Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Clinchco, VA
December 6, 2023 11:28 AM EST (16:28 UTC)
Sunrise 7:25AM Sunset 5:14PM Moonrise 1:02AM Moonset 1:39PM
Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 061412 AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 912 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
SYNOPSIS
Clipper brings mountain snow this morning, mainly rain for the lowlands. High pressure brings dry/warmer weather Thursday into Friday night. Next system arrives Saturday night and Sunday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 910 AM Wednesday...
Have updated the winds to better reflect the current situation and trends from the meso models.
Area is in the process of transitioning from the clipper snow to upslope snow behind the clipper.
As of 638 AM Wednesday...
Issued an SPS across parts of the southern lowlands, southern mountains, and the western foothills of the Alleghenies to account for slick travel this morning. Bands of rain and snow showers could create slippery spots on roads as temperatures are at or just above freezing.
As of 522 AM Wednesday...
The forecast remains mostly on track. Updated PoPs expanding likely PoPs down across the southern mountains (Wyoming, McDowell, Buchanan, Dickenson counties). Radar shows decent upslope streets setting up across this area. Moderate to heavy snowfall will likely occur in some of these bands this morning, making travel hazardous this morning.
Amounts still looking to be between 3 and 6 inches at or above 3,500 feet across the mountains, and between 1 and 3 inches below 3,500 feet.
As of 247 AM Wednesday...
Key Points:
* Winter Weather Advisory until 7PM this evening for portions of the northeastern mountains of West Virginia
* Clipper system brings measurable snow to the mountains
* 3-6" of snow expected above 3,500 feet, 1-3" below.
* Travel will be hazardous this morning across the mountains and parts of the lowlands.
Upper-level disturbance is currently off to our southeast with a surface trough moving over the region. Notably, winds are shifting to the N-NNW behind this feature and CAA is occurring as a result. Precipitation is also receding from NW to SE, becoming forced against the Allegheny Mountains.
Steady snow showers will continue across the northeastern mountains through the morning with this clipper system. Rain showers will mix with snow at times across the southern/eastern mountains and parts of the lowlands, especially once temperatures fall into the mid to low 30s. Higher reflectivities are being observed within some bands just southeast of Kanawha County moving towards Raleigh County, suggesting some heavier rain with mixing at times.
A Winter Weather Advisory is still in effect until 7PM this evening for portions of the northeastern mountains of West Virginia. Currently anticipating 3-6" of snow accumulation for areas around or above 3,500 feet across the mountains of West Virginia, 1-3" for areas below. Parts of southwest Virginia and southern West Virginia will likely see a dusting to half an inch of snow this morning. The bulk of the snow will fall this morning, especially around the morning commute hours. Upslope snow showers will continue into the early evening hours.
Additional light accumulations below an inch possible above 3,500 feet.
Accumulations of less than an inch will be picked up across parts of the northern lowlands and the western foothills of the Alleghenies. An SPS is out for these areas to cover hazardous travel and will likely be adding more counties to the mix as the morning goes on.
For much of the lowlands, this event will remain mostly rain, as temperatures will be a few degrees too warm. Anticipating some mixing to occur before daybreak though and continue through the morning commute, which will likely cause some slick road conditions in spots. An SPS will be issued if road conditions are reported to be problematic.
Precipitation moves out of the lowlands by early afternoon, as an upper-level ridge of high pressure moves in. Upslope snow showers will be ending this evening across the mountains. Colder temperatures will move in today and tonight with northerly flow.
Winds will be breezy across the higher elevations, so cold wind chills are expected this afternoon and tonight, especially across the mountains. Single digits will be common for areas above 4,000 feet, teens for areas below.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 130 AM Wednesday...
Dry weather conditions are anticipated as a broad surface high pressure over the southeast states, and an upper-level ridge building from the west remain in control Thursday through Friday night. Gradually increasing southwest winds provide moisture and WAA for a rapid warm up to above normal temperatures into Saturday.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 130 AM Wednesday...
