Hamilton, OH Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Hamilton, OH

March 4, 2024 4:33 AM EST (09:33 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 7:03 AM   Sunset 6:35 PM
Moonrise 2:59 AM   Moonset 11:49 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Hamilton, OH
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Area Discussion for - Wilmington, OH
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FXUS61 KILN 040813 AFDILN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 313 AM EST Mon Mar 4 2024

SYNOPSIS
Warm and dry conditions continue today. A cold front will slowly drift into the Ohio Valley on Tuesday and Tuesday night leading to chances for showers and thunderstorms. Temperatures cool off behind the front on Wednesday while chances for rain persist.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
High pressure remains east of the Ohio Valley today while a low pressure system forms over the central Plains. The pressure gradient in this synoptic setup will allow for warm, southerly flow to persist all day today. A mix of sun and clouds should help temperatures make it to or above 70 in most locations. These forecast highs are a few degrees off of the records which are generally in the upper 70s. If more sun does end up occurring, forecast highs may need to be raised.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/
A low pressure system will move northwest of the Ohio Valley on Monday night along a surface cold front. The approach of the low keeps southerly flow over the area thereby leading to increasing PWATs southeast of the low. Forcing should remain far enough west so that only increasing clouds are expected through the overnight although some light shower activity could develop west of I-75 late.
Forecast lows are very mild- in the middle 50s.

The surface low continues moving across Michigan and southeastern Canada on Tuesday dragging the cold front closer to the Ohio Valley during the day. Moisture will continue to surge ahead of the front and the chance for rain develops as forcing along the front increases. There is decent evidence that marginal instability forms ahead of the front thus chances for thunder are in the forecast. Depending on which mesoscale guidance you look at, some deep-layer shear may also overlap the instability.
Overall, there seems to be a fair amount of uncertainty of thunderstorms occurring ahead of the front since forcing is weak and upper level support is lacking. Due to the more scattered nature of rainfall, QPF remains light.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
Showers and some thunderstorms will be ongoing at the beginning of the period as a cold front slowly makes its way across the forecast area. Do not expect this front to pass of the east until Wednesday morning, and precipitation may linger in southeastern counties well through the day as low pressure tracks along the front. In the wake of this system, temperatures will cool off, but even at that readings will still be nearly 10 degrees above normal.

For the next system late in the week, guidance is showing some fairly substantial differences in how fast southern stream energy lifts northeast and becomes enmeshed with a deepening northern stream trough. Operational 00Z GFS and Canadian that are faster, thus tracking a well developed surface low from the mid Mississippi Valley into the Great Lakes, appear to be less likely solutions at this point. Operational 00Z ECMWF is closer to the more likely solution suggested by cluster analysis as well as the ensemble means of both the 00Z GEFS and GEPS. So forecast is pushed in that direction which results in a somewhat slower onset of precipitation as well as lengthening of precipitation duration. Temperatures will not warm much from what is forecast for midweek. But as high pressure builds in Sunday, there will be further cooling with highs closer to normal.

AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
VFR ceilings are expected across the majority of the TAF sites early this morning although observations to the south show some patchy MVFR ceilings. Have kept VFR ceilings as the prominent type through 1200z even for the Cincinnati sites since probability of MVFR ceilings is too low. Also if any MVFR ceilings do occur, they will likely be brief. VFR ceilings continue to prevail after 1200z for the TAF sites through the rest of the TAF period.

Southerly flow from 5-10 knots persists through 1200z before increase to 10-15 knots during the day on Monday.

OUTLOOK... MVFR/IFR CIGs and MVFR VSBYs likely Tuesday through Thursday. Thunderstorms possible Tuesday. MVFR/IFR CIGs and MVFR VSBYs possible again late Friday.

ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.




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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KHAO BUTLER CO RGNLHOGAN FIELD,OH 4 sm40 minE 0310 smClear48°F45°F87%30.08
KMWO MIDDLETOWN REGIONAL/HOOK FIELD,OH 13 sm18 mincalm7 smClear Haze 43°F30.08
KOXD MIAMI UNIVERSITY,OH 13 sm35 minS 0510 smClear54°F48°F82%30.06
KLUK CINCINNATI MUNI AIRPORT LUNKEN FIELD,OH 22 sm19 mincalm3 smClear Mist 43°F43°F100%30.08
Link to 5 minute data for KHAO


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Wilmington, OH,



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