Sunrise 6:02 AM   Sunset 7:45 PM Moonrise 8:48 PM   Moonset 6:11 AM

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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 702 Pm Edt Wed Apr 24 2024
.small craft advisory in effect through Thursday morning - .
Tonight - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt late this evening, then increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 4 to 5 ft. Wave detail: N 4 ft at 4 seconds and E 4 ft at 10 seconds. Isolated showers early this evening. Thu - NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Wave detail: N 4 ft at 6 seconds and S 2 ft at 6 seconds. Thu night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Wave detail: E 4 ft at 8 seconds and S 1 ft at 5 seconds. Fri - NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 8 seconds. Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 2 ft at 8 seconds. Sat - SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Wave detail: E 3 ft at 7 seconds and se 2 ft at 4 seconds. Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 3 ft.Sun - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Sun night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 ft. Mon - SW winds around 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Mon night - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.

ANZ400 702 Pm Edt Wed Apr 24 2024
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay - High pressure builds in early this morning and lingers through the remainder of the day, before a series of fronts and low pressure systems affect the east coast Wednesday through the end of the week. High pressure looks to return to end the weekend and start the new week.

FXUS61 KPHI 242254 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 654 PM EDT Wed Apr 24 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front will cross our region this afternoon and evening, then high pressure arrives from the Great Lakes later tonight and Thursday before shifting to our northeast and east during Friday. A warm front should lift north of our area later Saturday, then a cold front gradually approaches later Monday before moving across our area later Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/
Any showers out there continue to taper off, and all should be over by 8 pm. Cold front continues to work its way through the region. Otherwise, Canadian high pressure builds southward reinforcing the cool, dry air mass pushing southward. It should become mainly clear over NE PA into NW NJ with still some lingering cloud cover farther south. A Freeze Warning is in effect for the Lehigh Valley into NW NJ where temperatures are expected to fall to around or below freezing and the growing season has started. Meanwhile a Frost Advisory is in effect for Berks, Upper Bucks, and Hunterdon Counties where lows will be mainly in the mid 30s. Winds and relatively drier air could limit frost from being too extensive but decided to err on the side of caution with the advisory.

For Thursday, high pressure will dominate over the mid Atlantic and northeast. A notably colder and dry air mass will be in place though despite a mainly sunny sky for most with high temperatures mostly in the 50s. An onshore wind will keep it even cooler along the coastal areas.

SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/
An upper-level trough is forecast to be across the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic regions through Thursday night, then it shifts to our east to start Friday. Strong surface high pressure centered over the Great Lakes Thursday builds eastward through Thursday night, then shifts off the New England coast during Friday.

As the center of surface high pressure slides to our north but extends over our area Thursday night, a cold night is forecast with little to no wind and a dry air mass. Much of the area will drop into the low to mid 30s with some potential for some locations getting a little colder. Areas of frost are probable, and frost and/or freeze headlines are quite possible.

After a cold start Friday morning, the surface flow should start to become more southeast to even south-southeast. This will still keep some marine influence across the area, however the air mass is forecast to start modifying and therefore high temperatures will be in the upper 50s to low 60s, a bit higher compared to Thursday. It will still be cooler though closer to the coast given the onshore flow. Another chilly night Friday night, though slightly warmer compared to Thursday night as well with low temperatures in the upper 30s to low 40s. This would be sufficiently warm enough to mitigate widespread frost development, but patchy frost remains possible.

LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Summary...A significant warm-up probable over the weekend and early next week. Some shower chances later in the weekend and/or early next week.

Synoptic Overview...A building ridge arrives from the west as an upper-level trough lifts across the Plains and into the Midwest through Monday. As the influence of the upper-level trough gets closer late Monday and Tuesday, the ridge shifts to our east. The timing of this however is less certain as the upper-level trough in the Plains may become a closed low which tend to be slower moving (may be two separate systems). This will also have an impact on our precipitation chances Sunday through Wednesday. The overall pattern though continues to suggest that a much warmer air mass will overspread our region Sunday through the middle of next week.

For Saturday...A building ridge starts to arrive from the west and this will initially keep a cool air mass across our region. However, some warm air advection starts as more of a southerly return flow starts initiates. In addition, a warm front should lift to our north later Saturday. While a few showers cannot be ruled out with this warm front, mainly northwest of the I-95 urban corridor, the probability looks to be on the low side at this point. Cloud cover should dominate the sky during at least a portion of Saturday due to some increasing warm air advection and some increase in moisture ahead of and with the warm front. The timing of this warm front looks to be driven by a lead upper- level trough or closed low that lifts across the Midwest which also has a surface low with it.

For Sunday through Wednesday...As an upper-level trough continues to lift up across the Plains and Midwest, the downstream ridge axis slides across our region Sunday and Monday before shifting offshore into Tuesday. While the initial trough looks to continue to lift to the northeast across eastern Canada, if the secondary trough forms, it may not push through our area until Wednesday. Surface low pressure tracks across the Great Lakes and into adjacent Canada Monday into Tuesday, and its associated cold front approaches our area Monday night. The actual cold front looks like it will not slide across our area until later Tuesday. The details however will depend on the timing and amplification of the trough. In addition, high pressure sliding east of Hudson Bay Canada Monday into Tuesday may send a cold front down across New England and closer to our area. While this front may settle into at least our northern areas Monday night into Tuesday, it should not get too far south given the continued southerly flow ahead of the aforementioned trough from the west. Plenty of warm air with increasing dew points are therefore currently forecast across the area, with high temperatures for much of the area in the 70s to even some low to mid 80s. The surface flow however looks more south or even southeast at times and this will keep it several degrees cooler at the coastal communities compared to farther inland. There is a chance for some showers and thunderstorms, especially Tuesday and Tuesday night, with PoPs mainly in the 30-50% range during this period. With the possibility of a secondary front, slight chance PoPs (15-25%)
linger into Wednesday.

AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas...

Tonight...VFR. NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming NE around 10 kt through the overnight. High confidence.

Thursday...VFR. Northwest winds generally 5 to 10 knots before diminishing late day.

Outlook...

Thursday night and Friday...VFR.

Saturday...A period of near MVFR ceilings possible, most likely Saturday night, otherwise mainly VFR.

Sunday and Monday...VFR conditions anticipated.

MARINE
Seas will remain elevated through tonight before slowly starting to come down through Thursday. For this reason, the Small Craft Advisory was extended to 16z Thursday for our northern ocean zone off the coast of Monmouth County with it running until 22z Thursday for the remaining ocean zones.
Northeast winds will increase later tonight to a brief period of SCA levels of 15 to 20 gusting up to 25 knots but should otherwise be sub SCA.

Outlook...

Thursday night through Monday...The conditions are anticipated to be below Small Craft Advisory criteria.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday for PAZ061-062.
Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday for PAZ060-105.
NJ...Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday for NJZ001-007- 008.
Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 9 AM EDT Thursday for NJZ009.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT Thursday for ANZ450.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Thursday for ANZ451>455.

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Tall Pines Camp
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:29 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:11 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:18 AM EDT     0.28 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:31 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:33 PM EDT     0.33 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tall Pines Camp, New Jersey, Tide feet

Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:59 AM EDT     -2.67 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:52 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:05 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:12 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:23 AM EDT     1.96 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:30 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:10 PM EDT     -2.21 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:41 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:31 PM EDT     2.47 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 08:46 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:44 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current, knots

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