Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mathews, VA
May 15, 2024 1:31 AM EDT (05:31 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:55 AM Sunset 8:08 PM Moonrise 11:45 AM Moonset 1:12 AM |
ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 1237 Am Edt Wed May 15 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon - .
Rest of tonight - SE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 3 ft. Showers.
Wed - E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt late in the morning, then becoming N in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely with a chance of drizzle in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wed night - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu - N winds 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Thu night - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Fri - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night - E winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. A chance of showers after midnight.
Sat - SE winds 10 kt. Waves 1 foot. Showers likely. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sat night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
ANZ600 1237 Am Edt Wed May 15 2024
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a low pressure system crosses the area early this morning, bringing the potential for a period of elevated southeast or east winds. Low pressure then lingers near the area into Thursday, moving well offshore Friday through the weekend.
a low pressure system crosses the area early this morning, bringing the potential for a period of elevated southeast or east winds. Low pressure then lingers near the area into Thursday, moving well offshore Friday through the weekend.
FXUS61 KAKQ 150526 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 126 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
SYNOPSIS
Widespread showers, with periods of moderate to heavy rain prevail tonight. Scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms continue Wednesday, mainly in the afternoon. Mainly dry Thursday, with additional showers and storms Friday night into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 1035 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Widespread showers prevail tonight, diminishing after midnight from SW to NE.
- The heaviest rain this evening has been located over portions of the southern Virginia Piedmont where anywhere from 2 to 5 inches of rain has fallen. Otherwise, we expect 0.50 to 1.50 inches elsewhere.
- Mainly just drizzle or very light rain Wed morning, with scattered showers and a few storms Wed aftn.
Heavy rain developed over portions of the southern Virginia Piedmont this evening, with a maximum of 3 to 5 inches across portions of Nottoway, Dinwiddie, and Lunenburg counties.
Moderate rain continues to push further to the north and east, but rain rates have been lower compared to what occurred earlier further to the southwest. The back edge of the rain is quickly working into our southwestern counties, with the rain continuing to come to an end from SW to NE as we approach midnight.
Temps will fall into the upper 50s-mid 60s tonight with breezy SE winds (gusts to 20-30 mph) developing near the coast just ahead of a deepening secondary low.
The mid levels are progged to dry out from SW to NE after midnight, so additional QPF after 06Z will be 0.10" or less to the S of I-64, though the low levels remain saturated through Wed morning. Have added the mention of drizzle between 09-15Z.
Otherwise, additional showers are expected Wed aftn, with the highest PoPs over the S. Highs Wed around 80F across interior NE NC, to the mid 60s across the far N (and perhaps barely 60F along the MD Atlantic coast).
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 400 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Drying out on Thursday, though clouds and a few spotty showers may persist. Mainly dry Friday.
The sfc low will likely linger offshore of the VA coast through a good part of Thursday. A bit of a transition day weatherwise for Thursday. Drier conditions overall in subsidence behind the departing trough, though low clouds may linger near the coast through the morning (and potentially longer on the eastern shore). We should see a decent amount of clearing inland by the later aftn. Temps rise to the upper 60s on the eastern shore with mid 70s W of the Bay (possibly upper 70s across the far SW).
There may be just enough instability for an isolated shower inland during the aftn/early evening. Lows Thu night range from the mid 50s-60F with dry wx expected.
Shortwave ridging briefly moves over the area on Friday. Another system approaches late on Friday with a few showers/tstms possible west of I-95 late in the day, though the trend is slower so except over the far W, the latest forecast keeps PoPs at 10% or less through 00Z/Sat (8PM Fri). Highs range from the low-mid 70s at the coast to the upper 70s/around 80F well inland.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 400 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Message:
- Increasing chances for showers and storms Friday night and especially over the weekend.
Better rain chances arrive over the weekend as another shortwave trough approaches from the SW. While it is still 4-5 days out, the best chance for showers/tstms appears to be on Saturday (highest coverage likely during the aftn/evening), with lingering showers possible on the back side of the system on Sunday. Temps remain near seasonal averages late this week into the weekend. Mainly dry wx returns early next week with temps warming to slightly above average.
