York, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for York, VA

June 14, 2024 7:35 AM EDT (11:35 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:43 AM   Sunset 8:28 PM
Moonrise 12:29 PM   Moonset 12:25 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ632 Chesapeake Bay From New Point Comfort To Little Creek Va- 453 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024

Today - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se 5 to 10 kt late this morning and early afternoon, then increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Tonight - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight, then becoming N 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.

Sat - N winds 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Sat night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Sun - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Sun night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Tue - S winds 10 kt, becoming se with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Tue night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

ANZ600 453 Am Edt Fri Jun 14 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a cold front approaches from the north today. This cold front will cross the waters early Saturday morning, with high pressure building toward the area during the remainder of the weekend. This high will shift offshore early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Yorktown CDP, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 141052 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 652 AM EDT Fri Jun 14 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will be centered off the coast today, bringing a warmup to the region to end the week. A cold front pushes through tonight with a chance for a few showers and storms. Dry with seasonable temperatures over the weekend, followed by a hot and mainly dry pattern next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 650 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- Warm today with moderate humidity levels, a chance for storms this evening and tonight.

Surface analysis shows developing low pressure off the SC coast with another area of low pressure over eastern Canada. A front extends SW from this low into the Midwest states. Satellite imagery shows mostly clear skies across the area.

Upper ridge builds NE from the southern Plains toward the local area as the aforementioned cold front translates SE. Expect mostly sunny skies today with high temperatures in the low 90s inland with onshore flow keeping temps in the mid and upper 80s near the coast.
Dew points continue to be fairly low, mixing into the low-mid 60s, which will serve to keep the heat index from being much warmer than the actual air temp. Guidance is now in agreement that the coastal low pressure will remain safely south and east of the local area.
The cold front approaches late this afternoon and crosses the area this evening into the overnight hours. Hi-res guidance has trended toward less coverage of showers and storms with this feature but will maintain PoPs in the 20-50% range (highest N and NE) this evening. Any lingering showers/storms near the coast should move offshore after midnight. Overnight low temps range from the mid 60s to low 70s.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 300 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- Dry weather and cooler temperatures (seasonable) return for Saturday into Sunday.

Cooler on Saturday with pleasant humidity values behind the front.
Highs rise into the mid to upper 80s but dew points mix out into the 50s to low 60s during the afternoon. Mostly sunny skies will prevail with northerly winds continuing through the afternoon. Could be a bit breezy, especially near the coast. Continued dry and pleasant Saturday night with lows dropping into the upper 50s to low 60s.

Surface high pressure to the north will move offshore on Sunday as an upper ridge builds NE. High temps will be a degree or two above what we will see on Saturday with highs in the upper 80s inland with low to mid 80s near the coast. Dew points remain comfortable in the upper 50s to low 60s. Low temps Sunday night in the low/mid 60s inland with upper 60s likely for coastal locations.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 300 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- Hot and dry weather returns next week, likely persisting through the end of the forecast period.

Models continue to depict the upper level ridge building across the eastern 1/3 of the CONUS next week. Global models have come into decent agreement showing the center of the upper ridge orienting just N and NW of the local area. The ECMWF continues to be the most bullish with upper heights but the GFS/GEM and their ensembles generally agree that a period of hot temperatures will occur across the area next week. With the core of the upper ridge displaced to the N, will maintain some degree of onshore flow across the area.
Highs should be into the low-mid 90s well inland, but will tend to stay in the upper 80s to lower 90s closer to the coast. The continental origin of the ridge will likely mitigate heat indices. The current forecast has heat indices through midweek right around the actual air temperatures, generally in the low to mid 90s. An inverted upper trough moves eastward to the south of the upper ridge mid to late week which may allow a few showers and storms to form over the southern CWA Overnight lows slowly creep up through the week and range from the upper 60s to lower 70s.

AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 650 AM EDT Friday...

VFR prevails today ahead of a cold frontal passage tonight.
Satellite and surface observations show mostly clear skies across the region with some SCT/BKN CIGs around 5kft noted NW of SBY. Winds are generally from the S at 5-10 kt, becoming SW inland and SE along the coast by mid morning. A weak front drops southward late in the period with recent guidance showing only weakening showers/storms affecting the northern terminals.
Included VCSH at SBY where confidence is highest. MVFR CIGs are forecast late tonight at SBY with VFR prevailing elsewhere outside of isolated shower/storm influences.

Outlook: Winds shift around to the N-NE Saturday morning and will likely be a bit elevated along the coast into the aftn (gusting to around 20 kt) as high pressure builds in from the N.
After that, winds will average 10 kt or less with VFR conditions and mostly clear skies into early next week as high pressure gradually shifts off the coast.

MARINE
As of 300 AM EDT Friday...

Key Messages:

- Southerly winds turn northerly early Saturday morning behind a cold front. Northerly winds are expected to gust to around 20 kt for a few hours Saturday morning.

- Sub-advisory conditions are expected through the remainder of the weekend into early next week.

Southerly winds have diminished to 10-15 kt and will remain in that range today as a cold front slowly approaches from the north and low pressure tracks well offshore. Could see the S-SE winds occasionally gust to 20 kt for a few hours this aftn/evening on the bay. The aforementioned cold front is progged to cross the waters early Saturday morning, allowing winds to turn northerly. There will be a weak surge behind this front (peak winds are expected to occur between 6-11 AM with gusts to 20 kt likely for a few hours), but not confident enough in frequent 20-25 kt gusts on the bay to issue a 3rd period SCA given the marginal nature/short duration of the potential event. Local wind probabilities of sustained 18 kt winds are 25-40% on the bay for a 2-4 hour period Saturday morning. Sub- SCA conditions are expected Sat aftn-Sun with NE to E winds around 10 kt as high pressure builds toward the waters. The high will shift offshore by Monday, allowing winds to become S-SE at ~15 kt for the early part of next week.

Seas generally 2-3 ft over the ocean with 1-3 ft waves on the bay through the period, although seas will briefly build to 4 ft by mid to late Saturday morning behind the cold front.

Will continue with a moderate risk of rip currents for the northern beaches today, with a moderate risk of rip currents for all of the beaches on Saturday. Surf height during these periods of moderate rip current risk will reach 3 feet.

CLIMATE
Record highs are not expected Friday, but are listed below for reference as RIC could be close:

- RIC: 99 (1926)
- ORF: 97 (1945)
- SBY: 97 (1945)
- ECG: 98 (1944)

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 1 mi48 minS 6G8 72°F 76°F29.95
44072 13 mi30 minSSW 9.7G12 73°F 1 ft
44041 - Jamestown, VA 15 mi30 minS 5.8G7.8 71°F 80°F
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 17 mi66 min0 67°F 29.9564°F
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 19 mi48 minS 5.1G6 72°F 29.96
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 20 mi48 minSSW 5.1G6 72°F 29.95
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 22 mi48 min 76°F29.98
44087 23 mi40 min 75°F1 ft
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 25 mi48 minS 4.1G5.1 73°F 29.96
CHBV2 26 mi48 minS 7G8.9 73°F 29.93
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 27 mi30 minSSW 7.8G12 73°F 76°F1 ft
44064 27 mi30 minSSE 5.8G7.8 72°F 74°F1 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 28 mi48 minS 7G8 72°F 75°F29.98
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 33 mi48 minSE 2.9G5.1 70°F 78°F29.95
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 33 mi48 minS 13G15 29.99
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 34 mi48 minS 4.1G6 71°F 29.96
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 47 mi40 min 73°F2 ft


Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: PHF
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Tide / Current for Yorktown, York River, Virginia
   
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Yorktown
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 03:43 AM EDT     2.06 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:56 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:22 PM EDT     2.22 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:37 PM EDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Yorktown, York River, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
1.1
1
am
1.4
2
am
1.8
3
am
2
4
am
2.1
5
am
1.9
6
am
1.6
7
am
1.2
8
am
0.8
9
am
0.5
10
am
0.4
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
1.3
2
pm
1.7
3
pm
2
4
pm
2.2
5
pm
2.2
6
pm
2
7
pm
1.6
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
0.9
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.6


Tide / Current for Penniman Spit, York River, Virginia
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Penniman Spit
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Fri -- 01:19 AM EDT     First Quarter
Fri -- 01:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:14 AM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:34 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:52 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:15 PM EDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Penniman Spit, York River, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
1.3
2
am
1.7
3
am
2
4
am
2.1
5
am
2.1
6
am
1.8
7
am
1.5
8
am
1.1
9
am
0.7
10
am
0.5
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.7
1
pm
1
2
pm
1.5
3
pm
1.9
4
pm
2.2
5
pm
2.3
6
pm
2.2
7
pm
1.9
8
pm
1.5
9
pm
1.1
10
pm
0.8
11
pm
0.6


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Wakefield, VA,




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