Lake Shore, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Lake Shore, MD

June 15, 2024 11:45 PM EDT (03:45 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:37 AM   Sunset 8:35 PM
Moonrise 1:28 PM   Moonset 12:45 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ531 Chesapeake Bay From Pooles Island To Sandy Point- 1034 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Rest of tonight - E winds 5 kt. Waves less than 1 ft.

Sun - E winds 5 kt - .becoming S late. Waves 1 ft.

Sun night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Mon - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Tue night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

Thu - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.

ANZ500 1034 Pm Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will remain along the east coast through Sunday before settling offshore much of the coming week. A warm front will lift across the waters Sunday night through Monday night, and small craft advisories may be needed during this time.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Shore, MD
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Area Discussion for - Baltimore, MD/Washington
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FXUS61 KLWX 160117 AFDLWX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 917 PM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds over the Mid-Atlantic through Sunday, then move offshore next week. A warm front will lift through the region early in the week, ushering in a prolonged period of hot weather.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Dry and pleasant conditions continue as high pressure slowly drifts off to the east. Light winds are expected tonight with only some thin passing cirrus. Therefore temperatures should approach the dew points, with 50s across much of the area and low to mid 60s for the urban areas and closer to the Chesapeake Bay. Some of the colder mountain valleys could dip into the 40s.
This will be the coolest night for the foreseeable future.
While some patchy fog is possible in the valleys, there is not a strong signal in guidance, and there was likely substantial drying that took place today, limiting low level moisture.

Afternoon temps warm a couple of degrees for Sunday. Fair weather cumulus clouds give us partly cloudy skies during the day, then mostly clear at night. Milder Sunday night as lows settle only in the mid to upper 60s.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
Aloft, a building mid- level ridge will be centered across NC/VA to start the week. Surface high off of Cape Cod moves further east into the Atlantic, though the axis of the ridge extends to its southwest, across the Outer Banks/Carolina coastline. This results in light southerly flow across our area for Monday afternoon, with slightly veered southwest winds west of the Blue Ridge, and more southeast winds east of I-95. The bay breeze is expected to develop early in the afternoon. The first day of hot temperatures starts as highs reach the low to mid 90s, with mid to upper 80s in the mountains.

Trapped higher dew points in the valleys out west, combined with the hot temperatures are forecast to produce heat indices around 100.
Heat Advisories might be needed for areas along the Potomac River and surrounding highlands west of the Blue Ridge for Monday afternoon. Elsewhere, heat indices are forecast between 95-100, and should remain below Advisory criteria. The one area we'll have to look closely at is the immediate Western Shore where the bay breeze brings dew points closer to 70F. Still, this yield heat indices between 100-105 for a few hours, and that falls just below the Advisory threshold for areas east of the Blue Ridge.

Limited instability and southwesterly winds in the Alleghenies allow isolated to scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These storms are most likely to remain terrain locked, and dissipate in a short period of time. Most of the convection dissipates by sunset. Dry, very mild Monday night as lows settle in the upper 60s to low 70s.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Strong upper level ridging will remain overhead throughout the long term period, with dry conditions and well above normal temperatures expected. At the surface, high pressure builds over the region throughout the week. The main weather hazard for next week will be above normal temperatures. High temperatures east of the Alleghenies will rise well into the 90s each day with increased humidity leading to warming heat indices and record high temperatures possible. Heat indices in the upper 90s are expected with lower to mid 100's possible. As the ridge axis pivots over the area, southerly winds will shift to southeasterly. This will lead to temperatures on Wednesday being a degree or two cooler compared to Tuesday. With winds shifting to southeasterly, relative humidities will increase leading to continued heat index concerns. Temperatures will continue to warm Thursday and Friday with highs in the mid to upper 90s.
Higher elevations will stay in the 90s. Heat advisories may be needed at some point during the long term. While mostly dry conditions are expected for most of next week, a stray afternoon shower or sprinkle cannot be ruled out for those in the westernmost portions of the forecast area on Tuesday.

AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
VFR conditions expected through Monday as high pressure moves north of the area, then offshore into the western Atlantic. Northerly winds this evening become southeast to south Sunday into Monday. Scattered cumulus will be favored during the typical diurnal cycle.

VFR conditions are expected both Tuesday and Wednesday with hot and dry conditions expected at all terminals. Winds remain light, blowing 5-10 knots, out of the south/southeast

MARINE
Northerly winds continue to lessen tonight, and slowly turn easterly.

Winds turn southeast to south Sunday and Monday, with SCA conditions possible each late afternoon and evening due to southerly channeling in the middle Chesapeake Bay and Lower Tidal Potomac.

Southerly channeling will lead to possible SCA conditions both on Tuesday and Wednesday evenings. Outside of gusty winds, hot and dry conditions are expected both days.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING
Tide levels are forecast to increase at the start of the week due to strengthening southerly flow. The most likely location that could reach minor flood is Annapolis during the early Tuesday morning high tide cycle. Other locations are forecast to reach Action Stage. By mid week the winds are forecast to lessen, which should allow tidal anomalies to remain stable and decrease slightly.

CLIMATE
Hot temperatures are expected next week. Below is a list of record high temperatures for June 17th through 21st, the year the record was set, and the current forecast high temperatures for those days.
RERs are currently only issued for DCA, IAD, BWI, and MRB, but other sites are shown for reference.

