Elliott, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elliott, MD

June 20, 2024 2:45 AM EDT (06:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:37 AM   Sunset 8:30 PM
Moonrise 6:44 PM   Moonset 3:00 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 134 Am Edt Thu Jun 20 2024

Overnight - S winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.

Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.

Thu night - S winds 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Fri - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Fri night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Sat - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Sat night - S winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Sun - S winds 15 to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms through the night.

Mon - SW winds 10 to 15 kt - .becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 228 Am Edt Thu Jun 20 2024

Synopsis - Fresh to strong east winds and building seas will result in hazardous boating conditions through at least Friday morning. As weak low pressure approaches the local atlantic waters, marine conditions deteriorate further into this morning. This disturbance currently has a 30% chance of tropical development before it arrives late tonight. Rain and lightning storm chances continue each day into the weekend, as waves of moisture push westward across the local waters.

Gulf stream hazards - East winds around 20 knots. Seas up to 8 to 9 feet, especially north of sebastian inlet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, june 19th.
43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 14 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elliott, MD
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Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 200642 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 242 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure off the Mid Atlantic coast slowly shifts south through the end of the week. A seasonably warm and dry pattern will continue through Friday, before an extended period of hot weather commences this weekend and continues into next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 200 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Message:

- Seasonably warm temperatures are expected today.

~1030mb sfc high pressure is centered well offshore of the Mid- Atlantic coast early this morning with a 598dm upper high from nrn MD to NJ. It's actually quite comfortable now with temps mostly in the 60s, although it will get very hot in a few days.
The ridge axis at the sfc and aloft will continue to gradually shift south today and tonight and will be over srn VA and NC by late tonight. The flow will still be onshore (SE) today leading to temps only a couple of degrees warmer than yesterday.
Forecast highs are in the lower 90s inland with 80s near the immediate coast. Temps should drop off into the 60s tonight with the ridge axis still nearby.

SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
As of 240 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

- Turning warmer and a little more humid for Friday.

- Turning hot on Saturday.

Very little change to the forecast for Fri/Sat. Still expecting the heat to begin building on Friday as the sfc and upper ridge axis shift just to our south, leading to the warmer 850mb temps currently over the Ohio Valley to move over the mid-Atlantic. Winds become more southerly across inland areas on Friday, while remaining SSE near the immediate coast. Forecast highs are in the mid 90s in central VA with upper 80s-lower 90s closer to the coast and in NE NC. Dew points will be a little bit higher on Fri (mid 60s) but max heat indices should remain a few degrees below 100F.

By Saturday, temperatures will really start to heat up and dew pts will be on the rise as well as the ridge axis becomes suppressed well to our S (from the Deep South to off the SC/GA coast). As a result, the low-level flow will become SSW area-wide. MAV/MET/NBM guidance continues to support widespread mid to upper 90s west of the bay with a chance of 100F readings across central VA. When factoring in dew pts in the mid 60s inland to around 70F near the coast, this gives heat index values in the 100-105F range and WBGT values of 85-87F. Although the current forecast heat indices are just short of Heat Advisory criteria (105F+), it will still set the stage for a hot weekend overall and a heat wave that lasts through next week. No rain is expected through the short term period either.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 240 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

- Dangerous heat index values of 105F or greater on Sunday.

- A weakening frontal system may bring isolated to widely scattered showers or storms on Sunday night into Tuesday, but the confidence in widespread rainfall remains low.

- Flash Drought conditions developing.

The main story on Sunday will be the heat as the ridge axis remains suppressed well to our south and the south-southwesterly LLVL flow persists. This which will lead to even warmer 850mb temps/low-level thicknesses. Sunday still looks to be the hottest day of the period with forecast highs around 100F across central VA with mid-upper 90s near the coast. While the recent dry weather will help to keep dew pts a bit lower than they could be (mid 60s-lower 70s), heat index values of 105F+ are likely on Sunday with max WBGT readings in the upper 80s. These conditions will likely warrant a Heat Advisory for most if not all of the area on Sunday. Other than a chance for isolated to widely scattered tstms Sun evening-Sun night, the dry wx will continue through the rest of the weekend.

Monday most likely will be a few degrees "cooler" than the weekend due to the potential for scattered tstms (mainly during the latter part of the day) and more clouds as a weakening frontal system approaches. Nevertheless, widespread mid 90s are likely and heat indices may still touch advisory criteria (especially SE) as dew points will increase a bit more ahead of the approaching weak front.
Still seasonably hot with lower precip chances on Tuesday as the weakening front washes out near/over the area.

Regardless of any tstm chances in the forecast, it still does not look promising for widespread rainfall, as many places will see little to no rain through the period. In fact, the latest 01z NBM probabilities for at least 0.50" of total rainfall from Sun-Tue are still only 10-40% over the local area. This will only exacerbate the recent dry conditions and set us up for what can be considered a "flash drought". More information on this can be found on CPC's Probabilistic Hazards Outlook page at www.ncep.cpc.noaa.gov or drought.gov.

AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
As of 200 AM EDT Thursday...

Primarily VFR conditions will continue for the next 24 hours.
Patchy fog may try to develop early this morning at primarily SBY and potentially PHF, but this should result in minimal (if any) operational impacts. Any fog that develops will dissipate by 11-12z. Similar conditions today compared to yesterday with FEW-SCT cumulus developing by the late morning.
Winds will primarily be out of the SE, ranging from 5 to 10 knots.

