Monday, January27, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Southampton, NY

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 5:03PM Monday January 27, 2020 11:20 AM EST (16:20 UTC) Moonrise 9:46AMMoonset 8:44PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ005 855 Am Est Mon Jan 27 2020
Synopsis for eastport me to stonington me out 25 nm.. Low pres will exit across the maritimes today. A cold front will approach from the N late today, then cross the area tonight. Weak high pres builds over the area Tue. Another cold front crosses the area Tue night and Wed morning, followed by canadian high pres building in through Fri.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Southampton, NY
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location: 38.69, -71.39     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 271423 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 923 AM EST Mon Jan 27 2020

SYNOPSIS. A series of weak upper level disturbances will move across the area today. High pressure will then gradually build from the west this week, with a dry cold frontal passage late day Tuesday into Tuesday evening. Low pressure may impact the area this coming weekend.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. Recent satellite and radar trends indicate earlier sprinkles and flurries have dissipated. The middle level vort max is moving away so have removed the mention of flurries/sprinkles this morning.

As a deep layer trough approaches this afternoon, associated low level cyclonic flow and positive H8 theta-e advection suggest clouds will prevail through much of the day especially inland, and can not totally rule out additional sprinkles.

High temps today are a shade above GFS/NAM MOS and are a few degrees above normal, with lower and mid 40s expected.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/. Should see some clearing tonight and into Tuesday, except perhaps NW of NYC where lake effect clouds may hang on in cyclonic flow. Continued low level CAA will bring temps a little closer to normal, with highs in the upper 30s/lower 40s expected. Another approaching northern stream upper trough will help push a weak cold front toward/across the area from the north during late day/early evening.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/. High pressure will remain north of the region through the end of the week with dry and seasonably chilly conditions. Expect mostly sunny days and mostly clear nights with highs in the 30s or lower 40s and overnight lows in the teens and 20s.

By next weekend, models continue to diverge on the eventual evolution of the next trough, and thus depth of surface low development and tracks remain unclear. However, there is the potential for precip next weekend, with confidence in any one solution low at this time. Will continue to carry chance POPs at this time.

AVIATION /14Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. Low pressure over the Canadian maritimes will be slow to work east over the next couple of days, while a large area of high pressure gradually builds in from the west. This will keep the area under a W-NW flow.

Mainly VFR conditions. There could be a brief MVFR ceiling late this morning into early this afternoon, along with a chance of a flurry and/or sprinkle.

West winds increase to 10-15 kts with gusts around 20 kt by early afternoon, then veering to the NW this evening.

NY Metro Enhanced Aviation Weather Support .

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: http:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

KJFK TAF Comments: Low chance of an MVFR ceiling late morning/early afternoon. Gusts this morning may initially be more occasional than frequent.

The afternoon KJFK haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KLGA TAF Comments: Low chance of an MVFR ceiling late morning/early afternoon. Gusts this morning may initially be more occasional than frequent.

The afternoon KLGA haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KEWR TAF Comments: Low chance of an MVFR ceiling late morning/early afternoon. Gusts this morning may initially be more occasional than frequent. High confidence left of 310 magnetic today.

The afternoon KEWR haze potential forecast is GREEN . which implies slant range visibility 7SM or greater outside of cloud.

KTEB TAF Comments: Low chance of an MVFR ceiling late morning/early afternoon. Gusts this morning may initially be more occasional than frequent.

KHPN TAF Comments: Low chance of an MVFR ceiling late morning/early afternoon. Gusts this morning may initially be more occasional than frequent.

KISP TAF Comments: Low chance of an MVFR ceiling late morning/early afternoon. Gusts this morning may initially be more occasional than frequent.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. Tuesday. VFR. NW winds G20kt. Wednesday through Friday. VFR.

MARINE. SCA conds expected today on the ocean, as W winds 15-20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and incoming 2-3 ft SE swell produce combined seas of 5-6 ft. These conds should abate by nightfall W of Fire Island Inlet, and later tonight farther east.

SUB-SCA conditions are then expected on all waters through Friday as high pressure slowly builds in. There could be some gusty NW winds Tuesday night and Wednesday, but these should diminish Thursday and Friday as the center of the high passes over the waters.

The next chance of SCA conditions should be over the weekend when low pressure may impact the waters.

HYDROLOGY. No hydrologic impacts are anticipated through the end of the week.

EQUIPMENT. NYC NOAA Weather Radio Station KWO35 (162.55 MHz) is still operating at reduced power.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. CT . None. NY . None. NJ . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ355. Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Tuesday for ANZ350. Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ353.

SYNOPSIS . BC/Goodman NEAR TERM . Goodman/DS SHORT TERM . Goodman LONG TERM . BC AVIATION . DW MARINE . BC/Goodman HYDROLOGY . BC/Goodman EQUIPMENT .


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY162 mi87 minW 810.00 miOvercast42°F28°F60%1005.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFOK

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW13NW14
G20
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W5W4CalmCalmCalmW5W7W6W6--W3--W5W7W7W9W12
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1 day agoE13
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SW9SW9SW4SW5W9W9W6W6W5W3W3CalmCalmW8W7W10
2 days agoNE7NE6NE644E6E5E5NE4--NE6NE6NE5--NE6--NE5--E5E8
G17
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G20
E9
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G24

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.