Tuesday, January21, 2020
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L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Irvington, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:13AMSunset 5:19PM Tuesday January 21, 2020 2:45 AM EST (07:45 UTC) Moonrise 4:30AMMoonset 2:27PM Illumination 16% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 26 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 1218 Am Est Tue Jan 21 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through this afternoon...
Rest of tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Tue..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Tue night..N winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Wed night..NE winds 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Fri night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers after midnight.
Sat..SE winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely in the morning.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
ANZ600 1218 Am Est Tue Jan 21 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. Canadian high pressure slowly builds into the region through Wednesday. Low pressure develops well off the southeast coast Tuesday into Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Irvington town, VA
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location: 37.65, -76.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 210539 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1239 AM EST Tue Jan 21 2020

SYNOPSIS. Cold high pressure builds across the region through midweek. Much colder air spills across the region tonight through Tuesday . with temperatures slowly moderating for the latter half of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/. As of 1000 PM EST Monday .

Latest wx analysis reveals strong/cold 1044+mb sfc high pressure over the northern and central plains. Winds have diminished tonight as the pressure gradient has weakened over the area. Temperatures have quickly falling into the 20s (temperatures remain in the low 30s near the southeast VA coast and northern Outer Banks). Winds chills will be in the teens tonight, not as low as last night with winds diminishing.

Bay streamer has redeveloped over the Chesapeake tonight, cannot rule our a few flurries across Norfolk, VA Beach, Chesapeake tonight. Otherwise, the rest of the area will see clear skies.

Otherwise, clear and cold tonight. Latest model guidance has trended toward winds not totally decoupling once again tonight, which should keep minima from falling quite as far as they could otherwise. Lows mainly in the upper teens to low 20s inland . mid to upper 20s SE coast. Some mid teens possible in typically cooler spots.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 250 PM EST Monday .

Continued cold and dry Tuesday, with highs remaining below normal despite plenty of sunshine. Thickness tools still mesh well with NBM and MOS guidance has consolidated in the mid to upper 30s, which also fits persistence quite well. Clear and cold once again Tuesday night with early morning lows in the low to mid 20s . to around 30 SE.

Models still showing positively tilted shortwave dropping from the mid-south to the GA/SC coast Tuesday night, eventually forming a closed low Wed morning. Models remain in good agreement in skirting this wave quickly farther offshore, with cyclogenesis occurring well away from the local area. Thus, expect any sensible weather impacts to be well away from the region.

Behind this wave, modifying sfc high builds over the Mid-Atlantic and northeast CONUS on Wednesday. Thicknesses begin to climb, signaling the start of a moderating temp trend that will continue through the upcoming weekend.

Slightly warmer Wednesday with highs climbing to near normal Wed, and just above on Thursday. Highs Wed in the low to mid 40s, under a mainly sunny sky. Lows Wednesday night will inch up a few degrees as well with generally low/mid 20s expected across the region. Highs in the upper 40s to low 50s under a partly to mostly clear/sunny sky.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. As of 400 PM EST Monday .

The end of the work week will be dry and mild, with high pressure at the sfc and aloft over the region. At the same time, an upper-level trough will be digging south into the Midwest/Central US. The trough will become a closed low and cut off from the main upper-level flow and slowly migrate east. As the closed low pressure aloft moves towards the east coast, it will likely stay northwest of the southern Mid-Atlantic. However, a sfc low will likely develop east of the Appalachian Mountains and track from SW to NE across VA/MD. This will bring an area of rain through the region Saturday morning. As the sfc low moves north of the area, rain will exit the area for Saturday evening/night. However, the low pressure system aloft will still be nearby and may give areas across central and northeastern VA and central Delmarva a few rain showers Saturday afternoon/evening. A NW, downslope, low will begin late Saturday/Sunday and dry the area out.

Throughout the Long Term period, temperatures will be near average to slight above average. Friday's high temperatures will be in the 50s with lows in the 20s/30s Friday morning. As rain moves into the area, temperatures and dew points will increase, temperatures on Saturday morning will range from the upper 40s across northeast NC and southeast VA to mid 30s across central VA and MD Eastern Shore. Temperatures during the day on Saturday will be dependent on the exact track of the sfc low pressure. High may reach 60 across Hampton Roads and northeast NC, while a CAD wedge may develop in the central VA Piedmont, keeping temperatures in the 40s. Temperatures for Sunday and Monday will be close to average for late January, highs in the mid-upper 40s and lows in the 20s/30s.

AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 1240 AM EST Tuesday .

