Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for French-Rumbly, MD
April 18, 2024 3:08 AM EDT (07:08 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:19 AM Sunset 7:43 PM Moonrise 1:52 PM Moonset 3:10 AM |
ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 144 Am Edt Thu Apr 18 2024
Overnight - SW winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Thu night - NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Fri night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers.
Sat - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sat night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Sun - NW winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming se. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon - N winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming se. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ500 144 Am Edt Thu Apr 18 2024
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
a stationary front will linger nearby tonight before a cold front tracks through on Thursday morning. A stronger cold front approaches the region on Friday into Saturday morning. High pressure gradually pushes in from the west by late in the weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed at times from Thursday into the weekend.
a stationary front will linger nearby tonight before a cold front tracks through on Thursday morning. A stronger cold front approaches the region on Friday into Saturday morning. High pressure gradually pushes in from the west by late in the weekend. Small craft advisories may be needed at times from Thursday into the weekend.
Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 180703 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 303 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry and warm conditions are expected today. A backdoor cold front drops south of the area late this afternoon through tonight, with a stronger cold front crossing the region Friday night. Rain chances increase late Sunday into early Monday as low pressure tracks along a stalled frontal boundary across the Carolinas.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...
Early morning wx analysis shows low pressure located along a frontal boundary over the upper eastern shore/southern DE, while an upper shortwave is passing by just to our north. It is very mild with temps in the 60s due to being in the warm sector south of the low.
The low will move offshore today and will drag a very weak cold front through the are later this morning. Winds turn to the W then NW behind the front but there will be little to no CAA (outside of the MD Ern Shore) through the day. Outside of some low clouds on the MD eastern shore (especially during the morning after the front comes through), skies will average mostly sunny. With downsloping W- NW winds and little in the way of CAA, temperatures will rebound into the lower-mid 80s in most areas by the aftn (with 70s on the eastern shore). Areas along the coast will probably see highs early in the aftn with falling temperatures during the mid-late aftn period as the flow turns onshore as a backdoor cold front arrives from the NE.
That backdoor cold front will pick up speed as it crosses the area from NW-SE from late this aftn-tonight, and am expecting it to move SW of the CWA by late tonight with winds becoming NE area-wide (could actually see some gusts to 25 mph near the coast this evening for a few hours right after the front pushes through). Temps quickly drop into the 50s after the FROPA and forecast lows range from the mid 40s to lower 50s. In addition, low stratus will overspread the entire area overnight with the onshore flow behind the front (although not really expecting much in the way of fog with 5-15 mph winds).
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...
Strong low pressure tracks from the Canadian Prairies to Ontario/Quebec from today-Friday evening, and this will push a stronger cold front toward the region (which will approach from the NW). The backdoor front is progged to retreat during the day on Fri as that stronger cold front approaches. The temperature forecast will depend on how fast that front retreats (and also how quickly the low stratus burns off). Have trended the forecast cooler (especially near the immediate Atlantic coast and on the eastern shore) where temps likely won't get out of the 60s. Temps may struggle to reach 60F on Fri in/near Ocean City. Still think it warms well into the 70s-80F across interior srn VA and NE NC. The greatest amount of uncertainty with respect to temps on Fri is near the RIC Metro/I-64 Corridor (where model solutions range from the 60s to mid 70s).
Rain chances will return, though not until later Friday afternoon.
Rain will be scattered at first before increasing in coverage a bit more after ~8pm. Any chances for thunderstorms will likely be focused across the west/southwest portion of the CWA since the backdoor cold front will be retreating across the east. All of that being said, this is not looking like a major rain event, or even moderate rain for that matter. QPF forecasts are still showing barely .10-.20" in a few spots, though that may even be a stretch.
The front likely moves south of the FA by the middle of Saturday morning, and isolated to perhaps scattered showers will likely linger over the area through that time (and potentially Sat aftn across far SE VA/NE NC...although PoPs are only 20% given the expected lack of coverage). We should see at least partial clearing over the NW 1/3 to 1/2 of the area by Sat aftn as drier air filters in behind the front. As of now, forecast highs Sat are in the upper 60s-lower 70s (although it may be cooler if clouds/showers linger longer than expected...which seems most likely across srn portions of the area).
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...
A stronger shot of CAA arrives Saturday night into Sunday morning.
Low temperatures will dip into the mid 40s. On Sunday, a southern stream low pressure system is progged to move out of the Gulf Coast states and into the Carolinas. The system then deepens offshore Sunday night into Monday. This means that rain chances will return, potentially by Sunday afternoon, and continue Sunday night into Monday. The main forecast challenge lies in figuring out how far north the rain will get, and this will have an impact on high temps Sunday and potentially Monday if light rain lingers near the area on the back side of the system. Forecast highs are in the 60s on both days, but temps will drop into the 50s on Sun once the rain arrives (and won't get out of the 50s on Mon if the rain lingers long enough). Exact details will be worked out in the coming days, but have likely PoPs in far SE VA/NE NC late Sun-Mon AM tapering to slight chance from LKU-SBY. High pressure briefly builds over the area Tue AM before another system brings shower chances to the area by Wednesday. Although it will be cool Tuesday morning, temps should rebound nicely during the day as the high moves offshore and winds become southerly.
AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 135 AM EDT Thursday...
VFR conditions prevail through this evening before deteriorating tonight. Today will be dry despite a weak cold front crossing the area during the morning-midday. Expect clear skies outside of FEW-SCT cumulus during the late morning-aftn. Winds will become NW at 5-10 kt by late morning-midday. Then, a backdoor cold front crosses the terminals from NE to SW between 21-03z.
Winds become NE at ~10 kt (could see a brief period of 20 kt gusts near the coast) following the FROPA. In addition, MVFR- IFR stratus likely overspreads the entire area tonight/early Fri AM as the front moves well SW of the terminals. MVFR to IFR CIGs are likely at all of the terminals after 06z Fri.
Outlook: Conditions slowly improve Friday (although restrictions may persist at SBY through much of the day) as the backdoor front retreats to the NE. A stronger cold front arrives from the NW and crosses the area late Friday/Friday night with scattered showers. Rain chances generally end after Sat morning, but return later Sunday into early Monday as low pressure passes through the Carolinas.
MARINE
As of 245 PM EDT Wednesday...
Afternoon analysis shows low pressure over Wisconsin with an associated cold front extending SE then S across the Ohio Valley.
High pressure has moved well off the Southeast coast. A warm front has lifted NE across the waters today with winds generally from the S or SE 5-10 kt. Waves are 1-2 ft with seas 2-3 ft.
Generally quiet marine conditions continue late this afternoon into the first half of Thursday. A back door cold front is forecast to drop from NE to SW Thursday afternoon into the evening. Winds become N then NW behind the front but are expected to remain below SCA thresholds. A series of fronts will move through the region Friday into Saturday. The back door front returns north ahead of a stronger cold front set to cross the waters early Saturday. N winds will follow the second front but still below SCA levels. Seas may build to 4-5 ft for the coastal waters N of Parramore Island Thursday night into early Friday but with low confidence regarding the magnitude and exact timing.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 303 AM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024
SYNOPSIS
Dry and warm conditions are expected today. A backdoor cold front drops south of the area late this afternoon through tonight, with a stronger cold front crossing the region Friday night. Rain chances increase late Sunday into early Monday as low pressure tracks along a stalled frontal boundary across the Carolinas.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...
Early morning wx analysis shows low pressure located along a frontal boundary over the upper eastern shore/southern DE, while an upper shortwave is passing by just to our north. It is very mild with temps in the 60s due to being in the warm sector south of the low.
The low will move offshore today and will drag a very weak cold front through the are later this morning. Winds turn to the W then NW behind the front but there will be little to no CAA (outside of the MD Ern Shore) through the day. Outside of some low clouds on the MD eastern shore (especially during the morning after the front comes through), skies will average mostly sunny. With downsloping W- NW winds and little in the way of CAA, temperatures will rebound into the lower-mid 80s in most areas by the aftn (with 70s on the eastern shore). Areas along the coast will probably see highs early in the aftn with falling temperatures during the mid-late aftn period as the flow turns onshore as a backdoor cold front arrives from the NE.
