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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Manitou Springs, CO

June 25, 2024 3:38 AM MDT (09:38 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:34 AM   Sunset 8:30 PM
Moonrise 11:42 PM   Moonset 9:21 AM 
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Manitou Springs, CO
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Area Discussion for - Pueblo, CO
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660 FXUS65 KPUB 250540 AFDPUB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1140 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024


- Heat advisory continues tomorrow for El Paso, Pueblo, and eastern Fremont counties and has expanded to include the lower Arkansas River Valley.

- Isolated afternoon and evening high based showers storms to remain possible.

- Monsoon-like tap of moisture to increase rain chances Wednesday through Friday. Excessive rainfall possible with stronger storms Wednesday and Thursday.

- Cold front Friday evening will knock temperatures down to more normal levels for the weekend.

Issued at 236 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Current water vapor imagery and upper air analysis indicates weak west to northwest flow in place across the region, with upper level ridging continuing to build across the Southern Rockies and into Central Rockies.
Blended total precipitable water imagery is indicating PWATs running between 125 to 150 percent of normal across south central Colorado and southeast Colorado at this time, with current regional radars indicating isolated to widely scattered showers, and a few embedded thunderstorms, across the region, with the best coverage over the higher terrain.
Temperatures have soared under the building ridge with current readings in the 90s to lower 100s across the Plains, and mainly in the 70s and 80s across the higher terrain, save for locales that are seeing some temporary relief from outflow from high based showers, as KAFF was 81F at 2pm with gusty northwest outflow winds of 30 mph.

No big changes in the forecast for tonight and through the day on Tuesday, as upper level ridging continues to build into the Central Rockies, with flow aloft becoming more northwest, though remaining weak. With the current moisture in place and convective temps being reached, should see isolated high based showers and storms develop through the early evening, with convection waning and clearing skies for the late evening and overnight hours. Convection to remain high based with main threats from said storm being gusty outflow winds to between 50 and 60 mph, especially across the eastern Plains, where SPC meso analysis has DCAPE of 1000-1800 j/kg.

With the more northwest flow aloft tomorrow, model data suggests the best available moisture will be shunted south across the southern tier of Colorado, which will keep mainly isolated afternoon showers and storms mainly west of the Front Range. Warm temperatures under the building ridge will continue to support well above seasonal temperatures and will continue Heat Advisories for El Paso, Pueblo and eastern Fremont counties, with highs remaining in the mid 90s to the lower 100s, and have expanded the Heat Advisory further east to include the lower Arkansas River Valley with highs of 102 to 106 on Tuesday. Temperatures elsewhere will be at to slightly warmer than today`s readings.

Issued at 236 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Tuesday night through Friday...Upper ridge of high pressure located over the Four Corners Tue eve will gradually slide east and flatten through Thu, ahead of another low pressure system crossing the Pacific NW. A monsoon-like plume of moisture trapped under the high will bring a daily shot of convection across the cwa, and forecast PW amounts are two standard deviations above normal, which means that there is plenty of moisture to tap into that could be realized at the surface with stronger storms. The flow aloft will be very light on Wed, so slow-moving storms will be a threat and WPC has painted the entire area under a Marginal risk for excessive rainfall. On Thu as the ridge flattens westerly flow aloft begins to increase slightly, so even though excessive rainfall will continue to be a threat, the hope is that storms will be moving somewhat and will push off to the east through the afternoon and evening. By Fri the low system to the north will push across MT along the US and Canada border, forcing a cold front south into CO. This front is expected to reach the southeastern plains during the evening.

As for temps, though precipitation chances increase significantly over the higher terrain and I-25 Corridor for Wed and Thu, the heat bubble will persist into Fri until the front arrives. Plan on highs each day in the 50s for the high valleys, which is right around normal, to the 90s to around 100F for the plains which is around 10 degrees above normal.

Saturday and Sunday...The cold front passage Fri evening will swing surface winds around to an easterly direction overnight into Sat morning, pushing llvl moisture west towards the eastern mts and I-25 Corridor. Scattered showers and thunderstorms with enhanced cloud cover is anticipated across much of the forecast area through the day Saturday, and high temps will likely end up being in the mid 70s to mid 80s which is normal for this time of year and much more reasonable. On Sunday the surface flow becomes more southerly, which will allow a slight increase in maximum temperatures through the day, but there will still be an enhanced chance for convection through at least the first half of the day, then tapering off through the evening across the far eastern plains. Highs on Sunday are forecast to warm to around 80F for the high valleys, and 80s to around 90F for the plains.

Monday...Increasing west-southwest flow aloft will help increase dry and warm downslope flow across the forecast area to start the next work week. This will decrease precipitation chances as well as bumping up max temps across the eastern plains to about 10 degrees above normal. Moore

Issued at 1137 PM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Isolated showers with locally gusty winds late this evening will dissipate after midnight.

Otherwise, VFR conditions are anticipated during the next 24 hours at all 3 taf sites, KPUB, KALS and KCOS.

It will be very hot tomorrow. High based showers (if any) will be few and far between tomorrow afternoon and eveing.

Heat Advisory from 11 AM to 7 PM MDT Tuesday for COZ083>086- 093-097-098.

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