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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Chance, MD

April 23, 2025 1:40 PM EDT (17:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:13 AM   Sunset 7:47 PM
Moonrise 2:58 AM   Moonset 2:05 PM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
   
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NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025
ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 134 Pm Edt Wed Apr 23 2025

This afternoon - NE winds 10 kt - .becoming S late. Waves 1 ft or less.

Tonight - SE winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.

Thu - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Thu night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Fri - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Fri night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.

Sat - SW winds 10 to 15 kt - .becoming nw 15 to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers. A chance of tstms through the night.

Sun - N winds 15 to 20 kt - .diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 134 Pm Edt Wed Apr 23 2025

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
weak high pressure builds in for the middle of the week before this front lifts northward across the area as a warm front on Friday. Small craft advisories may be needed late Friday into Saturday. Boaters should be aware of the threats of boating in cold water, even when air temperatures are warm. Visit weather.gov/safety/coldwater for more information.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Chance, MD
   
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Tide / Current for Hooper Strait Light, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
  
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Hooper Strait Light
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Wed -- 03:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 04:32 AM EDT     0.23 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:17 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:40 AM EDT     1.77 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:08 PM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:48 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:12 PM EDT     1.81 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
  Sorry, Hooper Strait Light, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland does not exist in database. Press Edit above and select a valid nearby location.

Hooper Strait Light, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
1.4
1
am
1.1
2
am
0.7
3
am
0.4
4
am
0.3
5
am
0.3
6
am
0.4
7
am
0.8
8
am
1.2
9
am
1.5
10
am
1.7
11
am
1.8
12
pm
1.6
1
pm
1.3
2
pm
1
3
pm
0.6
4
pm
0.3
5
pm
0.2
6
pm
0.3
7
pm
0.5
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
1.3
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
1.8

Tide / Current for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
  
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
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Wed -- 03:01 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:12 AM EDT     -0.41 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:18 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:54 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:47 AM EDT     0.47 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:01 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:30 PM EDT     -0.52 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:24 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
        
  Sorry, Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current does not exist in database. Press Edit above and select a valid nearby location.

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current, knots
12
am
0.4
1
am
0.3
2
am
0.2
3
am
0
4
am
-0.2
5
am
-0.3
6
am
-0.4
7
am
-0.4
8
am
-0.2
9
am
0
10
am
0.3
11
am
0.4
12
pm
0.5
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0
4
pm
-0.2
5
pm
-0.4
6
pm
-0.5
7
pm
-0.5
8
pm
-0.4
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.4

Area Discussion for Wakefield, VA
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NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS61 KAKQ 231426 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1026 AM EDT Wed Apr 23 2025

SYNOPSIS
A slow moving cold front continues to drop south this morning.
Drier air moves in from the north this afternoon. Mainly dry weather prevails Thursday, with another system bringing warm, but unsettled conditions later Friday through Saturday. Drier and cooler for Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 1025 AM EDT Wednesday...

Key Messages:

- Clearing out and cooler this afternoon, cool tonight/early Thursday.

This morning, a cold front is draped just south of the VA/NC border. Much drier air continues to filter in behind the front, with dewpoints crashing back into the upper 30s to lower 40s.
The front will continue to drop south later this morning into the early afternoon, eventually settling south of the Albemarle Sound. Outside of the chance for a very isolated shower/thunderstorm across interior NE NC, expect dry conditions for the remainder of the day. With the onshore flow today, highs will be much cooler, ranging from the mid to upper 70s well inland, to the mid 60s/around 70F near the coast. This is close to normal for late April. Mostly clear and cool tonight with diminishing winds as the high builds to near 1030mb across New England, with the sfc ridge nosing S into the local area.
Lows in the mid 40s to around 50F inland, and 50-55F at the immediate coast.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...

Key Messages:

- Mainly dry Thursday, patchy fog possible early Friday, then warmer with a chc for showers and a few tstms Friday aftn/evening.

High pressure becomes centered off the southern New England/northern mid-Atlantic coast Thursday, gradually pushing farther offshore by Friday. The next upper trough is forecast to amplify from central Canada later Fri, becoming a strong upper trough across the upper Great Lakes by Friday night. At the surface, an area of low pressure tracks ENE from the upper MS Valley Friday morning, to the eastern Great Lakes Friday night. This will lift a warm front north across the area Fri aftn/evening. Mostly sunny with near to slightly above avg temperatures Thursday with highs ranging from 75-80F inland to the upper 60s/lower 70s near the coast. Seasonable/dry Thursday night/Friday morning with lows mainly in the low-mid 50s, though a few upper 40s will be possible over the interior eastern shore and northern Neck.
There also may be some patchy fog early Friday with low level onshore flow and slowly increasing dew P's. Friday will be a transition day as the warm front brings increasing moisture into the region. There is some uncertainty, however, as to the degree of moisture return (the 00Z/23 GFS wetter than the NAM/ECMWF). For now, will have chc PoPs (and aftn tstms possible), mainly along and W of I-95 and slight chc to the east for Friday aftn/Friday night. Warmer with highs back into the upper 70s to lower 80s for most of the region. Warm, with well above avg temperatures for Friday night (lows in the 60s).