That backdoor cold front will pick up speed as it crosses the area from NW-SE from late this aftn-tonight, and am expecting it to move SW of the CWA by late tonight with winds becoming NE area-wide (could actually see some gusts to 25 mph near the coast this evening for a few hours right after the front pushes through). Temps quickly drop into the 50s after the FROPA and forecast lows range from the mid 40s to lower 50s. In addition, low stratus will overspread the entire area overnight with the onshore flow behind the front (although not really expecting much in the way of fog with 5-15 mph winds).
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...
Strong low pressure tracks from the Canadian Prairies to Ontario/Quebec from today-Friday evening, and this will push a stronger cold front toward the region (which will approach from the NW). The backdoor front is progged to retreat during the day on Fri as that stronger cold front approaches. The temperature forecast will depend on how fast that front retreats (and also how quickly the low stratus burns off). Have trended the forecast cooler (especially near the immediate Atlantic coast and on the eastern shore) where temps likely won't get out of the 60s. Temps may struggle to reach 60F on Fri in/near Ocean City. Still think it warms well into the 70s-80F across interior srn VA and NE NC. The greatest amount of uncertainty with respect to temps on Fri is near the RIC Metro/I-64 Corridor (where model solutions range from the 60s to mid 70s).
Rain chances will return, though not until later Friday afternoon.
Rain will be scattered at first before increasing in coverage a bit more after ~8pm. Any chances for thunderstorms will likely be focused across the west/southwest portion of the CWA since the backdoor cold front will be retreating across the east. All of that being said, this is not looking like a major rain event, or even moderate rain for that matter. QPF forecasts are still showing barely .10-.20" in a few spots, though that may even be a stretch.
The front likely moves south of the FA by the middle of Saturday morning, and isolated to perhaps scattered showers will likely linger over the area through that time (and potentially Sat aftn across far SE VA/NE NC...although PoPs are only 20% given the expected lack of coverage). We should see at least partial clearing over the NW 1/3 to 1/2 of the area by Sat aftn as drier air filters in behind the front. As of now, forecast highs Sat are in the upper 60s-lower 70s (although it may be cooler if clouds/showers linger longer than expected...which seems most likely across srn portions of the area).
LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 300 AM EDT Thursday...
A stronger shot of CAA arrives Saturday night into Sunday morning.
Low temperatures will dip into the mid 40s. On Sunday, a southern stream low pressure system is progged to move out of the Gulf Coast states and into the Carolinas. The system then deepens offshore Sunday night into Monday. This means that rain chances will return, potentially by Sunday afternoon, and continue Sunday night into Monday. The main forecast challenge lies in figuring out how far north the rain will get, and this will have an impact on high temps Sunday and potentially Monday if light rain lingers near the area on the back side of the system. Forecast highs are in the 60s on both days, but temps will drop into the 50s on Sun once the rain arrives (and won't get out of the 50s on Mon if the rain lingers long enough). Exact details will be worked out in the coming days, but have likely PoPs in far SE VA/NE NC late Sun-Mon AM tapering to slight chance from LKU-SBY. High pressure briefly builds over the area Tue AM before another system brings shower chances to the area by Wednesday. Although it will be cool Tuesday morning, temps should rebound nicely during the day as the high moves offshore and winds become southerly.
AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 135 AM EDT Thursday...
VFR conditions prevail through this evening before deteriorating tonight. Today will be dry despite a weak cold front crossing the area during the morning-midday. Expect clear skies outside of FEW-SCT cumulus during the late morning-aftn. Winds will become NW at 5-10 kt by late morning-midday. Then, a backdoor cold front crosses the terminals from NE to SW between 21-03z.
Winds become NE at ~10 kt (could see a brief period of 20 kt gusts near the coast) following the FROPA. In addition, MVFR- IFR stratus likely overspreads the entire area tonight/early Fri AM as the front moves well SW of the terminals. MVFR to IFR CIGs are likely at all of the terminals after 06z Fri.
Outlook: Conditions slowly improve Friday (although restrictions may persist at SBY through much of the day) as the backdoor front retreats to the NE. A stronger cold front arrives from the NW and crosses the area late Friday/Friday night with scattered showers. Rain chances generally end after Sat morning, but return later Sunday into early Monday as low pressure passes through the Carolinas.
MARINE
As of 245 PM EDT Wednesday...
