Mathews, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mathews, VA

April 21, 2024 7:31 AM EDT (11:31 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:20 AM   Sunset 7:47 PM
Moonrise 4:48 PM   Moonset 4:17 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 656 Am Edt Sun Apr 21 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 10 am edt this morning - .

Today - NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt this afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain early this morning, then rain likely late this morning and afternoon.

Tonight - N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of rain early in the evening.

Mon - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.

Tue - S winds 5 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.

Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

Wed night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Thu - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.

Thu night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

ANZ600 656 Am Edt Sun Apr 21 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a secondary surge of cold advection drops south early this morning. Rain moves across the region through this afternoon, as low pressure tracks along a stalled frontal boundary offshore of the coastal carolinas. Transient high pressure then builds over the region tomorrow through midweek, before a mainly weak, dry cold front crosses the area late Wednesday into Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mathews, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 211113 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 713 AM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

SYNOPSIS
Low pressure will track east northeast off the southeast coast and out to sea today into Monday morning. High pressure will build over the area for later Monday through Tuesday morning, then slides off the coast by Tuesday evening. A cold front will swing across the region on Wednesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 410 AM EDT Sunday...

Early this morning, sfc low pressure was located along the SE coast. The latest radar showed sctd light radar echoes (very light sprinkles) moving ENE into Ncntrl/NE NC. Otherwise, the sky was partly cloudy to cloudy across the region with temps ranging through the 50s to near 60.

The low pressure system will track ENE and well out to sea today through tonight. Rain will quickly spread into and across just about all the CWA between 12z-18z, with the highest PoPs and best QPF expected over NE NC and SE VA. Have shifted the rain chances farther north into the CWA for this morning through this aftn, with Farmville-Richmond-Wallops Island line likely to receive .05-.10 inch of QPF from this system. Farther SE through NE NC will receive the higher QPF amounts, ranging from 0.20-.75 inch from NW to SE into NE NC for the entire event.

With dew pts quite low as the rain initiates (in the 30s N to the upper 40s S), this will make for a very chilly day where the rain becomes widespread, as a result of column cooling processes. PoPs will range from 60-90% over the S/SE, to 20-40% across the extrm nrn counties. As noted above, temps will be quite cool today, with highs from south central/SE VA and NE NC to avg in the lower to mid 50s, with mid to upper 50s to the N.

Rain will end from NW to SE from later this aftn into tonight, as the low moves farther out to sea. This will be followed by some clearing overnight into Mon morning. With dry air in the low levels overnight (dew pts falling into the lower 30s NW), expect lows to reach down into the mid 30s over the Piedmont, potentially close to freezing in the far NW in the coldest spots. Did not add patchy frost wording to the grids, but this may need to be addressed by the next shift.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
As of 410 AM EDT Sunday...

The models depict ~1025mb sfc high pressure centered from the Lower MS Valley to the lower OH Valley on Mon, ridging E into the local area. Aloft, a weak trough will be in place, but the sky should be sunny or mostly sunny across the local area (with a bit more cloud cover across the far SE). Highs on Mon will be warmer than today, but still 5-10F below avg for late April, ranging from the lower 60s near the coast, to the mid to upper 60s well inland. With low dew pts continuing and sfc high pressure becoming centered over the local area Mon night, expect a clear sky, light winds, and good radiational cooling conditions. Forecast lows are in the mid to upper 30s over much of the CWA, with lower to mid 40s near the coast. At least patchy frost will be possible over much of the CWA Turning warmer on the backside of the sfc high for Tue, with a light southerly flow by aftn. Mainly sunny with highs in the lower 70s inland, and in the mid to upper 60s at the coast. Increasing clouds Tue night in advance of another cold front. Lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 430 AM EDT Sunday...

The system/cold front on Wed will be northern stream, with low level flow turning westerly rather quickly. As such, moisture will be limited, and PoPs will only be 15-30% N and 15% or less over the S. Highs will be in the lower to mid 70s. Another fairly strong high pressure system is progged to build in from the Great Lakes Thu into Fri. Mostly sunny on Thu with highs ranging through the 60s. Clear or mostly clear Thu night with lows ranging from the mid 30s to mid 40s. The high will slide off to the NE or E during Fri. Partly to mostly sunny on Fri with highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Partly to mostly cloudy Fri night with lows in the upper 40s to lower 50s. There could be isolated showers across the N by Sat morning. There will be at least a low chc for showers on Sat, as the next system lifts ENE through the Great Lakes/upper midwest. PoPs are only 20-30% for now with highs Sat in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

AVIATION /11Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
As of 710 AM EDT Sunday...

Mainly VFR CIGs (isolated MVFR CIGs ) will prevail at the TAF sites through at least 12-13z this morning, with winds becoming N or NE and increasing. Rain chances increase quickly between 12z-15z this morning across southern VA and NE NC, becoming widespread by late this morning through this aftn at ECG/ORF, and likely PHF as well. There is a chance (40-60%) for rain at RIC, and a slightly lower chance (20-40%) for rain at SBY.
Expect flight restrictions to MVFR initially with a period of IFR CIGs likely at ECG/ORF/PHF from late this morning into this evening. RIC/SBY will mostly be VFR (maybe briefly MVFR) even if there is some light rain. Conditions will improve to VFR from NW to SE this evening into late tonight, as the rain and low pressure area push well ESE of the region.

