Mantoloking, NJ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Mantoloking, NJ

February 20, 2024 4:12 PM EST (21:12 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:41 AM   Sunset 5:38 PM
Moonrise 2:46 PM   Moonset 5:52 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 402 Pm Est Tue Feb 20 2024

.small craft advisory in effect from Wednesday evening through late Wednesday night - .

Tonight - E winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. SE swell around 2 ft at 4 seconds.

Wed - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. SE swell 2 to 3 ft at 5 seconds.

Wed night - E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft after midnight. E swell 3 to 6 ft at 8 seconds.

Thu - NE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 6 ft. E swell 4 to 6 ft at 10 seconds.

Thu night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 6 ft. E swell 3 to 6 ft at 10 seconds. A chance of rain after midnight.

Fri - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. E swell 3 to 5 ft at 7 seconds. Rain likely.

Fri night - NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft. NE swell 3 to 4 ft at 6 seconds in the evening.

Sat - NW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

Sun - W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft, building to 4 to 6 ft.

ANZ400 402 Pm Est Tue Feb 20 2024

Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure will be in control through Wednesday night. A cold front arrives on Thursday night and Friday. High pressure returns for the weekend, with a couple of weak systems potentially on the horizon early next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mantoloking, NJ
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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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FXUS61 KPHI 202018 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 318 PM EST Tue Feb 20 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will be in control through Wednesday night. A cold front arrives on Thursday night and Friday. High pressure returns for the weekend, with a couple of weak systems potentially on the horizon early next week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Surface high pressure centered across northern New England this afternoon is forecast to shift eastward through tonight. As this occurs, it will remain extended over our area. Meanwhile, a strong shortwave is driving a trough across the Southeast U.S.
and this will emerge into the southwestern Atlantic tonight and gradually shift eastward through Wednesday. This trough will drive surface low pressure slowly east and then northward across the open waters of the western Atlantic Ocean through Wednesday. For our area, we will be between this ocean storm and a weak shortwave trough sliding across the Great Lakes and toward New England.

Ample sunshine across most of the area this afternoon, however the northeasterly low-level flow is resulting in just enough moisture into southern Delaware where stratocumulus has developed. The GOES satellite imagery also shows some high clouds in a narrow zone just off the southeastern New Jersey coast which is tending to fan outward. The forecast challenge tonight is regarding the development or not of low clouds and how far inland it gets. The NAM is more robust with this, however it does overdue the low-level moisture at times under a strong inversion. Given the shortwave trough starting to arrive from the west overnight, did continue the idea of some increasing high level clouds. Some lower clouds also should develop in the northeast to east low-level flow as moisture develops under a strong inversion within a cooling boundary layer tonight. The confidence is low on this development and especially how far inland it could get. Any lower clouds from the ocean could end up being confined closest to the coast due to coastal convergence.

The extent of the clouds tonight will have an impact on temperatures. The surface dew points are still well down into the teens and even some single digits (higher across much of Delmarva into far southeast New Jersey), and this combined with little wind tonight and a clear sky at least for a while should result in temperatures dropping quickly early this evening.
Areas north and west where snow cover remains will probably have even a faster temperature drop. Thereafter, the temperature trends will depend on the cloud cover and also how low it ends up getting. For now, did lower temperatures a bit more from about the I-78 corridor northward.

As we go through Wednesday, areas of thicker cloud cover may start the day but then some more sunshine should occur. Surface high pressure remains extended over our area and this will keep it dry. A northeast wind will continue though and this will be the strongest along the coast given the fetch off the water. The afternoon high temperatures are forecast to get into the 40s for much of the area.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
An elongated but weakening ridge of high pressure will remain overhead on Wednesday night. This will provide relatively light winds, but we may be influenced by clouds moving inland from a storm over the ocean as well as clouds moving east from an approaching cold front and upper trough, so skies shouldn't be especially clear. Thus, radiational cooling will not be as efficient and temperatures likely stay a bit milder than recent nights, mostly in the 20s to lower 30s.

The weakening high pressure ridge slides a bit further east on Thursday as the ocean storms starts moving further away but the cold front to the west continues approaching. Thus, coastal areas may actually become a bit sunnier for a time while clouds continue increasing over the western areas. By day's end, it looks like most of the region see plenty of clouds. There will be warm advection aloft, which likely translates into a milder day despite the greater cloud cover, with most areas in the 40s and warmer spots into the lower 50s.

Wave of low pressure along the approaching front will enter western PA on Thursday night. This will bring a substantially greater chance of some rain to our northwestern zones, which could be briefly mixed with a little ice or snow at onset.
Further southeast, it looks like majority of the area remains dry and relatively mild through the bulk of Thursday night. Lows mostly above freezing with 40s in the warmer spots.

Bulk of the rain moves through the I-95 corridor and points east during the morning and midday on Friday as the cold front moves through. Winds start to pick up late in the day as the front moves off the coast and rain tapers off. Highs will be similar to Thursday, but temps start to tumble behind the front later in the day.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/
High pressure slowly builds in from the northwest Friday night and Saturday, with a gusty northwest wind and chilly temps with partial clearing. Lows will drop back into the 20s to lower 30s Friday night, with highs generally 10 degrees colder on Saturday as compared to Friday, with mostly 30s to lower 40s.

Canadian high pressure crosses to the southwest Saturday night into Sunday with lighter winds and clear to partly cloudy skies. Radiational cooling is maximized Saturday night with temps in the low-mid 20s for most of the region. Warm advection should resume Sunday as the winds shift southwesterly and temps rise back into the 40s for most under partly to mostly sunny skies.

