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Marine Weather and Tides Jesterville, MD Version 3.4

NOTICE 1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17. 1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

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Sunrise 6:23AM

Sunset 6:03PM

Sunday March 7, 2021 10:09 PM EST (03:09 UTC)

Moonrise 2:43AM

Moonset 12:10PM

Illumination 30%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Jesterville, MD

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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA

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FXUS61 KAKQ 080245 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 945 PM EST Sun Mar 7 2021

SYNOPSIS. High pressure slowly builds into the area through tonight with dry weather continuing through much of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/. As of 945 PM EST Sunday .

1032mb high pressure extends from the Eastern Great Lakes through the Appalachian Plateau this evening, and is building into the Mid-Atlantic region. Clear and cool this evening with temperatures ranging from the upper 20s to mid 30s for much of the area, to the upper 30s/low 40s for the coasts of SE VA/NE NC. Continued clear overnight with another near-ideal night for radiational cooling (especially inland as a light NE wind may linger along the coasts of SE VA/NE NC). Lows are still forecast to be cold with low to mid 20s inland and mid 20s to around 30F along the coast. Isolated teens cannot be ruled out in typically colder locations such as Louisa.

SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. As of 345 PM EST Sunday .

High pressure over the FA Mon will gradually drift off the SE coast late Mon into Tues and remain centered off the SE coast through Wed. This will allow for a warming trend through the week with highs ranging from the upper 50s W to the low to mid 50s E (upper 40s for the Eastern Shore) Mon, mid to upper 60s Tues, and upper 60s to low 70s Wed. Lows will also warm with low 30s Mon night and upper 30s to around 40F Tues night. Mostly sunny through Wed with cloud cover increasing late afternoon into the evening (especially N) Tues before moving offshore Tues night.

The early week will remain dry with dews in the teens for most (low 20s in the SE and along the coast) Mon, upper 20s to mid 30s Tues, and in the 30s Wed. Minimum RH values are expected to be 15-20% inland and 25-30% along the coast Mon, 20-28% inland and 30-35% along the coast Tues, and 25-30% inland (30-35% inland for the Eastern Shore) and 30-40% along the coast.

Winds will shift from NW 5-10 MPH (10-15 MPH over the Eastern Shore) Mon to SW Mon night, remain light (5-10 MPH) Tues, and then become S and increase to 10 to 15 MPH with gusts perhaps to 20 MPH over the Eastern Shore Wed. Although fuel moisture is drying out, generally light winds will help mitigate fire weather potential with Wed appearing to be the highest threat if winds are stronger than expected.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 315 PM EST Sunday .

The medium range period continues to feature dry and warm conditions Thu-Fri, with increasing confidence that the pattern breaks down by the upcoming weekend. Above average temperatures prevail Thu-Fri followed by cooler temperatures over the weekend.

The model consensus is strong for the Thu-Fri period, and therefore confidence in this portion of the forecast is high. An upper level ridge will be centered over the Gulf of Mexico, and the ridge axis will extend ENE to the Carolinas. At the sfc, strong high pressure will be centered just off the mid-Atlantic/SE US coast Wed night/Thu, eventually weakening and moving farther offshore Fri-Sat as a cold front tries to approach from the NW. with a W to SW flow aloft and a SW flow in the low levels, temperatures will warm well above avg (though not to record levels). Mostly clear Wed night with lows mostly in the 40s, followed by mostly sunny conditions Thu with highs into the low- mid 70s most areas (65-70F eastern shore). With the somewhat breezy/well mixed airmass on Thu, a continued potential for increased fire danger exists as dew pts tend to be slow to moderate this time of year (only into the upper 30s to mid 40s). with corresponding min RH values potentially down to ~30%. Mild with lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s Thu night, with another warm day likely on Fri. All of the deterministic 12Z/07 models keep a SW low level flow going as the upper ridge will be slow to break down. Thus, have highs forecast into the 70s again for all but sections of the eastern shore along the Bay/Ocean. Also have a dry forecast throughout with partly sunny skies N to mostly sunny S.

For the upcoming weekend, forecast confidences decreases significantly given a lot of model spread with regard to timing and spatial differences with the approaching cold front. At this point, the forecast remains close to the NBM which is a general compromise between the much slower (and more northerly position of the front per the GFS/GEFS) and the much faster (and more southerly position of the ECMWF). This yields a frontal passage during the day Sat, with highs ranging from around 70F across the south to the mid-upper 50s NE. This will almost certainly need to be fine tuned as we get closer in time. Given the uncertainty and with the front expected to lose moisture as it moves into the local area, PoPs will be capped at 20-30% and confined mainly to the day Sat and beyond. Lows in the 40s Sat night and highs Sun mostly ranging through the 50s. Skies will avg partly to mostly cloudy Sat-Sun.

