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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Federalsburg, MD

June 25, 2024 4:51 AM EDT (08:51 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:39 AM   Sunset 8:34 PM
Moonrise 10:43 PM   Moonset 8:18 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ541 Choptank River To Cambridge Md And The Little Choptank River- 433 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

.small craft advisory in effect until 2 am edt Tuesday - .

Rest of this afternoon - N winds 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Tonight - N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt - . Diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the late evening and overnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Tue - NW winds 5 kt - .becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft.

Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 25 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers with a chance of tstms.

Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 433 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will briefly return to the waters through Tuesday before a cold front crosses Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure will return from the north Friday into Saturday. Small craft advisories may be needed Tuesday night through Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Federalsburg, MD
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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602 FXUS61 KPHI 250756 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 356 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure south and west of the region early this morning moves eastward and offshore through the day today. A warm front will lift north of the area early on Wednesday before another strong cold front passes by late Wednesday night. High pressure returns for Thursday and continues into early Saturday ahead of another low pressure system that approaches late Saturday into Sunday. High pressure returns by early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
High pressure will shift south of the region Tuesday, but remain in control and bring fair weather through the day. Mostly sunny skies and a more WSW wind will allow for temperatures to warm slightly compared to yesterday with highs expected in the upper 80s to low 90s. Despite the warmer temperatures, dew points will remain comfortably in the 50s, giving us a small taste of that "dry heat" our friends across the western US are used to.

Come late afternoon/early evening, we will see a weak shortwave pass overhead. This could be enough to bring some isolated to scattered light showers across the Poconos, Lehigh Valley, and northern NJ. That said, it is very possible most of these showers won`t make it to the surface given the drier conditions in the low-levels. Otherwise, we can expect a rather uneventful night, though clouds will be increasing ahead of our next system. As a result, low temperatures will be warmer, only cooling off into the low to mid 70s. Dew points will be creeping up overnight as well, reaching back into the 60s by daybreak.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
SW flow increases for Wednesday ahead of an approaching cold front.
This will lead to hot and humid conditions returning as surface dew points rise into the upper 60s to near 70 around the region under continuing mainly sunny skies through the early afternoon. This set up will lead to the mid 90s for highs across most inland locations.
Closer to the coast and up in the Poconos, temps should remain in the 80s. Max heat indicies at this time look to reach around 100 for most areas near and south of the urban corridor (except near the coast) and so Heat Advisories have been issued.

The other big story will be the potential for severe weather Wednesday afternoon and evening. An upper trough will swing through the Great Lakes on Wednesday approaching our area by Wednesday night with an advancing cold front. With the abundance of moist, humid air in place, several indicators are present for thunderstorm development. Forecast soundings show SBCAPE values around 1000-2000 J/kg, bulk shear values around 30 kt, and lapse rates around 7.0- 7.5C/km. Shear values are also a bit modest since forcing will be in somewhat close proximity. As a result, the Storm Prediction Center has now outlined our entire forecast area in a SLIGHT Risk (Level 2/5) for severe weather. The main threat should be damaging wind gusts considering the environment. However given the strong low level directional and speed shear there will also be the potential for one or two tornadoes, especially over northeast PA into NW NJ. In terms of flooding, PWATs will be up around 2 inches, so any storm will be capable of producing heavy rainfall. Storm motion does appear to be relatively-fast, so not expecting any widespread flood impacts at this time. In terms of timing, the latest trends with some of our guidance are suggesting slightly later timing indicating it could be more of an evening event. Chances for scattered storms still look to begin by the afternoon, especially over northern and western areas, but it may not be until the evening timeframe that more widespread convection moves through closer to the front. The cold front will eventually move offshore late Wednesday night into early Thursday.

Some showers may linger near the coast on Thursday morning, but the overall trend will be for decreasing clouds and lowering dew points on Thursday as high pressure starts to build in from the west.
It will feel much more comfortable outside compared to Wednesday with highs returning closer to normal. The high builds in right over the area for Thursday night bringing mainly clear skies with light winds. Expect lows ranging from the mid 50s north to the mid 60s near and south of the urban corridor.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
High pressure will be centered just north of the area early Friday before retreating to the north and east off the coast by later Friday through Saturday as the next system approaches. This will result in sunshine for Friday with seasonable temperatures and low humidity. Generally expect highs in the 80s with dew points in the 50s to low 60s.

As mentioned above, the next system approaches Saturday first pushing a warm front towards the area and then a cold front by Sunday as the low moves by to our north. This will bring increasing chances for showers and storms by Saturday afternoon continuing Saturday night into Sunday. Not expecting a total washout though as most areas, even those that see storms, should be precip free the majority of the time this weekend. The heat and humidity will also return with max heat indicies Saturday generally in the 90s and potentially around or over 100 for Sunday.

