Sunday, September19, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Jesterville, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:46AMSunset 7:05PM Sunday September 19, 2021 9:50 AM EDT (13:50 UTC) Moonrise 5:53PMMoonset 4:08AM Illumination 96% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 735 Am Edt Sun Sep 19 2021
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 am edt this morning...
Today..N winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue..E winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Tue night..SE winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
Wed..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu..S winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers.
ANZ500 735 Am Edt Sun Sep 19 2021
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure will build overhead later today before moving offshore Monday and Tuesday. A strong cold front will push through the region mid-week, bringing the chance for sca conditions to return.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jesterville, MD
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location: 38.3, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 191342 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 942 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

SYNOPSIS. A weak cold front drops across the region later today. High pressure builds across the area today and tonight, before sliding offshore Monday through midweek. A strong cold front crosses the area Thursday into Thursday night, bringing markedly cooler and drier air to the region for late this week into next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/. As of 935 AM EDT Sunday .

Another warm late summer day ahead. Mostly sunny with a NNE wind aob 10 kts. Can't rule out a stray shwr across the s-sw after 18Z. Highs in the 80s, coolest along the coast.

PVS DSCN: Any lingering showers push SSW into north central/central NC this evening, with a gradually clearing sky expected. Could see a recurrence of late night stratus/fog late tonight, mainly in our SW piedmont into NE NC. Otherwise, mild with lows again in the mid 60s to the lower 70s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/. As of 350 AM EDT Sunday .

High pressure slides offshore of the northeast/northern Mid- Atlantic coast late Monday into Tuesday, signaling another modest warmup Mon/Tue. Models show a slow increase in moisture Tue aftn as the flow becomes onshore. Minimal instability through the period, as mid/upper ridging lifts over the eastern seaboard, so will not carry any thunder wording. However, did carry low chc PoPs for scattered afternoon and evening showers mainly along/west of I-95 corridor. Lows in the 60s. Highs Mon 80-85. Highs Tue upr 70s-lwr 80s.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. As of 350 AM EDT Sunday .

Aforementioned upper ridge pushes offshore Tuesday night, out ahead of a potent upper trough dropping out of the northern plains toward the upper midwest on Wednesday. As we've noted over the past couple of days, GFS remains on the fast side of guidance, with the CMC/ECMWF on the slower side, with the 00z/UKMet about middle of the road. The latter blend closes off the trough into an upper low across the Ohio Valley on Thursday. As you'd imagine with a dynamic, deep closing off to our NW, 00z model timing of the frontal passage has slowed a bit. Frontal passage now modeled to be after 00z/Thu on into the day on Thursday.

As far as sensible weather goes, expect some overrunning showers will be possible late Tue night and Wednesday as the warm front lifts north across the area. The front then slowly crosses the area Thursday into Thursday night. Still some uncertainty to wade through as we get closer. Again, GFS timing would clear out Thu a bit faster than the remaining guidance. Still hedged toward WPC frontal timing, Which is heavily ECMWF/CMC/UKMet weighted.

Cool canadian high pressure then builds into the area late in the day Thu into Thu night, with clearing from SW to NE Thu night into Friday Dry, much cooler. and dare we say Fall- like . for Fri/Sat. Highs Fri/Sat in the 70s, lows in the 50s to near 60 se. Typically cooler spots could easily see the upper 40s Fri and Sat nights.

AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. As of 710 AM EDT Sunday .

Sub-VFR (MVFR to IFR, LCL LIFR) conditions over the VA piedmont into south central VA at sunrise this morning. A cold front near the Mason-Dixon line will slowly sink south toward the area this morning, and wl drop through the region later today. CIGs/VSBY will recover to VFR all sites through 12-14z. Some showers are possible over Hampton Roads area (mainly W-SW of KPHF/KORF) after 18z, coincident with frontal passage. However, with little moisture not anticipating much more than some passing clouds (4-6 KFT AGL) and some isolated shower activity. Areal coverage of any showers looks to be far too low to warrant mention in TAF at this point. The biggest change will be a switch in wind direction to the north this aftn.

