Mystic Island, NJ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mystic Island, NJ

June 15, 2024 3:18 AM EDT (07:18 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 5:28 AM   Sunset 8:27 PM
Moonrise 2:19 PM   Moonset 1:37 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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ANZ452 Coastal Waters From Little Egg Inlet To Great Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 102 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Rest of tonight - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 5 seconds and se 2 ft at 8 seconds. A slight chance of tstms. Showers likely, then a chance of showers late.

Sat - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 4 ft at 10 seconds.

Sat night - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: se 4 ft at 9 seconds.

Sun - NE winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Wave detail: se 3 ft at 8 seconds.

Sun night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: se 2 ft at 8 seconds and S 1 foot at 7 seconds.

Mon - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 4 seconds.

Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.

Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Wed - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Wed night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
winds and seas higher in and near tstms.

ANZ400 102 Am Edt Sat Jun 15 2024

Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - A cold front crosses our area late this afternoon into tonight. High pressure begins to build in later tonight and then it remains in place over the region through the weekend. A warm front lifts through Monday, but surface high pressure looks to control our weather through at least the middle of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mystic Island, NJ
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 150542 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 142 AM EDT Sat Jun 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front crosses our area late this afternoon into tonight.
High pressure begins to build in later tonight and then it remains in place over the region through the weekend. A warm front lifts through Monday, but surface high pressure looks to control our weather through at least the middle of next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/
The last batch of showers and thunderstorms continue to shift offshore the Delmarva and South Jersey coasts early this morning. This should be the last of the precip in the region today.

Eventually drier air will move into the area, and although the drier air looks to lag a bit, it is expected to advect southeastward by daybreak resulting in a clearing sky. Overnight low temperatures are forecast to be in the 60s, with even some mid/upper 50s across the northern areas.

As we go through Saturday, a very nice start to the weekend is expected as some cyclonic flow aloft is in place as the trough axis shifts to our east. Surface high pressure will be building down from the northwest, however a tighter pressure gradient will be in place and therefore a northerly breeze is expected. Dew points will be on the decrease and this combined with some cooler temperatures will result in a refreshing feel to the air.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
High pressure will dominate the short term forecast resulting in dry conditions throughout the back half of the weekend.

Nighttime lows Saturday night are forecast to dip into the mid 50s to right around 60. There will be plenty of sunshine to go around on Sunday. Those who do not enjoy the heat will want to try and get outside as temperatures will be marginally cooler in the low- mid 80s across most of the region. Upper 70s are expected near the shore and at higher elevations.

A sea-breeze will likely develop on Sunday given the weak synoptic flow in the forecast. This sea-breeze could penetrate well in-land by the late afternoon into evening hours. Lows are forecast for the upper 50s to low 60s Sunday Night.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
Summary...Few changes to the long term. Hot but mainly dry forecast.

The synoptic pattern and evolution is nearly certain for the long term. An upper-level ridge over the eastern CONUS Monday will build to the north with time. By the Wednesday time frame, the strong ridge will look to be centered directly over the northeastern CONUS and will likely stay in place for quite a bit. The ensembles suggest it is not until around the time frame of Friday that the ridge and its associated axis will begin to break down a bit.

Overall, heights will only build over the region with time Monday onwards. We could see heights of 594-600 dam over us for Wednesday.
At the surface level, high pressure centered offshore Monday will move eastward with time as a warm front lifts over the region. Even still, surface high pressure looks to largely control the region through the duration of the term. Though some rounds of shortwave energy may pester the region for much of the week, any precipitation development should be largely suppressed given the pattern.

We are mainly looking at a dry forecast into Thursday night with temperatures potentially getting warming each day. High temperatures may touch the low 90s for Monday, but widespread highs in the 90s should be anticipated at this point for Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. It is still a little too early to really discuss any potential for heat headlines at this point, but the potential will only grow with time as the week progresses.

AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Overnight (through 12Z)...Mostly VFR conditions are expected through daybreak. Light NNW breeze around 5-10 kts or less will persist through the rest of the early morning hours with drier air filtering in. This should stave off most fog formation, but cannot rule out brief periods of patchy shallow fog. Moderate confidence overall, lower confidence in fog formation.

Saturday...VFR. North to northwest winds 5-10 knots, increasing to 10-15 knots, diminishing some later in the afternoon and into the evening. High confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday night through Wednesday...VFR with no significant weather.

MARINE
Through Saturday, the conditions are anticipated to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria. Southerly winds will turn northerly by later tonight in the wake of a cold front and continue Saturday.
Some showers and thunderstorms move through this evening and a few storms could produce locally gusty winds.

Outlook...

Saturday night through Wednesday...No marine headlines expected. A few gusts around 20 kts possible on Monday. Fair weather.

Rip Currents...

Saturday, north to northeast winds will increase to 10-15 mph with gusts around 20 mph. With 3-4 foot waves offshore and an 8 second period, this will lead to 2-3 foot waves in the surf zone. As a result, there is a MODERATE risk for the development of dangerous rip currents for New Jersey and Delaware Beaches

With lighter winds and smaller waves on Sunday, there will be a LOW risk for the development of dangerous rip currents everywhere.

For specific beach forecasts, visit weather.gov/beach/phi

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 4 mi48 minW 4.1 68°F 29.92
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 13 mi48 min 64°F29.82
44091 36 mi52 min 68°F3 ft
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 45 mi42 minWNW 1.9G1.9 65°F 75°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 45 mi48 minWNW 1G1.9 75°F29.91
BDSP1 48 mi48 min 75°F29.90
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 48 mi48 min 76°F29.88


Wind History for Burlington, Delaware River, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KACY ATLANTIC CITY INTL,NJ 11 sm24 minNW 0610 smMostly Cloudy68°F63°F83%29.88
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KACY
   
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Wind History graph: ACY
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Graveling Point, New Jersey
   
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Graveling Point
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Sat -- 01:37 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 03:38 AM EDT     2.90 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:47 AM EDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:19 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:27 PM EDT     3.16 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 11:23 PM EDT     0.89 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Graveling Point, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
1.4
1
am
2
2
am
2.5
3
am
2.8
4
am
2.9
5
am
2.6
6
am
2.2
7
am
1.7
8
am
1.3
9
am
0.9
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.6
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
1.5
2
pm
2.2
3
pm
2.8
4
pm
3.1
5
pm
3.1
6
pm
2.8
7
pm
2.4
8
pm
1.9
9
pm
1.5
10
pm
1.1
11
pm
0.9


Tide / Current for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
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Sat -- 01:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 02:19 AM EDT     1.36 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:24 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:28 AM EDT     -1.72 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 12:15 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:18 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 02:52 PM EDT     1.52 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:09 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:26 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:59 PM EDT     -1.71 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current, knots
12
am
0.2
1
am
0.9
2
am
1.3
3
am
1.2
4
am
0.8
5
am
0.2
6
am
-0.4
7
am
-0.9
8
am
-1.3
9
am
-1.7
10
am
-1.6
11
am
-1.1
12
pm
-0.2
1
pm
0.6
2
pm
1.3
3
pm
1.5
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
0.7
6
pm
0.1
7
pm
-0.5
8
pm
-1.1
9
pm
-1.5
10
pm
-1.7
11
pm
-1.4


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GEOS Local Image of east us   
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Philadelphia, PA,




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