Urbanna, VA Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Urbanna, VA

June 24, 2024 3:07 PM EDT (19:07 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:47 AM   Sunset 8:35 PM
Moonrise 10:11 PM   Moonset 7:10 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ635 Rappahannock River From Urbanna To Windmill Point- 101 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

This afternoon - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A slight chance of showers and tstms early.

Tonight - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming nw 5 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft, diminishing to 1 foot or less and light chop.

Tue - W winds 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop, increasing to around 1 foot in the afternoon.

Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 1 foot.

Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Wed night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot. A chance of showers and tstms.

Thu - N winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms in the afternoon.

Thu night - NE winds 5 kt. Waves 1 foot or less and light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening.

Fri - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Waves around 1 foot.

Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 1 foot.
winds and waves higher in and near tstms.

ANZ600 101 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
low pressure passing well to the north of the region has pushed a cold front through most of the area and will clear the nc waters shortly. High pressure builds across the region tonight into Tuesday, and then slides offshore Tuesday night into Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Urbanna, VA
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 241902 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 302 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
Drier weather returns tonight into tomorrow as high pressure builds into the region. Another cold front approaches the region later Wednesday and crosses the region Wednesday night into Thursday, bringing the next chance for showers and thunderstorms. High pressure builds north of the region for the later portion of the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/
As of 200 PM EDT Monday...

Early this afternoon, a cold front has made its way through much of the area and is currently located from far SE Virginia Beach and extends back into NE North Carolina. It is quite unstable ahead of the front with MLCAPE ~2500 J/kg in addition to modest shear of ~35 knots. As a result, have seen widespread convection develop along and ahead of the front with some storms becoming severe (damaging wind gusts remain the primary threat).
As typical this time of the year, the front will likely slow down as it approaches the Albemarle Sound and eventually stall south of our area. This could lead to a heavy rain threat for southern portions of our NE North Carolina counties due to training storms. The 12z HRRR supports this thinking, showing a 10 to 30% probability of 3" in 3 hours focused closer to the Albemarle Sound. Widespread flooding is not anticipated due to the dry conditions, but some localized flooding issues cannot be ruled out for areas near the sound. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect for portions of our NE North Carolina counties until 8 PM, though there is a good chance that the watch will end early for our counties as the training storms continue to work over the environment.

Behind the front, drier air continues to filter into the region with dewpoints now dropping into the upper 50s to lower 60s across our western counties. Cannot rule out a stray shower this afternoon, mainly across the southern half of the forecast area.
Temperatures range from upper 80s to lower 90s behind the front.

All activity likely shifts south of the area by this evening with more comfortable weather settling into the region. Clouds will decrease from NW to SE, with mainly clear skies expected tonight. Temperatures fall back into the low to mid 60s away from the immediate coast, with upper 50s possible in the typically cooler rural spots.

SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 300 PM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Remaining hot tomorrow, though humidity levels will be comfortable.

- Heat builds again Wednesday and heat indices may near or exceed 100 F again.

- Scattered showers and thunderstorms develop Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night, with a few storms potentially being strong or severe.

Plentiful sunshine and dry conditions are expected for tomorrow with high pressure over the area. While air temperatures will be in the lower 90s (upper 80s at the coast), dewpoints will only be in the 50s to lower 60s, making for a more comfortable day.

High pressure slides offshore by Tuesday night. Winds become southerly Tuesday night which will bring more humid air back into the region. Lows Tuesday night will range from the upper 60s to lower 70s. The hot and humid weather returns again for Wednesday with temperatures rising back into the mid to upper 90s for much of the area (possibly 100 in a few typically hotter spots). Heat indices increase to 100-105 F in the afternoon and Heat Advisories may be needed. Another cold front will approach from the N/NW late in the day. Guidance is trending more aggressive with shower and storm potential with this feature, especially in the later afternoon and evening. The highest coverage will tend to focus over northern and northeast portions of the area. A few storms could approach strong or severe levels given moderately strong instability and increasing wind fields aloft (best chance N). Colorado State machine learning probabilities also show an increased potential for severe weather on Wednesday, so this will be something we will need to watch as we start to get closer in time. For now, SPC only has northern portions of the area highlighted in a Day 3 Marginal Risk of severe weather, but would not be shocked to see this expanded with future updates. Shower/storm chances linger into the overnight period with temps generally in the lower 70s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 300 PM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Scattered showers and storms possible with a cold front Thursday.

- Flash drought conditions continuing across most of the area.

The front will drop S Wednesday night into Thursday, focusing the thunderstorm chances across southern VA and NE NC Thursday afternoon. Another period of stronger storms will be possible during the afternoon heating period, but lower shear and wind fields across the S suggest a lower threat. High temps Thursday generally in the upper 80s to around 90 F. High pressure will situate N of the area behind the front Friday, shifting offshore by the weekend. An isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out Friday across NC or the far SW Piedmont, but most should stay dry and mostly sunny. Hot weather is expected for the weekend as an upper-level dome of high pressure (594+ dm) expands across the S-central and SE CONUS. The ridge retreats W as a trough drops S of the Great Lakes later Sunday into Monday, bringing a cold front through the area. Scattered showers and storms are thus possible Sunday ahead of this front.

Unfortunately, generally low aerial coverage of rainfall through the extended period suggests continued dry conditions and potential drought development or expansion.

AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 200 PM EDT Monday...

The convection from earlier has largely shifted south of the terminals, with only ECG still dealing with some lingering issues. Showers and storms will remain near ECG for the next couple of hours before settling down after ~20z. Periods of sub-VFR VSBYs (and potentially CIGs ) with any showers or storms.
Elsewhere, VFR conditions are expected to persist through the forecast period. Winds become NW in the wake of the front this afternoon, occasionally gusting to around 20 knots before becoming light and variable tonight.

Outlook: Prevailing VFR flying conditions are expected through midweek. The next chance for widely scattered showers and storms is Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday night.

MARINE
As of 300 PM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Sub-SCA marine conditions expected tonight into Tuesday.

- Modest southerly flow returns Tuesday evening into Wednesday ahead of the next cold front.

Low pressure is moving off the coast of Maine this afternoon with a trailing cold front extending well to the SW into coastal SE VA and NE NC. Winds behind the front are generally N or NW ~15 kt while areas to the south and east remain WSW 10-15 kt. Waves in the bay are around 1 foot with 1-2 ft near the mouth. Seas range from 3-4 ft N to 2-3 ft for the waters south of Ches Light.

The cold front pushes offshore into this evening as weak high pressure builds in from the N. Drier air arrives behind the front but not expecting much in the way of cold advection. By tonight, the wind becomes NNW 5-10kt for most of the marine area, and 10-15kt offshore N of Parramore Island. The front washes out in vicinity of the Carolina coastal plain Tuesday with very weak flow expected through early-mid aftn Tuesday. High pressure rebuilds offshore by the middle of the week with sub-SCA southerly flow returning, generally S to SSW 10-15kt with gusts up to 20kt and strongest late aftn and evening Tuesday and Wednesday. A brief period of SCA conditions is possible Tuesday evening in the Ches Bay, especially from New Point Comfort northward. Seas will mainly be 2-3ft tonight into Tuesday with 1-2ft waves in the Ches. Bay. Seas build to 3-4ft N midweek and waves in the Bay ~2ft with increasing southerly flow.
4-5 ft seas are possible for a brief period north of Parramore Island Wednesday afternoon and evening. Another weakening cold front pushes through the region Thursday into Thursday night. The wind shifts to NE then E late week and is expected to be at or below 15kt.

Low rip current risk is forecast for all beaches on Tuesday. A moderate rip risk is possible for the northern beaches on Wednesday as southerly flow and associated wind waves increase.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 18 mi44 minNNW 14G18 83°F 79°F1 ft
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 18 mi98 minWNW 1.9 88°F 29.8067°F
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 25 mi50 minNNW 11G19 86°F 82°F29.78
44042 - Potomac, MD 29 mi44 minWNW 14G18 81°F 80°F1 ft
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 30 mi50 minWNW 17G19 85°F 80°F29.76
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 31 mi50 minNNW 15G18 29.80
44041 - Jamestown, VA 32 mi44 minNNW 7.8G12 85°F 85°F
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 34 mi50 minNNW 21G27
44072 35 mi44 minNNW 9.7G12 82°F 1 ft
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 46 mi50 minN 14G18 84°F 78°F29.79
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 47 mi50 minNW 12G20 86°F 79°F29.77
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 47 mi50 minNNW 7G13 86°F 84°F29.75
DOMV2 - 8638511 - Dominion Terminal Association, VA 48 mi50 minS 4.1G5.1 80°F 29.77
44087 49 mi42 min 79°F1 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 49 mi50 minNW 20G25 86°F 84°F29.77
WDSV2 - 8638614 - Willoughby Deguassing , VA 49 mi50 minSSW 5.1G6 80°F 29.76


Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KFYJ MIDDLE PENINSULA RGNL,VA 13 sm12 mincalm10 smPartly Cloudy90°F59°F36%29.77
KXSA TAPPAHANNOCKESSEX COUNTY,VA 22 sm12 minNNW 10G1610 smPartly Cloudy91°F59°F34%29.78
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Wind History graph: FYJ
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Tide / Current for Urbanna, Rappahannock River, Virginia
   
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Urbanna
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Mon -- 01:57 AM EDT     1.77 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:50 AM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:27 PM EDT     1.42 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:44 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 11:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Urbanna, Rappahannock River, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
1.4
1
am
1.7
2
am
1.8
3
am
1.7
4
am
1.4
5
am
1
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.3
8
am
0
9
am
-0
10
am
0.1
11
am
0.5
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
1.2
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
1.4
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
0.6
7
pm
0.3
8
pm
0.1
9
pm
0
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.5


Tide / Current for Orchard Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia
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Orchard Point
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Mon -- 01:41 AM EDT     1.77 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:09 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:32 AM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 02:11 PM EDT     1.42 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Orchard Point, Rappahannock River, Virginia, Tide feet
12
am
1.5
1
am
1.7
2
am
1.8
3
am
1.6
4
am
1.3
5
am
0.9
6
am
0.5
7
am
0.2
8
am
0
9
am
0
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.6
12
pm
1
1
pm
1.3
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
1.4
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.2
8
pm
0
9
pm
0
10
pm
0.3
11
pm
0.7


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Wakefield, VA,




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