Thursday, November21, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Irvington, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:48AMSunset 4:53PM Thursday November 21, 2019 4:08 PM EST (21:08 UTC) Moonrise 12:54AMMoonset 2:12PM Illumination 28% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ631 Chesapeake Bay From Windmill Point To New Point Comfort Va- 318 Pm Est Thu Nov 21 2019
.small craft advisory in effect from 1 am est Friday through Friday afternoon...
Through 7 pm..NW winds 5 kt, becoming sw late. Waves 1 foot.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 3 ft after midnight.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft, building to 2 to 3 ft after midnight.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Sat night..SE winds 10 kt, becoming S in the late evening and early morning, then becoming W late. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
ANZ600 318 Pm Est Thu Nov 21 2019
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure shifts south/offshore as the next system approaches from the northwest. A cold front enters the region late Friday and lingers through Saturday before a strong low pressure system pulls the front off the coast by Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Irvington town, VA
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 37.65, -76.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KAKQ 212031 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 331 PM EST Thu Nov 21 2019

SYNOPSIS. High pressure centered along the Carolina coast moves offshore tonight. A cold front enters the region late Friday and lingers through Saturday before a strong low pressure system pulls the front off the coast by Sunday. High pressure returns late Sunday into Monday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 315 PM EST Thursday .

Late afternoon upper air analysis shows ridging over the ern CONUS, with a potent nrn stream shortwave tracking ewd across the nrn Great Lakes. In addition, a closed upper low is over the SW CONUS. At the surface, ~1025 mb high pressure is centered along the Carolina coast, with low pressure over the nrn Great Lakes. The trailing cold front stretches from Lake Michigan SSW to the srn Plains. Temperatures are mainly in the 50s across our CWA with BKN high clouds moving in from the W. Dry/milder tonight as the sfc high begins to slide off the Carolina coast and return south-southwesterly low level flow increases. Partly- mostly cloudy (due to mid-high clouds) with lows mainly in the 40s. It will generally be coldest over interior SE VA/NE NC closest to the sfc high where some local upper 30s will be possible tonight.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 330 PM EST Thursday .

By Fri, the potent northern stream upper shortwave/sfc low will be tracking ewd from Ontario to Quebec. As it does so, the trailing cold front will be approaching the region from the NW, reaching nrn portions of the CWA by late aftn-early evening. Deeper moisture (along with a series of weak disturbances) moves in from the W-WSW during the day on Fri. 12z/21 deterministic models (as well as the HREF/EPS/GEFS) continue to show the deepest moisture/lift tracking ewd across the nrn two-thirds of the CWA from 15-21z Fri. Models do show the potential for scattered showers across SE VA/NE NC. Given increasing confidence, have raised PoPs to ~70% from the NW Piedmont to the VA Nrn Neck to the Lower MD Ern Shore for a 3-6 hr period, with likely PoPs now over the entire RIC Metro. Have PoPs of 30-50% across far srn VA and most of Hampton Roads, with only 20-30% PoPs for NE NC (mainly from 18z Fri-00z Sat). QPF amounts on Fri look light (mainly 0.10-0.20"). Given the rain (and mostly cloudy skies), have lowered highs a bit (especially across the N). Forecast highs are mainly in the mid-upper 50s over the nrn two-thirds of the CWA, with low-mid 60s across srn VA/NE NC. Rain chances diminish and shift S from 21-00z Fri.

The front crosses most of the region Fri night, before stalling just S of the VA-NC border in response to developing sfc low pressure hanging back over the lower MS Valley. This happens at the same time the closed upper low now over the SW CONUS becomes centered over the Plains and continues to slowly move eastward. Expect some drying (with very little chc for pcpn) behind the front Fri night, but will keep slight chc PoPs for light rain across srn VA/NE NC through 06z Fri. Mostly cloudy although there will likely be some clearing over the far N/NE late. Lows range from the low-mid 30s across N/NE zones to the mid 40s across coastal SE VA/NE NC.

