Vansant, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Vansant, VA

June 13, 2024 4:03 PM EDT (20:03 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:08 AM   Sunset 8:49 PM
Moonrise 11:56 AM   Moonset 12:26 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vansant, VA
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Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 131733 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 133 PM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure keeps conditions warm and dry tonight. Chance for showers and isolated storms on Friday. An extended stretch of hot weather will begin late this weekend through next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 130 PM Thursday...

Surface high pressure slides east, keeping warm and dry weather conditions tonight. Wind aloft increases from the southwest, pumping moist and warm air into the area with dewpoints increasing into the mid 60s ahead of a cold front. This cold front will encounter an environment with CAPE about 1800 J/Kg, deep layered shear (about 25 knots southern two thirds of the area), higher across the northern sections (45-50 knots), and SRH about 100 m2/s2. PWATs should reach 1.5 to 1.7 inches. Equilibrium levels about 35kft, dry mid level air, and skinny CAPE sounding signatures suggest strongest storms could produce moderate to heavy downpours and strong to damaging winds Friday afternoon and evening. SPC has outlooked the northern areas under a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms with damaging winds being the main threat.

Muggy tonight, with lows in the mid 60s lowlands, ranging into the upper 50s higher elevations. Patchy fog possible over most protected river valleys during the predawn hours. Despite of abundant clouds and cooling showers, highs on Friday are expected to reach the upper 80s across the lowlands, ranging into the lower 70s higher elevations.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 1209 PM Thursday...

In a post-frontal airmass Saturday, summerlike warmth will coincide with a comfortable feel. Dew points will be in the 40s to 50s Saturday with air temperatures in the lower to middle 80s. This will give us a brief reprieve from the humidity. As an upper- level ridge expands over the eastern 1/3 of the country Sunday, temperatures will be on the rise and dew points will return to the 60s for most. Expect highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s Sunday with largely dry conditions.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 1209 PM Thursday...

The upper-level ridge will continue to strengthen over the East heading into the new work week, which means the summerlike warmth and humidity will continue through most of next week. There is also the potential for a heat wave. Something to keep in mind is that CRW has not officially hit 90 degrees yet, and while there is a high likelihood that could occur next week, there still remains some uncertainty. Models are undecided in the placement of the upper- level ridge axis; the GFS predicts the ridge axis will be a little farther east than the ECMWF. The strength and duration of the heat will highly depend on the location of the ridge axis; if it ends up being farther east like the GFS is showing, we could have more clouds with increased chances for showers and thunderstorms. This would also lead to slightly lower temperatures over our region.

While we continue to wait for models to come into better agreement, it is still important to prepare for the heat. There is a high potential for most of next week to be excessively hot, especially Monday through Thursday. It may be a good idea to stock up on water and other hydration fluids before the heat arrives, and make sure to put other heat safety tips into practice by taking frequent breaks in the air conditioning and checking on sensitive groups.

AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 130 PM Thursday...

Anchored surface high pressure will keep dry and calm weather conditions through tonight. Patchy valley fog may be possible along protected river valleys such as EKN. Fog formation may be too shallow to reach other sites. Included dense fog only in TAFEKN for now. Any fog will quickly dissipate by 12-13Z Friday.

A cold front arrives Friday morning from the west. Onset of precipitation at PKB estimated around 16Z. There will be enough instability and shear to promote strong to severe thunderstorms mainly across the northern sections Friday afternoon and evening.
Brief periods of IFR/LIFR conditions possible under heavy showers or storms. Strong to damaging winds will be possible with stronger storms. Since it is difficult to pinpoint whether storms will hit any specific terminal, will code VCTS for now. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail on Friday.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Patchy river valley fog may be more widespread than forecasted early Friday morning.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 EDT 1HRLY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 18Z FRIDAY...
IFR valley fog possible Saturday morning.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KJFZ TAZEWELL COUNTY,VA 21 sm28 mincalm10 smPartly Cloudy30.09
KLNP LONESOME PINE,VA 24 sm28 minSW 0310 smPartly Cloudy81°F55°F42%30.10
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