Strong high pressure over the Mississippi Valley is building into the Mid-Atlantic region as of 06z. Meanwhile, broad low pressure is located well offshore. Therefore, the pressure gradient is maintaining a N wind of 5-10kt inland, and 10-15kt along the coast with occasional gusts to 20kt. A narrow bay streamer ~4kft lingers near ORF, and some bands of SC ~4kft are pushing onshore near ECG. These general conditions are expected to prevail today into tonight as high pressure builds in from the NW and low pressure organizes well off the Southeast coast.

High pressure builds into the region Wednesday into Thursday as low pressure pushes ewd well off the Southeast coast. High pressure slides offshore Friday. Low pressure and an associated cold front impact the region Friday night into Saturday bring a chc of rain and degraded flight conditions.

MARINE. As of 400 PM EST Monday .

Late this aftn, high pressure was building in from the NW. Strong CAA is resulting in a NNW wind of 15-25 kt for the Bay/ocean/Currituck Snd, and 10-15 kt elsewhere. Seas are 4-6 ft with 3-4 ft waves in the Bay. The center of the high will continue to build toward the area from the NW tonight into Wed morning, then builds right over the region late Wed through Thu. As a result, N winds will continue to be 15-25 kt over the Bay, Ocean, and Currituck Snd tonight into at least early Wed morning. Waves will be 2-4 ft and seas will be 4-7 ft. Thus, have adjusted SCA headlines in most of these areas through at least Tue aftn or into early Wed morning. Low pressure develops well off the Southeast Coast Tue night into Wed, with the wind becoming NNE with speeds 10-15 kt N to 15-20 kt srn Bay, and 20-25 kt for the ocean S of Cape Henry. This will likely maintain at least 5-6 ft seas S, and could remain 6-8 ft Tue/Wed off the nrn Outer Banks. Elsewhere, seas subside to 3-4 ft, with 2-3 ft waves in the Bay.

High pressure builds right over the region Wed night into Thu and slowly slides offshore Fri. Low pressure and an associated cold front passes through the area Fri night into Sat.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ632>634- 654. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ630- 631. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for ANZ638. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for ANZ650- 652.

SYNOPSIS . MAM NEAR TERM . CP/MAM SHORT TERM . MAM/RHR LONG TERM . CP AVIATION . AJZ MARINE . AJZ/TMG


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 12 mi22 min N 21 G 25 44°F1033.1 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 21 mi76 min N 2.9 29°F 1031 hPa15°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 24 mi46 min N 26 G 31 1030.6 hPa (+0.5)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 24 mi52 min N 9.9 G 14 29°F 38°F1030.3 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 27 mi22 min NW 9.7 G 12 29°F 43°F1030.4 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 28 mi46 min NE 21 G 24 33°F 1030.2 hPa (+0.6)
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 29 mi52 min NNW 8 G 11 29°F 45°F1029.6 hPa
44072 33 mi26 min ESE 19 G 25 33°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 34 mi46 min N 12 G 13
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 41 mi46 min NNW 2.9 G 7 25°F 37°F1029.7 hPa (-0.0)
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 42 mi52 min NNE 5.1 G 8.9 44°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 45 mi52 min N 5.1 G 8 25°F 33°F1030.3 hPa
44087 46 mi46 min 45°F3 ft
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 46 mi46 min NNW 8.9 G 14 28°F 43°F1030 hPa (+0.0)
CHBV2 47 mi52 min NE 18 G 22 31°F 1028.1 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 47 mi52 min NE 19 G 24 33°F 1029 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 48 mi52 min NNE 5.1 G 8.9 30°F 1029.9 hPa
44064 49 mi26 min NE 19 G 25 1029.1 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 49 mi52 min 46°F1029.3 hPa

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA19 mi71 minN 010.00 miFair24°F13°F63%1030.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFYJ

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
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NW5N5NW3NW4N5N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW12
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmE3NE4E4SE3SE4S9SE7S9
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Tide / Current Tables for Orchard Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Orchard Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:32 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:29 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:52 AM EST     1.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:27 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:38 PM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:16 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:09 PM EST     1.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30-0.1-0.100.40.81.21.41.51.41.10.80.40.1-0.1-0.10.10.40.711.11.10.9

Tide / Current Tables for Urbanna, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Urbanna
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:50 AM EST     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:30 AM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:17 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:08 AM EST     1.49 feet High Tide
Tue -- 02:27 PM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 03:56 PM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:17 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 09:25 PM EST     1.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.40.1-0.1-0.2-00.30.71.11.41.51.41.20.90.50.2-0-0.100.30.60.91.11.11

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.