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 125 AM EDT Wednesday...
IFR CIGs prevail at all terminals except SBY (which should drop to IFR by 09z). The heaviest rain has exited RIC/ORF/PHF/ECG, but moderate rain will move into SBY shortly. The rain will mostly come to an end between 09-12z (except at SBY where showers may linger through much of the morning). However, IFR to occasionally LIFR CIGs and drizzle continue at RIC/ORF/PHF through much of the morning. CIGs try to lift to MVFR at ECG and potentially PHF/ORF late this morning into the early afternoon, while it will likely stay IFR at SBY through the day (and RIC may see a few hours of MVFR CIGs this aftn before CIGs fall back to IFR tonight). Additional showers are possible this aftn/evening (though they will likely be light), with a slight chc of a tstm at ECG.
Outlook: Degraded flight conditions persist through tonight before gradually improving Thursday and Friday (though low clouds may prevail at SBY through much of Thu). Another low pressure system will bring showers, a chc of tstms, and degraded flight conditions Friday night into Saturday, with at least a chc for showers/tstms on Sunday.
MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key messages:
- SCA conditions expected across local waters this evening into tomorrow for elevated winds as low pressure tracks across the area.
- SCA for coastal waters (northern zones) linger into Thurs due to seas remaining around 5ft.
High pressure is now well offshore as low pressure approaches from the west. Winds over most of the waters have turned to the SE at around 15kt, but far northern waters are still showing a more southerly direction. Buoy obs reflect seas of 2-3ft and waves at 1- 2ft (2-3ft at the mouth of the bay). Low pressure will track towards the area tonight, crossing the waters sometime tomorrow morning.
Winds will increase this evening and into tonight as the pressure gradient tightens. By this evenings, winds will be up to 15-20kt (gusts to 25kt) with the highest winds located in the southern coastal waters and lower bay. This axis of higher winds (associated w/ enhanced pressure falls) will gradually move northward into the rest of the coastal waters (on the nrn side of the low) into early Wednesday. Small craft advisories are in effect for all of the waters (upper rivers have been added) for frequent gusts to 25-30 kt, starting at 20z/4 PM today in the srn bay, 23z/7 PM for the upper bay and rivers, 2z/10 PM for the Currituck Sound and coastal waters S of Cape Charles, and then early Wed morning for the coastal waters N of Cape Charles. Waves in the bay become 2-4 ft tonight.
Seas will also increase to 4-6 ft, potentially up to 7 ft given the onshore flow. However, the relatively brief nature of the elevated easterly winds should prevent the nearshore seas from getting too high. Elevated seas persist longest in the nrn waters, so the current SCA there goes through early Thursday.
Winds then become N-NE for most of the waters Wednesday afternoon through Thursday as the low meanders offshore to our E. There is moderate disagreement in the global models regarding how long the low lingers and how close to shore it will be. This will result in at least breezy northerly winds through at least Thurs night.
Current forecast has the winds just below SCA criteria for most waters, so cannot rule out additional advisories. Conditions look to improve for the weekend, but with onshore flow forecast, cannot rule out seas building to 5ft just yet.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NCZ017-102.
VA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for VAZ098.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ630- 631-656-658.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ632- 634-638.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ635>637.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ650-652.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ654.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 126 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
SYNOPSIS
Widespread showers, with periods of moderate to heavy rain prevail tonight. Scattered showers and perhaps a few thunderstorms continue Wednesday, mainly in the afternoon. Mainly dry Thursday, with additional showers and storms Friday night into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
As of 1035 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Widespread showers prevail tonight, diminishing after midnight from SW to NE.
- The heaviest rain this evening has been located over portions of the southern Virginia Piedmont where anywhere from 2 to 5 inches of rain has fallen. Otherwise, we expect 0.50 to 1.50 inches elsewhere.
- Mainly just drizzle or very light rain Wed morning, with scattered showers and a few storms Wed aftn.
