Fairlee, MD Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Fairlee, MD

June 24, 2024 3:37 PM EDT (19:37 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:37 AM   Sunset 8:37 PM
Moonrise 10:14 PM   Moonset 7:03 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ530 Chesapeake Bay North Of Pooles Island- 133 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight - .

This afternoon - NW winds 20 kt with gusts to 30 kt. Waves 2 ft.

Tonight - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts to 25 kt - . Diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Tue - W winds 5 to 10 kt - .becoming sw late. Waves 1 ft.

Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.

Wed - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to 20 kt. Waves 2 ft. A chance of showers and tstms.

Wed night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt - .becoming W 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Showers and tstms likely.

Thu - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft. A chance of showers in the morning.

Fri - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft.
winds and waves higher and visibilities lower in and near tstms.

ANZ500 133 Pm Edt Mon Jun 24 2024

Synopsis for the tidal potomac and md portion of the chesapeake bay -
high pressure will briefly return to the waters through Tuesday before a cold front crosses Wednesday into Thursday. High pressure will return from the north Friday into Saturday. Small craft advisories may be needed Tuesday night through Wednesday night.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fairlee, MD
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 241844 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 244 PM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
The cold front will continue to make its way offshore this evening as high pressure remains in control through Tuesday night. A warm front will lift north of the area early on Wednesday before another strong cold front passes by late Wednesday night. High pressure returns for Thursday and continues into Saturday ahead of another low pressure system that approaches on Sunday. High pressure returns by early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
A much more comfortable airmass in place across the northern Middle Atlantic region to start the week. High pressure across Michigan is sending cooler and drier air across the area from the NW. The high will slip south of the area Tuesday and cause the fair weather to continue.

Skies will be mostly clear overnight and lows will be rather cool compared to recent nights. Lows will drop into the mid/upper 50s across the far NW areas and be in the 60 to 65 degree range for south NJ, Delmarva and metro Philadelphia. Winds will diminish after sunset.

On Tuesday, a sunny day expected with perhaps some late day Ci/Cs clouds arriving. Under these sunny skies, high temperatures will climb into the mid/upper 80s for the North and upper 80s/low 90s for metro Philly and adjacent areas. The dew points tomorrow will remain low (50s), so despite the temperatures, it will not feel that uncomfortable.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/
Surface high pressure moves offshore Tuesday night as a warm front passes north of the area early Wednesday morning. As a result, these features will allow warm air advection to commence with surface flow becoming southwesterly ushering in a more humid airmass. Skies will remain partly cloudy as low temps only bottom out in the mid 60s to low 70s.

The moist and humid airmass will continue on Wednesday as surface dew points rise into the upper 60s to low 70s around the region.
With modest SW flow continuing under mostly sunny skies through the early afternoon, the current forecast is for highs to reach into the low to mid 90s across inland locations. Closer to the coast and up in the Poconos, temps should remain in the 80s. Max heat indicies at this time look to approach 95-100 degrees mainly confined to the urban corridor. Heat headlines likely will be warranted during the day on Wednesday, but we'll continue to monitor this potential.

On the other hand, we'll also need to monitor the potential for severe weather Wednesday afternoon and evening. An upper trough will swing through the Great Lakes on Wednesday approaching our area by Wednesday night with an advancing cold front. With the abundance of moist, humid air in place, several indicators are present for thunderstorm development. Forecast soundings show SBCAPE values around 1500-2000 J/kg, bulk shear values around 30 kt, and lapse rates around 7.0-7.5C/km. Shear values are also a bit modest since forcing will be in somewhat close proximity. As a result, the Storm Prediction Center has outlined NE PA and N NJ in a SLIGHT Risk (Level 2/5) for severe weather with the remainder of the area in a MARGINAL Risk (Level 1/5). The main threat should be damaging wind gusts considering the environment. In terms of flooding, PWATs will be up around 2 inches, so any storm will be capable of producing heavy rainfall. Storm motion does appear to be relatively-fast, so not expecting any significant flood impacts at this time. In terms of timing, short-range guidance suggests this will be a late afternoon into the evening hours event before the cold front moves offshore on Thursday.

Some showers may linger near the coast on Thursday morning, but the overall trend will be for decreasing clouds and lowering dew points on Thursday as high pressure builds in from the west. It will feel much more comfortable outside compared to Wednesday with highs returning closer to normal.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
The long term as a whole looks fairly tranquil aside for a low pressure system that approaches for the latter half of the weekend.

Broad high pressure over the Midwest on Thursday will shift to our north on Friday before moving off the coast of New England on Saturday. This will result in a dry stretch of weather with mostly clear skies. Another low pressure system is on pace to impact the area Saturday night into Sunday which may bring another round of showers and thunderstorms with another frontal passage. Too far in advance to evaluate if any severe weather is possible. In its wake, high pressure returns to the area into early next week.

Temps through the long term period should remain quite seasonable to possibly a few degrees above normal for the end of June.

AVIATION /19Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of today
VFR. SCT/BKN clouds mostly north third of the area (KABE/KTTN). Clouds decrease late. NW winds around 15 kts with gusts 25/30 kts possible. High confid.

Tonight
VFR. Skies mostly clear. NW/W winds decreasing to around 5 knots. High confid.

Tuesday
VFR. Mostly clear skies. West winds increasing to around 10 knots. High confid.