Monday Jun 17th Climate Site Record High Forecast High Washington-National (DCA) 99F (2022) 93F Washington-Dulles (IAD) 96F (2022) 95F Baltimore (BWI) 96F (2022+) 93F Martinsburg (MRB) 98F (1939+) 93F Charlottesville (CHO) 97F (2022) 94F Annapolis (NAK) 96F (1939) 88F Hagerstown (HGR) 96F (1952) 95F

Tuesday Jun 18th Climate Site Record High Forecast High Washington-National (DCA) 97F (1944) 96F Washington-Dulles (IAD) 94F (2018+) 96F Baltimore (BWI) 97F (1957+) 94F Martinsburg (MRB) 99F (1943) 94F Charlottesville (CHO) 96F (2014+) 94F Annapolis (NAK) 96F (1957) 89F Hagerstown (HGR) 95F (1957) 95F

Wednesday Jun 19th Climate Site Record High Forecast High Washington-National (DCA) 99F (1994) 94F Washington-Dulles (IAD) 98F (1994) 94F Baltimore (BWI) 99F (1994) 91F Martinsburg (MRB) 96F (1994+) 93F Charlottesville (CHO) 97F (2018) 93F Annapolis (NAK) 96F (1993) 88F Hagerstown (HGR) 97F (1994) 95F

Thursday Jun 20th Climate Site Record High Forecast High Washington-National (DCA) 99F (1931) 95F Washington-Dulles (IAD) 97F (1964) 95F Baltimore (BWI) 100F (1931) 93F Martinsburg (MRB) 98F (1931) 93F Charlottesville (CHO) 98F (1933) 94F Annapolis (NAK) 98F (1988) 88F Hagerstown (HGR) 98F (1931) 95F

Friday Jun 21st Climate Site Record High Forecast High Washington-National (DCA) 99F (2012) 98F Washington-Dulles (IAD) 98F (1988) 98F Baltimore (BWI) 100F (2012+) 95F Martinsburg (MRB) 102F (1931) 95F Charlottesville (CHO) 99F (1933) 96F Annapolis (NAK) 100F (1988) 91F Hagerstown (HGR) 97F (1923) 96F

+ indicates that value has been reached on multiple years, with the year displayed being the most recent.

LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...None.
MD...None.
VA...None.
WV...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 8 mi45 minNW 2.9G2.9 72°F 80°F30.09
CPVM2 8 mi45 min 76°F 62°F
44063 - Annapolis 9 mi27 minNW 3.9G3.9 72°F 77°F0 ft
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 9 mi45 minNNE 5.1G6 76°F
HWPM2 9 mi45 minNNE 8G9.9
CBCM2 10 mi45 minNE 6G7 77°F 76°F30.0857°F
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 13 mi45 minNNE 6G7 77°F 77°F
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 13 mi45 minENE 1.9G5.1 74°F 79°F30.11
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 14 mi45 minE 1.9G1.9 76°F 30.13
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 26 mi75 min0 65°F 30.0961°F
WASD2 - 8594900 - Washington, DC 34 mi45 min0G1.9 76°F 80°F30.11
44062 - Gooses Reef, MD 38 mi27 minE 5.8G7.8 73°F 76°F1 ft
CA2 - 8571892 - Cambridge, MD 42 mi45 minSSW 1.9G2.9 73°F 79°F30.11
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 45 mi45 minS 1G1.9 67°F 79°F30.11
COVM2 - 8577018 - Cove Point LNG Pier, MD 48 mi45 minENE 5.1G8 76°F 30.10


Wind History for Annapolis, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KBWI BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTL THURGOOD MARSHALL,MD 13 sm51 mincalm10 smA Few Clouds70°F52°F53%30.10
KFME TIPTON,MD 16 sm16 mincalm10 smClear59°F57°F94%30.14
KMTN MARTIN STATE,MD 16 sm16 mincalm10 smClear68°F55°F64%30.12
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KNAK
   
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Wind History graph: NAK
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Tide / Current for Mountain Point, Magothy River, Maryland
   
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Mountain Point
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Sat -- 01:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:10 AM EDT     1.08 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:49 AM EDT     0.55 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:49 PM EDT     0.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Mountain Point, Magothy River, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
0.9
1
am
1
2
am
1.1
3
am
1.1
4
am
1
5
am
0.9
6
am
0.7
7
am
0.6
8
am
0.6
9
am
0.6
10
am
0.6
11
am
0.7
12
pm
0.8
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
0.9
3
pm
0.9
4
pm
0.8
5
pm
0.6
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.4
8
pm
0.3
9
pm
0.3
10
pm
0.4
11
pm
0.6


Tide / Current for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
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Sat -- 01:00 AM EDT     0.81 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:35 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:26 AM EDT     -0.54 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 10:34 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 01:08 PM EDT     0.39 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:27 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 03:37 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:05 PM EDT     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:11 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current, knots
12
am
0.7
1
am
0.8
2
am
0.7
3
am
0.5
4
am
0.2
5
am
-0.1
6
am
-0.4
7
am
-0.5
8
am
-0.5
9
am
-0.4
10
am
-0.1
11
am
0.1
12
pm
0.3
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
0.3
3
pm
0.2
4
pm
-0.1
5
pm
-0.4
6
pm
-0.6
7
pm
-0.7
8
pm
-0.6
9
pm
-0.4
10
pm
-0.1
11
pm
0.3


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