The aforementioned surface low is progged to move eastward towards the Ohio Valley on Sat. The stalled boundary will move back N as a warm front and will try to cross our region during the day on Saturday, but model consensus continues to show the front not making it much past srn VA (becoming centered from the srn VA Piedmont to the VA Ern Shore by Sat evening). Not a whole lot of changes to the forecast, as the 12z/21 GFS/ECMWF/GEM continue to be slightly slower w/ the arrival of the pcpn during the day on Sat (NAM/NAM Nest are slightly faster). Regardless, most areas will be dry Sat morning, but still mostly cloudy except over the eastern shore and NE zones where some sunshine is expected until midday. Expect a quick overspreading of rain due to deep isentropic lift by early-mid aftn across the wrn two-thirds of the CWA (with at least a chc of rain in all zones after 18z Sat). Rain is expected to overspread all areas by the early evening hours on Sat. Expect a cool/cold day (especially in areas N of the warm front). Forecast highs are in the low 40s across the NW Piedmont, mid-upper 40s across the central third of the CWA (oriented SW-NE), and low-mid 50s across coastal SE VA/NE NC. Latest 12Z/21 EPS/GEFS continue to depict highest chance for widespread moderate rainfall to be Sat night so have ~80 to 90% PoPs in all zones during this period as the trailing cold front pushes through as the sfc low tracks to our N. In addition, models are showing some elevated instability (MUCAPE of 100-300 J/kg) moving across much of our area during the Sat evening-early Sun AM timeframe. Cannot rule out a rumble of thunder or two during this time (best chc across the sern two- thirds of the CWA), but left any mention of thunder out of the forecast for now. The warm front continues to slowly move N through the first part of Sat night (as the sfc low tracks to our N). As a result, expect a non-diurnal temperature trend starting Sat evening, tending to warm several degrees during the first part of Sat night. Temperatures then fall during the latter half of Sat night as the cold front crosses the region from NW to SE. Lows Sun AM range from the upper 30s NW to the upper 40s/lower 50s across far SE VA/NE NC. Rain chances end in all areas (except along the immediate coast) by 12z Sun as the low quickly moves offshore. Skies eventually become partly-mostly sunny by Sun aftn as weak high pressure builds toward the region. Highs mainly in the 50s on Sun.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 330 PM EST Thursday .

The beginning of the week starts off dry as high pressure will be in control. On Monday the high will be centered over the FL panhandle and by Tuesday the high will drift NE off the Mid-Atlantic coast. This will result in a W/SW flow for Monday and a S/SW flow for Tuesday. Temps on Monday will remain several degrees below normal with low temps ranging from the low 30s NW to upper 30s SE, and high temps in the mid to upper 50s. The southerly flow on Tuesday will bring temps up to seasonal norms with high temps in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

A cold front associated with a low pressure system that will drift from the great lakes region to northern New England will cross the area on Wednesday into Wednesday night. There won't be much moisture at all out ahead of the front, so just chance pops in for Wednesday. Rainfall amounts will be minimal, with most guidance suggesting less than a tenth of an inch. Since the front likely won't cross the area until later in the day, temps on Wednesday will remain warm, with low temps Wednesday morning in the 40s and high temps in the lower 60s. After the frontal passage, high pressure builds in for Thursday resulting in dry and slightly cooler conditions.

AVIATION /20Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 1245 PM EST Thursday .

VFR conditions prevail through the 18z TAF period. Mainly SKC across the area early this aftn with BKN high clouds (20-25k feet) starting to overspread the region from W to E. CIGs slowly lower late this evening-tonight but should remain aoa 12k feet through the night. CIGs lower to 5-8k feet by midday Fri at RIC/SBY, while remaining aoa 10k ft across SE VA/15k feet at ECG. Still looking like a good (70%) chc of -SHRAs at RIC/SBY mainly between 15-21z Fri. The chc of SHRAs is lower across the southeastern terminals (best chances from 18z Fri-00z Sat). There will be a chc for brief MVFR conditions Fri aftn at RIC/SBY. Brief MVFR conditions are also possible across SE VA/NE NC by Fri evening. Variable winds across the region will shift to the W/SW later this aftn and then to the SSW tonight. Winds generally remain aob 10 kt through 12z Fri. SW winds could gust to 20 kt during the day on Fri.

OUTLOOK . Conditions improve to VFR by Fri night as winds shift to the NE after the cold FROPA. Low pressure approaches from the SW on Sat before tracking across the region Sat night. Rain is likely, as well as flight restrictions during the Sat aftn- Sat night timeframe (due to both CIGS/VSBYS). VFR/drying out for Sun with a breezy W/NW wind.

MARINE. As of 315 PM EST Thursday .

This afternoon, high pressure is gradually shifting offshore as the next low pressure system begins to approach from the northwest. Winds are generally light and variable to west or northwest. Winds become southwesterly later this evening and tonight as high pressure moves offshore and south of the region. Winds pick up to Small Craft Advisory levels after midnight as the pressure gradient tightens between the departing high pressure and approaching low pressure system to the north. Expect SW winds of 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots over the Chesapeake Bay and near 20 knots with gusts to as high as 30 knots over the ocean zones. Winds remain elevated into late Friday morning/early afternoon, before a weak front crosses the waters turning winds towards the northwest. As a result, have SCA's going into effect later tonight and lasting through the day Friday for all coastal zones minus the rivers (the lower James may also need a SCA, but for the time being have capped sustained winds at 15 knots). Seas will once again increase to 3 to 5 feet during this time period (perhaps up to 6 feet out 20 nm), and waves in the Bay to 2 to 3 feet. Seas may remain elevated to 5 feet into Friday night, especially across the north/out 20 nm.

Winds may briefly pick up again Friday night/Saturday morning as cooler air filters into the region from the NW. N to NW may approach SCA criteria across the Bay for a brief period late Friday night/early Saturday morning, before diminishing closer to sunrise Saturday. Calmer conditions (regarding the winds), during the day Saturday with a light E to SE flow ahead of the next system.

