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FXUS65 KLKN 101030 AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 230 AM PST Sun Dec 10 2023

SYNOPSIS
Several weak waves will move through the area over the next two days or so, with isolated snow showers and little to no accumulations expected. Quiet weather will continue for the nest of the week with seasonable temperatures.

SHORT TERM
Today through Monday night. Quiet weather is expected to continue through today as an upper ridge moves through northern and central Nevada. Look for a mix of clouds and sun with high temperatures in the 40s for much of the region, though low 50s are possible in central Nevada. Winds will be light. A weak wave will be moving through the flow later tonight into Monday.
This will bring increasing clouds and chances for very light snow accumulations. The activity will remain north of Interstate 80, and along the border with Idaho. Other locations will remain dry.
Lows will be in the teens and 20s.

On Monday and Monday night, models are showing another wave in the flow that will move across northern Nevada later Monday. This will bring mainly isolated rain and snow showers to northern Elko and northern Humboldt counties. Otherwise, it will remain dry over other locations. Highs will be in the 40s and 50s with light winds. The weak wave is expected to slowly dive southward across northern and central Nevada through the night. Not much is expected with this feature with isolated to scattered snow showers across the area. Accumulations are expected to remain light with about a trace or so in the valleys and maybe a half inch in the mountains. Overnight lows will be in the teens and 20s with light winds.

LONG TERM
Tuesday through next Sunday

Tuesday an upper level positively tilted trough will continue to dig south through the state. The trough axis will pass through northern and eastern Nevada early Tuesday morning. Some light flurries or snow showers may be present in the morning hours across northern Elko county, with little to no accumulation expected. Highs Tuesday will be in the 30s and 40s for most, with some areas in central Nevada approaching 50. Through the day the trough continues its dive south, centered over the Vegas/UT/AZ area by Wednesday. Tuesday night skies will clear out a bit, allowing for lows to drop into the teens. Some colder sheltered locations may dip into the single digits. As the back half (or western side) of the upper level low exits the area, the eastern side of a ridge axis begins to push into the western US. This will allow for quiet weather to return to the state through mid to late week, and through Saturday. Highs will gradually become warmer each day, but will generally stay in the 30s and 40s across northern Nevada, and 40s and 50s across central Nevada. Nighttime lows will be in the teens and 20s through the week. As previously mentioned, ensembles and models are hinting at another trough impacting the area in the Sunday to early the following week time frame (December 18th), but agreement is somewhat low at this time, with lots of varying solutions. Stay tuned for future updates.

AVIATION
VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours.

LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories
None.

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Elko, NV,