Wednesday, July15, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Taylors Island, MD

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:50AMSunset 8:30PM Wednesday July 15, 2020 5:27 AM EDT (09:27 UTC) Moonrise 12:53AMMoonset 2:56PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ533 Chesapeake Bay From North Beach To Drum Point- 437 Am Edt Wed Jul 15 2020
Rest of the overnight..W winds 5 kt. Waves flat.
Today..E winds around 5 kt. Waves flat.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Thu..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.
Fri..S winds 10 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers and tstms. Winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.
ANZ500 437 Am Edt Wed Jul 15 2020
Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay.. High pressure will build across the area through today before moving offshore. A front may approach from the north late in the week, before lifting back north on Sunday. A small craft advisory may be needed for portions of the waters late Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Taylors Island, MD
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location: 38.47, -76.25     debug


Area Discussion for - Wakefield, VA
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FXUS61 KAKQ 150745 AFDAKQ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wakefield VA 345 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure builds into the region today into Thursday, and then slides off the coast Friday. A trough of low pressure will push into the area this weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. As of 345 AM EDT Wednesday .

The current analysis shows an upper trough over Atlantic Canada downstream of a ridge over the Ern Great Lakes. At the surface, weak high pressure is centered over wrn PA. Mostly clear early this morning across the local area, with temperatures in the mid 60s to low 70s for much of the area, and mid 70s for the coasts of SE VA and NE NC. Surface high pressure will build across New England today, with a subtle boundary sliding across the region this morning. Light onshore flow will develop behind this boundary as the high builds to the NE. 850mb temperatures range from 15-17C today supporting seasonal highs in the upper 80s to low 90s, with mid 80s at the immediate coast with onshore flow. Good mixing and drier air associated with the high to the NE will allow aftn dewpoints to drop into the mid 60s away from the coasts. Most areas will be partly to mostly sunny and dry today, with only a slight chc of showers/tstms along the sea- breeze over the MD Ern Shore, and an additional slight chc over the SW Piedmont.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/. As of 345 AM EDT Wednesday .

High pressure remains centered over New England tonight into Thursday. Therefore, expect mostly clear and dry conditions for tonight, with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s. The low-level flow becomes more SE by Thursday as the high nudges offshore. Upper heights build across the region Thursday as a ridge builds in aloft from the W. Thus, there is not much of a trigger for aftn/early evening showers/tstms, so PoPs are largely 20% or less, with the exception of the NW Piedmont where PoPs are up to 30% Thursday aftn as some showers/tstms could drift off the mountains as some shortwave energy slides across the nrn periphery of the ridge. 850mb temperatures Thursday remain in the 15-17C range supporting seasonable highs once again in the upper 80s/low 90s (mid 80s at the coast with onshore flow). Dewpoints Thursday aftn range from the mid to upper 60s, so heat indices will again be near or slightly above the ambient temperature. Overall, quite typical for mid July. Hot and more humid Friday with highs in the upper 80s to mid 90s, and max heat indices in the mid 90s to around 100F. PoPs of 30-40% for showers/tstms, especially during the aftn/evening, as a weak trough/shortwave energy pushes into the region. Lows will mainly range from the upper 60s to mid 70s Friday morning.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/. As of 350 PM EDT Tuesday .

The extended portion of the forecast will bring a continuation of typical mid Summer conditions. Broad E-W high pres aloft (from the wrn Atlantic to the Rockies will remain in control while a weak sfc trough lingers over interior portions of the mid-Atlantic region. There will be a slight weakness (or trough) in the ridge INVOF mid- Atlantic and that will allow for poss mainly daily diurnal SHRAs/tstms (highest PoPs 30-50% inland each day). Lows at night in the l-m70s. Highs each day from the u80s-m90s.

AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. As of 155 AM EDT Wednesday .

Weak high pressure builds in from the north early this morning and becomes centered over New England today into tonight promoting light onshore flow across the region. Mostly clear this morning with some patchy fog possible through 12z. PHF will be an exception where shallow ground fog is expected to produce variable vsby (LIFR to VFR) through about 10z. FEW-SCT CU this aftn for most of the area, with a slight chc of a sea-breeze shower or tstm at SBY. Mostly clear conditions are expected by tonight.

The chc for aftn/early evening showers/tstms is generally less than 15% at the TAF sites Thursday, 20-30% Friday, 30-40% Saturday, and 20-40% by Sunday. VFR conditions are expected to prevail outside of showers/tstms.

MARINE. As of 230 AM EDT Wednesday .

Sfc high pressure will reside over New England today. Light and variable winds this morning will become ESE 10 kt or less by late this morning into the afternoon. Generally light onshore flow is expected to continue through tonight, before a slight uptick in east winds for Thursday (10-15 kt) which become SSE at similar speeds on Friday. SSW winds aob 15 kt expected this coming weekend as a weakening frontal boundary washes out over the region. Waves on the Ches Bay will remain 1-2 ft through the period; seas 2-3 ft.

AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. MD . None. NC . None. VA . None. MARINE . None.

SYNOPSIS . AJZ/TMG NEAR TERM . AJZ SHORT TERM . AJZ/TMG LONG TERM . ALB AVIATION . AJZ MARINE . JDM


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 11 mi34 min Calm G 0 78°F 82°F
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 12 mi58 min 84°F
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 15 mi58 min 84°F
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 21 mi58 min 83°F
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 31 mi28 min W 4.1 G 5.1 76°F 82°F1020.3 hPa (+1.2)66°F
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 32 mi118 min Calm 1018 hPa
LWTV2 - 8635750 - Lewisetta, VA 35 mi58 min 84°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 37 mi58 min 84°F
NCDV2 43 mi58 min 86°F
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 49 mi58 min 85°F

Wind History for Cove Point LNG Pier, MD
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cambridge-Dorchester Airport, MD13 mi33 minN 010.00 miFair68°F66°F94%1019.3 hPa
Patuxent River, Naval Air Station, MD15 mi36 minWNW 310.00 miFair74°F72°F94%1019.1 hPa
St Marys County Airport, MD19 mi33 minN 010.00 miFair68°F64°F88%1020 hPa
St. Inigoes, Webster Field, Naval Electronic Systems Engineering Activity, MD24 mi35 minN 010.00 miFair73°F68°F84%1018.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCGE

Wind History from CGE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmN6N7N6N7NW8NW94
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N7NW6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmNW6N7NW7NW63N8N7
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N5N5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW6CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmSW44SW3Calm3
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4SW5S8S8S5CalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmW4W3W4

Tide / Current Tables for Smithville Road Bridge, Beaverdam Creek, Maryland
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of), Maryland Current
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Cove Point (1.1 mi. NE of)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:52 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:08 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:54 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:21 AM EDT     -0.51 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 09:39 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 11:39 AM EDT     0.20 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:04 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:48 PM EDT     -0.39 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:24 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:55 PM EDT     0.70 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Wakefield, VA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Dover AFB, DE
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.