A low pressure system will track east of the Appalachian Mountains and across the Carolinas Saturday afternoon-evening, then across our area Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Winds become southerly late Saturday as the low tracks across VA and MD. The area of low pressure tracks off the Mid Atlantic coast Saturday night- Sunday turning winds to the WNW and increasing wind speeds to 15 to 25 knots by Sunday morning. Another round of SCAs will likely be needed for this period across the Bay and coastal zones. Seas increase again to 4 to 6 feet, and waves in the Bay around 2 to 3 feet. Calmer conditions take hold late Sunday into early next week.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 4 PM EST Friday for ANZ632- 634. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 1 PM EST Friday for ANZ630- 631-650-652-654.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/LKB NEAR TERM . ERI SHORT TERM . ERI/LKB LONG TERM . CMF AVIATION . ERI/LKB MARINE . AJB


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 21 mi38 min Calm 52°F 1023 hPa37°F
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 24 mi50 min NNE 1.9 G 2.9 1022.8 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 24 mi62 min ENE 1.9 G 2.9 50°F 47°F1021.9 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD 27 mi32 min WNW 1.9 G 3.9 50°F 52°F1024.5 hPa
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 28 mi50 min SSE 5.1 G 6 49°F 1022.7 hPa
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 29 mi50 min W 7 G 8 53°F 51°F1021.7 hPa
44072 33 mi38 min WSW 5.8 G 5.8 48°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 34 mi50 min NNW 2.9 G 2.9
44041 - Jamestown, VA 35 mi32 min 50°F 51°F1023 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 41 mi56 min W 2.9 G 5.1 51°F 50°F1021.9 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 42 mi62 min NNW 1.9 G 2.9 52°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 45 mi62 min WSW 5.1 G 6 48°F 49°F1022.4 hPa
44087 46 mi38 min 52°F1 ft
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 46 mi50 min SE 5.1 G 6 50°F 51°F1021.4 hPa
CHBV2 47 mi62 min Calm G 1.9 52°F 1021.3 hPa
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 47 mi62 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 49°F 1021.8 hPa
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 48 mi62 min NW 5.1 G 5.1 51°F 1022.5 hPa
44064 49 mi38 min Calm G 1.9 51°F 1022.1 hPa
SWPV2 - 8638610 - Sewells Point, VA 49 mi62 min 50°F1022.3 hPa

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
Last
24hr
NW12
G17
NW11
G15
NW11
G14
NW8
G11
NW8
G11
NW6
NW5
NW11
G14
NW14
G18
NW10
G13
NW11
G14
NW9
G12
NW8
G11
N11
G17
N9
G15
N10
G14
N7
G11
N8
G11
N8
NW7
NE4
E5
NE3
NE4
1 day
ago
NW3
SW1
W3
SW3
W3
W4
SW3
W4
W5
W5
W4
NW6
NW6
NW8
NW8
N9
G14
N6
NW8
N8
G12
N10
G14
N8
G12
NW11
G14
NW16
G22
NW15
2 days
ago
NE2
W3
--
NE1
S5
S2
W3
W4
W4
SW4
SW4
W5
W6
SW7
W6
NW6
NW7
W6
W6
W5
W4
W5
N1
N3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
West Point, Middle Peninsula Regional Airport, VA19 mi13 minN 010.00 miFair53°F36°F53%1022.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFYJ

Wind History from FYJ (wind in knots)
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
Last 24hrNW5N4CalmCalmCalmCalmNW3NW4W3NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3N3CalmSW4W5W3
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmW4NW3NW3NW3W4NW5NW7NW8NW7
G15
N7NW7
G14
NW5NW7
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3SW3W5SW3SW3SW3CalmSW4SW5SW3CalmCalmW4W3CalmSW3

Tide / Current Tables for Orchard Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Orchard Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:32 AM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:54 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:27 AM EST     1.48 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:51 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:57 PM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:11 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 06:50 PM EST     1.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.10.10.30.611.31.51.51.310.70.40.20.10.20.50.91.21.51.51.41.20.90.5

Tide / Current Tables for Urbanna, Rappahannock River, Virginia
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Urbanna
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:50 AM EST     0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 12:55 AM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:43 AM EST     1.48 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:52 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 01:15 PM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:12 PM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:51 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 07:06 PM EST     1.54 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.10.10.20.50.91.21.41.51.41.10.80.50.30.10.20.40.81.11.41.51.51.310.6

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (16,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Wakefield, VA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Cookie Policy:
This webiste uses cookies to store settings on the weather pages so that you return to the same settings when you click the weather pages. This is necessary to save your setup information. There are also cookies used if you click the save location button.
Privacy Policy:
I do not sell or share any user data period. I do log page view information to monitor the health of the site and to block abusive actors. I also host ads from Google. They may or may not sell your data. Please adjust your account settings with them if you wich. This site does not fall under the terms of the CCPA or GDPR due to its size and target audiance.
Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.