Following the passage of the cold front late Sunday, cooler and drier air moves in to start next week.

AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Early this morning (through 12Z)...VFR. Skies mostly clear.
NW/W winds decreasing to around 5-10 knots. High confid.

Tuesday...VFR. Mostly clear skies. West winds increasing to around 10 knots and shifting to the southwest after 18Z. High confid.

Tuesday night...VFR with increasing clouds. No significant weather expected.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Wednesday night...Primarily VFR. Scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening which may cause sub- VFR conditions. Locally gusty winds near/in any thunderstorm.

Thursday through Saturday...Mainly VFR through the period. Chance of an early Thursday AM shower around ACY and MIV and then chances for scattered showers and storms arriving Saturday PM.

MARINE
Conditions will remain below SCA criteria for the first half of Tuesday before winds begin to ramp up from the SSW tonight, gusting to around 25 kts for all coastal waters. Seas will respond as well, beginning at 2-3 feet in the afternoon and rising to 3-5 feet Tuesday night.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Wednesday night...Small Craft Advisory conditions expected over the ocean zones with south/southwest winds gusting up to 25 knots and seas around 4-5 feet. Also, showers and storms likely over the waters by Wednesday night. Any storms could bring locally strong winds over 35 knots.

Thursday through Saturday...No marine headlines expected.



PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Heat Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for PAZ070-071- 102-104-106.
NJ...Heat Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for NJZ010-012- 013-015-017>020-027.
DE...Heat Advisory from 9 AM to 9 PM EDT Wednesday for DEZ001.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 8 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Thursday for ANZ450>453.
Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 11 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ454-455.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 18 mi58 minSW 1.9G1.9 72°F 80°F29.97
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 35 mi58 minWNW 7G8 71°F 67°F29.94
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 36 mi46 minNW 12G14 73°F 79°F1 ft
BISM2 - 8571421 - Bishops Head, MD 36 mi58 minN 5.1G5.1 72°F 80°F29.96
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 38 mi52 minW 8G8.9 73°F 30.00
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 39 mi58 minN 12G13 77°F 29.96
CPVM2 39 mi58 min 73°F 58°F
44063 - Annapolis 40 mi46 minW 7.8G9.7 71°F 78°F
44084 40 mi52 min 68°F 62°F2 ft
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 40 mi58 minNW 8.9G9.9 74°F 29.94
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 42 mi58 minW 1.9G4.1 71°F 84°F29.96
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 43 mi58 minNNW 9.9G12 77°F 81°F29.96
OCIM2 - 8570283 - Ocean City Inlet, MD 44 mi58 minNW 7G8.9 70°F 58°F29.89
SLIM2 - 8577330 - Solomons Island, MD 45 mi58 minNW 2.9G5.1 73°F 78°F29.96
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 47 mi58 minNW 6G9.9 76°F 72°F29.93
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 47 mi58 minW 11G12 74°F 29.95


Wind History for Cambridge, MD
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Airport Reports
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Wind History graph: ESN
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Tide / Current for Choptank, Choptank River, Maryland
   
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Choptank
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Tue -- 01:28 AM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:42 AM EDT     2.83 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:19 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:23 PM EDT     0.59 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:19 PM EDT     1.94 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:32 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Choptank, Choptank River, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
0.8
1
am
0.6
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.9
4
am
1.3
5
am
1.9
6
am
2.4
7
am
2.8
8
am
2.8
9
am
2.6
10
am
2.3
11
am
1.9
12
pm
1.5
1
pm
1.1
2
pm
0.8
3
pm
0.6
4
pm
0.6
5
pm
0.9
6
pm
1.3
7
pm
1.7
8
pm
1.9
9
pm
1.9
10
pm
1.7
11
pm
1.4


Tide / Current for Sharptown, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland
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Sharptown
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Tue -- 02:03 AM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:20 AM EDT     2.99 feet High Tide
Tue -- 09:18 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:55 PM EDT     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:52 PM EDT     2.51 feet High Tide
Tue -- 11:42 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Sharptown, Nanticoke River, Chesapeake Bay, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.2
2
am
0
3
am
0.2
4
am
0.7
5
am
1.4
6
am
2.1
7
am
2.7
8
am
3
9
am
2.9
10
am
2.5
11
am
1.9
12
pm
1.2
1
pm
0.5
2
pm
0.1
3
pm
-0.1
4
pm
0.2
5
pm
0.7
6
pm
1.3
7
pm
1.9
8
pm
2.4
9
pm
2.5
10
pm
2.3
11
pm
1.8


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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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