Outlook: Some additional late night fog/low stratus Sunday night, with another quick return to VFR Monday morning. VFR conditions then persist Mon thru Tue night, as high pres dominates. Moisture slowly increases by mid week ahead of a strong cold front, which crosses the area early on Thursday.

MARINE. As of 400 AM EDT Sunday .

A high threat of rip currents is expected today for the southern beaches (VA Beach/Currituck). A moderate risk is likely for the northern beaches with waves around 3 ft with winds becoming NE this afternoon.

Weak high pressure was centered over the area and into NC this morning, while stronger high pressure was centered over the northern Great Lakes, pushing south and east. Winds were generally SW to NW around 10 kt or less over the waters, with waves on the the Bay generally around 1-2 ft and ocean seas 3 to 4 ft.

High pressure pushing down from the north later today will result in a more northerly and northeasterly flow later this morning and through the afternoon. Winds will become NE everywhere by this afternoon and remain NE tonight and Monday as high pressure remains in place just to our north. Winds increase to 10 to 15 kt by this afternoon especially from Cape Charles north. Winds gradually become E 10-15 kt Mon night, then SE Tue night through Wed. Winds speeds remain around 10 to 15 kt with seas 2-4 ft Sun through Wed, waves on the Bay 1-2 ft. Conditions will remain sub SCA through Tuesday.

A strong cold front approaches the waters from the W-NW late Wednesday into Wednesday night, before crossing the area by late Thu. Models disagree some with the exact timing of the front, however, the pressure gradient looks to really tighten ahead of the front late Wednesday afternoon and especially Wednesday night resulting in a strong southerly flow which could result in SCA conditions Wednesday afternoon. SCA conditions will likely persist Thursday into early Friday as the front pushes through and winds become northwest behind the front. Winds should start to decrease Friday night.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . MAM NEAR TERM . MPR SHORT TERM . MPR/MAM LONG TERM . MPR/MAM AVIATION . MAM MARINE . AJB/JAO


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 9 mi50 min NNE 8.9 G 13 74°F 77°F1020.8 hPa (+1.5)
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 21 mi50 min N 7 G 9.9 73°F 78°F1021 hPa (+1.5)
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 26 mi50 min N 15 G 17 73°F 1021.2 hPa (+1.7)
44042 - Potomac, MD 29 mi32 min NNE 16 G 19 74°F 78°F
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 29 mi50 min NNE 8 G 14 74°F 79°F1020.8 hPa (+1.6)
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 32 mi38 min NNE 16 G 19 73°F 78°F1 ft1022.3 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 35 mi50 min ENE 9.9 G 13
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 36 mi50 min ENE 8 G 12 76°F 79°F1020.7 hPa (+1.4)
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 43 mi50 min NNE 8 G 14 74°F 74°F1021.4 hPa (+1.5)
44089 49 mi24 min 74°F3 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA 49 mi50 min NNE 7 G 11 76°F 78°F1020.2 hPa (+1.4)

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD18 mi55 minNNE 810.00 miFair73°F66°F78%1021 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD22 mi56 minN 710.00 miFair73°F66°F79%1020.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGE

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW5Calm5NW75NW6NW7NW5NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5N5N6N7N6
1 day agoN54N5
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NE7N8N11N7NE4NE3N4NE4CalmN4N5N5N5N4N6N6N4N4N4N5NE5
2 days agoE5N7N65SW4N3E7E5NE5NE4NE4NE5NE5NE5NE56E6NE5NE5NE5NE5N5N66

Tide / Current Tables for Roaring Point, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Roaring Point
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Sun -- 01:24 AM EDT     2.85 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:49 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 08:12 AM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:48 PM EDT     2.67 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:53 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     0.18 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.82.82.521.40.80.40.20.30.81.42.12.52.72.52.11.50.90.40.20.20.71.3

Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current
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Salisbury
Click for Map
Sun -- 02:58 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 06:17 AM EDT     -0.87 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:24 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:57 AM EDT     0.59 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 02:57 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:28 PM EDT     -0.96 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:36 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.60.4-0-0.4-0.7-0.9-0.8-0.6-0.20.20.50.60.50.3-0-0.4-0.8-0.9-0.9-0.7-0.30.20.6

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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