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
As of 350 AM EDT Wednesday...

Key Messages:

- Warmer than average and unsettled Saturday.

- Dry Sunday-Tuesday. Near normal temperatures Sunday and Monday, then warmer again Tuesday.

An upper level trough is forecast to continue amplifying Saturday, becoming a closed low Sunday across Maine and into the Canadian maritimes. Timing is a bit uncertain at this range, but the entire area should be in the warm sector Saturday, with sfc low pressure tracking E to NE into the St Lawrence Valley. A chc for showers Saturday morning , then PoPs increase to 60-80% by Saturday afternoon. Widespread showers and a few storms are possible, though at this time, the severe threat is not looking that impressive with the main shortwave tracking across the NE states, and fairly minimal mid level lapse rates and only modest shear. Nevertheless, will continue watching trends for this system as the models are not great at this range with such details. High temperatures on Saturday will continue to be above average with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. With a fairly strong upper level ridge over the central CONUS Sun- Mon, the NW flow aloft downstream over the NE CONUS should allow for a strong area of sfc high pressure to build SE into the local area into early next week. Sunday and Monday will be dry and cooler (near normal). Remaining dry Tuesday, but with above normal temperatures returning (highs back into the 80s).

AVIATION /14Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 700 AM EDT Wednesday...

VFR conditions prevail to start the 12z/23 TAF period, but an area of showers is moving off the SE coast, and a few MVFR flight restrictions are possible this morning, mainly at ECG. Otherwise, VFR and clearing today with NE winds shifting to the E at around 10kt (locally 10-15kt near the coast). Mostly clear with diminishing winds tonight.

Outlook: VFR/dry Thursday. Mainly VFR Thursday night/Friday morning but there could be some patchy fog early Friday morning with light onshore flow and ahead of a weak warm front. Scattered showers possible Friday aftn/evening, becoming widespread along with a few tstms Saturday as the next cold front pushes into the area. VFR conditions return for Sunday.

MARINE
As of 245 AM EDT Wednesday...

Key Messages:

- Relatively benign marine pattern expected to persist through Friday.

- Winds increase ahead of and especially behind a stronger cold front this weekend with Small Craft conditions likely.

Early morning analysis shows a weak front crossing the waters with winds becoming NW 5-10 kt behind the boundary. Waves are 1-2 ft in the Ches Bay with seas 2-3 ft offshore. Winds become NE ~10 kt around sunrise (locally 10-15 kt over northern portions of the coastal waters as well as the southern Ches Bay/lower James) and continue through the day today. High pressure north of the area will result in sub-SCA onshore flow Thursday into Friday afternoon, becoming SE 10-15 kt Friday evening as the high translates offshore. 00z guidance and local wind probs continue to show the potential for marginal (prefrontal) SCA conditions early Saturday morning with the relative highest chance over the northern Ches Bay zones. However, the northerly surge behind the front is much more likely to result in widespread SCA conditions across the local waters Saturday night into Sunday.
Waves will generally be 1-2 ft in the Ches Bay this week, increasing to 2-3 ft Saturday and potentially to 3-4 ft for a period behind the frontal passage. Seas will average 2-3 ft through the week, building to 3-4 Saturday and 4-5 ft late Saturday into Sunday.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 0 mi53 minS 1G2.9 66°F30.24
44042 - Potomac, MD 20 mi41 minN 1.9G1.9 67°F 60°F1 ft
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 22 mi53 minNW 11G12 30.26
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 23 mi53 minESE 5.1G5.1 61°F30.24
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 25 mi53 min0G2.9 62°F30.25
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 27 mi53 minE 2.9G5.1 65°F30.25
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 31 mi41 minNNW 7.8G12 59°F 59°F1 ft
CXLM2 33 mi56 minWNW 5.1G7
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 46 mi53 minENE 15G21 68°F30.26
44058 - Stingray Point, VA 47 mi41 minNE 9.7G14 61°F 1 ft
RPLV2 - 8632837 - Rappahannock Light, VA 47 mi53 minENE 15G17 30.30


Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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