Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elliott, MD
December 4, 2023 8:53 AM EST (13:53 UTC)
Sunrise 7:01AM Sunset 4:43PM Moonrise 11:37PM Moonset 12:30PM
ANZ543 Tangier Sound And The Inland Waters Surrounding Bloodsworth Island- 633 Am Est Mon Dec 4 2023
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Tuesday morning...
Today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt... Diminishing to 5 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming sw. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
.small craft advisory in effect from late tonight through Tuesday morning...
Today..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt... Diminishing to 5 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Wed night..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming sw. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
ANZ500 633 Am Est Mon Dec 4 2023
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay..
a weak ridge of high pressure moves overhead today and low pressure slides by well to our south. A low pressure system will impact the area Tuesday into Wednesday. High pressure will return to the waters Thursday and Friday. Small craft advisories may be needed Monday night and are likely on Wednesday.
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay..
a weak ridge of high pressure moves overhead today and low pressure slides by well to our south. A low pressure system will impact the area Tuesday into Wednesday. High pressure will return to the waters Thursday and Friday. Small craft advisories may be needed Monday night and are likely on Wednesday.
Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 041140 AFDAKQ
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 640 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023
SYNOPSIS
Weak high pressure will build over the area for today. A weak upper trough will swing across the region later today through this evening. High pressure will return for later tonight through Tuesday afternoon. A stronger upper trough will swing into and across the area late Tuesday night into Wednesday evening, then high pressure will build in for Wednesday night and Thursday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 350 AM EST Monday...
Early this morning, IFR CIGs and lower VSBYs over portions of the Lower MD and VA ern shore have just about all dissipated, with IR Satellite imagery and sfc obs otherwise showing SCT-BKN CI across the area. Temps were ranging from the lower to mid 40s, to the upper 50s.
Weak sfc high pressure will build over the area for today. Under a partly to mostly sunny sky, high temps will range from the mid 50s to lower 60s.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 350 AM EST Monday...
A weak shortwave trough will swing across the region during this evening, producing just more clouds, esply over the nrn portions of the area. A clearing sky will occur late this evening into early Tue morning. Lows tonight will range through the 30s into the lower 40s. Dry wx with slightly below normal temps expected on Tue, as high pressure builds across the region. Highs will be mainly in the lower to mid 50s.
A deeper shortwave trough will approach from the NW Tue night, and cross the area Wed into early Wed evening. The best rain chances will be to our NW Tue night, with a 20-40% PoP across much of the region (for rain showers) on Wed. In addition, it will become breezy with NW winds Wed aftn into Wed evening, as the pressure gradient tightens on the back side of low pressure deepening well offshore. Lows Tue night will range from the mid 30s to lower 40s. Mostly cloudy and cool on Wed with highs in the mid to upper 40s. Drying out (and colder) Wed night with diminishing winds inland, as high pressure builds in from the west. Lows Wed night in the mid to upper 20s inland/Piedmont, with lower to mid 30s near the immediate coast.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 350 AM EST Monday...
High pressure will build over the region on Thu, before sliding off the Mid Atlc/SE Coast and out to sea for Thu night through Sat. Dry wx will prevail through Sat. However, during the second half of the weekend, there is the potential for more widespread rain, as a stronger low pressure system and cold front approach and push across the region from the west. Given that it is a week out, there is a lot of uncertainty regarding specifics.
Highs Thu mainly in the mid 40s to near 50. Lows Thu night in the lower to mid 30s in most areas. Increasingly milder from Fri through the weekend. Highs in the mid 50s to near 60 Fri, and in the lower to mid 60s Sat and Sun.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 640 AM EST Monday...
VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites from this morning into Tue morning, with high clouds. Winds will be less than 10 kt through the period.
Outlook: Mainly VFR conditions are expected Tue into Tue night, as high pressure will be over the area then shifts offshore.
An upper level trough will bring clouds and isolated to sctd showers late Tue night into early Wed evening. Flight restrictions are possible (mainly due to CIGs).
MARINE
As of 625 AM EST Monday...
