Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hopewell, VA
February 19, 2025 4:31 AM EST (09:31 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 6:51 AM Sunset 5:54 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 10:01 AM |
ANZ637 James River From Jamestown To The James River Bridge- 349 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2025
.small craft advisory in effect from Thursday afternoon through Friday afternoon - .
Through 7 am - NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Today - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of snow late in the morning. Snow in the afternoon with vsby 1 nm or less.
Tonight - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Snow, mainly in the evening. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Thu - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of snow.
Thu night - NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft, diminishing to 1 to 2 ft after midnight.
Fri - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
Sat - NW winds 5 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop, increasing to around 1 foot in the afternoon.
Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
Sun - W winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop.
Sun night - S winds 5 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop.
ANZ600 349 Am Est Wed Feb 19 2025
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a coastal low impacts the waters today and Thursday, with elevated winds and seas expected through Friday. High pressure builds across the waters for the weekend.
a coastal low impacts the waters today and Thursday, with elevated winds and seas expected through Friday. High pressure builds across the waters for the weekend.

NEW! Add second zone forecast
City Point (Hopewell) Click for Map Wed -- 01:29 AM EST 0.10 feet Low Tide Wed -- 06:52 AM EST Sunrise Wed -- 07:46 AM EST 2.59 feet High Tide Wed -- 10:01 AM EST Moonset Wed -- 02:31 PM EST 0.26 feet Low Tide Wed -- 05:53 PM EST Sunset Wed -- 08:30 PM EST 2.21 feet High Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
City Point (Hopewell), James River, Virginia, Tide feet
12 am |
0.4 |
1 am |
0.1 |
2 am |
0.1 |
3 am |
0.4 |
4 am |
0.9 |
5 am |
1.6 |
6 am |
2.2 |
7 am |
2.5 |
8 am |
2.6 |
9 am |
2.4 |
10 am |
1.9 |
11 am |
1.4 |
12 pm |
0.9 |
1 pm |
0.5 |
2 pm |
0.3 |
3 pm |
0.3 |
4 pm |
0.5 |
5 pm |
1 |
6 pm |
1.6 |
7 pm |
2 |
8 pm |
2.2 |
9 pm |
2.2 |
10 pm |
1.9 |
11 pm |
1.4 |
Curles Click for Map Wed -- 02:15 AM EST 0.11 feet Low Tide Wed -- 06:53 AM EST Sunrise Wed -- 08:16 AM EST 2.78 feet High Tide Wed -- 10:01 AM EST Moonset Wed -- 03:17 PM EST 0.28 feet Low Tide Wed -- 05:53 PM EST Sunset Wed -- 09:00 PM EST 2.37 feet High Tide Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION |   |
Curles, 1 mile north of, James River, Virginia, Tide feet
12 am |
0.8 |
1 am |
0.3 |
2 am |
0.1 |
3 am |
0.2 |
4 am |
0.5 |
5 am |
1.2 |
6 am |
2 |
7 am |
2.6 |
8 am |
2.8 |
9 am |
2.7 |
10 am |
2.4 |
11 am |
1.9 |
12 pm |
1.3 |
1 pm |
0.8 |
2 pm |
0.4 |
3 pm |
0.3 |
4 pm |
0.3 |
5 pm |
0.7 |
6 pm |
1.3 |
7 pm |
1.9 |
8 pm |
2.3 |
9 pm |
2.4 |
10 pm |
2.2 |
11 pm |
1.8 |
Area Discussion for Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 190808 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 308 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
SYNOPSIS
A significant winter storm will impact the area today through Thursday. Dry but very cold weather is expected Thursday night.
Temperatures will moderate through the weekend, while dry conditions prevail.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 305 AM EST Wednesday...
Key Messages:
- A significant winter storm will impact southeast portions of the area today into Thursday. 5-10" of snow is expected across southeast Virginia and northeast North Carolina, with 2-6" expected farther inland.
- Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for a majority of the forecast area, with Winter Weather Advisories in effect for the northernmost counties including Dorchester.
