Tuesday, June15, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Long Neck, DE

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 5:36AMSunset 8:29PM Tuesday June 15, 2021 12:37 AM EDT (04:37 UTC) Moonrise 9:12AMMoonset 11:34PM Illumination 26% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ455 Coastal Waters From Cape Henlopen To Fenwick Island De Out 20 Nm- 1010 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Overnight..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming W around 5 kt late. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of tstms late this evening, then tstms. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Tue..W winds around 5 kt, becoming nw in the late morning and afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of tstms early in the morning, then a chance of showers in the late morning and afternoon. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas around 3 ft. A chance of showers early in the evening. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds, becoming mainly from the nw with a dominant period of 9 seconds after midnight.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W late. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less, then around 3 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat..SW winds around 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 1009 Pm Edt Mon Jun 14 2021
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Low pressure over eastern ontario will progress to the east with its associated cold front passing through our region tonight into early tomorrow morning. The low should then move northeastward towards canada's maritime provinces on Tuesday and Tuesday night. A secondary cold front will on Wednesday evening with high pressure arriving in its wake for Thursday and Friday. Another cold front is expected to approach from the northwest on Saturday and it should pass through our region on Saturday night and could stall just to our south into Sunday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Long Neck, DE
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location: 38.58, -75.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 150340 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1140 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

SYNOPSIS. Low pressure over eastern Ontario will progress to the east with its associated cold front passing through our region tonight into early tomorrow morning. The low should then move northeastward towards Canada's Maritime Provinces on Tuesday and Tuesday night. A secondary cold front will on Wednesday evening with high pressure arriving in its wake for Thursday and Friday. Another cold front is expected to approach from the northwest on Saturday and it should pass through our region on Saturday night and could stall just to our south into Sunday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/. We've opted to expire Severe Thunderstorm Watch 270 as the threat of additional severe weather is rapidly coming to a close across most of New Jersey outside the immediate coast and portions of southern New Jersey. Severe Thunderstorm Watch 273 remains in effect as the threat now transitions towards DelMarVa as several storms have moved into an unstable airmass and undergo rapid intensification of updraft strength. Anticipate the potential for scattered damage reports across DelMarVa from these storms. The flooding threat remains for the metro area in Philly as reports continue to filter in although there isn't much additional heavy rain expected through the night.

For Tuesday, the axis of a short wave rotating around the trough is forecast to pass overhead early on Tuesday afternoon. As a result, we will keep a chance of showers in the forecast. There will continue to be some weak instability at that time so we will also mention a slight chance of thunder.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/. The period from Tuesday night through Thursday will feature a fairly sharp mid level trough extending southward from Quebec over the eastern states. The main axis of this trough looks to pass through by Tuesday night resulting in mainly dry weather for this time period.

Tuesday night into Wednesday, the region will be situated between high pressure over the midwest and low pressure over Atlantic Canada. This will set up a dry air advection pattern with lowering dew points and skies that will generally be mainly clear to partly cloudy. Lows Tuesday night will be mainly in the 50s to around 60 with highs Wednesday mainly in the 70s to near 80.

High pressure builds in for Wednesday night and Thursday bringing continuing mainly clear skies with temperatures a little on the cool side for this time of year as lows will be mainly in the 50s with highs mainly in the 70s.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/. The mid level trough moves out to sea Thursday night with some ridging from the southwest and west arriving overhead on Friday. Another mid level trough is expected to progress from Ontario and the Great Lakes through the northeastern states over the weekend.

At the surface, high pressure is forecast to slide off the coast Thursday night into Friday. It should remain dry Friday with readings likely getting into the lower and middle 80s at most locations as the return flow on the back side of the high begins to bring warmer air into our region.

A cold front associated with the weekend's mid level trough is anticipated to approach from the northwest on Saturday before passing through our region on Saturday night. As a result, we will mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms at that time for Saturday afternoon/evening. The front may stall near or just south of the region Sunday into Monday but forecast details remain uncertain at this time. Will keep in at least a slight chance of showers across most of the region for both days.

