Stockton, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Stockton, MD

December 7, 2023 2:06 PM EST (19:06 UTC)
Sunrise 7:04AM   Sunset 4:43PM   Moonrise  1:32AM   Moonset 1:32PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      Help
ANZ650 Coastal Waters From Fenwick Island De To Chincoteague Va Out 20 Nm- 945 Am Est Thu Dec 7 2023
Rest of today..W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw late. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 6 seconds.
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 7 seconds.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mainly se swell. Dominant period 8 seconds.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Dominant period 10 seconds.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds.
Sat night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Dominant period 5 seconds.
Sun..S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 6 to 8 ft in the afternoon. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Sun night..S winds 25 to 30 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Gusts to 45 kt. Seas 7 to 9 ft. Showers, mainly in the evening.
Mon..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft.
Mon night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft.

ANZ600 945 Am Est Thu Dec 7 2023
Synopsis for fenwick island de to currituck beach light nc out 20 nautical miles including virginia portion of the chesapeake bay, currituck sound and portions of the james, york, and rappahannock rivers..
high pressure builds in from the west today, then gradually slides off the southeast coast on Friday. A strong cold front will approach from the west on Saturday, and is expected to impact the local waters Sunday through Sunday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stockton, MD
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map

Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
      (on/off)   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA Issued by National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC 952 AM EST Thu Dec 7 2023

High pressure builds south of the area today, before pushing offshore Friday into Saturday. A strong frontal system likely impacts the region on Sunday. High pressure builds back into the region early next week.

As of 940 AM EST Thursday...

Only minor adjustments to the near term forecast, mainly to capture trends in hourly elements of sky cover, temps and dew points, otherwise no significant changes to the ongoing forecast. Latest analysis reveals 1028+mb sfc high pressure centered over the southeastern CONUS. Aloft, mid-level ridging is building east of the Mississippi River this morning, as the upper trough that pushed through our region yesterday pushes farther offshore. To the west, deepening low pressure over western Canada and the northern Rockies continues to build east toward the northern high plains. This system and a potent southern stream shortwave trough will combine to bring our next weather-maker to the region late in the upcoming weekend.

Cool and dry across the region today. High pressure will continue to build to our south centered south of the local area. A shortwave will pass us by on the northern periphery of the building mid-level ridge, leading to a bit of increased mid to high-level cloudiness across the northeastern half of the forecast area. Otherwise, it will be mostly sunny for most with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Not quite as cold tonight with light SW flow across the region. Look for early morning lows to range from the mid-upper 20s NW to the mid to upper 30s SE.

As of 335 AM EST Thursday...

Remaining dry through Saturday, with temperatures moderating as surface high pressure slides offshore Friday, then moves well out to sea Friday night through the weekend. The increasingly southerly flow will allow for a quick moderating trend to temperatures, with continued dry weather to prevail Friday night and Saturday. Meanwhile, low pressure will begin to take shape over the central and southern high plains Friday night.
That system is forecast to lift E-NE along a strong cold front Friday night into Saturday from the Gulf Coast up through the Ohio Valley. Low temperatures Friday night will range from the mid- low 30s NW to the 40s across the S/SE. High temperatures Saturday afternoon will range from the upper 50s to around 60 N to the upper 60s S.

As of 335 AM EST Thursday...

All attention then turns to our next weather maker Sunday and Sunday night, as previously referenced strong cold front approaches and crosses the region. Out ahead of the front, PW values surge from 0.5-0.75 Sat night to ~1.50" by late in the day Sunday into Sunday night. Temperatures will remain well into the 50s to near 60 Sat night into Sunday, with highs in the 60s to low 70s expected Sunday on breezy SSW winds. Rain chances will increase from west to east after midnight late Saturday night into Sunday morning in the piedmont, into the day Sunday over the rest of the area. Highest rain chances still appear likely during the Sunday late afternoon to Sunday night time frame. This system certainly has the potential to bring some beneficial rainfall to the region, with the latest ensemble means of both the 00z GEFS and EPS now showing a large swath of ~1.00" to 1.50" areawide, with locally higher totals likely. WPC has the entire region highlighted in a Day 4 Marginal ERO and we will need to keep an eye on the potential for at least some localized flooding, especially in flood-prone and urban areas.
The concern for at least localized strong to severe storms continues to slowly build, as well. Given such a dynamic system and very strong winds just off the surface (latest GFS/ECMWF each depict 925mb winds cranking to ~45-50 kt Sunday evening).
Availability of shear is not in question, either with 30-40 kt of 0-1km shear progged by both GFS/ECMWF. Rather, the primary challenge/issue is the degree of instability in the pseudo-warm sector ahead of the approaching frontal system, and this will need to be monitored over the next 2-3 days. For now, have included Thunder chances for the entire area and edged PoPs into categorical to high-end likely range (70-90% Sunday into Sunday night) with rain chances ramping back down Monday morning as the front crosses offshore.