Arctic high pressure is centered over the northern plains early this morning, with sfc ridging extending ESE into the northern Mid- Atlantic. A northern stream shortwave over KY continues to track east toward the area, while a southern stream shortwave is tracking ENE across the Deep South. Temps have fallen into the mid 20s-lower 30s (with some mid 30s in coastal SE VA/NE NC) with the Arctic high providing a supply of cold/dry air with NE winds. Clouds are quickly increasing across the area due to mid-level WAA/isentropic ascent.
In fact, radar mosaic shows some light echoes across the Piedmont, but none of this is reaching the ground yet. As isentropic ascent overspreads the area this morning ahead of that northern stream shortwave, steady light snow (rates of 0.1-0.5"/hour) will overspread the central third to half of the area (with the band of snow likely centered along the I-64 Corridor). Temps will be in the mid 20s at the onset of the snow, so it will immediately start accumulating on area roadways. With the snow arriving in the RIC Metro as early as 7 AM, the morning commute could be impacted. By midday, 1-2" of snow is possible from the Piedmont to RIC Metro.
Mostly dry wx is expected through much of the morning near the coast and across SE VA/NE NC.
As the southern stream shortwave tracks across the Carolinas later today, low pressure will begin deepening off the Carolina coast. As this happens, snow (possibly mixed w/ sleet near the Albemarle Sound) will quickly overspread SE VA and NE NC with steady light snow continuing inland. Expect conditions across SE VA and NE NC to deteriorate rapidly during the aftn as a zone of strong 850-700mb frontogenesis sets up which will lead to snowfall rates as high as 1- 2"/hour from mid afternoon through part of tonight. The steady snow ends from NW-SE across the Piedmont/RIC Metro between 5 and 11 PM as energy from the northern stream shortwave transfers to the southern stream one. Confidence in 5-10" snowfall totals in the SE forecast area continues to be high, but the trend in the 00z guidance has been to lower snow totals west of I-95. The NAM (and other hi-res models) have backed off quite a bit from yesterday's 12z runs to the most recent 00z runs. Not sure our Piedmont counties will reach the 4" threshold for a warning, but will keep 3-4" in the forecast from Cumberland County south to Mecklenburg/Brunswick. The moderate to heavy snow will finally come to an end near the coast early Thursday AM.
Thursday morning will provide another burst of snow on the back end of the system as a strong mid/upper low dives southeastward across the Mid-Atlantic. While the upper levels will have started to dry out, moisture will remain in place within the snow growth zone (around 700mb) through midday-early aftn. Temperatures will be in the 20s across all of the forecast area, so snow ratios will be quite high, leading to a light and fluffy snow. A quick 0.5-1.0" (perhaps a little more in spots) is possible during this time. Winds will increase (especially near the coast) during the day on Thursday. Gusts to 30 mph will be common, which will likely lead to blowing/drifting snow...especially since the last round of snow will be light and easily moved around. Have maintained mention of blowing snow in the coastal areas and Eastern Shore through Thursday evening.
Snow Totals...
The forecast has remained roughly the same near the coast and across the RIC Metro since yesterday's update...but has been lowered west of I-95. SE VA and NE NC along with the VA portion of the Eastern Shore still remain the target of the highest snow totals, where 5- 10" are expected, with locally higher amounts possible. Still think the RIC Metro and especially Tri-Cities see 4-6". Will continue the Winter Weather Advisories from Louisa to Cambridge, with snow totals between 2-3" possible in these areas. Will keep the rest of the MD Eastern Shore in the 3-5" range with a warning. Light ice accumulations are forecast for a small portion of NE NC near the Albemarle Sound.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
As of 305 AM EST Wednesday...
Key Messages:
- Very cold weather is expected Thursday night, with single digit wind chills forecast for the majority of the area.
- Temperatures begin to moderate on Friday with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Very cold temperatures are expected Thursday night, with lows plummeting into the teens to lower 20s. These frigid lows, combined with the elevated winds, will likely lead to single digit wind chills. Cold Weather Advisories may be required for a significant portion of the local area. As the low moves further offshore Thursday night into Friday, the gradient will begin to relax. The aforementioned high will gradually shift eastward and finally settle across our area on Friday night into early Saturday.
With high pressure and dry air dominating the region Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning, no precipitation is expected during this time. Temperatures will slowly start to moderate somewhat beginning Friday and highs will peak in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Low temperatures Friday night will drop back into the teens to lower 20s, with radiational cooling expected as winds slacken further and cloud coverage remains minimal.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 305 PM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Gradual warming trend as high pressure builds in, with a few weak systems that could bring light showers next week.
