Thursday, April9, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Tangier, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 7:34PM Thursday April 9, 2020 7:50 PM EDT (23:50 UTC) Moonrise 8:43PMMoonset 6:51AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ630 Chesapeake Bay From Smith Point To Windmill Point Va- 652 Pm Edt Thu Apr 9 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through late Friday night...
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt late this evening, then increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Fri..W winds 20 to 25 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 5 to 10 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft, subsiding to 1 foot in the afternoon.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 foot.
Sun..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt late. Waves 2 to 3 ft, building to 4 ft late. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 20 to 25 kt after midnight. Waves 4 to 5 ft. Showers with a chance of tstms.
Mon..S winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 4 to 5 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers.
Mon night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 652 Pm Edt Thu Apr 9 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. A strong cold front pushes off the coast this evening. Gusty west or northwest winds continue through Friday, as low pressure intensifies off the northern new england coast while high pressure slowly builds in from the west. The high moves off the carolina coast Saturday afternoon. The next low pressure approaches from the west on Sunday and moves through the local area Sunday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tangier, VA
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location: 37.84, -76.22     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 092256 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 656 PM EDT Thu Apr 9 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak trough or low pressure crosses the area later tonight. High pressure builds southwest of the region Friday then pushes off the Carolina coast Saturday. Low pressure approaches from the west Sunday, then moves across the local area Sunday night and Monday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/. As of 700 PM EDT Thursday .

Models show a mid level trof crossing the area later tonight, pushing off the coast Fri morning. The strong gusty winds relax this evening due to loss of daytime heating, but airmass remains mixed overnight so do expect some wind through the night. Mostly clr skies this eve become pt to mstly cldy at times after midnite across the nrn half of the fa as the trof swings thru. Mstly clr to pt cldy across the south. CAA sets in behind the trof. Lows upr 30s nw to the mid 40s se.

SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/. As of 400 PM EDT Thursday .

Dry and windy Fri as intense sfc low pressure will be off the coast of Maine with high pressure building ESE from the Tennessee Valley. A wind Advisory is in effect for the Eastern Shore where wind gusts will be strongest though winds gusting to near 40 mph across central VA are expected. Highs Fri will be cooler only ranging from the mid 50s well inland to 60F across the southeast VA and northeast NC. Dewpoints will fall into the upper to lower 20s and along with winds continuing to gust to 30-40 mph resulting in Fire Wx concerns (see Fire WX section). Winds diminish Fri night and overnight lows will be determined by how much of the area decouples. Enough wind might remain over locations near the Bay and Eastern Shore to keep things mixed some overnight. Current forecast is for lows around 32F in much of the Piedmont, mostly low to mid 30s central and interior E/SE VA, and upper 30s/lower 40s near the coast. Frost/Freeze products may be needed for early Sat morning. Temps should rebound quickly into the lower 60s Saturday with mid to upper 50s along the Eastern Shore under sunny skies. Not as cold Sat night with lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.

The next storm system approached late Sunday and into Early Monday morning. SPC has placed southeast VA and northeast NC in an extended outlook for potential severe weather. A lot will depend upon the progression of the upper pattern and dynamics, but there is the potential for some damaging severe wind late Sunday night into early Monday morning. How far north the severe weather potential reaches is still in question.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 350 PM EDT Thursday .

Strong cold front crosses the region late Monday afternoon into the evening hours with rain chances coming to an end across the east and westerly winds behind the boundary. Drier air and cooler temps will follow the front with overnight lows Monday night falling into the mid 40s across the west and upper 40s and low 50s for areas near and east of I-95. High temps Tuesday rise into the low to mid 60s with a few locations in the upper 60s over far SE VA and NE NC.

Southwesterly flow aloft will interact with developing low pressure over the northern Gulf Coast to bring a chance for rain back to the region late Tuesday into Wednesday. Timing differences between the global spectral models preclude anything greater than chance PoPs at this time. However, northerly surface flow and increased cloud cover will keep temperatures below climatological norms on Wednesday, generally in the upper 50s and low 60s. Cooler still Wednesday night with lows falling into the upper 30s across the Piedmont with low 40s elsewhere. Will maintain PoPs aob 30% into Thursday pending better model consensus in subsequent forecasts.

AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 700 PM EDT Thursday .

VFR conditions expected thru the forecast period. Models do show a mid level trof crossing the area late tonite, pushing off the coast Fri morn. Thus, expect a SCT-BKN AC deck across the nrn half of the local area btwn 06Z-12Z. West winds dimnish a bit tonight but still stay gusty along the coast.

