degrees near the coast. High pressure moves overhead on Saturday with highs below seasonal norms, generally in the upper 50s and low 60s.

High pressure migrates offshore on Sunday which will allow temps to moderate back into the mid/upper 60s and low 70s. A trough in the southern jet will spawn low pressure in the lee of the Rockies Saturday night, this low will strengthen and move NE into the Midwestern states Sunday evening. Chances for rain and potential for thunderstorms will increase across the west late Sunday morning, spreading east into Sunday night and Monday. Southerly flow across the local area will allow temps to climb into the low/mid 70s on Monday before the associated cold front crosses the region with cooler temps and high pressure in its wake.

AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 900 PM EDT Tuesday .

Latest MSAS has a warm front ivof the I64 corridor and is progged to slowly lift nne thru the overnite hrs. VFR conditions prevail acros the region this eve despite a lingering shwr/tstm across sern Va/ne NC. Models show additional shwrs developing along this bndry tonite and into Wed morning. CIGS will stay VFR as low level moisture will be lacking. Best chcs for any convection will be at RIC / SBY, but left only indicated VCSH at SBY for now giving a low confidence forecast. Gusty west winds 15-25 kts develop Wed aftrn ahead of a sfc trof that may spark off addntl convection aftr 18Z.

Outlook: Primarily VFR conditions expected Wed night and Thu, but isolated/scattered showers/tstms (and associated flight restrictions) will again be possible late Thu morning through Thu aftn, as a stronger cold front approaches and pushes across the area. VFR/dry on Fri.

MARINE. As of 420 PM EDT Tuesday .

The period begins with a weak ill defined warm front along the Western Shore of the Chesapeake bay with generally light southerly to south southeasterly winds over the waters. This front should get pulled of to the northeast tonight as low pressure becomes more organized over the Eastern Great Lake states. This will turn the flow more out of the southwest but should remain in the 5 to 10 kt range, except for strong winds that may accompany a few stronger storms that develop late this afternoon.

An approaching cold front will help to tighten the pressure gradient on Wednesday morning leading to an increase in winds to 10 to 15 kts over the bay and near 20 kts over the northern waters. That front is expected to weaken as it moves south into the waters off Virginia Beach and Carolina coast. This will allow the winds to remain in the 10 to 15 range before gradually weakening Wednesday evening as high pressure briefly builds into the region. Overall through Thursday AM conditions should remain below SCA levels.

On Thursday, winds will be on the increase as a strong fast moving cold front approaches the waters by mid afternoon and sweeps across the waters by Thursday evening. SW winds in advance could reach 20 kt, but once the front moves through, a quick switch to the NW is expected with winds increasing to around 30 kt. At this point, not expecting to see gale conditions, but a few gust to 35 kt are possible. The winds look to come in two waves with an initial surge behind the front on Thursday afternoon into the evening hours and a second surge coming during the early morning hours on Friday. The SCA conditions will continue through Friday with the strong northwest flow with a strong surface low over New England. Have kept seas to around 5 FT with the off shore flow and both the NWPS and WNAWave guidance kept conditions at 5 FT.

High pressure slowly builds back into the region on Friday night and hangs over the area through Sunday morning. This will allow the winds to relax and seas to calm over the weekend before another system impacts the region late Sunday into Monday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . TMG NEAR TERM . MPR SHORT TERM . LKB/TMG LONG TERM . RHR AVIATION . MPR MARINE . ESS/JDM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 6 mi54 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 61°F 58°F1008.6 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 6 mi54 min ENE 8 G 11 59°F 1009.7 hPa
44072 7 mi44 min SE 3.9 G 12 58°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 14 mi60 min SW 5.1 G 6 63°F 1009.3 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 14 mi54 min SSE 2.9 G 4.1 62°F 1008.4 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 16 mi60 min 59°F1008.7 hPa
CHBV2 19 mi60 min S 8.9 G 12 58°F 1007.9 hPa
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 20 mi54 min NNW 1.9 G 5.1 64°F 1008.7 hPa
44064 20 mi34 min SE 7.8 G 9.7 1008.4 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 22 mi54 min Calm G 7 57°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 24 mi54 min SW 1 61°F 1010 hPa57°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 27 mi54 min ESE 4.1 G 8 1009.3 hPa
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 28 mi54 min S 5.1 G 8 65°F 60°F1008.8 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 28 mi48 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 57°F1012.3 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 33 mi54 min SE 8.9 G 9.9 1009.6 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 40 mi54 min 57°F3 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 48 mi54 min SSW 6 G 8 58°F 60°F1008.9 hPa

Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport News, Newport News / Williamsburg International Airport, VA6 mi30 minN 05.00 miA Few Clouds with Haze61°F55°F84%1008.9 hPa
Langley Air Force Base, VA6 mi28 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds60°F60°F100%1009.4 hPa
Fort Eustis / Felker, VA12 mi88 minS 410.00 miMostly Cloudy62°F59°F91%1009.1 hPa
Norfolk, Naval Air Station, VA17 mi85 minN 15 G 233.00 miThunderstorm Rain67°F55°F68%1009.4 hPa
Williamsburg-Jamestown Airport, VA17 mi29 minN 010.00 miFair61°F60°F100%1009.1 hPa
Norfolk, Norfolk International Airport, VA21 mi33 minSW 410.00 miFair62°F57°F84%1008.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPHF

Wind History from PHF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE4CalmCalm--S6SW9SW7SW55SW9SW6SW11SW14
G21
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1 day agoS7S7S8SW5SW7SW9SW7NW4S8S5SW3SW6SW5--5N7E10E9E11NE10NE10E5E5NE4
2 days agoE4CalmE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE6SW96SW5S66E12E9E6SE3SE5

Tide / Current Tables for York Point, Poquoson River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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York Point
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Tue -- 03:11 AM EDT     -0.43 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 09:13 AM EDT     2.90 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:31 PM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:36 PM EDT     3.12 feet High Tide
Tue -- 10:35 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.5-0.1-0.4-0.30.31.11.92.62.92.82.31.60.80.1-0.3-0.30.10.91.82.633.12.7

Tide / Current Tables for Yorktown USCG Training Center, York River, Virginia
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (21,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.