Friday, March5, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Quinby, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:27AMSunset 6:03PM Friday March 5, 2021 2:11 PM EST (19:11 UTC) Moonrise 12:24AMMoonset 10:30AM Illumination 54% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ654 Coastal Waters From Parramore Island To Cape Charles Light Va Out 20 Nm- 118 Pm Est Fri Mar 5 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 pm est this afternoon...
This afternoon..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Sat night..N winds 5 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Sun night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 4 seconds.
Mon..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..SW winds 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ600 118 Pm Est Fri Mar 5 2021
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure slowly builds into the area through this weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Quinby, VA
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location: 37.47, -75.67     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 051753 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1253 PM EST Fri Mar 5 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure slowly builds into the area through this weekend with dry weather continuing into next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 310 AM EST Friday .

Early this morning, high pressure centered over the Upper Midwest continues to build toward the area. Meanwhile, a southern stream low pressure system at the sfc and aloft is located over OK/nrn TX and a prominent long wave trough is anchored from ern Canada to the srn Mid-Atlantic. A secondary CAA surge is well underway across the area, with N-NW winds of 10-20 mph with gusts of 20-30 mph (highest at the coast). Skies have cleared out. Starting to see a noticeable drop in dew points across nrn portions of the FA (already have mid/upper teens from LKU-SBY). Temperatures are in the low 30s N/mid-upper 30s elsewhere. Mostly sunny, cooler, and continued dry wx is expected today. Highs will range from the low 40s on the Ern Shore to low 50s SW. Winds will turn to the NW in all areas (expect 10-20 mph winds with gusts of 20-30 mph to continue through the day). Dew points will continue to drop from N to S this morning. With the aid of daytime mixing (perhaps to just above 850 mb), downslope flow, and very dry air filtering in from the NW . dew points should fall to around 0 degrees F by midday in central/nrn/wrn zones. Single digit dew points will be common in SE portions of the FA. Will likely see dew points drop below 0F in a few spots (especially across N/NW portions of the FA).

This will result in minimum RH values in the upper teens to mid 20s over the Eastern Shore and near the coast with middle teens inland (on average). Fortunately, fuels remain relatively moist. Otherwise, this would be an increased fire danger day given the low RH values and above mentioned gusty winds.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. As of 310 AM EST Friday .

The high over the upper Midwest is progged to slowly build toward the area from tonight through the weekend before becoming centered just to our west by late Sunday night as the long wave trough axis over much of the ern CONUS finally moves offshore. The previously mentioned srn stream low pressure system is progged to track from the Deep South to off the coast of Florida from tonight through Saturday. Deep moisture associated with this system will be suppressed well to our south. However, we will likely see SCT-BKN high clouds overspread srn/sern portions of the FA by early Sat AM. Lows tonight will generally be in the 25-30F range. Skies remain mostly sunny in central/nrn zones on Sat. Clearing will occur from WNW-ESE from late Sat through the first part of Sat night. Highs Sat range from the mid 40s on the Ern Shore to low 50s in most locations west of the Ches Bay. Dew points are forecast to be slightly higher (teens) during the day on Saturday. Winds temporarily diminish tonight but WNW winds could gust to 15-20 mph (highest on the Ern Shore) during the day on Sat.

Dry wx and clear skies are expected from late Sat night through Sun night. Expect a diminishing trend in winds as the high nears the area. Lows Sat night range from the low/mid 20s N to upper 20s/low 30s SE. Highs are forecast to be a bit cooler on Sun with low-mid 40s on the Ern Shore and upper 40s in most other locations W of the Ches Bay. Sun night will be the coldest night of the period with the high very close to the local area. Lows will fall into the low- mid 20s inland/upper 20s-around 30F in coastal SE VA and NE NC.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 310 AM EST Friday .

Mainly dry weather will continue through much of next week. However, a warming trend finally begins early next week as ridging aloft builds over the ern CONUS and the surface high becomes centered off the Carolina coast. This will result in SSW-SW low level flow across the FA. High temperatures will warm each day from the upper 40s/50s on Monday to around 70F by Thursday. Low temperatures will warm each morning from the upper 20s-low 30s Tuesday morning to mid-upper 40s by Thursday morning. A cold front may try and approach the area from the NW by late next week. However, this front (and any pcpn chances) likely remain NW of the FA through at least Thu while upper ridging amplifies across a large part of the SE CONUS.

AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 145 PM EST Friday .

VFR conditions through the 18z TAF period. Winds are N-NW at 10-15 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts this afternoon. Winds will diminish by 23z today. SKC through most of the period, with SCT- BKN CI possible across srn VA and NE NC by late tonight (mainly after 06z Sat).

OUTLOOK . A prolonged period of generally benign weather is expected to continue into early next week as high pressure builds back over the area.

MARINE. As of 310 AM EST Friday .

SCA's remain in place this morn as the CAA surge continues. SCA's slowly end by late aftrn/eve as the north winds/seas dmnsh. One caveat will be across the middle Ches Bay (ivof Tangier Isl) where guid suggests a few gusts to 20 kts could linger thru midnite. Not confident enuf that these gusts will represent the entire marine zone, so went with a solid 15 kts for now.

High pres builds over the region thru the weekend then off the coast early next week. Expect benign marine conditions thru early next week with north winds aob 15 kts thru Mon, turning SSW Tue/Wed. Seas 2-3 ft. Waves 1-2 ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ631>638. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ630- 650-652-654-656-658.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/RMM NEAR TERM . ERI SHORT TERM . ERI LONG TERM . CP/ERI AVIATION . CP/ERI MARINE . MPR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 10 mi54 min WNW 4.1 G 12 39°F 44°F1017.2 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 19 mi54 min NW 18 G 21 1018.1 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 27 mi54 min NNW 17 G 20 42°F
44089 27 mi46 min 42°F4 ft
44072 37 mi42 min NNE 14 G 18 38°F
CHBV2 37 mi54 min NNW 13 G 17 37°F 1016.8 hPa
44099 - Cape Henry, VA (147) 38 mi46 min 43°F5 ft
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 39 mi54 min NW 17 G 20 39°F
44087 40 mi46 min 43°F2 ft
CHYV2 - 8638999 - Cape Henry, VA 42 mi54 min NNW 17 G 21 36°F 1018 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 46 mi54 min NW 16 G 19 39°F 44°F1017.7 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 48 mi78 min NNW 12 G 17 39°F 1017.8 hPa

Wind History for Rappahannock Light, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Melfa / Accomack Airport, VA14 mi17 minWNW 14 G 2610.00 miFair37°F14°F39%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMFV

Wind History from MFV (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNW6NW5Calm--CalmS3--CalmS3S4--SW3SW3W3W4NW3--NW5NW5N12
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2 days agoW6NW5W4CalmS5------------Calm--S6S4SW5--SW3SW4SW5W8W9W8NW8

Tide / Current Tables for Quinby Inlet entrance, Virginia
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Quinby Inlet entrance
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Fri -- 12:21 AM EST     4.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 12:24 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:27 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:34 AM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:30 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 12:47 PM EST     3.68 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:00 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:45 PM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:32 PM EST     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.44.33.62.51.50.70.20.10.61.42.333.53.73.32.41.50.80.30.20.61.32.33.2

Tide / Current Tables for Upshur Neck, south end, Virginia
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Upshur Neck
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:24 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:07 AM EST     4.95 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:28 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:38 AM EST     0.10 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 10:31 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 01:33 PM EST     4.07 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:01 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:49 PM EST     0.24 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:32 PM EST     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.64.94.73.82.71.60.70.20.10.61.62.63.5443.52.51.60.80.40.20.61.52.6

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