Winds and clouds will continue to increase from the southwest with rain showers arriving to the Middle Ohio valley by early Saturday ahead of an approaching low pressure system. This central plain surface low, intensifies as it tracks northeast into the Great Lakes region by Sunday morning. Meanwhile, an associated cold front will cross our local area Sunday. Therefore, expect rain showers to continue during the weekend. Much colder airmass arrive Sunday night and Monday allowing for some snow showers at and above elevations of 3,000 feet along our eastern mountains.
A strong pressure gradient will develop with this system producing strong winds, especially with cold frontal passage on Sunday. Strong cold air advection will changeover any rain to all snow Sunday night although by then just chances of precipitation will be leftover going into Monday morning. High pressure once again will build in for the rest of Monday.
AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 643 AM Wednesday...
Bands of upslope snow and rain showers are roaming around the CWA this morning most notably, the southern lowlands, southern mountains, and northeastern mountains of West Virginia. This activity will continue to until early this afternoon across the lowlands, though the mountains may see lingering upslope snow showers through the afternoon. Snow and rain showers could be moderate to heavy at times through the morning at EKN and BKW.
There are breaks in the OVC which is causing CIG fluctuations.
VFR is currently being reported at PKB and HTS, but MVFR CIGs will continue to move through this morning with the NNW flow.
MVFR is expected at CRW until the afternoon with occasional VIS reductions due to SHSN. IFR and MVFR CIGs are forecasted at EKN and BKW through the afternoon with VIS restrictions in some snow showers.
NW/NNW winds at 5-10 kts today. Wind gusts of 15-25 kts are possible across the higher terrain during the day. Winds will taper off and shift to the SW tonight.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: CIGs/VIS may be inconsistent and fluctuate between MVFR and IFR through the morning. Timing of -SHSN and -SHRA may vary from forecast. Timing of improvement to VFR may vary.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 EST 1HRLY 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H M H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H M M H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY M M H M H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H M L H M M M H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H M H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY M H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 12Z THURSDAY...
No widespread IFR conditions are anticipated at this time.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for WVZ522- 523-526.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 912 AM EST Wed Dec 6 2023
SYNOPSIS
Clipper brings mountain snow this morning, mainly rain for the lowlands. High pressure brings dry/warmer weather Thursday into Friday night. Next system arrives Saturday night and Sunday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 910 AM Wednesday...
Have updated the winds to better reflect the current situation and trends from the meso models.
Area is in the process of transitioning from the clipper snow to upslope snow behind the clipper.
As of 638 AM Wednesday...
Issued an SPS across parts of the southern lowlands, southern mountains, and the western foothills of the Alleghenies to account for slick travel this morning. Bands of rain and snow showers could create slippery spots on roads as temperatures are at or just above freezing.
As of 522 AM Wednesday...
The forecast remains mostly on track. Updated PoPs expanding likely PoPs down across the southern mountains (Wyoming, McDowell, Buchanan, Dickenson counties). Radar shows decent upslope streets setting up across this area. Moderate to heavy snowfall will likely occur in some of these bands this morning, making travel hazardous this morning.
Amounts still looking to be between 3 and 6 inches at or above 3,500 feet across the mountains, and between 1 and 3 inches below 3,500 feet.
As of 247 AM Wednesday...
Key Points:
* Winter Weather Advisory until 7PM this evening for portions of the northeastern mountains of West Virginia
* Clipper system brings measurable snow to the mountains
* 3-6" of snow expected above 3,500 feet, 1-3" below.
* Travel will be hazardous this morning across the mountains and parts of the lowlands.
Upper-level disturbance is currently off to our southeast with a surface trough moving over the region. Notably, winds are shifting to the N-NNW behind this feature and CAA is occurring as a result. Precipitation is also receding from NW to SE, becoming forced against the Allegheny Mountains.
Steady snow showers will continue across the northeastern mountains through the morning with this clipper system. Rain showers will mix with snow at times across the southern/eastern mountains and parts of the lowlands, especially once temperatures fall into the mid to low 30s. Higher reflectivities are being observed within some bands just southeast of Kanawha County moving towards Raleigh County, suggesting some heavier rain with mixing at times.
