Stockton, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Stockton, MD

April 12, 2024 5:38 PM EDT (21:38 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:28 AM   Sunset 7:37 PM
Moonrise 7:51 AM   Moonset 11:39 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ650 Coastal Waters From Fenwick Island De To Chincoteague Va Out 20 Nm- 349 Pm Edt Fri Apr 12 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon - .

Through 7 pm - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds. A slight chance of showers.

Tonight - SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 7 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.

Sat - W winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 6 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.

Sat night - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts to 25 kt in the evening. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 9 seconds.

Sun - W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 8 seconds.

Sun night - SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds.

Mon - W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

Mon night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas around 3 ft.

Tue - NE winds 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft.

Tue night - SE winds 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.

ANZ600 349 Pm Edt Fri Apr 12 2024

Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers -
a secondary cold front crosses the area this evening, with winds remaining elevated through Saturday afternoon. High pressure builds across the gulf coast late Saturday, and shifts off the southeast coast by early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stockton, MD
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 122009 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 409 PM EDT Fri Apr 12 2024

SYNOPSIS
Breezy conditions continue into Saturday. A substantial warming trend is expected Sunday into early next week with high pressure building in.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
As of 250 PM EDT Friday...

Upper trough and shortwave move through today into this evening which has allowed isolated showers to re-develop. Some small graupel is possible in the deepest convective cores but locally enhanced winds are the main hazard from scattered showers into this evening. Outside of any shower activity, strong W/SW winds will remain gusty this evening and are not expected to decouple overnight. Coverage of showers should decrease substantially with the loss of heating but with robust forcing aloft will keep a slight chance for showers this evening. Lows tonight fall into the upper 40s to low 50s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 250 PM EDT Friday...

The upper trough will begin to lift away from the region on Saturday but the surface gradient will remain steep with continued gusty W winds. Drying aloft will result in mostly clear skies over much of the region with just a few/scattered clouds across the MD Eastern Shore and vicinity. Temperatures will rise into the upper 60s to low 70s inland with low to mid 60s over the Eastern Shore. Lows Saturday night fall into the low and mid 40s with light winds.

Warming trend gets underway on Sunday as surface high pressure sets up off the GA/FL Atlantic coast, bringing SW flow into the area.
Highs climb into the upper 70s/low 80s for most of the area but the Eastern Shore remains in the low 70s with flow off the bay. Not as cold Sunday night with lows in the mid 50s to low 60s. Warmer still and remaining dry on Monday with highs in the 70s near the water with lower/mid 80s inland.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 145 PM EDT Friday...

Warm and mostly dry conditions are expected through the extended forecast period. A weakening front will dip southward into the region Monday night but guidance is not showing much (if any) precip with this boundary. This front is forecast to lift back northward on Tuesday as low level flow becomes southerly ahead of low pressure lifting into the Midwest from the Plains. Low level thicknesses increase Tues-Thurs with 850 temps around 15 C, resulting in afternoon high temps in the low to mid 80s away from the water Tuesday. Slightly cooler, around 80 degrees, Wednesday with more clouds in the area and a slight chance of showers across the northern half of the region. The warmest day of the forecast looks to arrive on Thursday with inland temps in the mid to upper 80s and upper 70s to low 80s at the coast. The cold front moves toward the area Friday with a chance for showers and possibly thunderstorms.
Not quite as warm but afternoon highs still in the upper 70s to low 80s. Overnight temps will be mild as well with lows in the 50s and 60s.

AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 145 PM EDT Friday...

VFR flying conditions across the area this afternoon. Satellite and surface observations show SCT/BKN CU with a few showers popping up over the last hour or two. Local reductions in flight category are possible in and around these showers. Winds are generally W at 15-25 kt with gusts 25-40 kt this afternoon.
Winds relax a bit as mixing wanes late afternoon into the evening but are expected to stay around 10-15 kt with gusts around 20 kt through the overnight. Gusty again Saturday as mixing gets going in the morning.

Outlook: Dry and VFR Sunday into early next week with lighter winds.

MARINE
As of 350 PM EDT Friday...

Latest obs shows WSW winds 20-25 kt with gusts to 30 kt and seas 5-8 ft N and 5-7 ft S, with 2-4 ft waves in the Bay and 2-3 ft in the rivers. Winds remain gusty through Saturday aftn w/ SCAs continuing for all the waters. Deep mixing will diminish towards sunset with winds dropping off (possibly to below SCA thresholds in the Bay/rivers/sound for awhile this evening).
Another surge in winds is expected along and behind as secondary cold front later tonight, with winds becoming W 20-25 kt (with gusts to around 30 kt) into early Sat afternoon. A similar setup to Fri afternoon is expected Sat afternoon with the gustiest winds over the tidal rivers, but winds will tend to drop off a little earlier and will further diminish Sat night.

Sub-SCA winds return Saturday night through most of Sunday as high pressure settles over the southeast CONUS. SW winds may then briefly increase again to near SCA thresholds Sun night into Mon morning ahead of the next front. That front is forecast to drop through the area Monday, with winds turning to the NE and then to the E-SE Monday night into Tuesday (generally staying sub-SCA through this timeframe).

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
As of 355 PM EDT Friday...

Key Messages/Headline Summary:

1) Coastal Flood Advisory remains in Currituck Co. NC and Va Beach for soundside flooding extended through 7 PM. A Coastal Flood statement is in effect through this evening for the east side of the Bay in MD as well as Accomack.

The strong southerly surge has passed with winds now WSW across the region. Tidal departures are slowly falling, but remain elevated (to near 2 ft above astronomical tides) across the upper Bay. No additional tidal flooding is expected after tonight as W winds continue to flush water out of the Bay.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for NCZ017- 102.
VA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM EDT this evening for VAZ098.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ630>638- 650-652-654-656-658.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
44089 22 mi43 min 50°F6 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 22 mi51 min W 18G25 67°F 56°F29.51
44084 35 mi43 min 49°F4 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 37 mi51 min WSW 11G19 69°F 67°F29.59
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 39 mi51 min WNW 7G8.9 62°F 63°F29.58
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 43 mi39 min SSW 12G16 55°F 50°F29.5650°F


Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KWAL WALLOPS FLIGHT FACILITY,VA 12 sm44 minSW 20G2910 smOvercast66°F43°F43%29.59
KOXB OCEAN CITY MUNI,MD 20 sm45 minW 19G3110 smPartly Cloudy73°F41°F31%29.56
KSBY SALISBURYOCEAN CITY WICOMICO RGNL,MD 21 sm44 minW 12G2310 smMostly Cloudy63°F45°F52%29.58
Link to 5 minute data for KWAL


Wind History from WAL
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Assacorkin Island, Chincoteague Bay, Maryland
   
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Assacorkin Island
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Fri -- 02:31 AM EDT     0.59 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 09:18 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:09 PM EDT     0.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:15 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Assacorkin Island, Chincoteague Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
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Tide / Current for Public Landing, Chincoteague Bay, Maryland
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Public Landing
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Fri -- 03:56 AM EDT     0.53 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:03 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:34 PM EDT     0.43 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:00 PM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Public Landing, Chincoteague Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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