Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lawrence, KS
 | Sunrise 6:05 AM Sunset 8:47 PM Moonrise 10:17 PM Moonset 9:02 AM |
Marine Forecasts
NOTE: Zones were updated 3/20/2025. If your report is out of date, please click Edit
7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lawrence, KS
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FXUS63 KTOP 142346 AFDTOP
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Topeka KS 646 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Thunderstorm chances return Tuesday night through the weekend.
- Afternoon heat indices around 105 Wednesday and perhaps this weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 254 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
Dry and warm conditions will continue through tomorrow evening with weak flow throughout all levels of the atmosphere as an upper-level trough departs to the east and weak riding builds to the west. By Tuesday night, southerly moist flow and some warm-air advection ahead of an approaching weak trough may be enough to spark some isolated showers or thunderstorms across far eastern Kansas. Additionally, CAMs are depicting an MCS moving across southern Nebraska during the overnight hours.
This complex of storms may push far enough south to impact far northern Kansas. Gusty wind and heavy rain would be the main threat with this complex. A weak front will be in the area Wednesday into Friday. This will be the focus for several rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Several models are showing a well mixed boundary layer with over 2,500 J/Kg of ML CAPE and a mid- level wave moving by Wednesday afternoon. This could lead to some strong to severe storms across portions of central and eastern Kansas, depending on the timing of the wave and how far south the front pushes. Large hail and damaging wind would be the main severe threats with afternoon/evening storms.
Additionally, with a very moist airmass in place and the potential for training storms, very heavy rainfall and flooding could become a concern. This front is forecast to wash out by Friday and may lift as a warm front into Nebraska and Iowa by Saturday. With westerly flow aloft and ample low-level moisture in place, chances for showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast through the weekend, but at this time, nothing more than scattered coverage is favored. Without a strong push of cooler or more dry air we will remain hot and humid through the week and into the weekend with highs in the 90s and heat indicies around 105 Wednesday and perhaps again this weekend.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 635 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
Expect VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. Winds will be light and variable overnight and through the mid morning hours of Tuesday, then will become southerly by late morning and through the afternoon hours of Tuesday at 7 to 10 KTS.
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Topeka KS 646 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Thunderstorm chances return Tuesday night through the weekend.
- Afternoon heat indices around 105 Wednesday and perhaps this weekend.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 254 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
Dry and warm conditions will continue through tomorrow evening with weak flow throughout all levels of the atmosphere as an upper-level trough departs to the east and weak riding builds to the west. By Tuesday night, southerly moist flow and some warm-air advection ahead of an approaching weak trough may be enough to spark some isolated showers or thunderstorms across far eastern Kansas. Additionally, CAMs are depicting an MCS moving across southern Nebraska during the overnight hours.
This complex of storms may push far enough south to impact far northern Kansas. Gusty wind and heavy rain would be the main threat with this complex. A weak front will be in the area Wednesday into Friday. This will be the focus for several rounds of showers and thunderstorms. Several models are showing a well mixed boundary layer with over 2,500 J/Kg of ML CAPE and a mid- level wave moving by Wednesday afternoon. This could lead to some strong to severe storms across portions of central and eastern Kansas, depending on the timing of the wave and how far south the front pushes. Large hail and damaging wind would be the main severe threats with afternoon/evening storms.
Additionally, with a very moist airmass in place and the potential for training storms, very heavy rainfall and flooding could become a concern. This front is forecast to wash out by Friday and may lift as a warm front into Nebraska and Iowa by Saturday. With westerly flow aloft and ample low-level moisture in place, chances for showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast through the weekend, but at this time, nothing more than scattered coverage is favored. Without a strong push of cooler or more dry air we will remain hot and humid through the week and into the weekend with highs in the 90s and heat indicies around 105 Wednesday and perhaps again this weekend.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
Issued at 635 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025
Expect VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. Winds will be light and variable overnight and through the mid morning hours of Tuesday, then will become southerly by late morning and through the afternoon hours of Tuesday at 7 to 10 KTS.
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
None.
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KLWC
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KLWC
Wind History Graph: LWC
(wind in knots)
GEOS Local Image of Midwest
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