Saturday, July11, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Strathmere, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:39AMSunset 8:27PM Saturday July 11, 2020 12:18 AM EDT (04:18 UTC) Moonrise 12:03AMMoonset 11:57AM Illumination 68% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ453 Coastal Waters From Great Egg Inlet To Cape May Nj Out 20 Nm- 1127 Pm Edt Fri Jul 10 2020
.small craft advisory in effect through Saturday afternoon...
Overnight..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 7 ft. A slight chance of showers late this evening. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sat..S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. A chance of tstms early in the evening. SWell mainly from the S with a dominant period of 7 seconds.
Sun..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun night..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers in the evening.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Wed..SW winds around 5 kt, increasing to around 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 1127 Pm Edt Fri Jul 10 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. Tropical storm fay will continue to move northward along the new jersey coast this evening before exiting to the northeast tonight and early Saturday. Weak high pressure will be over the area Saturday morning before a cold front crosses the region Saturday night. Another front will cross the area Monday. High pressure will build over the area for the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Strathmere, NJ
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location: 39.13, -74.49     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 110341 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 1141 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020

SYNOPSIS. Tropical Storm Fay will continue to move northward away from the area tonight into early Saturday. Weak high pressure will be over the area Saturday morning before a cold front crosses the region Saturday night. Another front will cross the area Monday. High pressure will build over the area for the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/.

1130 update: The center of tropical storm Fay is now over far northern NJ, and given that the system is weakening and moving away from our area, we have discontinued all tropical headlines. Winds should gradually decrease through the next several hours as the winds on the southwest quadrant of this storm appear to be much lower as compared to the northern half of the storm. Most of the area has seen rain come to an end outside of the southern Poconos and the Lehigh Valley where showers have stalled likely due to orographic effects. The threat there should diminish once the winds shift to northwesterly.

A decrease in cloud cover is expected as the storm progresses away from our area. However, localized fog is possible. Low temperatures should favor the upper 60s and lower 70s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/. Saturday looks to be a typical summertime day in our region with scattered cumulus and the potential for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs are expected to be mainly in the upper 80s and lower 90s with a southwest wind around 10 MPH. Conditions will remain humid.

A mid level short wave trough is expected to approach from the west on Saturday. Abundant low level moisture will allow mixed layer CAPE values to rise into the 1500 to 2000 J/Kg range in the afternoon. The instability along with the short wave should result in the development of thunderstorms. Much of our region is under a marginal risk for severe weather.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/. Tropical storm Fay will have diminished well north of the area by the start of the long term and a following trough with a surface cold front will be crossing the Middle Atlantic region Saturday evening. The scattered showers and tstms will end overnight with perhaps some patchy fog late at night.

Sunday and Sunday night generally look like fair weather across most of the region as weak high pressure builds over the area. Some shortwave energy north of the area may touch off a scattered shower or tstm across the southern Poconos and perhaps as far south as the Lehigh Valley. Confidence in these showers occuring is not great, so we'll just keep slight chc pops in mos areas with some chc pops near the N/W most edges of the CWA. Above normal temps with upper 80s/low 90s most areas. Dew points mostly in the mid 60s, so humid, but not excessively so.

Unsettled summerlike conditions are expected early next week with most days featuring some scattered showers and tstms (mostly) during the afternoon and early evening hours. Both days will have very warm conditions with highs 3 to 5 degrees above normal and humidity values rather humid.

Hot and humid conditions will develop across much of the Middle Atlantic for the middle of next week with an upper high pressure strengthening across the Tenn/Ohio Valley areas. Highs Wed/Thu will be mostly in the low to mid 90s with apparent temps in the mid 90s Wed and in the 100s on Thu. It could end up being the warmest day of the summer (Thu) if the present fcst number hold. Dry conditions are fcst for Wed and this will last into Thu when a few sct tstms may form during the afternoon.

AVIATION /04Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Into this evening . Mainly IFR/MVFR conditions, improving to VFR at times. Showers with isolated thunder. The rain will be moderate to heavy at times from KPHL northward. Northeast to northwest wind 10 to 15 knots with gusts of 20 to 25 knots. Medium confidence on most aspects of the forecast, but low confidence on timing of flight category changes.