High pressure will continue to dominate the area Saturday with a coastal low forming in the SE and then pushing offshore by Monday.
This low pressure will be weak and likely not bring any precip to the area. The next low pressure that may affect the area Tuesday/Wednesday appears to be a weak disturbance as well.
Currently have only slight chc for light showers in the northern tier of counties on Tuesday night/Wednesday.
Temperatures will slowly rise this weekend into mid next week.
Friday lows will be cold in the mid teens with Saturday warming up to the lower 40s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s Saturday night and Sunday night, with highs Sunday in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Temperatures then become more moderate to start off the week with highs in the mid 50s on Monday and upper 50s to lower 60s on Tuesday. Overnight lows will then reach above freezing Monday and Tuesday night.
AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 1230 AM EST Wednesday...
VFR at all terminals to start the 06z/19 TAF period. Winds are currently NNE 5-10 kt at RIC, ORF, and PHF, with calm winds at ECG and gusts up to 20 kt at SBY. CIGs will start to decrease in the next six hours, but will remain VFR. A low pressure system will move just south of the area bringing snow to all major terminals. Snow will impact RIC first around 12z dropping flight categories to MFR.
Heavy snow is expected to begin around 15-19z for all major terminals, with the further west seeing impacts first. Expect VIS and CIGs to quickly drop to IFR with the heavy snow. Sites in the SE (ORF, PHF, and ECG) may be heavy at times with VIS dropping to 1/4SM or less at times, especially after 18z. Snow will continue through the period. Winds will remain from the NE around 5-10 kt, with ORF gusting to 20 kt after ~23z/19.
Outlook: Degraded flight conditions will continue through Thursday afternoon. Behind the low pressure system, high pressure will move into the area with VFR conditions returning Thursday night through Saturday.
MARINE
As of 335 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Small Craft Advisory conditions expected for most of the local waters through Friday.
- A period of Gale conditions are likely across the Chesapeake Bay and coastal waters Thursday night and Friday morning and Gale Warnings have been issued.
- Quieter marine conditions expected this weekend into early next week.
High pressure continues to ridge southeastward into the local area this morning in advance of developing low pressure to our S. A push of cooler air has led to elevated northerly winds across the waters this morning and winds have increased to 15-25 kt on the Chesapeake Bay and 15-20 kt on the coastal waters. These winds are expected to last through mid-morning and Small Craft Advisories are in effect.
Quickly after these winds diminish, low pressure is expected to take shape along a coastal trough offshore of NC/SC. As the low lifts NE later today into tonight, a tightening pressure gradient is expected to another period of elevated winds, first across the southern coastal waters and lower Chesapeake Bay this evening, followed by areas to the N tonight and early Thursday morning. Small Craft Advisories have been raised and/or extended through most of Thursday to account for this. Note the SCA only goes through 15z/10 AM this morning for the upper bay and lower James given a pronounced sub-SCA lull in winds is expected this afternoon. Once this SCA drops off, additional SCAs will be needed to cover the Wed night and Thu period. There will also be moderate to heavy snow across the waters today through Thursday morning, with significantly reduced visibilities in snow. Small craft conditions continue through most of Thursday with NW winds 15-25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. A pronounced push of CAA then arrives Thursday evening, lasting into the morning hours of Friday. Gale conditions are likely for most of the waters with NW 20-30 kt sustained winds and gusts to 35-40 kt. Have upgraded Gale Watches to warnings for all of the Chesapeake Bay zones and coastal waters N of the NC/VA border. Guidance and probabilities are less enthusiastic S of the NC/VA border so will maintain the Gale Watch there. Gale Warnings/Watches are in effect through 15z Friday. Lastly, the upper rivers and Currituck Sound will likely fall shy of gales and have SCAs here instead. SCA conditions linger through most of Friday after the Gales drop off as NW winds gradually decrease.
Quieter/benign marine conditions prevail for the weekend as expansive high pressure dominates the local water pattern.
Waves and seas of 2-4 ft are expected this morning with the push of northerly winds. Seas then build quickly to 4-7 ft tonight and Thursday morning as the low lifts NE, first across the srn waters this evening and then toward the northern waters Thursday morning.