While SPC does not yet have our area highlighted, machine learning models continue to key in at the possibility of severe weather/damaging wind gusts across the region on Sunday. early morning data from both CIPS SVR Analog and the CSU Machine-Learning Page are each showing an increasing signal for SVR probs over the lower mid-Atlantic for this time frame. Stay tuned and pay close attention as we continue to refine the forecast over the next couple of days.

Rain should come to an end quickly in the wake of the front late Sunday night into Monday morning, as high pressure builds back into the region. Becoming gusty behind the front on Monday with highs only in the 50s. Winds ease Monday night and Tuesday, with dry conditions and cooler temperatures to prevail for the first half of next week.

As of 545 AM EST Thursday...

VFR conditions across area terminals will prevail through the TAF period. Mainly clear skies this morning with light winds, increasing to 7-10 kt with gusts to ~15 kt (mainly at ORF/PHF/SBY) late this morning and this afternoon. Mid-level cloud cover will return over roughly the NE half of the area, becoming SCT- BKN at RIC and SBY in the aftn.

Outlook: VFR/dry conditions prevail through the remainder of the work week. A strong cold front approaches from the west from Saturday night into Sunday, bringing our next chances for sub- VFR conditions and gusty winds, along with additional periods of rainfall.

As of 340 AM EST Thursday...

High pressure is centered over the Southeast U.S. and is bringing colder air in this morning. This is keeping the NW winds elevated early this morning. The center of the high will shift east towards the GA coast this afternoon, allowing for winds the diminish throughout the morning. Winds will become SW ~15 kt this afternoon with the high remaining centered to our south. A weak sfc trough will track from NW to SE over the Northeast U.S. later today, which may result in an uptick in SW winds tonight to 15-20 kt. A Small Craft Advisory remain in effect this morning for the Chesapeake Bay and Atlantic Ocean coastal waters until 7 A.M. this morning. SCA will continue into the afternoon for ocean waters south of Cape Charles for seas around 5 ft.

The center of high pressure will move over the Atlantic Ocean on Friday and winds turn S and diminish to 10 kt or less. This will allow seas to further diminish to 2-3 ft and waves to 1-2 ft. Benign conditions continue for the first part of the weekend with the high remains just off the coast.

Still looks like a strong storm system will impact the area on Sunday and into Monday. Strong southerly winds are expected on Sunday and a low pressure system track just inland from the coast.
South winds with gale force gusts are possible through the day on Sunday and into Sunday night. The low pressure will continue to strengthen as it move north of the area and as cold air moves in.
Therefore, gale conditions are also possible as winds become NW late Sunday night or Monday as the low tracks away from the area.

MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Friday for ANZ630-631.
Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 4 AM EST Friday for ANZ632-634.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ656- 658.

Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
44089 22 mi71 min 53°F3 ft
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 22 mi67 min W 8G9.9 44°F 47°F30.02
44084 35 mi71 min 50°F2 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 37 mi67 min W 7G9.9 46°F 46°F30.08
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 39 mi67 min WSW 17G19 46°F 43°F30.07
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 43 mi47 min W 7.8G14 43°F 54°F4 ft30.0633°F

toggle option: (graph/table)

Wind History for Ocean City Inlet, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KWAL WALLOPS FLIGHT FACILITY,VA 12 sm12 minWSW 11G1910 smMostly Cloudy46°F28°F49%30.06
KOXB OCEAN CITY MUNI,MD 20 sm13 minW 09G1710 smOvercast46°F27°F46%30.05
KSBY SALISBURYOCEAN CITY WICOMICO RGNL,MD 21 sm12 minSW 1010 smOvercast46°F28°F49%30.04

Wind History from WAL
(wind in knots)

Tide / Current for Assacorkin Island, Maryland
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Assacorkin Island, Maryland, Tide feet

Tide / Current for Jesters Island, Virginia
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Jesters Island, Virginia, Tide feet

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help

GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic   

Dover AFB, DE,

NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE