Cheriton, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Cheriton, VA

June 15, 2024 2:25 PM EDT (18:25 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:42 AM   Sunset 8:26 PM
Moonrise 1:24 PM   Moonset 12:43 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ654 Coastal Waters From Parramore Island To Cape Charles Light Va Out 20 Nm- 1231 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

This afternoon - NE winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 8 seconds and ne 2 ft at 4 seconds.

Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 8 seconds and ne 2 ft at 4 seconds.

Sun - E winds 5 kt, increasing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 8 seconds and se 1 ft at 14 seconds.

Sun night - SE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 7 seconds and se 2 ft at 3 seconds.

Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 1 ft at 13 seconds.

Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and S 2 ft at 4 seconds.

Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.

Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.

Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

Wed night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.

ANZ600 1231 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
high pressure builds toward the area through the weekend. This high will shift offshore early next week with generally benign marine conditions.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cheriton, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 151805 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 205 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
Dry with seasonable temperatures continue through the weekend.
A very warm and mainly dry pattern then looks to take hold for next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 205 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- A few degrees cooler with pleasant humidity levels this afternoon and and tonight.

Latest analysis reveals surface low pressure is now well offshore of the New England coast. The associated surface cold front is now offshore, extending south along the coastal Carolinas and extending W-SW across the mid-South. To the NW, 1024+mb high pressure over the upper Great Lakes continues to build E-SE over the interior northeast this afternoon. Aloft, mid-level trough axis is offshore of the New England coast with a building upper ridge from the mid- South to the central gulf coast.

Breezy NNE winds are bringing an influx of cooler/drier air, with a mainly clear/sunny sky and pleasant afternoon in progress across the region. 18z temps range from the low to mid 80s over much of the area, with cooler lower 80s over Hampton Roads into northeast NC. Continued clear and a bit cooler tonight with lows in the upper 50s NW and low to mid 60s elsewhere.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
As of 200 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- A bit warmer each day (Sunday and Monday), but relatively comfortable humidity levels continue.

High pressure remains centered to the north of the local area Sunday, and slowly transitions offshore later Sunday into Sunday night. Resultant low-level winds transition from E-NE to E-SE through the day. Meanwhile, the upper ridge strengthens over the southeast CONUS, allowing for PW and dewpoints to slowly increase tomorrow afternoon and night. Given this timing, expect apparent temperatures (heat index values) to remain similar to air temperatures. Highs Sunday increase slightly as thicknesses climb, ranging generally in the mid to upper 80s inland with low to mid 80s for areas closer to the coast. Milder and slightly more humid Sunday night with low temps in the low to mid 60s.

Upper ridge continues to build on Monday with highs again rising slightly into the upper 80s to low 90s. Onshore wind component (SE) will again keep areas near the coast a few degrees cooler, generally in the mid to upper 80s. Lows Monday night in the mid to upper 60s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 205 PM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- Very warm and dry weather likely persists for the mid week period through next weekend.

Medium range period looking to be characterized by an extended period of very warm (but not quite hot) and mainly dry conditions. The anomalously strong upper heat ridge continues to build as it drifts north along the eastern seaboard. This sets up an atypical temperature pattern through midweek with warmer highs to the north, as E-SE winds keep coastal areas into the Hampton Roads/N OBX area slightly cooler. H5 heights rise to ~596-598 dam Tue-Wed. A mostly sunny sky will result in highs in the low to mid 90s Tuesday afternoon as the core of the upper ridge begins to lift just north of the area.

EPS/GEFS guidance does (very) slowly break down the heat ridge for the mid to late week period, as an inverted upper trough pushes ashore along the deep south from the western Atlantic, undercutting the core of the heat ridge aloft to our north.
This will result in a continued very warm/dry late week period.
High temps hold in the low/mid 90s through the week, with Tuesday looking like the warmest day of the first half of the week. However, as surface dew points are forecast to remain in the 60s, we don't appear likely to threaten any Heat Headline thresholds through the middle of the week ahead.

The hottest part of the week at this time actually looks to be Friday into next weekend, as high pressure slides offshore of the mid-Atlantic coast into the western Atlantic. A more typical summertime Bermuda Ridge pattern then allows heat to build Friday and Saturday. EPS/GEFS probs and thickness schemes from both the ECMWF and GFS favoring more widespread mid to upper 90s and Max Heat Indices creeping into the upper 90s to low 100s. Overnight lows stay in the 60s for most of the week but could approach 70 degrees heading into next weekend as low level moisture increases. A low chance for thunderstorms may be feasible by next weekend, as a weak lee trough sets up Sat/Sun.

AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 205 PM EDT Saturday...

VFR conditions prevail through the 18z TAF period. Winds are N 5-10 kt with some gusts to ~15-20 kt near the coast. Winds become light/variable tonight, while dry/SKC conditions persist as high pressure builds NW of the region.