Latest analysis reveals ~1000mb sfc low pressure over northern NY, with the associated sfc cold front now offshore of the mid- Atlantic coast. Locally, winds have veered around to the W-NW at ~10, with some locally stronger winds in the lower bay/lower James River. Regional ACARS soundings and model soundings continue to show a narrow axis of H925 winds of ~30-35 kt over the northern Delmarva, which will drop SE toward our far northern ocean zones in the next few hours. Winds in the Delaware Bay are currently 10-15 kt with gusts to ~20 kt over Cape May and Lewes, DE as of 08z, and expect a brief window where winds increase to 10-15 kt with gusts to ~20 kt from ~09z-12z this morning. Any gusts to SCA would be rather short-lived, and with seas likely to remain 3-4 ft, no need for SCA at this time.
Thereafter, weak high pressure settles over the area later today into tonight with winds becoming light and variable. As 1022+mb cool high pressure builds in from the west, expect more organized cool air advection to push into the region tonight. Winds out of the NW-NNW increase to 10-15 kt tonight, lowest over the Rivers and Currituck Sound. In-house wind probs roughly match grand ensemble probabilities, with each showing ~20-30% probability of seeing a brief period of SCA conditions after midnight tonight/early Tues over the nrn Ches Bay, with gusts t0 25 kt also possible over the northern coastal zones north of Parramore Island.
Given this short-lived and marginal nature of the CAA surge late tonight, will hold off on Small Craft Advisory for now.
Transient high pressure briefly builds overhead on Tuesday, with winds again turning light and variable. Quick-moving low pressure crosses the area on Wednesday into Wed night, with SCAs very likely to be needed behind this system and its associated surface cold front NW winds of 20-25 kt and gusts to ~30 kt are forecast for late Wed aftn through Wed evening, with winds slowly subsiding as high pressure builds in behind the system for Thursday. Seas will quickly build to 5-7 ft Wed night (waves 2-4 ft). Winds gradually back to the west then southwest from Thursday afternoon into Thursday night, with winds aob 10 kt Thu night and Friday. Seas concurrently subside during this period, decreasing to 2-4 ft, with waves 1-2 ft.
00z/4 Global models are trending toward better agreement with respect to potential for impactful marine conditions for the upcoming weekend. ECMWF/GFS and their respective member ensemble means are in better agreement with timing of low pressure lifting NW of the local area Saturday into Sunday. Seas will start to gradually increase again late Fri/Fri night in E-SE swell between the approaching system and high pressure in the western Atlantic. Warm this weekend in gusty SSW flow ahead of the approaching cold front. SCA headlines will be possible both ahead of and behind this approaching front over the upcoming weekend.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 640 AM EST Mon Dec 4 2023
SYNOPSIS
Weak high pressure will build over the area for today. A weak upper trough will swing across the region later today through this evening. High pressure will return for later tonight through Tuesday afternoon. A stronger upper trough will swing into and across the area late Tuesday night into Wednesday evening, then high pressure will build in for Wednesday night and Thursday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
As of 350 AM EST Monday...
Early this morning, IFR CIGs and lower VSBYs over portions of the Lower MD and VA ern shore have just about all dissipated, with IR Satellite imagery and sfc obs otherwise showing SCT-BKN CI across the area. Temps were ranging from the lower to mid 40s, to the upper 50s.
Weak sfc high pressure will build over the area for today. Under a partly to mostly sunny sky, high temps will range from the mid 50s to lower 60s.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
As of 350 AM EST Monday...
A weak shortwave trough will swing across the region during this evening, producing just more clouds, esply over the nrn portions of the area. A clearing sky will occur late this evening into early Tue morning. Lows tonight will range through the 30s into the lower 40s. Dry wx with slightly below normal temps expected on Tue, as high pressure builds across the region. Highs will be mainly in the lower to mid 50s.
