Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ozawkie, KS
February 19, 2025 4:44 AM CST (10:44 UTC) Change Location
![]() | Sunrise 7:06 AM Sunset 6:06 PM Moonrise 12:18 AM Moonset 10:10 AM |

NEW! Add second zone forecast
FXUS63 KTOP 190840 AFDTOP
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Topeka KS 240 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Very cold temperatures, with highs in the single digits and lows well below zero, are expected through Thursday.
Frostbite can develop in as little as 30 min in these conditions
- Warm temperatures are expected this weekend and above normal temperatures are forecast early next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 240 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025
Early this morning watervapor imagery showed a mid level shortwave moving southeast out of Wyoming and into western Nebraska at 08Z.
Wind profiles from the VAD show a lead subtle perturbation moving into north central Kansas. Lift ahead of the mid level wave/trough will bring light snow or flurries early this morning and into the mid morning hours before it moves into Iowa and northern Missouri by early afternoon. Early morning temperatures around zero along with wind speeds of 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts were producing wind chills of 12 to 20 below zero at 08Z. Surface high pressure centered over North Dakota will gradually build south through the day. High temperatures today will only be in the single digits above zero and factoring the wind chills that remain below zero will make for another very cold day.
Skies clear tonight as the Arctic high continues to build south into the southern Plains. Clear skies along with light winds and snow cover will yield some of the coldest temperatures this winter so far with lows in the 11 to 16 below zero range. Wind chills Thursday morning will be the coldest yet ranging from 20 to 30 below zero.
WIll continue with the Extreme Cold Warning through noon on Thursday.
The arctic high settles over central and eastern Kansas on Thursday and temperatures in the afternoon will range from 8 to 14 degrees.
After another cold morning on Friday, warm advection on the back side of the retreating high as well as rising heights will yield highs in the 20s. A mid level trough moves out of the ROckies and across Kansas during the day. This system will move through dry due to lack of moisture. Warming continues Saturday and Sunday with temperatures warming into the 30s to low 40s Saturday and 40s and 50s on Sunday. A westerly downslope component will lead to the warm up on Sunday. A west northwest flow aloft will be present early next week Warm advection in the lower boundary layer will bring temperatures in the 50s and 60s.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 945 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
Light snow has ended across the area late this evening.
Visibilities and ceilings should remain VFR through the rest of the night. Some models hint at possible MVFR ceilings by midday Wednesday, but confidence is not yet high enough to include that at this time. North winds should remain around 10 kts for most of the daytime hours Wednesday before decreasing in the evening.
CLIMATE
Updated at 240 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025
Record Low Temperatures
Wednesday, February 19
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka -11 (1978) -4 Concordia -3 (1978) -4
Thursday, February 20
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka -13 (1889) -14 Concordia -5 (1918) -13
Friday, February 21
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka -2 (1939) -5 Concordia -3 (1918) 2
Record Minimum High Temperatures
Wednesday, February 19
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka 14 (1929) 8 Concordia 16 (1929, 1959) 7
Thursday, February 20
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka 10 (1918) 12 Concordia 8 (1918) 11
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST Thursday for KSZ008-KSZ009- KSZ010-KSZ011-KSZ012-KSZ020-KSZ021-KSZ022-KSZ023-KSZ024-KSZ026- KSZ034-KSZ035-KSZ036-KSZ037-KSZ038-KSZ039-KSZ040-KSZ054-KSZ055- KSZ056-KSZ058-KSZ059.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Topeka KS 240 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- Very cold temperatures, with highs in the single digits and lows well below zero, are expected through Thursday.
Frostbite can develop in as little as 30 min in these conditions
- Warm temperatures are expected this weekend and above normal temperatures are forecast early next week.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 240 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025
Early this morning watervapor imagery showed a mid level shortwave moving southeast out of Wyoming and into western Nebraska at 08Z.
Wind profiles from the VAD show a lead subtle perturbation moving into north central Kansas. Lift ahead of the mid level wave/trough will bring light snow or flurries early this morning and into the mid morning hours before it moves into Iowa and northern Missouri by early afternoon. Early morning temperatures around zero along with wind speeds of 10 to 20 mph with some higher gusts were producing wind chills of 12 to 20 below zero at 08Z. Surface high pressure centered over North Dakota will gradually build south through the day. High temperatures today will only be in the single digits above zero and factoring the wind chills that remain below zero will make for another very cold day.
Skies clear tonight as the Arctic high continues to build south into the southern Plains. Clear skies along with light winds and snow cover will yield some of the coldest temperatures this winter so far with lows in the 11 to 16 below zero range. Wind chills Thursday morning will be the coldest yet ranging from 20 to 30 below zero.
WIll continue with the Extreme Cold Warning through noon on Thursday.
The arctic high settles over central and eastern Kansas on Thursday and temperatures in the afternoon will range from 8 to 14 degrees.
After another cold morning on Friday, warm advection on the back side of the retreating high as well as rising heights will yield highs in the 20s. A mid level trough moves out of the ROckies and across Kansas during the day. This system will move through dry due to lack of moisture. Warming continues Saturday and Sunday with temperatures warming into the 30s to low 40s Saturday and 40s and 50s on Sunday. A westerly downslope component will lead to the warm up on Sunday. A west northwest flow aloft will be present early next week Warm advection in the lower boundary layer will bring temperatures in the 50s and 60s.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
Issued at 945 PM CST Tue Feb 18 2025
Light snow has ended across the area late this evening.
Visibilities and ceilings should remain VFR through the rest of the night. Some models hint at possible MVFR ceilings by midday Wednesday, but confidence is not yet high enough to include that at this time. North winds should remain around 10 kts for most of the daytime hours Wednesday before decreasing in the evening.
CLIMATE
Updated at 240 AM CST Wed Feb 19 2025
Record Low Temperatures
Wednesday, February 19
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka -11 (1978) -4 Concordia -3 (1978) -4
Thursday, February 20
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka -13 (1889) -14 Concordia -5 (1918) -13
Friday, February 21
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka -2 (1939) -5 Concordia -3 (1918) 2
Record Minimum High Temperatures
Wednesday, February 19
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka 14 (1929) 8 Concordia 16 (1929, 1959) 7
Thursday, February 20
Record (Year) Forecast Topeka 10 (1918) 12 Concordia 8 (1918) 11
TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
Extreme Cold Warning until noon CST Thursday for KSZ008-KSZ009- KSZ010-KSZ011-KSZ012-KSZ020-KSZ021-KSZ022-KSZ023-KSZ024-KSZ026- KSZ034-KSZ035-KSZ036-KSZ037-KSZ038-KSZ039-KSZ040-KSZ054-KSZ055- KSZ056-KSZ058-KSZ059.
Airport Reports
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KTOP
Terminal Aerodrome Forecast (TAF) for KTOP
Wind History Graph: TOP
(wind in knots)GEOS Local Image of Midwest
Edit Hide
Topeka, KS,

NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE