Tuesday, August11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
New Church, VA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 8:02PM Tuesday August 11, 2020 8:17 PM EDT (00:17 UTC) Moonrise 11:20PMMoonset 12:40PM Illumination 44% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ652 Coastal Waters From Chincoteague To Parramore Island Va Out 20 Nm- 644 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Tonight..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft with a dominant period of 10 seconds. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Wed..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 10 seconds.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 10 seconds. A chance of showers after midnight.
Thu..SE winds 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds. A chance of showers.
Thu night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Mainly se swell with a dominant period of 9 seconds. A chance of showers.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Sat..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ600 644 Pm Edt Tue Aug 11 2020
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers.. High pressure settles over the area through mid week. A trough of low pressure settles over the region late week into the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near New Church, VA
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location: 37.98, -75.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 111900 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 300 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure remains near the coast through Friday. A trough of low pressure developing across the area will gradually increase the chance for showers and thunderstorms each day.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/. As of 210 PM EDT Tuesday .

Areas of convection developing now . about where the hi-res models suggested . over the Piedmont . INVOF NE NC and over interior of the lower MD ern shore. Partly cloudy through this evening w/ ISOLD-SCT tstms which may contain locally heavy downpours (poss flooding of urban/poor drainage areas) and brief gusty winds Might be ISOLD lingering SHRAs overnight. otw partly cloudy w/ poss patchy FG/ST late. Lows mainly 70-75F.

SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 300 PM EDT Tuesday .

Another day similar to Mon/today expected Wed as a sfc trough lingers back near the mountains and hi pres remains in the wrn Atlantic The day may begin w/ patchy FG/ST. then expecting SCT SHRAs/tstms to develop from midday/early afternoon and continue through the evening hours. Localized heavy rain/(flooding?) . gusty winds once again the main threat. Highs in the u80s-around 90F . except m80s at the beaches.

Trough aloft will become established INVOF OH/TN Valleys Thu-Fri. Tropical moisture will be increasing over the region leading to a high confidence for SHRAs/tstms. Given the recent overall wet wx pattern so far this month . flooding will likely become more of a concern due to PW's well above normal. Heavy rain and poss slow movement to the SHRAs/tstms will contribute to that threat Otw. mostly cloudy w/ highs Thu in the m80s then Fri in the l-m80s. Nighttime lows mainly 70-75F.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 120 PM EDT Tuesday .

The extended period will remain unsettled. A slow moving weak upper level trough from the OH/TN Valleys (Fri night) will track across the FA this weekend into early next week. Meanwhile . hi pres will sit nearly stationary over the wrn Atlantic. Models suggest plentiful moisture through much of the period and there will likely be a sfc frontal boundary sitting over the local area (dissipating Mon-Tue). Expecting rather widespread coverage of SHRAs/tstms from Fri night through the weekend w/ locally heavy rain and poss flooding. A transition to more typical Summer conditions (and mainly diurnal pcpn) likely to occur Mon- Tue Otw. VRB clouds-mostly cloudy through the period Highs Sat/Sun mainly in the l-m80s. lows mainly in the u60s-l70s. Highs Mon-Tue in the mid-upr 80s.

AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 100 PM EDT Tuesday .

Other than ISOLD tstms this afternoon/early this evening and patchy FG/ST again late tonight/early Wed . VFR conditions expected through the 18Z TAF forecast period. Outside of scattered afternoon/evening tstms Wed . which could result in brief flight restrictions . mainly VFR conditions expected. There is increased confidence for higher chances of SHRAs/tstms Thu through the weekend.

MARINE. As of 245 PM EDT Tuesday .

Quiet marine conditions continue this afternoon with high pressure centered well offshore and a weak lee trough in place across inland areas. Winds are generally southerly between 5-10 knots over the Ches Bay with winds averaging 10-15 knots offshore. Waves are around 1 foot with seas offshore aob 2 ft.

A modest increase in SSE winds 10-15 knots this evening for the bay will subside back to 5-10 knots overnight. Expect a similar pattern to persist Wednesday into Thursday with some potential for mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Weather becomes increasingly unsettled Friday into the weekend as a front and weak low pressure impact the region. A period of onshore/ENE winds is expected in the wake of the front with the potential for seas to build to 4-5 ft offshore from late Saturday into early next week.

EQUIPMENT. As of 120 PM EDT Tuesday .

KAKQ radar back in service. Additional maintenance is planned Wed and/or Thu (wx permitting).

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ALB/MPR NEAR TERM . ALB SHORT TERM . ALB LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . ALB MARINE . AJB EQUIPMENT . AKQ


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44089 21 mi22 min 77°F2 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 26 mi48 min SSW 8.9 G 15 82°F 89°F1014.4 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 36 mi48 min SSW 8 G 9.9 76°F 73°F1015.6 hPa
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 38 mi48 min SSE 14 G 15 1014.5 hPa
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 45 mi30 min S 9.7 G 9.7 84°F 86°F1016.5 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 46 mi48 min SSW 5.1 G 5.1 87°F 83°F1013.7 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 48 mi48 min SSE 7 G 9.9 85°F 85°F1013.6 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Wallops Flight Facility Airport, VA7 mi24 minSSW 1010.00 miFair79°F77°F94%1014.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KWAL

Wind History from WAL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S8S7S5S7S6S6S7S6S5S6S8SW7S10S12S14S11SW5S10S8S11S10S12S10
1 day agoS7S6------S5SW3S4S3S4SW3S5S3S6S8S8SE10S11S10S12S11S9S10S7
2 days agoS3S5CalmCalmCalmCalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3--SE7SE7SE9SE10S11S10S7S11S9S9

Tide / Current Tables for Shelltown, Pocomoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Shelltown
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:12 AM EDT     0.72 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:21 AM EDT     2.18 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:06 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:55 PM EDT     2.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.70.81.11.51.92.22.121.61.30.90.70.60.711.522.42.52.42.21.81.5

Tide / Current Tables for Pocomoke City, Pocomoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Pocomoke City
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:11 AM EDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:14 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:38 AM EDT     1.48 feet High Tide
Tue -- 12:47 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Tue -- 01:40 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:05 PM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:12 PM EDT     1.71 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.10.90.70.60.60.81.11.31.51.51.41.20.90.70.50.50.50.711.41.61.71.71.5

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.