Seas remain elevated at 4-7 ft through the strong CAA push Thursday night-Friday morning. Waves in the bay are also expected to build to 3-5 ft, with 2-4 ft in the rivers and Currituck Sound. Waves/seas slowly diminish through Friday and especially the weekend.
HYDROLOGY
As of 615 AM EST Tuesday...
River Flood Warnings remain in effect for the James River at Cartersville, Richmond-Westham, and the Richmond Locks, and also for the Appomattox River at Farmville, Mattoax, and Matoaca. Warnings also continue for the Meherrin River near Lawrenceville and the Nottoway River near Rawlings/Stony Creek/Sebrell. These points will see minor to moderate flooding, which will likely continue for the next couple of days. See water.noaa.gov/wfo/akq for the latest site-specific information.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM EST Thursday for MDZ021.
Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM EST Thursday for MDZ022>025.
NC...Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM EST Thursday for NCZ012>017-030>032-102.
VA...Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM EST Thursday for VAZ075>078-084>090-092-093-095>100-521>525.
Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for VAZ048-064- 509>511.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM EST Thursday for VAZ060>062- 065>069-079>083-512>520.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for ANZ630- 631-638.
Gale Warning from 4 PM Thursday to 10 AM EST Friday for ANZ630>632-634-650-652-654-656.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ632-634- 656-658.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Thursday to 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ635>637.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ650- 652.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ654.
Gale Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning for ANZ658.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 308 AM EST Wed Feb 19 2025
SYNOPSIS
A significant winter storm will impact the area today through Thursday. Dry but very cold weather is expected Thursday night.
Temperatures will moderate through the weekend, while dry conditions prevail.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 305 AM EST Wednesday...
Key Messages:
- A significant winter storm will impact southeast portions of the area today into Thursday. 5-10" of snow is expected across southeast Virginia and northeast North Carolina, with 2-6" expected farther inland.
- Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for a majority of the forecast area, with Winter Weather Advisories in effect for the northernmost counties including Dorchester.
Arctic high pressure is centered over the northern plains early this morning, with sfc ridging extending ESE into the northern Mid- Atlantic. A northern stream shortwave over KY continues to track east toward the area, while a southern stream shortwave is tracking ENE across the Deep South. Temps have fallen into the mid 20s-lower 30s (with some mid 30s in coastal SE VA/NE NC) with the Arctic high providing a supply of cold/dry air with NE winds. Clouds are quickly increasing across the area due to mid-level WAA/isentropic ascent.
In fact, radar mosaic shows some light echoes across the Piedmont, but none of this is reaching the ground yet. As isentropic ascent overspreads the area this morning ahead of that northern stream shortwave, steady light snow (rates of 0.1-0.5"/hour) will overspread the central third to half of the area (with the band of snow likely centered along the I-64 Corridor). Temps will be in the mid 20s at the onset of the snow, so it will immediately start accumulating on area roadways. With the snow arriving in the RIC Metro as early as 7 AM, the morning commute could be impacted. By midday, 1-2" of snow is possible from the Piedmont to RIC Metro.
Mostly dry wx is expected through much of the morning near the coast and across SE VA/NE NC.
As the southern stream shortwave tracks across the Carolinas later today, low pressure will begin deepening off the Carolina coast. As this happens, snow (possibly mixed w/ sleet near the Albemarle Sound) will quickly overspread SE VA and NE NC with steady light snow continuing inland. Expect conditions across SE VA and NE NC to deteriorate rapidly during the aftn as a zone of strong 850-700mb frontogenesis sets up which will lead to snowfall rates as high as 1- 2"/hour from mid afternoon through part of tonight. The steady snow ends from NW-SE across the Piedmont/RIC Metro between 5 and 11 PM as energy from the northern stream shortwave transfers to the southern stream one. Confidence in 5-10" snowfall totals in the SE forecast area continues to be high, but the trend in the 00z guidance has been to lower snow totals west of I-95. The NAM (and other hi-res models) have backed off quite a bit from yesterday's 12z runs to the most recent 00z runs. Not sure our Piedmont counties will reach the 4" threshold for a warning, but will keep 3-4" in the forecast from Cumberland County south to Mecklenburg/Brunswick. The moderate to heavy snow will finally come to an end near the coast early Thursday AM.
