Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Bodega Bay, CA

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 8:39PM Thursday July 2, 2020 12:54 PM PDT (19:54 UTC) Moonrise 5:30PMMoonset 2:40AM Illumination 92% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ540 Coastal Waters From Point Arena To Point Reyes California Out To 10 Nm- 816 Am Pdt Thu Jul 2 2020
Today..S winds 5 to 15 kt, becoming W this afternoon. Wind waves 1 to 2 ft. NW swell 7 to 9 ft at 11 seconds and sw 2 to 3 ft at 16 seconds.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Wind waves 2 to 3 ft. NW swell 6 to 8 ft at 11 seconds and sw around 2 ft at 22 seconds.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. NW swell 5 to 7 ft at 10 seconds and sw around 2 ft at 21 seconds.
Fri night..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. NW swell 6 to 8 ft at 9 seconds and sw 2 to 3 ft at 20 seconds.
Independence day..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Wind waves 5 to 6 ft. NW swell 6 to 8 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 to 3 ft at 18 seconds.
Sat night..NW winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Wind waves 6 to 7 ft. NW swell 5 to 7 ft at 8 seconds and sw 2 to 4 ft at 18 seconds.
Sun..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. NW swell 5 to 7 ft and sw 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..NW winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. NW swell 5 to 7 ft and S 2 to 3 ft.
PZZ500 816 Am Pdt Thu Jul 2 2020
Synopsis for the central california coast and bays including the Monterey bay..Greater farallones...and cordell bank national marine sanctuaries... Moderate to strong northwest winds will continue over the northern outer waters today. These winds will generate steep fresh swell resulting in hazardous seas conditions, particularly for smaller vessels. Generally light to moderate winds expected elsewhere as high pressure weakens off the california coast and a low pressure system develops off the pacific northwest. Winds will begin to subside tonight and tomorrow, though locally breezy conditions over the northern outer waters will persist into the weekend. A long-period southerly swell train will arrive late tonight into tomorrow. This will cause occasional breaking waves over nearshore shoals and strong currents along the coast, especially near points and headlands.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bodega Bay CDP, CA
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location: 38.31, -123.07     debug


Area Discussion for - San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA
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FXUS66 KMTR 021757 AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area 1057 AM PDT Thu Jul 2 2020

SYNOPSIS. Seasonal temperatures today, followed by warming through Independence Day, with minor day to day changes possible next week. Light to moderate onshore flow will prevail through the period, along with areas of night and morning coastal low clouds and fog.

DISCUSSION. as of 8:50 AM PDT Thursday . The marine layer is evident on visible satellite imagery this morning along the coast and the inland valleys. The Bodega Bay profiler suggests a depth of around 2000 feet while the Fort Ord Profiler is closer to 2500 feet this morning. Northwest winds and a drier air mass rounding Cape Mendocino have scoured out a hole in the marine layer farther offshore but no holes exist in the stratus along the immediate coast. A surface eddy is driving weak southwest winds and helping to reinforce the marine layer inland from the thicker layer to the south rather than the drier air from the northwest. As such, could see the low clouds linger through the mid to late morning for marine influenced sites. No significant concerns today with somewhat below normal temperatures (3-11 degrees) across the region.

High pressure builds from the desert southwest over the next few days and will bring a warming/drying trend which will peak on Saturday (Independence Day). Temperatures will rise to become slightly to somewhat above seasonable conditions, mainly inland, where afternoon highs will be in the mid 80s to mid 90s, meanwhile (San Jose, Concord, Livermore, Santa Rosa, Napa), the San Francisco Bay/Monterey Bay Shorelines will be in the low 70s to low 80s. A period of north to northwest winds Saturday night into Sunday morning will exacerbate fire weather risk for the North Bay hills and mountains. Meanwhile, low humidity values will elevate fire weather risk given the increase in the number of fire works being shot off this weekend, especially given that the local WRF suggests a compression and significant weakening of the marine layer by Saturday night. That said, the main fire risk will be from human related activities through the holiday weekend (rather than from the weather conditions) so please be mindful of any outdoor activities that may lead to a spark that could ignite a wildfire.

No updates planned this morning. See previous discussion for more details on the current forecast.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION. as of 3:15 AM PDT Thursday . A retrograding upper level low over the PacNW and broad upper trough covering much of the West Coast continues to be the large scale weather features of note. The lowering 500 mb heights, decreasing N-S gradient and continued onshore flow allowed for a better marine layer push overnight. Satellite fog product shows solid stratus along the entire coastline, up the Salinas Valley, in San Francisco Bay and even in the North Bay Valleys. Fort Ord Profiler puts the depth at near 2,000 feet. The deeper marine layer has reduced chances for dense fog, but patchy fog and some coastal drizzle are still possible early this morning. Today's weather will be similar to Wednesday with inland sunshine and coastal clouds. Temperatures will be with in a few degrees of yesterday or 60/70s coast and 80/90s interior.

The current forecast for Friday and the upcoming holiday weekend remain on track. The upper trough begins to lift northward on Friday as a ridge of high pressure builds in from the Desert Southward. Friday will feature a slight upward trend in temperatures, but more noticeable warming will occur over the holiday weekend. No major heat risk concerns with the warm up, but temperatures away from the coast will be above seasonal averages. Lack of strong offshore flow or strong northerly gradients will keep night/morning low clouds in the forecast as well.