AVIATION /04Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight . Thunderstorms are progressing eastward this evening with the potential for some of the to become strong to severe, and continuing through the early overnight period. Best timing is generally through 05Z, before the storms exit to the east of the terminals. Conditions remain VFR behind the storms for RDG/ABE with MVFR generally from the I-95 terminals eastward (possibly IFR at times) and continuing through the rest of the night. Winds will start to trend more to the northwest towards morning. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday . MVFR/IFR conditions expected across the southern half of the region to continue through 14-15Z before improvement to VFR starts to occur for all terminals. Northwest winds around 5 to 10 knots in the morning will increase to 10 to 15 knots with gusts around 20 knots through the afternoon. Slight chance for some showers or thunderstorms but confidence to low to include even a VC at this time. Moderate confidence.

Outlook .

Wednesday . VFR. Northwest wind around 10 knots. High confidence.

Thursday . VFR. Northwest wind 5 to 10 knots. High confidence.

Friday . VFR. Southwest wind around 10 knots. High confidence.

Saturday . Mainly VFR except restrictions possible in late day showers/storms. SW winds 10 to 15 knots. Moderate confidence.

MARINE. Sub-SCA conditions will prevail through Monday night with seas running 2-3 ft and southerly winds around 10-15kts. There will be potential for thunderstorms with locally strong winds tonight over all waters.

Outlook .

Tuesday through Friday . No marine headlines are anticipated.

Saturday . Southwest winds will increase and could get near SCA levels by late day.

Rip currents .

The risk of dangerous rip currents is expected to remain borderline Low-Moderate through Tuesday given 2-3 ft breakers, and medium-period low amplitude shore-perpendicular easterly swell. We have issued a MODERATE risk for NJ with a LOW risk for Delaware for Tuesday.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . None.

Synopsis . Meola Near Term . Deal Short Term . Fitzsimmons/Iovino Long Term . Fitzsimmons/Iovino Aviation . Deal/Iovino Marine . Deal/Iovino


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 14 mi50 min SSW 7 G 9.9 74°F 67°F1007.4 hPa
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 18 mi50 min SSW 13 G 16 70°F 69°F1009.3 hPa
44009 - DELAWARE BAY 26 NM Southeast of Cape May, NJ 26 mi48 min 3 ft
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 28 mi56 min SSW 15 G 16 1007.5 hPa
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 29 mi50 min S 8 G 12 71°F 71°F1007.1 hPa
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 38 mi68 min S 6 74°F 1007 hPa73°F
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 48 mi56 min S 5.1 G 8 76°F 76°F1007.5 hPa

Wind History for Lewes, DE
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Georgetown - Delaware Coastal Airport, DE13 mi44 minS 910.00 miFair74°F67°F79%1007.4 hPa
Ocean City, Ocean City Municipal Airport, MD19 mi45 minSSW 12 G 1810.00 miA Few Clouds74°F69°F85%1008.1 hPa
Salisbury, Salisbury-Ocean City Wicomico County Regional Airport, MD24 mi44 minS 710.00 miFair72°F67°F84%1007.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KGED

Wind History from GED (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE4S4SE3S6S6SW6SW3S6SW6SW6SW8SW7SW7SW7S8SW12SW9W8SW6SW6S9S10S9S9
1 day agoCalmNE3NE4CalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmS43E3NE3E10SE9SE8
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2 days agoNE9NE12E8NE11NE6NE7E6N8NE7NE10NE13E12NE11NE11NE12E10E9E10E8E5E6E4SE5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Oak Orchard, Delaware
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Oak Orchard
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Tue -- 02:01 AM EDT     0.97 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:20 AM EDT     0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 10:11 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:03 PM EDT     0.80 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:13 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.910.90.80.70.40.30.10.10.10.20.50.60.80.80.80.70.50.30.20.20.20.4

Tide / Current Tables for Delaware Bay Entrance, Delaware Current
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Delaware Bay Entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:44 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:27 AM EDT     -1.26 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:28 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 10:10 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 11:18 AM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:20 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:33 PM EDT     -0.95 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:08 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:18 PM EDT     1.30 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.4-0.1-0.7-1.1-1.2-1.2-0.9-0.30.30.8110.60.2-0.3-0.7-0.9-0.9-0.7-0.10.611.3

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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