Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Odessa, MO

DISCUSSION
Issued at 248 PM CDT Tue Apr 22 2025

This coming week the forecast is characterized by a series of weak shortwaves that will spark several rounds of precipitation chances.
This morning, a weak boundary has been very slowly sinking south.
Broad and weak lift in its vicinity has lead to scattered shower activity across northern Missouri. This activity is expected to continue into the afternoon, but shouldn't amount to much. Additional storm development is expected as we head into the late evening, as the low level jet noses into northern Missouri. Peak heating will help instability increase to around 1000 J/Kg this evening, and moderate bulk shear of 30-35 knots will be present. Modest mid level lapse rates will also be present. While none of these parameters are impressive, they should be sufficient for some isolated elevated strong storms.
Widespread severe weather is not a concern, however isolated large hail is not out of the question. Storm activity should dwindle on Wednesday morning.

Additional storm activity is expected Wednesday evening as another shortwave traverses the forecast area. Severe parameters are marginal once again. Instability of 1000+ J/Kg looks likely across Kansas, although bulk shear looks poor. A few stronger storms may be possible in the forecast area on Wednesday, but overall the threat looks low. As far as temperatures go on Wednesday, slightly cooler temperatures can be expected in the mid 70s.

Heading into the second half of the week, additional shortwaves will slide through the forecast area bringing additional rain chances through Friday. By the end of the week, rainfall totals to be 1-2 inches across the forecast area. While widespread flooding concerns are unlikely, some isolated concerns may be possible, especially in areas that have already seen higher rainfall totals.

Heading into the weekend, weak mid level ridging will move through on Saturday and the early part of Sunday. Unfortunately our temperatures will remain cool through this time as flow remains out of the north, thanks to a broad surface high pressure centered over the northern Plains.

By early next week, attention will shift to a deepening trough moving off the Rockies and bringing the next chance for storms to the forecast area. Severe weather will be a possibility, however with this being 7 days out, location is highly uncertain and impacted area may shift over the next several days. Regardless, pay attention to the forecast in the coming days as details become more clear.

AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 1226 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2025

Showers and isolated thunderstorms will stay around the Kansas and Missouri stateline for the next 2 hours. This activity will push east-ward. A second weak line of showers and isolated thunderstorms may develop around the 10z timeframe again for STJ and the KC Metro terminals. Throughout the afternoon, isolated shower activity is possible, but conditions should remain mostly VFR. Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected Wednesday night into early Thursday morning, with most of the activity after 00z. There is some potential this may bring MVFR conditions, but will need to watches trends throughout the afternoon this activity develops and moves across Kansas.

EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MO...None.
KS...None.