Fairmount, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fairmount, MD

June 17, 2024 2:07 PM EDT (18:07 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:36 AM   Sunset 8:30 PM
Moonrise 3:25 PM   Moonset 1:27 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 134 Pm Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .

This afternoon - S winds 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Tonight - S winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Tue night - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Fri - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

ANZ500 134 Pm Edt Mon Jun 17 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will remain anchored offshore through the week. A warm front will lift northeastward away from the mid-atlantic today. Small craft advisories may be needed for portions of the waters each afternoon and evening Tuesday through Friday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairmount, MD
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 171755 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 155 PM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure drifts off the New England coast through midweek.
A very warm and dry pattern then looks to take hold for much of the week ahead. Heat peaks this weekend with highs in the upper 90s to low 100s.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 155 PM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Very warm and moderately humid conditions this afternoon.

- Small chance for an isolated shower or storm well inland.
Otherwise, remaining dry today and through much of the week ahead.

Latest analysis reveals 1024mb high pressure is centered just offshore of the New England coast, with the surface ridge axis extending S-SW across the lower mid-Atlantic coast. Aloft, well-advertised, and anomalously strong, upper level ridge was centered just to our south this afternoon. Some isolated convection has begun to fire along a weak lee trough up in the Blue Ridge region into E WV. Despite large scale subsidence associated with the strengthening upper ridge, CAMs do continue to show at least some weak convection potentially sneaking into our far NW counties (US-15 corridor) late this afternoon into early evening before weakening.

Otherwise, very warm and dry weather continues. Afternoon highs in the low 90s for areas along and west of I-95 still look good, with upper 80s to the east and mid 80s along the coast. Td values are a bit higher than we've seen in recent days, but remain manageable, especially with some more mixing allow them to fall back into the lower 60s by late afternoon.

Any sparse shower/storm activity wanes quickly this evening.
Remaining partly to mostly clear overnight w/early morning lows generally in the mid-upper 60s (highest in the Piedmont and near the coast where some lingering mid-clouds and low-level moisture will be more robust).

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
As of 155 PM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Continued warm and dry through the midweek period as the core of the upper ridge lifts just north of the local area.

Surface high pressure remains anchored offshore of the mid- Atlantic Tuesday and Wednesday, before weakening slightly as it builds down into the Carolinas by Thu. Weak low-level onshore flow maintains an atypical temperature pattern (warmer NW, cooler SE) in place. Highs each day will be in the upper 80s SE (mid 80s at near the coast) to the low 90s NW, with highs increasing into the upper 80s to low 90s on Thu. Dewpoints will remain in the 60s which will keep heat index values very near the air temp. Clouds, outside of typical afternoon cumulus, will be hard to come by with strong ridging aloft. Low temps mainly in the 60s each night with low 70s possible along the coast.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 155 PM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Hot and increasingly humid conditions expected Saturday and Sunday.

- Remaining mainly dry through the week.

The anomalously strong upper heat ridge peaks at around ~600 dam over the northeast Friday morning. Highs inland rise into the mid 90s for the NW half of the area on Friday with low 90s to the SE (upper 80s near the immediate coast). Dew points look to mix out into the 60s once again, so max heat index values remain within 1-2 deg F of the air temperature.

Looking ahead, the main weather story this weekend remains the persistent and increasingly oppressive heat. Sfc high pressure slides into a more typical summertime Bermuda Ridge pattern in the western Atlantic. This allows return flow to pull in hot and more humid air into the region over the weekend, with PW rebounding back toward typical climo values for late June.
EPS/GEFS probs and thickness schemes from both the ECMWF and GFS continue to favor widespread highs in the upper 90s and Max Heat Indices creeping into the upper 90s to low 100s on Saturday and potentially 105+ in spots on Sunday (especially eastern sections). Equally as important, relief at night will become increasingly harder to come by, with overnight lows only falling to around 70 degrees Friday night, and into the lower to middle 90s Sat and Sun nights. Therefore, while no heat-related headlines are necessary for much of the forecast period, it is appearing increasingly likely that we will need to ramp up heat messaging to core partners for later this week, with some heat headlines a good bet to be needed over at least a portion of the area by this weekend.

Regarding rain chances, increasing PW and the likely re-emergence of a weak lee trough by next weekend does allow for at least a better chance of some possible showers/storms by Sunday and Monday. Will maintain a slight to low-end chance (20-30%) during the late afternoon and early evening.

AVIATION /17Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 155 PM EDT Monday...

High pressure is centered off the coast, with VFR conditions across area terminals likely to persist through the 18z TAF period. SCT- BKN mid clouds with bases of 5-7 kft AGL this afternoon, with winds S 5-10 kt inland and SE 5-10 kt along the coast. Some isolated convection is possible well west of the local terminals, with little more than some lingering mid-level clouds overnight.