Thursday morning will provide another burst of snow on the back end of the system as a strong mid/upper low dives southeastward across the Mid-Atlantic. While the upper levels will have started to dry out, moisture will remain in place within the snow growth zone (around 700mb) through midday-early aftn. Temperatures will be in the 20s across all of the forecast area, so snow ratios will be quite high, leading to a light and fluffy snow. A quick 0.5-1.0" (perhaps a little more in spots) is possible during this time. Winds will increase (especially near the coast) during the day on Thursday. Gusts to 30 mph will be common, which will likely lead to blowing/drifting snow...especially since the last round of snow will be light and easily moved around. Have maintained mention of blowing snow in the coastal areas and Eastern Shore through Thursday evening.
Snow Totals...
The forecast has remained roughly the same near the coast and across the RIC Metro since yesterday's update...but has been lowered west of I-95. SE VA and NE NC along with the VA portion of the Eastern Shore still remain the target of the highest snow totals, where 5- 10" are expected, with locally higher amounts possible. Still think the RIC Metro and especially Tri-Cities see 4-6". Will continue the Winter Weather Advisories from Louisa to Cambridge, with snow totals between 2-3" possible in these areas. Will keep the rest of the MD Eastern Shore in the 3-5" range with a warning. Light ice accumulations are forecast for a small portion of NE NC near the Albemarle Sound.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
As of 305 AM EST Wednesday...
Key Messages:
- Very cold weather is expected Thursday night, with single digit wind chills forecast for the majority of the area.
- Temperatures begin to moderate on Friday with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Very cold temperatures are expected Thursday night, with lows plummeting into the teens to lower 20s. These frigid lows, combined with the elevated winds, will likely lead to single digit wind chills. Cold Weather Advisories may be required for a significant portion of the local area. As the low moves further offshore Thursday night into Friday, the gradient will begin to relax. The aforementioned high will gradually shift eastward and finally settle across our area on Friday night into early Saturday.
With high pressure and dry air dominating the region Thursday afternoon through Saturday morning, no precipitation is expected during this time. Temperatures will slowly start to moderate somewhat beginning Friday and highs will peak in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Low temperatures Friday night will drop back into the teens to lower 20s, with radiational cooling expected as winds slacken further and cloud coverage remains minimal.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 305 PM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Gradual warming trend as high pressure builds in, with a few weak systems that could bring light showers next week.
High pressure will continue to dominate the area Saturday with a coastal low forming in the SE and then pushing offshore by Monday.
This low pressure will be weak and likely not bring any precip to the area. The next low pressure that may affect the area Tuesday/Wednesday appears to be a weak disturbance as well.
Currently have only slight chc for light showers in the northern tier of counties on Tuesday night/Wednesday.
Temperatures will slowly rise this weekend into mid next week.
Friday lows will be cold in the mid teens with Saturday warming up to the lower 40s. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s Saturday night and Sunday night, with highs Sunday in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Temperatures then become more moderate to start off the week with highs in the mid 50s on Monday and upper 50s to lower 60s on Tuesday. Overnight lows will then reach above freezing Monday and Tuesday night.
AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 1230 AM EST Wednesday...
VFR at all terminals to start the 06z/19 TAF period. Winds are currently NNE 5-10 kt at RIC, ORF, and PHF, with calm winds at ECG and gusts up to 20 kt at SBY. CIGs will start to decrease in the next six hours, but will remain VFR. A low pressure system will move just south of the area bringing snow to all major terminals. Snow will impact RIC first around 12z dropping flight categories to MFR.
Heavy snow is expected to begin around 15-19z for all major terminals, with the further west seeing impacts first. Expect VIS and CIGs to quickly drop to IFR with the heavy snow. Sites in the SE (ORF, PHF, and ECG) may be heavy at times with VIS dropping to 1/4SM or less at times, especially after 18z. Snow will continue through the period. Winds will remain from the NE around 5-10 kt, with ORF gusting to 20 kt after ~23z/19.
Outlook: Degraded flight conditions will continue through Thursday afternoon. Behind the low pressure system, high pressure will move into the area with VFR conditions returning Thursday night through Saturday.
MARINE
As of 335 AM EST Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Small Craft Advisory conditions expected for most of the local waters through Friday.
- A period of Gale conditions are likely across the Chesapeake Bay and coastal waters Thursday night and Friday morning and Gale Warnings have been issued.
- Quieter marine conditions expected this weekend into early next week.
High pressure continues to ridge southeastward into the local area this morning in advance of developing low pressure to our S. A push of cooler air has led to elevated northerly winds across the waters this morning and winds have increased to 15-25 kt on the Chesapeake Bay and 15-20 kt on the coastal waters. These winds are expected to last through mid-morning and Small Craft Advisories are in effect.
Quickly after these winds diminish, low pressure is expected to take shape along a coastal trough offshore of NC/SC. As the low lifts NE later today into tonight, a tightening pressure gradient is expected to another period of elevated winds, first across the southern coastal waters and lower Chesapeake Bay this evening, followed by areas to the N tonight and early Thursday morning. Small Craft Advisories have been raised and/or extended through most of Thursday to account for this. Note the SCA only goes through 15z/10 AM this morning for the upper bay and lower James given a pronounced sub-SCA lull in winds is expected this afternoon. Once this SCA drops off, additional SCAs will be needed to cover the Wed night and Thu period. There will also be moderate to heavy snow across the waters today through Thursday morning, with significantly reduced visibilities in snow. Small craft conditions continue through most of Thursday with NW winds 15-25 kt with gusts to 30 kt. A pronounced push of CAA then arrives Thursday evening, lasting into the morning hours of Friday. Gale conditions are likely for most of the waters with NW 20-30 kt sustained winds and gusts to 35-40 kt. Have upgraded Gale Watches to warnings for all of the Chesapeake Bay zones and coastal waters N of the NC/VA border. Guidance and probabilities are less enthusiastic S of the NC/VA border so will maintain the Gale Watch there. Gale Warnings/Watches are in effect through 15z Friday. Lastly, the upper rivers and Currituck Sound will likely fall shy of gales and have SCAs here instead. SCA conditions linger through most of Friday after the Gales drop off as NW winds gradually decrease.
Quieter/benign marine conditions prevail for the weekend as expansive high pressure dominates the local water pattern.
Waves and seas of 2-4 ft are expected this morning with the push of northerly winds. Seas then build quickly to 4-7 ft tonight and Thursday morning as the low lifts NE, first across the srn waters this evening and then toward the northern waters Thursday morning.
Seas remain elevated at 4-7 ft through the strong CAA push Thursday night-Friday morning. Waves in the bay are also expected to build to 3-5 ft, with 2-4 ft in the rivers and Currituck Sound. Waves/seas slowly diminish through Friday and especially the weekend.
HYDROLOGY
As of 615 AM EST Tuesday...
River Flood Warnings remain in effect for the James River at Cartersville, Richmond-Westham, and the Richmond Locks, and also for the Appomattox River at Farmville, Mattoax, and Matoaca. Warnings also continue for the Meherrin River near Lawrenceville and the Nottoway River near Rawlings/Stony Creek/Sebrell. These points will see minor to moderate flooding, which will likely continue for the next couple of days. See water.noaa.gov/wfo/akq for the latest site-specific information.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...Winter Weather Advisory until 6 PM EST Thursday for MDZ021.
Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM EST Thursday for MDZ022>025.
NC...Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM EST Thursday for NCZ012>017-030>032-102.
VA...Winter Storm Warning from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM EST Thursday for VAZ075>078-084>090-092-093-095>100-521>525.
Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for VAZ048-064- 509>511.
Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM EST Thursday for VAZ060>062- 065>069-079>083-512>520.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for ANZ630- 631-638.
Gale Warning from 4 PM Thursday to 10 AM EST Friday for ANZ630>632-634-650-652-654-656.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ632-634- 656-658.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 PM Thursday to 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ635>637.
Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ650- 652.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Thursday for ANZ654.
Gale Watch from Thursday afternoon through Friday morning for ANZ658.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air | Water | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA | 30 mi | 61 min | N 7 | 27°F | 30.39 | 12°F | ||
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA | 42 mi | 43 min | N 15G | 42°F | 30.37 |
Wind History for Yorktown USCG Training Center, VA
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Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KRIC
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KRIC
Wind History Graph: RIC
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of east us
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Wakefield, VA,

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