Guidance behind Sunday becomes more divergent, with some solutions showing a weak system approaching from the northwest Sunday night with a chance of rain, while others drying and dissipating the system as it approaches. Thus have a chance of rain late Sunday night with highest POPs northwest. Temps likely stay milder with the warm advection and increased clouds, with lows mostly above freezing again.

Warm advection continues Monday behind that weak system, with temps pushing back into the 50s for much of the area on southwest winds despite increased cloud cover. Additional energy heads towards us Monday night and Tuesday, but guidance remains in disagreement with regard to intensity and timing of various weak disturbances, so have chance POPs for rain on Tuesday and highs possibly approaching 60.

AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Rest of this afternoon...VFR. Northeast to east winds 5-10 knots becoming locally light and variable. High confidence.

Tonight...VFR. Some increasing mainly high clouds especially overnight. There is a chance that a ceiling between about 2000-3000 feet develops at ACY and MIV and possibly as far inland as the I-95 terminals. Northeast winds near 5 knots, becoming light and variable for most terminals. Low confidence regarding low cloud development.

Wednesday...Some areas of cloudiness between about 2000-3500 feet possible in the morning, otherwise VFR. Light and variable to east- northeast winds 5-10 knots. Low confidence regarding morning low clouds.

Outlook...
Wednesday night/Thursday...Most likely VFR, though sub-VFR cigs possible near the coastal sites. Winds light and variable Wednesday night, becoming south to southeast 5-10 kts Thursday.
Moderate confidence.

Thursday night/Friday...Sub-VFR likely with IFR possible as rain crosses the region from west to east starting later Thursday night and continuing into Friday afternoon. Winds southerly 5-10 kts Thursday night becoming northwesterly 10-20 kts with gusts to 30 kts late Friday. Moderate confidence.

Saturday...VFR likely. Winds northwesterly 10-20 kts with gusts to 30 kts. Moderate confidence.

Sunday...VFR likely. Winds southwesterly 10-15 kts with gusts to 20 kts. High confidence.

MARINE
The conditions are forecast to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through Wednesday. A northeast or east wind however will gust to 20 knots at times, and seas will also start to build from south to north Wednesday afternoon.

Outlook...
Wednesday night...Small Craft Advisory conditions developing with waves building to 4-7 ft. Winds northeasterly 5-15 kts.

Thursday...SCA conditions likely with southeasterly around 5 kts and waves 5-8 ft.

Friday...SCA conditons likely with southwesterly winds becoming northwesterly late, averaging 15-20 kts with gusts to 25 kts.
Waves 4-7 ft.

Saturday...SCA conditons likely with northwesterly winds 10-20 kts with gusts to 25 kts. Waves 3-6 ft.

Sunday...SCA conditions possible with southwestelry winds of 10-15 kts with gusts to 20 kts and waves 3-5 ft.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM Wednesday to 6 AM EST Thursday for ANZ450>455.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
44091 25 mi47 min 43°F3 ft
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 28 mi55 min SE 6G8.9 33°F 39°F30.50
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 29 mi43 min 5.8G9.7 42°F30.45
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 37 mi55 min NNW 2.9G5.1 42°F 39°F30.46
BGNN6 40 mi55 min 37°F 40°F30.47
MHRN6 41 mi55 min SSE 4.1G6
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 41 mi55 min S 8G9.9 33°F 30.47
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 42 mi43 min NNE 12 39°F 30.5125°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 43 mi97 min ESE 6G7 39°F 38°F30.44
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 44 mi55 min 34°F 40°F30.42


Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KBLM MONMOUTH EXECUTIVE,NJ 10 sm16 minE 0810 sm--34°F16°F47%30.48
KNEL LAKEHURST MAXFIELD FLD,NJ 15 sm72 minENE 09Clear39°F18°F41%30.45
KMJX OCEAN COUNTY,NJ 16 sm16 minE 0810 smClear36°F18°F48%30.48
Link to 5 minute data for KBLM


Wind History from BLM
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Beaverdam Creek entrance, New Jersey
   
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Beaverdam Creek entrance
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Tue -- 01:00 AM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:51 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:14 AM EST     0.27 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:46 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:58 PM EST     0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:37 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:49 PM EST     0.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Beaverdam Creek entrance, New Jersey, Tide feet
12
am
0
1
am
0
2
am
0
3
am
0.1
4
am
0.2
5
am
0.2
6
am
0.2
7
am
0.3
8
am
0.3
9
am
0.2
10
am
0.2
11
am
0.1
12
pm
0.1
1
pm
0
2
pm
0
3
pm
0
4
pm
0.1
5
pm
0.1
6
pm
0.2
7
pm
0.2
8
pm
0.2
9
pm
0.2
10
pm
0.2
11
pm
0.1



Tide / Current for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
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Tue -- 12:56 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:43 AM EST     1.95 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:50 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:43 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:33 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:10 AM EST     -2.38 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 01:47 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:22 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 04:36 PM EST     1.34 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:37 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 07:42 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:10 PM EST     -1.87 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current, knots
12
am
-0.9
1
am
0.1
2
am
1.1
3
am
1.8
4
am
1.9
5
am
1.6
6
am
1.1
7
am
0.4
8
am
-0.3
9
am
-1.1
10
am
-1.9
11
am
-2.4
12
pm
-2.2
1
pm
-1.4
2
pm
-0.4
3
pm
0.6
4
pm
1.2
5
pm
1.3
6
pm
1
7
pm
0.4
8
pm
-0.2
9
pm
-0.8
10
pm
-1.5
11
pm
-1.9




Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of north east   
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Philadelphia, PA,



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