Another windy day Fri behind the departing s/w. WNW winds increase after sunrise with gusts avgg 25-35 kt, up to 40 kts at SBY.

Outlook . Diminishing winds and dry Fri night and Sat. Rain chances increase for Sunday as low pressure apprchs from the sw. Flight restrictions are likely late Sun into early Mon.

MARINE. As of 415 PM EDT Thursday .

Late this aftn, a strong cold front was pushing through the waters. Winds were west to northwest 15-25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves were 1-3 ft, and seas were 2-4 ft.

Strong WNW winds will continue over the waters tonight through Fri night, as low pressure moves from New England NE into the Canadian Maritimes and high pressure builds in from the WNW. Expect wind speeds 15-30 kt with gusts to 30-40 kt over the waters, with waves 2-4 ft and seas 3-6 ft. So, SCAs remain in effect for all the waters into Fri night, with a Gale Warning in effect for the 3 nrn coastal waters from early Fri morning through Fri evening.

High pressure builds back into and over the region for later Fri night into Sat aftn, then slides off the coast Sat evening into early Sun morning. This will allow the winds to relax and seas to calm over the weekend before another system impacts the region late Sun into Mon.

FIRE WEATHER. As of 600 PM EDT Thursday .

After coord with state forest officials, issued an increased fire danger statement Fri for just about all of the CWA. Min RHs' drop to btwn 25-30 percent (highest near the water) along with gusty WNW winds 20-30 mph with gusts 35-45 mph.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As of 400 PM EDT Thursday .

The next high tide cycle this evening and tonight will once again be the higher of the high tides and push water levels near to just below flood stage. Have issued a Coastal Flood Statement to highlight up to a half foot to one foot of inundation in vulnerable areas especially along the Bay.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . Wind Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM EDT Friday for MDZ021>025. NC . None. VA . Wind Advisory from 10 AM to 7 PM EDT Friday for VAZ099-100. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ635>638. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ630>634. Gale Warning from 4 AM Friday to midnight EDT Friday night for ANZ650-652-654. Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Friday to 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ656-658. Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Friday for ANZ650-652.

SYNOPSIS . MPR NEAR TERM . MPR SHORT TERM . LKB/JAO LONG TERM . RHR AVIATION . MPR MARINE . JDM/TMG FIRE WEATHER . MPR TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING . AKQ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44042 - Potomac, MD 15 mi111 min NW 23 G 27 62°F 2 ft995 hPa (+3.2)
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 17 mi123 min NNW 19 G 29 62°F 61°F995.5 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 19 mi111 min NW 19 G 23 57°F2 ft997.7 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 24 mi123 min NNW 18 G 22 994.5 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 26 mi123 min N 30 G 32
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 28 mi123 min NNW 21 G 33 60°F 63°F995.4 hPa
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 33 mi123 min N 12 G 18 66°F 68°F993.8 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 35 mi123 min NNW 14 G 24 58°F 56°F995.7 hPa
YRSV2 - Chesapeake Bay,VA 39 mi141 min NW 5.1 74°F 994 hPa42°F
YKRV2 - 8637611 - York River East Rear Range Light, VA 41 mi123 min WNW 21 G 25 73°F 993.8 hPa
44072 44 mi111 min N 12 G 14 67°F 57°F2 ft
YKTV2 - 8637689 - Yorktown, VA 45 mi123 min WNW 18 G 25 75°F 59°F992.8 hPa
KPTV2 - 8632200 - Kiptopeke, VA 48 mi123 min NW 13 G 16 58°F

Wind History for Lewisetta, VA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD24 mi58 minNW 12 G 2510.00 miFair62°F32°F32%996.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KNUI

Wind History from NUI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E3E4E6SE4SW11
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1 day agoCalmSE3S5CalmCalmS3CalmS3SW3W4NW6
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2 days agoNE3CalmE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmS63SE7S7SW6SW6CalmE95
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Tide / Current Tables for Fleet Point, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Fleet Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:32 AM EDT     1.40 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:05 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:58 PM EDT     1.23 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.41.41.20.90.50.2-0.1-0.2-0.10.10.50.91.11.21.10.90.60.2-0.1-0.2-0.10.10.5

Tide / Current Tables for Glebe Point, Great Wicomico River, Chesapeake Bay, Virginia
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Glebe Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:48 AM EDT     1.67 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:28 AM EDT     -0.26 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:15 PM EDT     1.46 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:36 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:36 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 09:44 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.31.61.71.51.20.80.3-0-0.2-0.200.40.91.31.51.41.20.80.40-0.2-0.200.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.