Outlook: Winds will average 10 kt or less with dry/VFR conditions and a mostly clear sky Sunday into early next week as high pressure gradually shifts off the coast.

MARINE
As of 1045 AM EDT Saturday...

Key Messages:

- A cold front will cross the waters this morning. Northerly winds behind the front are expected to gust to around 20 kt, with a 2-3 hour period of 20-25 kt gusts expected on the bay from this morning through midday.

- Sub-advisory conditions are expected through the remainder of the weekend into early next week.

A Moderate Rip Current Risk Remains in place this afternoon for our southern beaches from Virginia Beach to the northern Outer Banks of Currituck, NC.

A cold front has pushed offshore of the local waters late this morning. Winds have turned to the north behind the front. There will be a brief surge behind this front with the strongest of the winds to continue through early afternoon, with gusts to around 20 kt for the next few hours over most of the waters. On the bay, where water temps have warmed into the mid- upper 70s, a brief period of 20-25 kt gusts is possible with the weak cool/dry advection following the FROPA this morning. The latest guidance has trended upward with wind speeds, and local wind probabilities for sustained 18 kt winds have increased to 45-60% on parts of the bay for a few hours (mainly between 7-11 AM).
As such, have issued SCAs for the bay until 17z/1 PM to account for this. Winds gradually diminish and become NE this afternoon through tonight, with speeds decreasing to 5-10 kt by midnight.

Sub-SCA conditions are expected on Sunday with E winds around 10 kt as high pressure builds southward into the Mid-Atlantic states.
Winds become SE and increase to near 15 kt (w/ 15-20 kt gusts possible) by Sunday evening as the high begins to shift offshore.
Winds are expected to be S-SE at 10-15 kt on Monday and Tuesday as the high shifts offshore. A few gusts to 20 kt are possible during the evening on each day.

Seas generally 2-3 ft over the ocean with 1-3 ft waves on the bay through the period, although seas will briefly build to 4 ft by late morning behind the cold front. Can't completely rule out brief 5 ft seas offshore of the NE NC coast today.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ630>632-634.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 11 mi67 minN 16G19 30.05
CHBV2 20 mi67 minN 15G17 29.99
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 21 mi59 min 74°F3 ft
44064 22 mi55 minNNW 12G18 74°F 75°F2 ft
44087 23 mi59 min 76°F2 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 23 mi67 minNNW 13G16 30.03
44072 25 mi55 minNNE 16G21 75°F 1 ft
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 25 mi67 minNNW 16G17 30.07
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 27 mi67 minESE 7G8.9 30.01
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 32 mi67 minENE 14G17 30.02
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 34 mi55 minNNE 14G16 76°F 78°F1 ft
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 34 mi67 min 30.05
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 36 mi67 minNE 8.9G11 30.02
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 37 mi67 minNE 13G16 30.02
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 38 mi67 minENE 6G13 30.02
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 41 mi67 minNNE 6G12 30.02
44089 45 mi59 min 71°F3 ft


Wind History for Kiptopeke, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KMFV30 sm30 minNW 0810 smClear30.02
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Wind History graph: MFV
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Tide / Current for Ship Shoal Inlet, Virginia
   
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Ship Shoal Inlet
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Sat -- 01:43 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:25 AM EDT     3.56 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:47 AM EDT     0.75 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:23 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:14 PM EDT     3.89 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:23 PM EDT     1.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Ship Shoal Inlet, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
2.2
1
am
2.8
2
am
3.3
3
am
3.5
4
am
3.5
5
am
3
6
am
2.4
7
am
1.7
8
am
1.2
9
am
0.9
10
am
0.8
11
am
1
12
pm
1.7
1
pm
2.4
2
pm
3.1
3
pm
3.6
4
pm
3.9
5
pm
3.7
6
pm
3.2
7
pm
2.6
8
pm
2
9
pm
1.4
10
pm
1.1
11
pm
1.2


Tide / Current for Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current
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Chesapeake Bay Entrance
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Sat -- 01:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:34 AM EDT     0.37 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:16 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 10:18 AM EDT     -0.97 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 01:59 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:47 PM EDT     0.57 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 07:50 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:11 PM EDT     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Chesapeake Bay Entrance, Virginia Current, knots
12
am
-0.4
1
am
-0.1
2
am
0.2
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.4
5
am
0.3
6
am
0.1
7
am
-0.2
8
am
-0.6
9
am
-0.8
10
am
-1
11
am
-0.9
12
pm
-0.7
1
pm
-0.4
2
pm
0
3
pm
0.3
4
pm
0.5
5
pm
0.6
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.3
8
pm
-0.1
9
pm
-0.4
10
pm
-0.6
11
pm
-0.7


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic   
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Wakefield, VA,




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