A deeper shortwave trough will approach from the NW Tue night, and cross the area Wed into early Wed evening. The best rain chances will be to our NW Tue night, with a 20-40% PoP across much of the region (for rain showers) on Wed. In addition, it will become breezy with NW winds Wed aftn into Wed evening, as the pressure gradient tightens on the back side of low pressure deepening well offshore. Lows Tue night will range from the mid 30s to lower 40s. Mostly cloudy and cool on Wed with highs in the mid to upper 40s. Drying out (and colder) Wed night with diminishing winds inland, as high pressure builds in from the west. Lows Wed night in the mid to upper 20s inland/Piedmont, with lower to mid 30s near the immediate coast.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
As of 350 AM EST Monday...
High pressure will build over the region on Thu, before sliding off the Mid Atlc/SE Coast and out to sea for Thu night through Sat. Dry wx will prevail through Sat. However, during the second half of the weekend, there is the potential for more widespread rain, as a stronger low pressure system and cold front approach and push across the region from the west. Given that it is a week out, there is a lot of uncertainty regarding specifics.
Highs Thu mainly in the mid 40s to near 50. Lows Thu night in the lower to mid 30s in most areas. Increasingly milder from Fri through the weekend. Highs in the mid 50s to near 60 Fri, and in the lower to mid 60s Sat and Sun.
AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 640 AM EST Monday...
VFR conditions will prevail at the TAF sites from this morning into Tue morning, with high clouds. Winds will be less than 10 kt through the period.
Outlook: Mainly VFR conditions are expected Tue into Tue night, as high pressure will be over the area then shifts offshore.
An upper level trough will bring clouds and isolated to sctd showers late Tue night into early Wed evening. Flight restrictions are possible (mainly due to CIGs).
MARINE
As of 625 AM EST Monday...
Latest analysis reveals ~1000mb sfc low pressure over northern NY, with the associated sfc cold front now offshore of the mid- Atlantic coast. Locally, winds have veered around to the W-NW at ~10, with some locally stronger winds in the lower bay/lower James River. Regional ACARS soundings and model soundings continue to show a narrow axis of H925 winds of ~30-35 kt over the northern Delmarva, which will drop SE toward our far northern ocean zones in the next few hours. Winds in the Delaware Bay are currently 10-15 kt with gusts to ~20 kt over Cape May and Lewes, DE as of 08z, and expect a brief window where winds increase to 10-15 kt with gusts to ~20 kt from ~09z-12z this morning. Any gusts to SCA would be rather short-lived, and with seas likely to remain 3-4 ft, no need for SCA at this time.
Thereafter, weak high pressure settles over the area later today into tonight with winds becoming light and variable. As 1022+mb cool high pressure builds in from the west, expect more organized cool air advection to push into the region tonight. Winds out of the NW-NNW increase to 10-15 kt tonight, lowest over the Rivers and Currituck Sound. In-house wind probs roughly match grand ensemble probabilities, with each showing ~20-30% probability of seeing a brief period of SCA conditions after midnight tonight/early Tues over the nrn Ches Bay, with gusts t0 25 kt also possible over the northern coastal zones north of Parramore Island.
Given this short-lived and marginal nature of the CAA surge late tonight, will hold off on Small Craft Advisory for now.
Transient high pressure briefly builds overhead on Tuesday, with winds again turning light and variable. Quick-moving low pressure crosses the area on Wednesday into Wed night, with SCAs very likely to be needed behind this system and its associated surface cold front NW winds of 20-25 kt and gusts to ~30 kt are forecast for late Wed aftn through Wed evening, with winds slowly subsiding as high pressure builds in behind the system for Thursday. Seas will quickly build to 5-7 ft Wed night (waves 2-4 ft). Winds gradually back to the west then southwest from Thursday afternoon into Thursday night, with winds aob 10 kt Thu night and Friday. Seas concurrently subside during this period, decreasing to 2-4 ft, with waves 1-2 ft.
00z/4 Global models are trending toward better agreement with respect to potential for impactful marine conditions for the upcoming weekend. ECMWF/GFS and their respective member ensemble means are in better agreement with timing of low pressure lifting NW of the local area Saturday into Sunday. Seas will start to gradually increase again late Fri/Fri night in E-SE swell between the approaching system and high pressure in the western Atlantic. Warm this weekend in gusty SSW flow ahead of the approaching cold front. SCA headlines will be possible both ahead of and behind this approaching front over the upcoming weekend.
AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD | 12 mi | 53 min | SSE 1.9G | 49°F | 48°F | 29.86 | ||
| CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD | 13 mi | 53 min | WSW 5.1G | 45°F | 47°F | 29.88 | ||
| COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD | 19 mi | 53 min | SW 1.9G | 48°F | 29.88 | |||
| SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD | 23 mi | 53 min | NNW 1.9G | 44°F | 51°F | 29.85 | ||
| 44062 - Gooses Reef, MD | 24 mi | 35 min | SW 7.8G | 51°F | 49°F | 0 ft | ||
| 44042 - Potomac, MD | 30 mi | 41 min | S 5.8G | 46°F | 51°F | 0 ft | ||
| PPTM2 - 8578240 - Piney Point, MD | 32 mi | 53 min | 0G | |||||
| LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA | 36 mi | 53 min | WSW 4.1G | 45°F | 50°F | 29.87 | ||
| TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD | 42 mi | 53 min | WSW 4.1G | 50°F | 29.90 | |||
| BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD | 45 mi | 83 min | 0 | 40°F | 29.86 | 39°F | ||
| 44063 - Annapolis | 46 mi | 35 min | W 5.8G | 49°F | 49°F | |||
| CPVM2 | 46 mi | 53 min | 52°F | 36°F | ||||
| APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD | 48 mi | 53 min | W 1.9G | 51°F | 53°F | 29.85 | ||
| OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD | 49 mi | 53 min | WSW 4.1G | 49°F | 52°F | 29.82 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KCGE CAMBRIDGEDORCHESTER RGNL,MD | 10 sm | 28 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 39°F | 39°F | 100% | 29.86 | |
| KNHK PATUXENT RIVER NAS/TRAPNELL FIELD/,MD | 22 sm | 61 min | SSW 03 | 7 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 39°F | 37°F | 93% | 29.86 |
Wind History from CGE
(wind in knots)Tide / Current for Fishing Point, Fishing Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
EDIT Weekend mode (on/off) (on/off) Help
Fishing Point
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:13 AM EST 0.41 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:48 AM EST 2.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:30 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 01:13 PM EST 0.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:43 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 07:02 PM EST 2.27 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:36 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:13 AM EST 0.41 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:48 AM EST 2.05 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:04 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 12:30 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 01:13 PM EST 0.54 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 04:43 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 07:02 PM EST 2.27 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:36 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Fishing Point, Fishing Bay, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.6 |
| 1 am |
| 0.4 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.8 |
| 4 am |
| 1.2 |
| 5 am |
| 1.7 |
| 6 am |
| 2 |
| 7 am |
| 2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.9 |
| 9 am |
| 1.7 |
| 10 am |
| 1.3 |
| 11 am |
| 0.9 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 3 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 6 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 8 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.2 |
Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:00 AM EST -0.61 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:19 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 08:06 AM EST 0.42 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:51 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:32 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 02:32 PM EST -0.28 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:44 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 04:51 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:48 PM EST 0.41 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:57 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:38 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:00 AM EST -0.61 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:19 AM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:06 AM EST Sunrise
Mon -- 08:06 AM EST 0.42 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:51 AM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 12:32 PM EST Moonset
Mon -- 02:32 PM EST -0.28 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:44 PM EST Sunset
Mon -- 04:51 PM EST 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:48 PM EST 0.41 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 10:57 PM EST -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:38 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current, knots
| 12 am |
| -0.4 |
| 1 am |
| -0.5 |
| 2 am |
| -0.6 |
| 3 am |
| -0.5 |
| 4 am |
| -0.4 |
| 5 am |
| -0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.2 |
| 7 am |
| 0.4 |
| 8 am |
| 0.4 |
| 9 am |
| 0.4 |
| 10 am |
| 0.3 |
| 11 am |
| 0.1 |
| 12 pm |
| -0 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 3 pm |
| -0.3 |
| 4 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 0 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.4 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 11 pm |
| -0 |
Dover AFB, DE,
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