A Winter Weather Advisory is still in effect until 7PM this evening for portions of the northeastern mountains of West Virginia. Currently anticipating 3-6" of snow accumulation for areas around or above 3,500 feet across the mountains of West Virginia, 1-3" for areas below. Parts of southwest Virginia and southern West Virginia will likely see a dusting to half an inch of snow this morning. The bulk of the snow will fall this morning, especially around the morning commute hours. Upslope snow showers will continue into the early evening hours.
Additional light accumulations below an inch possible above 3,500 feet.
Accumulations of less than an inch will be picked up across parts of the northern lowlands and the western foothills of the Alleghenies. An SPS is out for these areas to cover hazardous travel and will likely be adding more counties to the mix as the morning goes on.
For much of the lowlands, this event will remain mostly rain, as temperatures will be a few degrees too warm. Anticipating some mixing to occur before daybreak though and continue through the morning commute, which will likely cause some slick road conditions in spots. An SPS will be issued if road conditions are reported to be problematic.
Precipitation moves out of the lowlands by early afternoon, as an upper-level ridge of high pressure moves in. Upslope snow showers will be ending this evening across the mountains. Colder temperatures will move in today and tonight with northerly flow.
Winds will be breezy across the higher elevations, so cold wind chills are expected this afternoon and tonight, especially across the mountains. Single digits will be common for areas above 4,000 feet, teens for areas below.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 130 AM Wednesday...
Dry weather conditions are anticipated as a broad surface high pressure over the southeast states, and an upper-level ridge building from the west remain in control Thursday through Friday night. Gradually increasing southwest winds provide moisture and WAA for a rapid warm up to above normal temperatures into Saturday.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 130 AM Wednesday...
Winds and clouds will continue to increase from the southwest with rain showers arriving to the Middle Ohio valley by early Saturday ahead of an approaching low pressure system. This central plain surface low, intensifies as it tracks northeast into the Great Lakes region by Sunday morning. Meanwhile, an associated cold front will cross our local area Sunday. Therefore, expect rain showers to continue during the weekend. Much colder airmass arrive Sunday night and Monday allowing for some snow showers at and above elevations of 3,000 feet along our eastern mountains.
A strong pressure gradient will develop with this system producing strong winds, especially with cold frontal passage on Sunday. Strong cold air advection will changeover any rain to all snow Sunday night although by then just chances of precipitation will be leftover going into Monday morning. High pressure once again will build in for the rest of Monday.
AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 643 AM Wednesday...
Bands of upslope snow and rain showers are roaming around the CWA this morning most notably, the southern lowlands, southern mountains, and northeastern mountains of West Virginia. This activity will continue to until early this afternoon across the lowlands, though the mountains may see lingering upslope snow showers through the afternoon. Snow and rain showers could be moderate to heavy at times through the morning at EKN and BKW.
There are breaks in the OVC which is causing CIG fluctuations.
VFR is currently being reported at PKB and HTS, but MVFR CIGs will continue to move through this morning with the NNW flow.
MVFR is expected at CRW until the afternoon with occasional VIS reductions due to SHSN. IFR and MVFR CIGs are forecasted at EKN and BKW through the afternoon with VIS restrictions in some snow showers.
NW/NNW winds at 5-10 kts today. Wind gusts of 15-25 kts are possible across the higher terrain during the day. Winds will taper off and shift to the SW tonight.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: CIGs/VIS may be inconsistent and fluctuate between MVFR and IFR through the morning. Timing of -SHSN and -SHRA may vary from forecast. Timing of improvement to VFR may vary.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 EST 1HRLY 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H M H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H M M H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY M M H M H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY H H M L H M M M H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H M H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY M H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 12Z THURSDAY...
No widespread IFR conditions are anticipated at this time.
RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for WVZ522- 523-526.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KLNP LONESOME PINE,VA | 17 sm | 13 min | NNW 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | 32°F | 28°F | 86% | 30.22 |
Wind History from LNP
(wind in knots)
Jackson, KY,
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