Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Carmet, CA

SHORT TERM
Issued at 1139 AM PDT Sun Apr 12 2026 (This afternoon through Monday)

Scattered to numerous rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will remain possible throughout this evening. This is as the colder air mass aloft continues to provide enough instability in the post- frontal environment. Now through early evening is when we have the greatest potential for convection as Surface Based CAPE remains between 200-700 J/kg across must of the region as a result of daytime heating. With the loss of daytime heating, the threat for thunderstorms will diminish and give way to mostly isolated to scattered rain showers, especially over the Pacific, Bay Area, and Central Coast. These rain showers may linger into midmorning on Monday as the mid/upper level low shift southward into southern California.

Overnight temperatures will be chilly as winds diminish with mid-to- upper 30s across the North Bay valleys and interior Central Coast (and higher elevations across the region). This may lead to frost formation the coldest, wind sheltered regions. However widespread frost is not likely.

Monday will be up to 7 degrees F cooler than average (up to 20 degrees F cooler in the higher elevations). Cloudy skies are anticpated to give way to mostly sunny skies by midday. However, fair weather cumulus will remain possible throughout the day over the higher terrain.

LONG TERM
Issued at 1139 AM PDT Sun Apr 12 2026 (Monday night through next Saturday)

Troughing will remain in place through Wednesday with temperatures warming slightly as high pressure nudges eastward over the eastern Pacific. By Wednesday, another mid/upper level through is forecast to drop down the British Columbia coast and into the Pacific Northwest. This will bring the potential for light rain to the North Bay with a 15-30% chance of precipitation by Wednesday afternoon and into Wednesday night. Little to no measurable rainfall is currently anticipated. Thus, we are not currently expecting any major impacts from this system as it slides into the Great Basin Thursday and into Friday.

This will result in winds becoming offshore (northerly to northeasterly) across the North Bay Mountains and East Bay Hills Thursday afternoon and into Friday. Winds will also become offshore in other higher elevations across the Bay Area and Central Coast, however to a lesser extent. Again, fire weather concerns are not expected giving the decent wetting rainfall the region has experienced over the past several days.

Forecast ensembles indicate a good probability of shortwave ridging building in across the eastern Pacific Friday and through the upcoming weekend. Thus, temperatures look to warm into the mid-to- upper 60s near the coast and low-to-mid 70s across the interior.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 422 PM PDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Isolated to scattered showers continue across the region, with the shower coverage expected to decrease after sunset and through the overnight hours through Monday midday. Flight categories will vary greatly with the remaining shower activity, generally VFR outside of showers with MVFR-IFR possible within them. Gusty southwest to west winds will also begin to diminish this evening into the overnight period. By Monday morning, shower activity will be highly isolated and a more moderate onshore flow will develop in the afternoon.
There is a low confidence (around 10-20% probability) of fog developing in the interior valleys due to the recent rainfall.
Confidence is too low to put this in the TAFs at this time.

Vicinity of SFO... Periodic shower activity continues through Monday midday at the very latest, with generally VFR conditions expect when showers pass over the terminal. Breezy southwest flow continues through the evening before winds shift to the northwest, diminishing overnight before resuming Monday afternoon.

SFO Bridge Approach... Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals... Low-level VFR to MVFR conditions expected through the TAF period with progressively diminishing shower coverage through the evening and overnight hours. Breezy southwest winds will diminish through the next few hours, with light drainage flow overnight before winds shift northwest for Monday afternoon.

MARINE
(Tonight through next Friday)
Issued at 422 PM PDT Sun Apr 12 2026

Rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will gradually diminish this evening with lingering showers possible into early Monday morning. A moderate to fresh westerly breeze will prevail through this evening before veering to northwesterly overnight and diminishing. Winds continue to diminish and seas subside into the early part of the workweek, before winds increase and seas build toward by Thursday.

MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT this evening for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM.