Sunrise 5:40 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM Moonrise 10:21 AM   Moonset 1:06 AM

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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 1002 Am Edt Mon May 13 2024
Rest of today - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt late. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 4 seconds and E 3 ft at 9 seconds. Tonight - S winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 8 seconds. Tue - S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 4 ft at 5 seconds and E 2 ft at 8 seconds. Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Wave detail: S 3 ft at 5 seconds and E 1 foot at 8 seconds. Showers.Wed - SE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Wave detail: se 5 ft at 8 seconds and se 3 ft at 5 seconds. Showers.Wed night - N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Wave detail: se 7 ft at 9 seconds. A chance of showers. Thu - N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. A chance of showers in the morning. Thu night - SE winds around 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Fri - SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Fri night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. A chance of showers.

ANZ400 1002 Am Edt Mon May 13 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure lingers through the remainder of the day, before a series of fronts and low pressure systems affect the east coast Wednesday through the end of the week. High pressure looks to return to end the weekend and start the new week.

FXUS61 KPHI 131348 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 948 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure builds south of the Mid-Atlantic region through the day today. Unsettled weather returns through the middle of the week with a slow moving low pressure system. After brief ridging towards the end of the week, more unsettled weather returns for the weekend.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
Morning fog has pretty much dissipated, but low clouds are slower to burn off. Skies will become mostly sunny by early afternoon. An increase in clouds may occur briefly across the Poconos and northern NJ late in the day as a warm front lifts north across northern PA. Associated shortwave energy will also be ridging along the northern periphery of the upper ridge which may cause an isolated shower to occur in these areas. However, the likelihood of occurrence is quite low, so do anticipate most locales to remain dry. Regardless, a pleasant day is expected with afternoon temps rebounding into the low to mid 70s as the upper ridge builds overhead. Temps in the Poconos will be in the mid 60s, with upper 50s to low 60s along the coast due to seabreeze development.

Fair weather continues into tonight as high pressure remains positioned offshore. Will see an overall increase in clouds late tonight as the next system approaches, however no precipitation is expected until Tuesday. Lows will be a bit warmer than this morning mainly in the 50s.

SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/
Showers return to the region Tuesday as height falls and PVA will amplify lift across the forecast area. Moisture coming from the Appalachians will move through the region and provide a steady dose of showers late Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday.
Modest warm air advection pushes temps into the mid 70s to near the upper 70s as the showers arrive. Guidance backed off a bit from the 12z suite with precip totals with the max values on the order of close to an inch over 36 hours right along the coastline with around 0.5-0.75 over the I95 corridor with less towards the western locations. CAPE seems relatively weak so while a few rumbles of thunder may occur, its a low (<15%)
chance.

Wednesday still looks to be a wet day as the low pressure system starts moving out of the region. Lingering showers should continue through most of the day before drier air starts moving into the area. However the low doesn't move out quickly so we'll have the potential to see showers well into the evening.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
Heading towards the end of the week, Thursday should be a mostly quiet day as an upper level ridge starts to build into the region. Again there are still strong timing differences between the EC ensembles and the GFS ensembles with respect to the speed of the systems. The GFS and its ensembles are more progressive and leads to a dry day on Thursday while the EC and its ensembles are slight slower which would allow for isolated showers to develop Thursday afternoon.

The brief break in rainfall ends heading into the weekend as the next system starts to move into over the weekend. Guidance still shows too much uncertainty to feel confident in details at this point but the general consensus is that a northern stream upper level trough will strengthen and bring showers to the region sometime over the weekend with the most likely timing now on Saturday.

Temps in the extended from Thursday onwards should be fairly seasonable in the mid to upper 70s for highs and lows in the upper 50s to near 60 each night.

AVIATION /14Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Today...Lingering low stratus will scatter out by 15Z.
Conditions should improve to VFR by the 15-17Z timeframe and remain VFR for the rest of the day. South- southwest winds around 8-13 kt. High confidence.

Tonight...VFR expected. Mostly clear skies with an increase in clouds late. South winds around 5-10 kt. High confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday...Sub-VFR conditions move in late with occasional showers.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday night...Sub-VFR conditions expected with occasional showers.

Thursday/Friday...No significant weather expected.

MARINE
No marine headlines are in effect through tonight. Fair weather.
South-southwest winds around 10-15 kt this morning will increase to around 15-20 kt this afternoon. A few gusts into the 20-23 kt range possible late. For tonight, south-southwest winds diminish to around 10-15 kt. Seas of 3-4 feet.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Wednesday...SCA conditions anticipated (40-50%)
as wind gusts get near 25 kt. Significant wave heights approach 7 feet Wednesday. Occasional showers.

Wednesday night and Thursday... SCA seas continuing, diminishing Thu. Showers Wed night then mostly fair Thursday.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NJ...None.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...None.

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Beaverdam Creek entrance
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Mon -- 01:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:49 AM EDT     0.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:27 AM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 10:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:37 PM EDT     0.25 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:21 PM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Beaverdam Creek entrance, New Jersey, Tide feet

Barnegat Inlet
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Mon -- 01:05 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 02:44 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:54 AM EDT     -2.23 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 09:57 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:22 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 12:12 PM EDT     1.39 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:06 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 06:57 PM EDT     -1.57 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:03 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:24 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current, knots

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