Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Wilroads Gardens, KS

DISCUSSION
Issued at 209 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

The strong southwest winds will diminish around dusk. A fropa is expected through the overnight hours. The winds behind the front are not expected to be particularly strong, however, the CAA is. 850 hPa temperatures go from 28C-29C today down to 3C-5C Friday. So we will see highs tomorrow about 40 degrees colder than today. Winds will eventually become northerly to northeasterly in the wake of the front and continue through tomorrow.

An unsettled weather pattern is expected over the weekend. It will be generally cool and with showers. This is particularly true Sunday. A large upper level low will swing out across the plains. The more rich boundary layer moisture is still expected to be southeast of the CWA Still, as the low swings out, showers on the backside still looks likely. Agree with WPC about keeping all the higher QPF across our eastern zones, where low level moisture is higher. But the net result is a showery day Sunday with highs in the 50s.

Shortwave ridging builds over the greater region Monday. This would support a drier forecast and highs trending to above normal. Attention then turns to Tuesday onward. Broad southwesterly flow aloft is forecast by both deterministic and ensemble models. This would favor richer boundary layer moisture being advected in from the south. This could set the stage for showers and thunderstorms across the CWA This chance at more storms is indicated in both the deterministic models as well as their ensemble counterparts. Both the EC/GFS and EPS GEFS show a stormy pattern for next week. The LREF also has increasing probabilities of measurable rainfall during this period.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
Issued at 1100 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

VFR will continue through this TAF period with increasing amounts of mid and high clouds. Strong dry cold front currently moving through Kansas will clear all airports no later than 09z Fri, followed by elevated north winds gusting 28-32 kts.
North to northeast winds will remain elevated through Friday, gusting 25-30 kts at all airports.

DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.