Clinchco, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Clinchco, VA

June 15, 2024 2:35 AM EDT (06:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:08 AM   Sunset 8:50 PM
Moonrise 1:51 PM   Moonset 1:10 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Clinchco, VA
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Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 150322 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 1122 PM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
Isolated showers are possible early tonight, along with some patchy fog. An extended stretch of hot and dry weather will begin Sunday and last much of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 1105 PM Friday...

Patchy fog has quickly formed across portions of SE OH and N WV where rain fell this evening. Given such, increased fog coverage across the aforementioned areas overnight, with dry advection likely slowing fog development later tonight. Otherwise, the rest of the forecast remains on track, with any remaining isolated showers dissipating over the next hour or two.

As of 850 PM Friday...

Have cancelled the Severe Thunderstorm Watch across all of the CWA Isolated strong thunderstorms remain possible over the next hour or two across southern portions of Ohio into north central WV, but activity should continue to trend downward in intensity going forward. The rest of the forecast remains on track.

As of 520 PM Friday...

Made updates to temperatures, cloud cover, and PoPs through this evening. Isolated thunderstorms continue to develop just north of the CWA where moisture and forcing via low-level convergence are greatest, and will gradually slide southeast towards/into the northern portion of the CWA While most storms have remained sub-severe at this point, the potential for isolated severe thunderstorms continues through the evening across SE OH into northern WV as a cold front continues to slide through the region. The main hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large hail. Further south, timing and drier air will limit the severe potential, but cannot rule out an isolated strong, perhaps a severe storm later this evening. Activity will steadily diminish after sunset.

As of 230 PM Friday...

After coordinating with SPC, a severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for northern counties in southeast OH, and northern WV until 9 PM this evening. Plenty of sunshine and available moisture will continue to destabilize the atmosphere this afternoon providing descent bouyancy. Strong to severe thunderstorm are expected.

As of 130 PM Friday...

Cold front exits east of the Appalachians late this evening, with lingering light showers ending by midnight. Surface high pressure builds from the north tonight into Sunday providing light to calm flow and mostly clear skies. This set up will allow for river valley fog to develop along river valleys and over areas that received rainfall today and tonight. Any fog or low stratus that manage to develop will quickly dissipate by 9 AM Saturday.

Lows tonight will generally be in the lower 60s across NE KY, SW VA and southern WV, ranging into the 50s northern sections and northeast mountains. Plenty of sunshine and light winds will prevail on Saturday providing a warm afternoon, with temperatures ranging from the mid 80s lowlands, into the lower 70s higher elevations.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 1207 PM Friday...

Upper-level high pressure will be centered over the Deep South Sunday, slowly moving northeastward throughout the day. Temperatures will start to heat up across the lowlands with afternoon highs expected to be in the lower 90s by Sunday afternoon. Winds will become southerly, leading to the return of more humidity. Expect heat indices to reach the lower and middle 90s across the lowlands Sunday afternoon. This will just be the start of an extended stretch of hot and dry weather on the way. The cooler spots will be the higher elevations of the West Virginia mountains, where temperatures will remain in the 70s and lower 80s during the hottest parts of the day.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 1207 PM Friday...

Confidence in the potential of a heat wave over the region next week is increasing. Models seem to be coming into better agreement regarding the placement of the upper-level ridge axis, which seems to be right over or slightly east of the Appalachian mountains for much of next week. This would provide support for an extended stretch of very hot and dry weather across most of the region, with the exception of the higher elevations, where temperatures will be cooler and isolated thunderstorms may develop. Rain chances next week look minimal at this time, but if the upper-level ridge ends up being farther to the east than what models are currently predicting, then our region could end up cloudier and cooler with more convection. That will be one thing to watch over the coming days with subsequent model runs. However, if our current forecast of largely dry weather pans out, many places will likely see worsening drought conditions throughout the week.

From Monday through next Thursday, highs are projected to reach the upper 90s across the lowlands with heat index values approaching 100 degrees each afternoon. It will be very important to put heat safety into practice next week. This includes drinking plenty of fluids, taking frequent breaks in the air conditioning or the shade whenever possible, checking on the elderly and sensitive groups, and using plenty of sunscreen. Stay tuned for updates as the potential heat wave approaches.

AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 800 PM Friday...

ISOL/SCT showers and thunderstorms are moving through the northern portion of the CWA currently as a cold front moves through. Activity should begin to weaken and dissipate over the next few hours as the front moves southward. In the meantime, brief MVFR/IFR/LIFR VSBY restrictions will be possible within any thunderstorms, along with the potential for strong wind gusts. Once showers/storms dissipate through early tonight, the main aviation concern will be fog. Fog should mainly be confined to areas that received rainfall today and/or the deeper river valleys of southern/eastern WV and southwest VA. Any fog that develops lifts/dissipates through ~12Z. VFR conditions then prevail through the end of the TAF period.

Outside of any t-storms, light north to northeasterly flow is expected throughout the TAF period.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium with fog coverage and intensity later tonight; high otherwise.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Brief MVFR/IFR/LIFR VSBY restrictions are possible within any thunderstorms this evening, along with gusty winds. Fog extent and timing tonight may differ from the forecast.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE SAT 06/15/24 UTC 1HRLY 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 EDT 1HRLY 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H M L H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H L L L H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H L L M M L L H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H M M M L L H H H

AFTER 00Z SUNDAY...
No widespread IFR conditions are expected at this time.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KLNP LONESOME PINE,VA 17 sm20 mincalm10 smClear64°F61°F88%30.09
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