Outlook: Dry and VFR conditions are expected to prevail through Sunday as high pressure remains centered off the coast.

MARINE
As of 240 AM EDT Thursday...

Key Messages:

- Benign marine conditions expected through the rest of the week.

- Elevated southerly winds forecast to develop later Saturday through early Monday. Small craft advisories will likely be needed for at least some of this period.

- Moderate rip current risk at all areas beaches today and Friday.
At least a moderate risk continues through the weekend.

High pressure remains offshore early this morning, leading to a continuation of the generally light S-SE flow. Again expecting winds to increase some later this afternoon and evening as sea breezes become established. Remaining sub-SCA, however, with max winds nearing 15 kt in the lower bay. Winds of ~10 expected elsewhere through tonight. Very similar conditions Friday and Saturday with S- SE winds continuing. S winds increase to ~15 kt in the Chesapeake Bay and 15-20 kt in the coastal waters Saturday evening/night. The strongest winds of the period are still expected later Sunday and Sunday night as low pressure slides well N of the area and a weak cold front approaches from the W. Peak winds are expected after sunrise Sunday and in the 15-20 kt range in the bay/rivers/sound and 20-25 kt range on the ocean. With frequent gusts of 20-30 kt expected, small craft advisories look like a good bet for most of the marine area (lower confidence in the upper rivers and Currituck Sound). Winds remain elevated through early Monday, before subsiding by the afternoon and evening. The direction turns northwesterly behind the front Monday night-Tuesday. Regarding tstm chances, a low chance is expected later Sunday, with a slightly better chance Monday with the front.

Seas are 3-4 ft S and 2-3 ft N this morning and waves 1 ft or less, expect 1-2 ft at the mouth of the bay. Seas average around 3 ft for Friday and Saturday. With the increased southerly flow Sat night- early Mon, seas are forecast to eventually build to 4-6 ft N and 3-4 ft S. Waves also increase to 2-3 ft Sun/Sun night.

Rip currents: Rip current risk is moderate at all beaches today with SE swell energy and ~3 ft nearshore waves (could approach 3-4 ft at times across the NC OBX this aftn). With periods around 8 sec, the threat could near the "high" category from VB and points S as the early morning high tide recedes in the late morning. However, will continue the prevailing moderate and allow the day shift to adjust up if needed based on cams and beach reports. An elevated rip risk likely continues through the upcoming weekend (highest threat shifting to nrn beaches Sat and Sun with the south wind direction).

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 12 mi46 minS 8G9.9 76°F 80°F30.33
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 13 mi46 minSSE 2.9G4.1 71°F 78°F30.34
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 19 mi46 minS 6G8 73°F 30.32
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 23 mi46 minSSW 1.9G2.9 72°F 78°F30.32
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 24 mi40 minS 9.7G12 71°F 77°F1 ft
44042 - Potomac, MD 30 mi40 minSSE 7.8G9.7 73°F 78°F1 ft
PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD 32 mi46 minS 7G8
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 36 mi46 minSSE 2.9G2.9 73°F 80°F30.32
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 42 mi46 minS 9.9G9.9 75°F 30.35
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 45 mi76 min0 67°F 30.3366°F
44063 - Annapolis 46 mi40 minWSW 3.9G5.8 73°F 77°F1 ft
CPVM2 46 mi46 min 76°F 69°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 48 mi46 minSW 1G1.9 74°F 82°F30.31
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 49 mi46 min0G0 69°F 68°F30.29


Wind History for Bishops Head, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KCGE CAMBRIDGEDORCHESTER RGNL,MD 10 sm20 mincalm10 smClear68°F68°F100%30.32
KNHK PATUXENT RIVER NAS/TRAPNELL FIELD/,MD 22 sm53 minS 0410 smClear73°F64°F73%30.32
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Wind History graph: CGE
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Fishing Point, Fishing Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
   
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Fishing Point
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Wed -- 12:29 AM EDT     2.72 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:31 AM EDT     0.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 12:53 PM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:11 PM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Fishing Point, Fishing Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
2.7
1
am
2.7
2
am
2.5
3
am
2.1
4
am
1.5
5
am
1
6
am
0.6
7
am
0.4
8
am
0.4
9
am
0.7
10
am
1.1
11
am
1.7
12
pm
2
1
pm
2.1
2
pm
2
3
pm
1.7
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
0.8
6
pm
0.4
7
pm
0.3
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
0.8
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
2.1


Tide / Current for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
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Wed -- 01:14 AM EDT     0.78 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:24 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:08 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:34 AM EDT     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 12:17 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:09 PM EDT     0.19 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:25 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:47 PM EDT     -0.34 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:10 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current, knots
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.8
2
am
0.7
3
am
0.6
4
am
0.3
5
am
0
6
am
-0.3
7
am
-0.5
8
am
-0.7
9
am
-0.7
10
am
-0.5
11
am
-0.3
12
pm
-0.1
1
pm
0.1
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
0.1
5
pm
-0.1
6
pm
-0.2
7
pm
-0.3
8
pm
-0.3
9
pm
-0.3
10
pm
-0
11
pm
0.2


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