Heavy rain developed over portions of the southern Virginia Piedmont this evening, with a maximum of 3 to 5 inches across portions of Nottoway, Dinwiddie, and Lunenburg counties.
Moderate rain continues to push further to the north and east, but rain rates have been lower compared to what occurred earlier further to the southwest. The back edge of the rain is quickly working into our southwestern counties, with the rain continuing to come to an end from SW to NE as we approach midnight.
Temps will fall into the upper 50s-mid 60s tonight with breezy SE winds (gusts to 20-30 mph) developing near the coast just ahead of a deepening secondary low.
The mid levels are progged to dry out from SW to NE after midnight, so additional QPF after 06Z will be 0.10" or less to the S of I-64, though the low levels remain saturated through Wed morning. Have added the mention of drizzle between 09-15Z.
Otherwise, additional showers are expected Wed aftn, with the highest PoPs over the S. Highs Wed around 80F across interior NE NC, to the mid 60s across the far N (and perhaps barely 60F along the MD Atlantic coast).
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 400 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Messages:
- Drying out on Thursday, though clouds and a few spotty showers may persist. Mainly dry Friday.
The sfc low will likely linger offshore of the VA coast through a good part of Thursday. A bit of a transition day weatherwise for Thursday. Drier conditions overall in subsidence behind the departing trough, though low clouds may linger near the coast through the morning (and potentially longer on the eastern shore). We should see a decent amount of clearing inland by the later aftn. Temps rise to the upper 60s on the eastern shore with mid 70s W of the Bay (possibly upper 70s across the far SW).
There may be just enough instability for an isolated shower inland during the aftn/early evening. Lows Thu night range from the mid 50s-60F with dry wx expected.
Shortwave ridging briefly moves over the area on Friday. Another system approaches late on Friday with a few showers/tstms possible west of I-95 late in the day, though the trend is slower so except over the far W, the latest forecast keeps PoPs at 10% or less through 00Z/Sat (8PM Fri). Highs range from the low-mid 70s at the coast to the upper 70s/around 80F well inland.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 400 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key Message:
- Increasing chances for showers and storms Friday night and especially over the weekend.
Better rain chances arrive over the weekend as another shortwave trough approaches from the SW. While it is still 4-5 days out, the best chance for showers/tstms appears to be on Saturday (highest coverage likely during the aftn/evening), with lingering showers possible on the back side of the system on Sunday. Temps remain near seasonal averages late this week into the weekend. Mainly dry wx returns early next week with temps warming to slightly above average.
AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 125 AM EDT Wednesday...
IFR CIGs prevail at all terminals except SBY (which should drop to IFR by 09z). The heaviest rain has exited RIC/ORF/PHF/ECG, but moderate rain will move into SBY shortly. The rain will mostly come to an end between 09-12z (except at SBY where showers may linger through much of the morning). However, IFR to occasionally LIFR CIGs and drizzle continue at RIC/ORF/PHF through much of the morning. CIGs try to lift to MVFR at ECG and potentially PHF/ORF late this morning into the early afternoon, while it will likely stay IFR at SBY through the day (and RIC may see a few hours of MVFR CIGs this aftn before CIGs fall back to IFR tonight). Additional showers are possible this aftn/evening (though they will likely be light), with a slight chc of a tstm at ECG.
Outlook: Degraded flight conditions persist through tonight before gradually improving Thursday and Friday (though low clouds may prevail at SBY through much of Thu). Another low pressure system will bring showers, a chc of tstms, and degraded flight conditions Friday night into Saturday, with at least a chc for showers/tstms on Sunday.
MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday...
Key messages:
- SCA conditions expected across local waters this evening into tomorrow for elevated winds as low pressure tracks across the area.
- SCA for coastal waters (northern zones) linger into Thurs due to seas remaining around 5ft.
High pressure is now well offshore as low pressure approaches from the west. Winds over most of the waters have turned to the SE at around 15kt, but far northern waters are still showing a more southerly direction. Buoy obs reflect seas of 2-3ft and waves at 1- 2ft (2-3ft at the mouth of the bay). Low pressure will track towards the area tonight, crossing the waters sometime tomorrow morning.
