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Marine Weather and Tides Quinby, VA Version 3.4

NOTICE 1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17. 1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

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Sunrise 6:27AM

Sunset 6:03PM

Friday March 5, 2021 2:11 PM EST (19:11 UTC)

Moonrise 12:24AM

Moonset 10:30AM

Illumination 54%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Quinby, VA

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 051753 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1253 PM EST Fri Mar 5 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure slowly builds into the area through this weekend with dry weather continuing into next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 310 AM EST Friday .

Early this morning, high pressure centered over the Upper Midwest continues to build toward the area. Meanwhile, a southern stream low pressure system at the sfc and aloft is located over OK/nrn TX and a prominent long wave trough is anchored from ern Canada to the srn Mid-Atlantic. A secondary CAA surge is well underway across the area, with N-NW winds of 10-20 mph with gusts of 20-30 mph (highest at the coast). Skies have cleared out. Starting to see a noticeable drop in dew points across nrn portions of the FA (already have mid/upper teens from LKU-SBY). Temperatures are in the low 30s N/mid-upper 30s elsewhere. Mostly sunny, cooler, and continued dry wx is expected today. Highs will range from the low 40s on the Ern Shore to low 50s SW. Winds will turn to the NW in all areas (expect 10-20 mph winds with gusts of 20-30 mph to continue through the day). Dew points will continue to drop from N to S this morning. With the aid of daytime mixing (perhaps to just above 850 mb), downslope flow, and very dry air filtering in from the NW . dew points should fall to around 0 degrees F by midday in central/nrn/wrn zones. Single digit dew points will be common in SE portions of the FA. Will likely see dew points drop below 0F in a few spots (especially across N/NW portions of the FA).

This will result in minimum RH values in the upper teens to mid 20s over the Eastern Shore and near the coast with middle teens inland (on average). Fortunately, fuels remain relatively moist. Otherwise, this would be an increased fire danger day given the low RH values and above mentioned gusty winds.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. As of 310 AM EST Friday .

The high over the upper Midwest is progged to slowly build toward the area from tonight through the weekend before becoming centered just to our west by late Sunday night as the long wave trough axis over much of the ern CONUS finally moves offshore. The previously mentioned srn stream low pressure system is progged to track from the Deep South to off the coast of Florida from tonight through Saturday. Deep moisture associated with this system will be suppressed well to our south. However, we will likely see SCT-BKN high clouds overspread srn/sern portions of the FA by early Sat AM. Lows tonight will generally be in the 25-30F range. Skies remain mostly sunny in central/nrn zones on Sat. Clearing will occur from WNW-ESE from late Sat through the first part of Sat night. Highs Sat range from the mid 40s on the Ern Shore to low 50s in most locations west of the Ches Bay. Dew points are forecast to be slightly higher (teens) during the day on Saturday. Winds temporarily diminish tonight but WNW winds could gust to 15-20 mph (highest on the Ern Shore) during the day on Sat.

Dry wx and clear skies are expected from late Sat night through Sun night. Expect a diminishing trend in winds as the high nears the area. Lows Sat night range from the low/mid 20s N to upper 20s/low 30s SE. Highs are forecast to be a bit cooler on Sun with low-mid 40s on the Ern Shore and upper 40s in most other locations W of the Ches Bay. Sun night will be the coldest night of the period with the high very close to the local area. Lows will fall into the low- mid 20s inland/upper 20s-around 30F in coastal SE VA and NE NC.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 310 AM EST Friday .

Mainly dry weather will continue through much of next week. However, a warming trend finally begins early next week as ridging aloft builds over the ern CONUS and the surface high becomes centered off the Carolina coast. This will result in SSW-SW low level flow across the FA. High temperatures will warm each day from the upper 40s/50s on Monday to around 70F by Thursday. Low temperatures will warm each morning from the upper 20s-low 30s Tuesday morning to mid-upper 40s by Thursday morning. A cold front may try and approach the area from the NW by late next week. However, this front (and any pcpn chances) likely remain NW of the FA through at least Thu while upper ridging amplifies across a large part of the SE CONUS.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 145 PM EST Friday .

VFR conditions through the 18z TAF period. Winds are N-NW at 10-15 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts this afternoon. Winds will diminish by 23z today. SKC through most of the period, with SCT- BKN CI possible across srn VA and NE NC by late tonight (mainly after 06z Sat).

OUTLOOK . A prolonged period of generally benign weather is expected to continue into early next week as high pressure builds back over the area.

MARINE. As of 310 AM EST Friday .

SCA's remain in place this morn as the CAA surge continues. SCA's slowly end by late aftrn/eve as the north winds/seas dmnsh. One caveat will be across the middle Ches Bay (ivof Tangier Isl) where guid suggests a few gusts to 20 kts could linger thru midnite. Not confident enuf that these gusts will represent the entire marine zone, so went with a solid 15 kts for now.

High pres builds over the region thru the weekend then off the coast early next week. Expect benign marine conditions thru early next week with north winds aob 15 kts thru Mon, turning SSW Tue/Wed. Seas 2-3 ft. Waves 1-2 ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ631>638. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ630- 650-652-654-656-658.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/RMM NEAR TERM . ERI SHORT TERM . ERI LONG TERM . CP/ERI AVIATION . CP/ERI MARINE . MPR

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA	10 mi	54 min	WNW 4.1 G 12	39°F	44°F		1017.2 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA	19 mi	54 min	NW 18 G 21				1018.1 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA	27 mi	54 min	NNW 17 G 20		42°F
44089	27 mi	46 min			42°F	4 ft
44072	37 mi	42 min	NNE 14 G 18	38°F
CHBV2	37 mi	54 min	NNW 13 G 17	37°F			1016.8 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147)	38 mi	46 min			43°F	5 ft
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA	39 mi	54 min	NW 17 G 20	39°F
44087	40 mi	46 min			43°F	2 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA	42 mi	54 min	NNW 17 G 21	36°F			1018 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA	46 mi	54 min	NW 16 G 19	39°F	44°F		1017.7 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA	48 mi	78 min	NNW 12 G 17	39°F			1017.8 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA

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Last 24hr

N9

N8

N11 G14

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N13 G17

N28

N26

N21 G26

NW26

NW28 G35

NW28

NW25 G31

NW25

NW27

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NW21 G28

NW20

NW15 G20

1 day ago

S5

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N17

N11 G14

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2 days ago

N14

N6

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S13

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SW6

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S5

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA	14 mi	17 min	WNW 14 G 26	10.00 mi	Fair	37°F	14°F	39%	1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFV

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)

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N8 G18

NW9 G16

N6

N5

N7

N12 G22

N9 G21

N10 G24

NW18 G30

NW11 G24

NW16 G25

NW10 G22

NW19 G25

NW8 G21

NW16 G20

NW11 G20

NW16 G22

NW19 G25

NW13 G24

NW13 G23

NW15 G23

NW22 G27

NW14 G25

W16 G23

1 day ago

NW6

NW5

Calm

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Calm

S3

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Calm

S3

S4

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SW3

SW3

W3

W4

NW3

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NW5

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N12 G18

NW13 G21

NW10 G17

NW11 G18

NW14 G22

2 days ago

W6

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Calm

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Calm

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S6

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W8

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Tide / Current Tables for Quinby Inlet entrance, Virginia

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Tide / Current Tables for Upshur Neck, south end, Virginia

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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