Sunday, July12, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Tuckerton, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 5:38AMSunset 8:27PM Sunday July 12, 2020 1:32 AM EDT (05:32 UTC) Moonrise 12:27AMMoonset 12:54PM Illumination 58% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 21 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ451 Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 102 Am Edt Sun Jul 12 2020
Rest of tonight..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Sun night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of tstms in the late morning and afternoon. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds.
Mon night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. A chance of tstms in the evening.
Tue..NW winds around 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Tue night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas around 3 ft.
Wed night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Thu night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ400 102 Am Edt Sun Jul 12 2020
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. A weak front will stall just offshore the mid-atlantic coast today before shifting westward back toward the region tonight and Monday. Meanwhile, a surface low in the central plains will progress toward the region on Monday before lifting northeast to the canadian maritimes on Tuesday, finally forcing the front well offshore. High pressure will build into the eastern u.s. For much of the rest of the week; however, a backdoor cold front may approach the area Tuesday night and Wednesday. A weak cold front may approach the northeast next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tuckerton , NJ
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location: 39.6, -74.34     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 120500 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 100 AM EDT Sun Jul 12 2020

SYNOPSIS. A weak front will stall just offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast today before shifting westward back toward the region tonight and Monday. Meanwhile, a surface low in the central Plains will progress toward the region on Monday before lifting northeast to the Canadian Maritimes on Tuesday, finally forcing the front well offshore. High pressure will build into the eastern U.S. for much of the rest of the week; however, a backdoor cold front may approach the area Tuesday night and Wednesday. A weak cold front may approach the Northeast next weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/. Large-scale troughing should exist in the Northeast today, with one potent perturbation moving well northeast of the region this morning, and another poised to approach the northern Mid- Atlantic this afternoon/evening. The 00z NAM/GFS indicate this second perturbation will be moving through Ohio and vicinity by 21z, with fairly strong large-scale ascent in the immediate downstream. A mesoscale convective system is anticipated to move through the Ohio/Tennessee Valleys during the afternoon, with more diurnally-driven convection developing in the central Appalachians. In our region, transient subsidence upstream of the departing shortwave trough this morning should lead to a mostly dry day across the area. However, as ascent begins to approach the western CWA late this afternoon, some convection may initiate or move into the region, primarily driven by sub- synoptic processes.

Given the overall setup, fairly low PoPs seem warranted across the area, with slight-chance to chance mention mainly confined to areas north/west of the Fall Line. Most of the area will be dry (partly to mostly sunny) today, with highs just a few degrees above seasonal averages. With dew points in the lower 60s primarily, heat indices will not stray too far from ambient temperatures. In other words, it will be warm/hot, but in a fairly typical way for this time of year.

SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/. For Monday and Tuesday . An upper-level trough will swing across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic regions during this time frame. At the surface, a weak cold front is forecast to be positioned near the coast although it may get pulled inland some as a weak area of low pressure tracks along it Monday. The parent low should become more focused across New England as the main portions of the trough aloft moves across there. While there is forcing for ascent during Monday, this may be weaker with a southern extent given the core of the trough aloft forecast to be farther northward. While at least scattered convection should occur, the overall organization will depend on the forcing as well as the amount of shear. The forecast soundings indicate that drying aloft increases through the day and the stronger low to mid level flow is generally north of our region. Given this, not anticipating severe weather however this will be monitored given potentially steep low-level lapse rates.

The cold front is pushed out to sea Monday night and Tuesday as high pressure to the west builds southeastward. The surface dew points may mix out some during peak heating Tuesday. An upper-level trough sliding across New England Tuesday may toss a weak front into our far northern areas Tuesday night, however as of now not much is anticipated with it.

For Wednesday . Any lingering surface boundary across our northern areas should lift north Wednesday as a warm front due to a ridge building in from the west. Surface high pressure may become more elongated along the East Coast, and if it becomes more centered over New England then a more onshore low-level flow will occur. Overall it looks dry on Wednesday.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/. Perhaps some convection may try and arrive later Thursday well ahead of a cold front but with a possible pre-frontal trough. It could turn hotter Thursday depending on the timing and strength of an incoming ridge.

For Friday and Saturday . High pressure more anchored offshore will result in a strengthening southerly flow. This will result in higher dew points being advected northward ahead of an advancing cold front. An upper-level trough sliding across the Great Lakes region and adjacent Canada will move into the Northeast later Friday into Saturday. The surface cold front may slow as it moves into our area due to the upper-level trough potentially reloading to our west. This setup could result in widespread convection, however intensity and coverage at this time frame is much less certain. There is some potential that high temperatures each day could be well into the 90s for many areas, depending on how much ridging occurs and the timing of any convection.

AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of tonight . Mainly VFR with west winds around 10 kt. Moderate confidence.

Sunday . Mainly VFR. A slight chance of showers/storms to the west of PHL (outside chance of affecting RDG/ABE), but most terminals should be dry. Light west winds becoming more southwesterly or southerly by late in the day. A sea breeze may affect ACY/MIV with a quick switch to south/southeast winds, and the usual switch to south/southeast winds is also likely at ILG by late in the day as well. High confidence.

Sunday night . Mainly VFR in the evening with chances for showers/storms continuing northwest of PHL (though chances will slowly spread eastward), though confidence is low on timing/coverage. Meanwhile, lower clouds (sub-VFR) may try to develop near the coast as winds become more south/southeast. Patchy fog is also possible. Winds generally around/below 5 kt. Low confidence.

Outlook . Monday . Localized fog early, otherwise mainly VFR ceilings. Some showers and thunderstorms possible which can lead to MVFR/IFR conditions at times. Any showers and thunderstorms should end during the evening. Southwest winds 5-10 knots, becoming west to northwest 5 knots or less at night. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday . Mainly VFR. Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming light and variable at night. Moderate confidence.

Wednesday and Thursday . Mainly VFR. Some showers and thunderstorms possible Thursday afternoon and evening which would result in local restrictions. Light and variable winds to start Wednesday becoming southerly 5-10 knots, then continued southerly winds Thursday potentially increasing to 10-15 knots. Low confidence with timing and coverage of any showers and thunderstorms.

MARINE. Sub-advisory winds/seas expected through tonight. West to southwest winds 5 to 15 kt will likely become more southerly by afternoon, possibly approaching 20 kt at times. Seas generally 3 to 5 feet through tonight.

Two sensible weather concerns: There is a slight chance of showers/storms tonight, though the better chances are on land. Additionally, not out of the question some lower clouds or fog develop tonight as dew points gradually increase.

Outlook . Monday . The winds are anticipated to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria, however southwesterly winds may boost seas to around 5 feet for a time on the Atlantic coastal waters.

Tuesday and Wednesday . The conditions are anticipated to below Small Craft Advisory criteria, however several wind shifts are forecast.

Thursday . Southerly flow increases, however winds should remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria as well as the seas.

Rip Currents . A moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents is expected to continue through Monday. Although we are expecting mostly off shore flow, wave heights will stay up around 4 to 5 feet.

EQUIPMENT. The NOAA Weather Radio All Hazards broadcast from Hibernia Park, PA (WNG704) remains off the air until further notice due to damage to the antenna during the June 3 derecho.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . None.

Synopsis . CMS Near Term . CMS Short Term . Gorse Long Term . Gorse Aviation . CMS/Gorse Marine . CMS/Gorse Equipment . WFO PHI


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 8 mi62 min SW 1.9 76°F 1008 hPa71°F
ACYN4 - 8534720 - Atlantic City, NJ 17 mi62 min 79°F 75°F1007.7 hPa
44091 33 mi66 min 72°F4 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 43 mi62 min WNW 5.1 G 8 79°F 78°F1006.7 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 44 mi56 min W 8.9 G 12 79°F 82°F1006.1 hPa
BDSP1 47 mi62 min 80°F 1007 hPa
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 48 mi62 min 80°F 81°F1006.3 hPa

Wind History for Newbold, PA
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Atlantic City, Atlantic City International Airport, NJ16 mi98 minW 610.00 miFair79°F69°F72%1007 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ23 mi36 minWSW 310.00 miFair73°F68°F84%1007 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KACY

Wind History from ACY (wind in knots)
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SW8S10SW8S7S7SW9S8S10S10SW8SW5SW4SW6SW5W6W7
1 day agoE7E6NE6E7E6NE12E15
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2 days agoS5S5S3E3CalmCalmN3CalmE5SE7E9E10E8SE9E10SE8E7E8E8E6E6E8E7--

Tide / Current Tables for Tuckerton, Tuckerton Creek, New Jersey
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Tuckerton
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:21 AM EDT     2.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 10:03 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 03:58 PM EDT     2.04 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 08:25 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:42 PM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.51.8221.71.30.90.60.40.30.40.81.21.61.921.91.61.310.80.70.6

Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:49 AM EDT     1.64 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 03:47 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:53 AM EDT     -1.87 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 10:40 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 12:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 01:17 PM EDT     1.55 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 04:24 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:31 PM EDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:24 PM EDT     -1.61 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:03 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.61.30.6-0.2-0.8-1.3-1.7-1.9-1.5-0.60.31.11.51.40.90.3-0.4-0.9-1.3-1.6-1.5-0.9-0.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.