Afternoon analysis shows low pressure over Wisconsin with an associated cold front extending SE then S across the Ohio Valley.
High pressure has moved well off the Southeast coast. A warm front has lifted NE across the waters today with winds generally from the S or SE 5-10 kt. Waves are 1-2 ft with seas 2-3 ft.
Generally quiet marine conditions continue late this afternoon into the first half of Thursday. A back door cold front is forecast to drop from NE to SW Thursday afternoon into the evening. Winds become N then NW behind the front but are expected to remain below SCA thresholds. A series of fronts will move through the region Friday into Saturday. The back door front returns north ahead of a stronger cold front set to cross the waters early Saturday. N winds will follow the second front but still below SCA levels. Seas may build to 4-5 ft for the coastal waters N of Parramore Island Thursday night into early Friday but with low confidence regarding the magnitude and exact timing.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD | 17 mi | 51 min | WSW 11G | 67°F | 65°F | 29.87 | ||
| 44042 - Potomac, MD | 28 mi | 39 min | WNW 14G | 61°F | 59°F | 1 ft | ||
| WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA | 31 mi | 51 min | WSW 8G | 72°F | 65°F | 29.86 | ||
| 44089 | 32 mi | 43 min | 54°F | 3 ft | ||||
| LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA | 35 mi | 51 min | WSW 8.9G | 70°F | 64°F | 29.87 | ||
| RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA | 37 mi | 51 min | SSW 15G | 29.92 | ||||
| CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD | 39 mi | 51 min | W 1.9G | 60°F | 29.88 | |||
| COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD | 39 mi | 51 min | SSW 9.9G | 69°F | 29.87 | |||
| PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD | 39 mi | 51 min | NW 17G | |||||
| SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD | 39 mi | 51 min | WSW 11G | 67°F | 58°F | 29.86 | ||
| 44058 - Stingray Point, VA | 41 mi | 39 min | WSW 14G | 66°F | 60°F | 1 ft | ||
| OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD | 42 mi | 51 min | SSW 9.9G | 55°F | 54°F | 29.82 | ||
| 44062 - Gooses Reef, MD | 48 mi | 39 min | N 16G | 55°F | 58°F | 1 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KWAL WALLOPS FLIGHT FACILITY,VA | 19 sm | 14 min | S 05 | 10 sm | Partly Cloudy | 64°F | 57°F | 77% | 29.87 |
Tide / Current for Long Point, Big Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Long Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:10 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 04:34 AM EDT 0.40 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:22 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 10:36 AM EDT 1.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:51 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 05:13 PM EDT 0.42 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:57 PM EDT 1.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:10 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 04:34 AM EDT 0.40 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:22 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 10:36 AM EDT 1.95 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:51 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 05:13 PM EDT 0.42 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:57 PM EDT 1.94 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Long Point, Big Annemessex River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.5 |
| 1 am |
| 1.2 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.4 |
| 5 am |
| 0.4 |
| 6 am |
| 0.6 |
| 7 am |
| 1 |
| 8 am |
| 1.4 |
| 9 am |
| 1.7 |
| 10 am |
| 1.9 |
| 11 am |
| 1.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 4 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.8 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.9 |
Salisbury
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:51 AM EDT -0.52 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:10 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:21 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:12 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:13 AM EDT 0.42 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:53 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:50 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 04:42 PM EDT -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:05 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:38 PM EDT 0.43 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:14 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:51 AM EDT -0.52 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:10 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:21 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 07:12 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:13 AM EDT 0.42 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:53 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:50 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 04:42 PM EDT -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:42 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 08:05 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 10:38 PM EDT 0.43 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 0.1 |
| 1 am |
| -0.2 |
| 2 am |
| -0.4 |
| 3 am |
| -0.5 |
| 4 am |
| -0.5 |
| 5 am |
| -0.4 |
| 6 am |
| -0.3 |
| 7 am |
| -0 |
| 8 am |
| 0.2 |
| 9 am |
| 0.3 |
| 10 am |
| 0.4 |
| 11 am |
| 0.4 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 1 pm |
| -0 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 5 pm |
| -0.6 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 8 pm |
| -0 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.4 |
Dover AFB, DE,
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