Pulaski, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pulaski, VA


December 3, 2023 6:56 AM EST (11:56 UTC)
Sunrise 7:17AM   Sunset 5:06PM   Moonrise  11:00PM   Moonset 12:23PM 

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Pulaski, VA
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Area Discussion for - Blacksburg, VA
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FXUS61 KRNK 031122 AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 622 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

SYNOPSIS
Rain ends late this morning as a cold front pushes across, with breezy conditions this afternoon. Much of the upcoming week will feature the passage of some upper level disturbances. A weak disturbance Monday will bring clouds and a few mountain rain showers. A much stronger disturbance will cross the region Tuesday night into Wednesday, bringing some accumulating snow to the mountains.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 117 AM EST Sunday...

Key Messages:

1) Fog and rain this morning.

2) Dry but breezy this afternoon.

Overall, models shift the scattered to broken areas of rain this morning northeast into the mid-Atlantic by mid to late morning, so will likely see most areas dry out by noon today. Front works east through the area allowing winds to turn west and increase as the surface low deepens somewhat across the mid-Atlantic. Models are favoring gusts in the 20 to 30 mph range in the mountains, with 40mph+ at the highest elevations as we head toward dusk, and 15 to 25 mph in the piedmont.

Will continue to advertise fog this morning, as visibilities fluctuate from 1/4sm or less at times with little/no rain around to 3-6sm in moderate rain, so given no widespread dense fog, will highlight most of the area with a special weather statement due to the variable visibilities.

With milder temperatures to start, and lag in cold air advection behind the front this afternoon, temperatures could reach near 70 in the piedmont if sunshine returns sooner, not quite record highs though. Further west highs will be in the 60s, with some 50s in the mountains.

Tonight, the colder air arrives but not that cold as it will still be in 5 to 10 degrees above normal with 30s for most.

Forecast confidence is above average on dry weather by afternoon and gusty winds this afternoon/evening. Moderate on temperatures today.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 300 AM EST Sunday...

Confidence is high for colder air and gusty winds with snow showers arriving for late Tuesday through Wednesday.

A broad upper level trough will cover most of the eastern United States during this forecast period. One shortwave trough embedded within the broader trough should swing past the Mid Atlantic by Monday afternoon, which will offer a gusty west wind and light rain showers west of the Blue Ridge. Colder air on Monday night should send temperatures towards the freezing point and change any rain showers to flurries.

Although most of the moisture should fade by Tuesday morning, a little may still linger across western Greenbrier County. The next shortwave trough will approach the Appalachian Mountains on Tuesday afternoon, and this trough will be quite sharp. It should dig much further south and allow a clipper system to arrive that will produce gusty northwest winds and snow showers. Some flurries or sprinkles could even spill eastward into the Piedmont by Wednesday morning.
Accumulating snowfall is becoming highly likely for the mountains from Boone to Lewisburg and will thus be highlighted in the HWO. The snow showers and the gusty northwest wind should slowly taper during Wednesday night as temperatures fall into the 20s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 300 AM EST Sunday...

Confidence is moderate for moderating temperatures and dry weather for Thursday and Friday, but rain may return by late Saturday.

High pressure should build across the Mid Atlantic by Thursday to provide dry weather. Heights aloft should begin to recover as the upper air pattern flattens with the trough exiting offshore and the flow becoming zonal. The models show good agreement with an upper level ridge building across the Appalachian Mountains on Friday that would allow temperatures to rise towards the 50s and 60s to end the week. However, the ridging aloft is simply a response to an upstream trough approaching the Plains that should kick a cold front towards the Ohio River Valley. Clouds should increase from the west by late Saturday with maybe a few rain showers entering the mountains.

AVIATION /11Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 619 AM EST Sunday...

Poor flying conditions to start but will see increasing ceilings/vsbys as we head toward 14-16z. Most, if not all terminals should be VFR by 17z.

West to west-southwest winds will start to increase after frontal passage late this morning, with the stronger gusts arriving this afternoon into early evening, where gusts to 30kts possible, especially at BCB/ROA, but moreso southwest toward GEV/TNB.

Winds will abate somewhat overnight, with VFR continuing.

Above average confidence for on most of the taf period, except on vsby/rain/fog this morning which is average.

Extended Aviation Discussion...

Aviation conditions remain VFR through early Monday.

Another system brings sub-VFR ceilings and visibility back to the area Monday afternoon into Tuesday, especially along/west of ROA.

Another front and much colder air with gusty wind is expected Wednesday, with sub- VFR at least across the mountains with snow showers.

Wind speeds will be lighter and dry, VFR conditions are expected on Thursday.

RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.


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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KPSK NEW RIVER VALLEY,VA 11 sm21 minW 031/2 smOvercast Rain 54°F54°F100%29.79
KBLF MERCER COUNTY,WV 19 sm55 minSW 0510 smOvercast54°F54°F100%29.80

Wind History from PSK
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Blacksburg, VA,



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