Outlook...

Tuesday night...VFR with increasing clouds. No significant weather expected.

Wednesday through Wednesday night...Primarily VFR. Scattered thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening which may cause sub- VFR conditions. Locally gusty winds near/in any thunderstorm.

Thursday through Saturday...VFR. Other than a chance of a shower early Thursday, no significant weather expected.

MARINE
We'll continue with the SCA flags for the evening (Delaware Bay) and ocean waters (early overnight) with the W to NW winds continuing.
Gusts between 25 and 30 kts expected before decreasing overnight.
Winds and seas have been slow to increase across the DE waters and parts of lower De Bay, but still think that there is an opportunity of some gusts into the early evening. Seas will be choppy for Delaware Bay and 4 to 6 ft for the ocean waters. Fair tonight and Tuesday. Lighter W winds expected for Tuesday.

Outlook...

Tuesday night through Wednesday...SCA conditions possible. Southerly winds around 15-20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 4-5 feet.

Wednesday night through Saturday...No marine headlines expected. A chance of thunderstorms on Wednesday night, otherwise generally fair weather anticipated.

Rip Currents...

Monday...West-northwest winds around 10-15 mph with gusts up to 20 mph and breaking waves around 2 to 3 feet. Although wind direction will be directed offshore, wave periods are expected to increase to around 7 to 8 seconds. For this reason, have maintained a MODERATE Risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for both NJ/DE beaches.

Tuesday...Northwest winds will back to southerly as the day goes on around 10 mph. Breaking waves around 1 to 2 feet. With winds mainly directed offshore or parallel to the coast and much lower wave heights, have opted to go with a LOW Risk of rip currents for all beaches.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for ANZ430- 431.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ450>452.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ453>455.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
TCBM2 - 8573364 - Tolchester Beach, MD 6 mi50 minNNW 21G25 81°F 84°F29.80
CBCM2 19 mi50 minNNW 16G23 82°F 82°F29.7861°F
FSKM2 - 8574728 - Francis Scott Key Bridge, MD 19 mi50 minNW 19G22 82°F 29.78
HWPM2 19 mi50 minNNW 24G27
BLTM2 - 8574680 - Baltimore, MD 21 mi50 minNW 9.9G18 83°F 82°F
CPVM2 23 mi50 min 82°F 57°F
44063 - Annapolis 26 mi44 minNNW 12G16 81°F 80°F
APAM2 - 8575512 - Annapolis, MD 26 mi50 minWNW 18G20 84°F 85°F29.78
CHCM2 - 8573927 - Chesapeake City, MD 26 mi50 minNNW 9.9G17 82°F 84°F29.78
TPLM2 - Thomas Point, MD 30 mi38 minNW 15G19 82°F 29.81
DELD1 - 8551762 - Delaware City, DE 38 mi50 minNNW 15G22 81°F 29.76
RDYD1 - 8551910 - Reedy Point, DE 38 mi50 min 80°F 83°F29.75
DRSD1 - Delaware Reserve, DE 42 mi128 minWNW 8.9 83°F 29.7462°F
SJSN4 - 8537121 - Ship John Shoal, NJ 43 mi50 minNW 22G26 80°F 29.78
BSLM2 - Chesapeake Bay, MD 45 mi68 minNW 7 85°F 29.8058°F


Wind History for Tolchester Beach, MD
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KAPG PHILLIPS AAF,MD 12 sm42 minNNW 10G1810 smPartly Cloudy84°F55°F37%29.79
KMTN MARTIN STATE,MD 12 sm43 minNW 14G1810 smPartly Cloudy86°F50°F29%29.81
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Wind History graph: APG
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Tide / Current for Worton Creek entrance, Maryland
   
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Worton Creek entrance
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Mon -- 03:29 AM EDT     0.47 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:14 AM EDT     2.36 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:44 PM EDT     0.49 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:47 PM EDT     1.45 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Worton Creek entrance, Maryland, Tide feet
12
am
1.1
1
am
0.8
2
am
0.6
3
am
0.5
4
am
0.5
5
am
0.6
6
am
1
7
am
1.4
8
am
1.9
9
am
2.2
10
am
2.4
11
am
2.3
12
pm
2.1
1
pm
1.8
2
pm
1.4
3
pm
1
4
pm
0.7
5
pm
0.5
6
pm
0.5
7
pm
0.6
8
pm
0.9
9
pm
1.2
10
pm
1.4
11
pm
1.4


Tide / Current for Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current
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Baltimore Harbor Approach
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Mon -- 01:05 AM EDT     -0.48 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 03:31 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:27 AM EDT     1.12 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 08:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:58 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 02:22 PM EDT     -1.06 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:13 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:37 PM EDT     0.47 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 11:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Baltimore Harbor Approach, Maryland Current, knots
12
am
-0.4
1
am
-0.5
2
am
-0.4
3
am
-0.2
4
am
0.2
5
am
0.6
6
am
0.9
7
am
1.1
8
am
1.1
9
am
0.9
10
am
0.5
11
am
-0
12
pm
-0.5
1
pm
-0.9
2
pm
-1
3
pm
-1
4
pm
-0.8
5
pm
-0.5
6
pm
-0.1
7
pm
0.2
8
pm
0.4
9
pm
0.5
10
pm
0.3
11
pm
0.1


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Dover AFB, DE,




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