Outlook: Dry with VFR conditions expected to prevail through Friday, as high pressure remains centered off the coast.

MARINE
As of 230 AM EDT Monday...

Key Messages:

- Small Craft Advisories have been issued for the Chesapeake Bay from this afternoon through the evening for a brief period of 20 to 25 knot wind gusts out of the S-SE.

- A summerlike and relatively benign pattern remains in place across the waters for much of the remainder of the week.

High pressure that is now offshore will remain centered north of Bermuda for much of the week. Winds are S-SE at ~10 kt early this morning, but will increase again later today. With a slightly tighter pressure gradient this aftn/evening when compared to yesterday, am expecting a brief (2-4 hour) period of 15-20 kt S-SE winds (w/ gusts to 20-25 kt) between 3 PM and midnight (earlier S/later N) on the bay. Local wind probabilities now show about a 50- 75 percent chc of sustained 18kt+ winds across the bay. Therefore, went ahead and issued SCAs for all Ches Bay zones from this aftn through late this evening. Otherwise, the pattern becomes quite stagnant through the remainder of the week with southerly winds of 5- 15 kt with the strongest winds in the afternoon and evening hours.

Seas generally 2 to 3 feet in the ocean and waves 1-3 ft in the bay through Wed. Seas may increase to ~4 feet on Thursday and Friday as some SE swell moves toward the area.

Will continue with the moderate rip current risk for all beaches today. Flow becomes more southerly on Tuesday which will keep the moderate rip current risk confined to the northern beaches. By late week, there is a hint of a SE swell that may push seas to ~4 ft. If this happens, there will be elevated rip current risks by Thu/Fri.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ630-631.
Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ632-634.
Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT this evening for ANZ635- 636.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 13 mi50 minS 12G15 79°F 79°F30.20
44042 - Potomac, MD 27 mi44 minSE 16G19 76°F 78°F2 ft
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 34 mi50 minSSE 15G19 81°F 78°F30.20
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 34 mi50 minS 8.9G12 82°F 80°F30.18
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 35 mi50 minSSE 18G19 76°F 30.18
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 36 mi50 minS 8.9G11 81°F 77°F30.17
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 36 mi50 minS 12G15 78°F 80°F30.21
44089 37 mi42 min 73°F3 ft
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 37 mi50 minSSE 11G12
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 41 mi50 minS 13G14 30.25
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 42 mi50 minSSW 9.9G14 74°F 73°F30.18
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 43 mi44 minSSE 18G23 74°F 77°F2 ft
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 44 mi44 minSSE 16G19 77°F 78°F1 ft


Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KTGI TANGIER ISLAND,VA 21 sm12 minS 09G1410 smMostly Cloudy82°F70°F66%30.20
KWAL WALLOPS FLIGHT FACILITY,VA 23 sm13 minS 1610 smA Few Clouds82°F68°F62%30.22
KSBY SALISBURYOCEAN CITY WICOMICO RGNL,MD 24 sm13 minSSE 06G1710 smMostly Cloudy84°F66°F55%30.19
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Wind History graph: WAL
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Tide / Current for Teague Creek, Manokin River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
   
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Teague Creek
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Mon -- 02:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 05:22 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:47 AM EDT     1.75 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:08 PM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 11:17 PM EDT     2.21 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Teague Creek, Manokin River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
1.9
1
am
1.6
2
am
1.3
3
am
0.9
4
am
0.6
5
am
0.4
6
am
0.5
7
am
0.7
8
am
1.1
9
am
1.4
10
am
1.7
11
am
1.7
12
pm
1.6
1
pm
1.4
2
pm
1
3
pm
0.7
4
pm
0.4
5
pm
0.3
6
pm
0.4
7
pm
0.7
8
pm
1.2
9
pm
1.6
10
pm
2
11
pm
2.2


Tide / Current for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
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Mon -- 12:57 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 03:57 AM EDT     -0.47 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:43 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:58 AM EDT     0.25 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:00 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:37 PM EDT     -0.72 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:24 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:25 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:35 PM EDT     0.59 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current, knots
12
am
0.3
1
am
-0
2
am
-0.3
3
am
-0.4
4
am
-0.5
5
am
-0.4
6
am
-0.3
7
am
-0.1
8
am
0
9
am
0.2
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.2
12
pm
0
1
pm
-0.3
2
pm
-0.5
3
pm
-0.7
4
pm
-0.7
5
pm
-0.6
6
pm
-0.4
7
pm
-0.1
8
pm
0.2
9
pm
0.4
10
pm
0.6
11
pm
0.6


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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