Outlook: VFR conditions will prevail Mon-Tue, and probably for most of Wed as well.

MARINE
As of 700 AM EDT Sunday...

Latest analysis shows sfc cold front now stalled offshore of the coastal Carolinas, extending SW across the gulf coast. WV satellite imagery showing developing sfc low pressure developing offshore of Cape Fear, with this system expected to slowly lift NE along the NC coast today into this evening. Meanwhile, 1020+mb sfc high pressure continues to build to our W/NW early this morning. Aloft, flow is largely zonal early this morning, though a shortwave currently over the northern and central plains will carve out an east coast trough over the eastern third of the country later today through Monday night.

Tightening pressure gradient between developing low pressure to the south and high pressure to the west is resulting in a decent surge of cool air advection early this morning. Latest Obs showing NNW winds ~20-25 kt with gusts to 30 kt over the lower and middle bay. Have added SCA over coastal waters from Parramore Island southward, with SCA over the Bay and lower James River through late this morning north/early afternoon south.

Previously referenced low pressure moves off the Carolinas slides offshore of the NC coast this evening, with the front lingering offshore into midweek. This supports a persistent NE flow and building seas. Would not be surprised to eventually need another SCA over southern coastal waters south of the VA/NC border Monday afternoon and night, but with an SCA already in place, will keep seas ~ 4 ft for now. Conditions improve later Tue through midweek, as the low and frontal zone edge farther offshore and high pressure builds over the region ahead of another weaker frontal passage by mid-late week.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ630- 631.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ632- 638-654.
Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ633- 634.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ656.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ658.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
44072 10 mi31 min ENE 19G25 53°F 3 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 15 mi31 min E 18G23 54°F 60°F4 ft
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 15 mi43 min NE 21G24 56°F 61°F30.01
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 18 mi43 min NE 19G24 30.06
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 19 mi43 min E 14G24 53°F 58°F30.03
44087 23 mi35 min 59°F4 ft
CHBV2 24 mi43 min ENE 21G28 54°F 29.94
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 25 mi61 min NNE 1.9 55°F 30.0438°F
44064 26 mi31 min ENE 25G35 51°F 59°F6 ft
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 26 mi43 min ENE 23G26 54°F 30.00
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 28 mi43 min ENE 17G25 55°F 30.02
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 28 mi43 min 61°F30.03
44041 - Jamestown, VA 30 mi31 min ENE 7.8G9.7 54°F 65°F
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 32 mi43 min NE 28G31 53°F 30.01
CRYV2 - 8638595 - South Craney Island, VA 32 mi43 min ENE 18G25 55°F 29.99
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 35 mi43 min ENE 21G26 52°F 61°F30.02
MNPV2 - 8639348 - Money Point, VA 40 mi43 min NE 8G13 55°F 62°F29.99
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 41 mi35 min 56°F4 ft
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 46 mi43 min NE 11G15 53°F 63°F30.05
44042 - Potomac, MD 47 mi31 min NE 16G21 50°F 58°F


Wind History for York River East Rear Range Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KLFI LANGLEY AFB,VA 20 sm36 minE 1710 smOvercast55°F43°F62%30.01
KPHF NEWPORT NEWS/WILLIAMSBURG INTL,VA 20 sm37 minENE 16G2410 smOvercast54°F41°F62%30.02
KFAF FELKER AAF,VA 24 sm36 mincalm10 smOvercast55°F39°F54%30.00
Link to 5 minute data for KLFI


Wind History from LFI
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for New Point Comfort, Mobjack Bay, Virginia
   
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New Point Comfort
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Sun -- 02:25 AM EDT     0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:17 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:20 AM EDT     2.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:31 PM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:37 PM EDT     2.53 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

New Point Comfort, Mobjack Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.6
5
am
1.1
6
am
1.6
7
am
2
8
am
2.2
9
am
2.2
10
am
1.9
11
am
1.5
12
pm
1
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.3
4
pm
0.6
5
pm
1.1
6
pm
1.7
7
pm
2.2
8
pm
2.5
9
pm
2.5
10
pm
2.3
11
pm
1.8



Tide / Current for Browns Bay, Mobjack Bay, Virginia
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Browns Bay
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Sun -- 02:25 AM EDT     0.27 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:14 AM EDT     2.43 feet High Tide
Sun -- 02:31 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:31 PM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Browns Bay, Mobjack Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
1
1
am
0.5
2
am
0.3
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.7
5
am
1.2
6
am
1.8
7
am
2.2
8
am
2.4
9
am
2.4
10
am
2.1
11
am
1.6
12
pm
1.1
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.3
4
pm
0.6
5
pm
1.2
6
pm
1.8
7
pm
2.4
8
pm
2.7
9
pm
2.7
10
pm
2.4
11
pm
2




Weather Map
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Wakefield, VA,



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