Elizabeth, WV Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Elizabeth, WV

June 22, 2024 1:07 PM EDT (17:07 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:58 AM   Sunset 8:58 PM
Moonrise 9:08 PM   Moonset 5:04 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Elizabeth, WV
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Area Discussion for - Charleston WV
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FXUS61 KRLX 221241 AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Charleston WV 841 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

SYNOPSIS
The heat wave continues today courtesy of a broad upper level ridge. A cold front crosses Sunday night, bringing showers and storms to the area, and an end to the heat wave.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
As of 840 AM Saturday...

The forecast largely remains on track in this morning's update, but we've made some slight adjustments to forecast temperatures to better reflect current observations.

As of 1255 AM Saturday...

A ridge of high pressure will continue to provide above normal temperatures across the area. Although the airports have not been hitting Heat Advisory criteria, some of the warmer valleys have been, especially in cities. Therefore, will continue the Heat Advisory for the lowlands. Models indicating a small chance of afternoon thunderstorms along the mountains.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
As of 230 AM Saturday...

Sunday will be hot and humid once again as surface high pressure remains underneath increasingly neutral flow aloft due to the high pressure center pushing off to the Southwest CONUS.
Temperatures will be about 3-6 degrees less hot than Saturday, due to an approaching system from the west. As a result, some high-level clouds will begin moving in throughout the morning, gradually lowering during the afternoon. Temperatures across the lowlands will be in the upper 80s to lower 90s, with heat indices in the same ballpark. The mountains however, will range between the mid 70s (highest elevations) to the upper 80s (lowest elevations and mountain valleys).

A quick-hitting cold front will then approach from the midwest by afternoon with a shortwave trough knocking on the door of our western periphery. Chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms increase from west to east over the course of the afternoon. PoPs increase to 60 to 80 percent likelihood by early Sunday evening as the cold front pushes through. Showers and thunderstorms, a few could be severe, will pack damaging winds, some small hail and heavy rainfall as models project precipitable water values between 1.50" and 2.00". CAPE looks to be between 1,000 and 3,000 J/KG ahead of the front in the afternoon with sfc to 500MB shear approaching 40 kts.

Some localized to isolated water issues could be possible with the heaviest downpours within these storms, but not overly concerned with flooding as the area could use the rain. Both a marginal risk for excessive rainfall and severe thunderstorms has been hoisted for Sunday.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
As of 250 AM Saturday...

Cold front will be moving east out of the area Monday morning allowing for less sultry temperatures. Middle to upper 80s across the lowlands, with 70s to low 80s in the mountains; the more lofty locations such as Snowshoe and Kumbrabow will likely stay in the upper 60s. Some residual showers may linger in the mountains during the morning hours and early afternoon, but will largely be tapering off as a brief stint of high pressure builds in.

Another round of showers and thunderstorms will be possible with an upper-level trough and cold front Wednesday into Thursday.
The heat also looks to return Tuesday and Wednesday with southerly to southwesterly return flow.

AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
As of 600 AM Saturday...

Patchy river valley fog will dissipate early this morning.
There is also a small chance of afternoon thunderstorms along the mountains, but chances are too small to include in the TAFs.
Outside of these 2 items, expect VFR conditions.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Afternoon thunderstorms may or may not effect TAF sites in the mountains.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 EDT 1HRLY 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H EKN CONSISTENCY M H H H H H H H H H H H PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H

AFTER 12Z SUNDAY...
No widespread IFR conditions are expected at this time.

RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WV...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for WVZ005>011- 013>020-024>032-039-040.
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ066-067-075- 076-083>087.
KY...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...None.




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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KPKB MIDOHIO VALLEY RGNL,WV 22 sm14 minW 0610 smPartly Cloudy93°F64°F39%30.06
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Charleston, WV,




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