One potential item of concern for the upcoming holiday weekend will be a very dry airmass moving in over the region Saturday night/early Sunday morning. Lastest local WRF model develops weak offshore flow at 2500 feet with lowering humidity 25-35% over higher terrain. Fortunately, winds do not appear to overly strong Saturday night. Nonetheless, dry and mild conditions in the hills combine with possible fireworks will heighten fire weather concerns.

High pressure retreats southward on Monday as another trough approaches from the NW. A slight cooling trend develops early next week. The latest medium range models keep cooling trend for much of next week with night/morning clouds.

AVIATION. As of 10:57 AM PDT Thursday . For 18Z TAFs. The marine stratus continues to mix-out over the land as of the 18Z TAF publication time with VFR conditions reported around the SF Bay shoreline. There are still some lingering low clouds in parts of the North Bay around STS, as well as in the Salinas Valley near SNS. MRY continues to be blanketed in low clouds. Light winds this morning will increase onshore as the day progresses. Forecast models bring the low clouds back again in the evening/overnight hours.

Vicinity of KSFO . VFR conditions are forecast to prevail for the rest of the morning and afternoon with winds becoming westerly around 15 kt by the afternoon. Models suggest SFO has a better shot of low clouds overnight tonight and into tomorrow.

SFO Bridge Approach . Similar to KSFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals . Low clouds are slowly mixing-out around MRY and SNS this morning. With the deep marine layer, portions of the Monterey Bay Area/Peninsula may likely see the clouds all day long. Areas that do clear will see the low clouds return in the late afternoon/evening hours.

MARINE. as of 8:16 AM PDT Thursday . Moderate to strong northwest winds will continue over the northern outer waters today. These winds will generate steep fresh swell resulting in hazardous seas conditions, particularly for smaller vessels. Generally light to moderate winds expected elsewhere as high pressure weakens off the California coast and a low pressure system develops off the Pacific Northwest. Winds will begin to subside tonight and tomorrow, though locally breezy conditions over the northern outer waters will persist into the weekend. A long-period southerly swell train will arrive late tonight into tomorrow. This will cause occasional breaking waves over nearshore shoals and strong currents along the coast, especially near points and headlands.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. Tday. SCA . Pt Arena to Pigeon Pt 10-60 nm SCA . SF Bay from 3 PM



PUBLIC FORECAST: DRP/MM AVIATION: Rowe MARINE: Rowe

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46013 - Bodega Bay - 48NM North Northwest of San Francisco, CA 13 mi34 min S 5.8 G 7.8 55°F 54°F1013.5 hPa52°F
46214 - Point Reyes, CA (029) 33 mi58 min 52°F10 ft
46026 - SAN FRANCISCO - 18NM West of San Francisco, CA 40 mi44 min SSE 9.7 G 12 55°F 55°F1013.7 hPa52°F
46237 - San Francisco Bar, CA (142) 43 mi54 min 58°F6 ft
RCMC1 - 9414863 - Richmond, CA 44 mi54 min SSW 5.1 G 9.9 62°F 64°F1012.7 hPa (+0.7)
TIBC1 - Tiburon Pier, San Francisco Bay, CA 44 mi56 min WSW 8.9 62°F 1013 hPa
DPXC1 - 9415141 - Davis Point, San Pablo Bay, CA 46 mi54 min W 12 G 15 63°F 1012.1 hPa (+0.3)
FTPC1 - 9414290 - San Francisco, CA 47 mi54 min WSW 11 G 15 61°F 63°F1013.2 hPa (+0.8)
PPXC1 - 9414847 - Richmond (Point Potrero), CA 47 mi54 min WSW 8.9 G 15 62°F 1013.2 hPa (+0.6)

Wind History for Point Reyes, CA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Santa Rosa, Santa Rosa Sonoma County Airport, CA20 mi61 minSSW 98.00 miA Few Clouds66°F53°F63%1011.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSTS

Wind History from STS (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS10S9S12S11S13S11S10S9S9S7S6S5S4CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmS4S6S45SW9
1 day agoS9S10S8S10S11SE10SE10S6SE6S5S3S3S3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3CalmCalm4--
2 days agoS9W14SW13
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SW10SW8S10SE11S7S7SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3Calm4S9

Tide / Current Tables for Bodega Harbor entrance, California
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Bodega Harbor entrance
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Thu -- 03:39 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:52 AM PDT     -0.61 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:53 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:33 AM PDT     4.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:19 PM PDT     2.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:30 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:39 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:23 PM PDT     6.55 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.31.70.4-0.4-0.6-0.20.51.52.63.64.14.23.83.32.82.52.63.24.15.166.56.45.7

Tide / Current Tables for Point Reyes, California Current
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Point Reyes
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:09 AM PDT     -1.49 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:40 AM PDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:09 AM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:54 AM PDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:18 AM PDT     1.17 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 11:29 AM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 01:48 PM PDT     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:55 PM PDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:29 PM PDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:49 PM PDT     0.90 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:38 PM PDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:37 PM PDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-1.3-1.5-1.4-1.1-0.7-0.10.511.21.10.80.3-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.300.50.80.90.70.4-0.3

Weather Map
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wmap_P
GEOS Local Image of CentralWestCoast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for San Francisco/Monterey Bay Area, CA (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Sacramento, CA
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