Tonight . MVFR/VFR conditions. Rain showers lifting to the north of our region. However, once the rain showers clear, some fog could develop leading to visibility restrictions. Northwest to west wind less than 10 knots. Low confidence especially on fog development.

Saturday . Mainly VFR with a chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Southwest wind around 10 knots with gusts of 15 to 20 knots. Medium to high confidence.

Outlook .

Sat night thru Tue . VFR most of the time with only a few scattered showers and tstms mostly during the afternoon and early evening periods. Lower CIGS/VSBYS with any tstm.

Wed . Mostly VFR.

MARINE. The Tropical Storm Warnings have been cancelled for the waters and replaced with an SCA. SW gusts up to 30 kts will prevail over the waters tonight along with seas running 6-8 ft.

As the tropical storm moves away from our region late tonight and Saturday, conditions will continue to improve. A south to southwest wind around 10 to 15 knots is anticipated for Saturday. Wave heights are expected to subside slowly but they may remain around 5 to 6 feet on our ocean waters for much of the day.

Outlook .

Seas on the ocean will continue to remain choppy Sun thru Tue with swell conditions expected to keep seas near SCA criteria. Winds will overall remain below SCA conditions however. Scattered tstms Sun thru Tue with locally higher winds and seas.

Rip Currents . At least a moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents is expected to continue into Saturday and possibly into Sunday. Although winds will be shifting off shore, wave heights will remain elevated.

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING. As Fay departs the area tonight we can expect that the tidal departures will remain elevated with 'close to minor' tidal flooding possible in a few areas. Right now, it doesn't appear to be widespread or significant enough to consider any flags, but we will continue to monitor overnight.

A southerly flow will develop across the Chesapeake Bay on Saturday as Fay departs and a cold front approaches. This will probably cause water levels to become higher than usual, so we'll monitor this overnight in case any flags or statements become necessary.

EQUIPMENT. The NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards broadcast from Hibernia Park, PA (WNG704) remains off the air until further notice due to damage to the antenna during the June 3 derecho.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ450>455.

Synopsis . O'Hara Near Term . Carr/Iovino/Johnson Short Term . Iovino Long Term . O'Hara Aviation . Iovino/Johnson/O'Hara Marine . Carr/Iovino/Johnson/O'Hara Tides/Coastal Flooding . WFO PHI Equipment . WFO PHI


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 16 mi48 min 76°F 76°F1007.9 hPa
CMAN4 - 8536110 - Cape May, NJ 27 mi48 min SW 8 G 11 77°F 76°F1007.6 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 28 mi48 min SW 9.9 74°F 1008 hPa71°F
BRND1 - 8555889 - Brandywine Shoal Light, DE 34 mi48 min SW 18 G 20 1008.1 hPa
LWSD1 - 8557380 - Lewes, DE 41 mi48 min SW 4.1 G 6 78°F 76°F1008.1 hPa
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 49 mi48 min 77°F 1007.7 hPa

Wind History for Cape May, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ23 mi84 minSW 810.00 miA Few Clouds75°F71°F88%1007.1 hPa
Wildwood, Cape May County Airport, NJ23 mi22 minSSW 810.00 miFair78°F72°F82%1008.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KACY

Wind History from ACY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--E7E6NE6E7E6NE12E15
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1 day agoS5S5S5S3E3CalmCalmN3CalmE5SE7E9E10E8SE9E10SE8E7E8E8E6E6E8E7
2 days agoS6S4S3S4SE3SE3S4S4S6S8S9S9S8S10
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Tide / Current Tables for Strathmere, Strathmere Bay, New Jersey
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Strathmere
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:57 AM EDT     3.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:09 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:36 PM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:34 PM EDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.73.93.62.921.30.70.40.61.21.92.63.23.63.63.22.51.91.41.11.11.422.7

Tide / Current Tables for Middle Thorofare, Ocean Drive bridge, New Jersey
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Middle Thorofare
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 12:57 AM EDT     3.91 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:01 AM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 11:57 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:36 PM EDT     3.67 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:26 PM EDT     1.04 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.73.93.62.921.20.70.40.61.222.73.23.63.63.22.51.81.41.11.11.52.12.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.