Hanksville, UT Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hanksville, UT

June 18, 2024 2:31 AM MDT (08:31 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:46 AM   Sunset 8:44 PM
Moonrise 4:54 PM   Moonset 2:12 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hanksville, UT
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Area Discussion for - Salt Lake City, UT
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FXUS65 KSLC 172156 AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT 356 PM MDT Mon Jun 17 2024

SYNOPSIS
A strong cold front will continue to cross the region through this evening, bringing a much colder airmass to the area for Tuesday. Temperatures will quickly moderate midweek, with another period of very hot temperatures by Sunday.

.SHORT TERM (THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY)...An upper trough continues to track across Idaho and northern Nevada into northern Utah this afternoon. A powerful by mostly dry June cold front associated with this trough is currently making its way through the forecast area. Latest surface analysis shows the surface boundary extending from west-central Utah into the western Uinta Basin.
Meanwhile, the H7 baroclinic zone lags the surface front a bit, but has already made it to SLC. Strong gusty winds are noted on both sides of the boundary, with a few postfrontal wind gusts in excess of 58 mph so far across the northwest deserts. Expect strong postfrontal winds to continue as the front continues to make its way into southern Utah this evening, and could be especially strong in favored downslope areas. Wind highlights are in effect for some of these areas. However, have left out other favored areas such as northern Utah County and the Uinta Basin, as these are currently not quite expected to see the duration needed for an advisory. Something worth keeping an eye on nonetheless.

Much colder temperatures will spread into the area behind the cold front. Overnight mins tonight will be around 15 degrees below normal across northern Utah, and around 5-10 degrees below normal across much of southern Utah. Some valley areas, especially mountain valleys, will see mins near to below freezing. The Freeze Watch for the Wasatch Back has been upgraded to a Freeze Warning. For tomorrow, afternoon maxes will remain on the cool side at around 14-20 degrees below normal across the north and 5-12 degrees below normal across the south as a mean trough settles over the area.
Otherwise, winds will be weaker tomorrow with relatively benign weather other than the cold.

.LONG TERM (After 12z/6AM Wednesday), Issued 426 AM MDT...
Following the much anticipated early week trough, model guidance maintains good agreement on mean troughing remaining in place to the west of the forecast area through much of the upcoming week.
An upstream trough will promote increasingly warm southwesterly flow which will strongly favor temperatures warming from right around climatological normals on Wednesday to well above normal by Sunday. In fact, by Sunday the Salt Lake City area could see another shot at 100 degrees as model statistics support a 50 percent chance of exceeding 99 degrees and a nearly 40 percent chance of exceeding 100 degrees! For the St. George area, temperatures could easily rise back into the mid-100s. For both of these areas during the overnight period lows may only drop into the mid-to-upper 70s, providing very little recovery for those without proper cooling. There is generally medium to high confidence in this warm up through the second half of the week. As such, will need to evaluate heat risk for these areas over the coming days as headlines may need to be considered.

Another aspect of the forecast that will be a welcomed change is the increasing confidence in the introduction of moisture over the eastern half of Utah late in the work week. Leading up to about Friday, dry and breezy southwesterly flow will keep much of Utah with elevated, to near-critical, fire weather conditions. However, models showing increasing potential for moisture to ooze in from the Gulf of Mexico and spread across the eastern half of Utah. Most of the moisture increases are noted in the lower-to-mid levels which will help to destabilize the atmosphere and bring potential for stronger thunderstorms over the eastern half of Utah. GEFS and EPS both show precipitable water levels upwards of 190 to 250 percent of normal by Friday, respectively. This potential moisture flux could very well give us one of our first hydrologically concerning events for slot canyons, slickrock areas, and burn scars. After Friday, moisture wanes and we return to mostly dry conditions across the area... though isolated showers and thunderstorms are likely to linger across the eastern half of Utah through at least Saturday.



AVIATION
KSLC...Gusty post-frontal NW winds gradually subside from late evening into the overnight hours, with any lingering precipitation and denser cloud cover also gradually clearing. By around 10Z or so, lighter N winds become more VRB, with VRB to light S drainage flow then expected through mid to late morning Tuesday.
NW flow then becomes reestablished by late morning and is maintained thereafter, with skies remaining mostly clear to clear.

REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING
Cold front to continue southward through the area. Northern terminals likely start in a gusty post-frontal environment, with some low chances (less than 20%) of lingering precipitation. Conditions gradually improve moving into the overnight hours, with winds trending downward and remaining precip and VFR cloud cover mostly clearing. At southern terminals, front will begin pushing through late Mon evening. Precipitation is not expected, but an abrupt shift to gusty N winds is anticipated, with gusts then lingering on into the overnight for several hours.
Gusts will begin to subside moving closer to sunrise, with some exception potentially at SGU where threat for a bit prolonged downslope/gap winds are noted (though low confidence in exact magnitude and duration at the terminal). Moving into the day Tuesday, more benign weather conditions expected to set in.

FIRE WEATHER
A very strong but dry cold front will continue to push south through Utah through this evening. Strong Gusty winds are expected both ahead of and behind the front. The winds will combine with low humidities to continue to create critical fire weather conditions through this evening across southern Utah where fuels have cured. Isolated weak, high-based showers remain possible through this evening across northern Utah behind the front, producing very little to no rainfall but may briefly enhance the already strong winds. Much cooler temperatures will spread into the area behind the front for tonight and tomorrow.
Humidity recoveries should also improve across all but the lower valleys of far southern Utah.

Temperatures will trend warmer again Wednesday into late week, with afternoon relative humidities remaining on the low side.
Increasing winds on Thursday could potentially bring another round of critical fire weather conditions to areas where fuels have cured. Models are coming into good agreement on moisture spreading into the eastern portions of the area Thursday into Friday, with a chance of some areas seeing wet thunderstorms by Friday.



SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
UT...High Wind Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for UTZ101.

Freeze Warning from 9 PM this evening to 9 AM MDT Tuesday for UTZ108.

Wind Advisory until 3 AM MDT Tuesday for UTZ120.

Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT this evening for UTZ495-496.

Red Flag Warning until 3 AM MDT Tuesday for UTZ498.

Wind Advisory from 9 PM this evening to 8 AM MDT Tuesday for UTZ123.

Red Flag Warning until midnight MDT tonight for UTZ497.

WY...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KHVE HANKSVILLE,UT 23 sm16 minWNW 10G1610 smClear59°F16°F18%29.88
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