AVIATION /03Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 700 PM EST Sunday .

1032mb high pressure over the Eastern Great Lakes will build across the Mid-Atlantic region tonight into Monday morning, and then settle across the Southeast coast by Monday afternoon. This will result in a clear/sunny sky tonight into Monday. A light N to NE wind will become calm to very light later this evening through Monday morning, and then become NW 5-8kt later Monday morning, and then W by later afternoon.

High pressure will remain over the Southeast coast Monday night, and then will become centered off the Southeast coast Tuesday through Friday. VFR conditions are expected to prevail throughout the week along with a SW wind.

MARINE. As of 315 PM EST Sunday .

This afternoon, high pressure is centered over the area with low pressure located well to the southeast. Winds are generally N to NE around 10 to 15 knots. Seas are generally 1 to 3 feet, while waves in the Bay are 1 to 2 feet. High pressure slowly drifts further east through Monday and becomes centered offshore Tuesday through mid- week. Winds become S to SW Tuesday through much of the week. Sub-SCA conditions are forecast through mid-week.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . ERI/RMM NEAR TERM . AJZ/RMM SHORT TERM . RMM LONG TERM . ERI/LKB AVIATION . AJZ MARINE . AJB

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD	9 mi	51 min	N 1 G 1.9	38°F	43°F		1029.5 hPa
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD	21 mi	51 min	Calm G 0	35°F	42°F		1029.6 hPa
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD	26 mi	51 min	SSE 1.9 G 1.9	39°F			1030 hPa
44042 - Potomac, MD	29 mi	33 min	SE 1.9 G 1.9	39°F	41°F		1030 hPa
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD	29 mi	51 min	Calm G 1	35°F	42°F		1029.4 hPa
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD	32 mi	39 min	NW 1.9 G 3.9	37°F	40°F		1029.9 hPa
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD	35 mi	51 min	SSE 1.9 G 2.9
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA	36 mi	51 min	SW 1 G 1.9	36°F	43°F		1029.7 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD	43 mi	57 min	WSW 1.9 G 2.9	36°F	42°F		1030.6 hPa
44089	49 mi	43 min			41°F	1 ft
WAHV2 - 8631044 - Wachapreague, VA	49 mi	51 min	Calm G 1	32°F	46°F		1029.9 hPa

Wind History for Bishops Head, MD

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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NE6 G10

NE6

NE4

NE4

N3

N3

N3

N5

N5

N7

N7 G11

NW11 G17

NW14

NW12 G16

W9

NW13

NW13 G16

N8 G13

N5 G10

N4

N3

N2

N1

NE2

1 day ago

NW7 G10

NW13 G16

NW9 G14

N11 G20

NW9 G14

NW10 G14

NW13

NW12 G15

W14 G17

NW18 G23

NW14 G17

NW18

NW12 G15

NW13 G16

NW14 G19

W10 G14

W9

NW11 G15

N9

N4

N3

N6 G10

NE5 G9

NE9 G13

2 days ago

N16 G22

NW15 G24

NW12 G18

N12 G19

NW14 G19

NW15 G20

NW15 G19

NW12 G17

NW17 G22

NW18 G26

NW20 G25

NW15 G20

NW21

NW18 G24

NW18 G24

NW17 G21

NW17 G21

NW17 G23

NW17 G22

NW17 G22

N9 G12

N6 G9

N5

N5

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD	18 mi	94 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	30°F	19°F	64%	1029.1 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD	22 mi	75 min	N 0	9.00 mi	Fair	30°F	16°F	56%	1029.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGE

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)

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Calm

NE3

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

NW5

NW7

NW10

NW9

NW7

NW6 G13

N8

NW7

N9

N7 G14

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1 day ago

NW5 G11

W4

W4

NW9 G19

NW14 G27

NW11 G17

W6

W3

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W5

SW4

W8 G16

NW14

NW11 G17

NW14

NW11 G18

NW7 G19

NW10 G18

NW10

NW7

N3

Calm

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2 days ago

NW13 G23

NW19 G28

NW17 G26

NW13 G23

NW14 G24

NW11 G19

NW10 G21

NW15 G25

NW17 G25

NW9 G20

NW12 G23

NW18 G25

NW15 G24

NW13 G21

NW14 G23

NW17 G25

NW13 G20

W12 G23

NW12 G22

NW16 G25

NW12 G21

NW14 G21

NW14 G22

NW10 G17

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Tide / Current Tables for Roaring Point, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland

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Tide / Current Tables for Salisbury, Maryland (2 miles below) Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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