Winds will increase this evening and into tonight as the pressure gradient tightens. By this evenings, winds will be up to 15-20kt (gusts to 25kt) with the highest winds located in the southern coastal waters and lower bay. This axis of higher winds (associated w/ enhanced pressure falls) will gradually move northward into the rest of the coastal waters (on the nrn side of the low) into early Wednesday. Small craft advisories are in effect for all of the waters (upper rivers have been added) for frequent gusts to 25-30 kt, starting at 20z/4 PM today in the srn bay, 23z/7 PM for the upper bay and rivers, 2z/10 PM for the Currituck Sound and coastal waters S of Cape Charles, and then early Wed morning for the coastal waters N of Cape Charles. Waves in the bay become 2-4 ft tonight.
Seas will also increase to 4-6 ft, potentially up to 7 ft given the onshore flow. However, the relatively brief nature of the elevated easterly winds should prevent the nearshore seas from getting too high. Elevated seas persist longest in the nrn waters, so the current SCA there goes through early Thursday.
Winds then become N-NE for most of the waters Wednesday afternoon through Thursday as the low meanders offshore to our E. There is moderate disagreement in the global models regarding how long the low lingers and how close to shore it will be. This will result in at least breezy northerly winds through at least Thurs night.
Current forecast has the winds just below SCA criteria for most waters, so cannot rule out additional advisories. Conditions look to improve for the weekend, but with onshore flow forecast, cannot rule out seas building to 5ft just yet.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for NCZ017-102.
VA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for VAZ098.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ630- 631-656-658.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for ANZ632- 634-638.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for ANZ633.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ635>637.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ650-652.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for ANZ654.
toggle option: (graph/table)
No data
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KLFI LANGLEY AFB,VA | 20 sm | 25 min | ESE 18G27 | 3 sm | Overcast | Lt Drizzle Mist | 64°F | 61°F | 88% | 29.70 |
| KPHF NEWPORT NEWS/WILLIAMSBURG INTL,VA | 20 sm | 24 min | ESE 11G28 | 4 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain Mist | 63°F | 63°F | 100% | 29.71 |
| KFAF FELKER AAF,VA | 24 sm | 12 min | ESE 14G20 | 10 sm | Overcast | 64°F | 63°F | 94% | 29.65 |
New Point Comfort
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:42 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:29 AM EDT 2.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:56 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:08 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:42 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:59 PM EDT 2.00 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:13 PM EDT 0.45 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:42 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:29 AM EDT 2.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:56 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 09:08 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:42 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:59 PM EDT 2.00 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:13 PM EDT 0.45 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
New Point Comfort, Mobjack Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.6 |
| 1 am |
| 2 |
| 2 am |
| 2.2 |
| 3 am |
| 2.2 |
| 4 am |
| 2 |
| 5 am |
| 1.7 |
| 6 am |
| 1.3 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.5 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.5 |
| 11 am |
| 0.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 2 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
York Spit Light
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:41 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:19 AM EDT 2.25 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:56 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:58 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:43 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:49 PM EDT 1.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:03 PM EDT 0.45 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:41 AM EDT Moonset
Tue -- 02:19 AM EDT 2.25 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:56 AM EDT Sunrise
Tue -- 08:58 AM EDT 0.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:43 AM EDT Moonrise
Tue -- 02:49 PM EDT 1.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT Sunset
Tue -- 09:03 PM EDT 0.45 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
York Spit Light, Mobjack Bay, Virginia, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.7 |
| 1 am |
| 2.1 |
| 2 am |
| 2.2 |
| 3 am |
| 2.2 |
| 4 am |
| 2 |
| 5 am |
| 1.6 |
| 6 am |
| 1.2 |
| 7 am |
| 0.8 |
| 8 am |
| 0.5 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.5 |
| 11 am |
| 0.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 2 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
Wakefield, VA,
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