Tuesday, October15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Brielle, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 6:18PM Tuesday October 15, 2019 7:49 AM EDT (11:49 UTC) Moonrise 7:36PMMoonset 8:34AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ450 Coastal Waters From Sandy Hook To Manasquan Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Manasquan Inlet To Little Egg Inlet Nj Out 20 Nm- 624 Am Edt Tue Oct 15 2019
.gale watch in effect from Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon...
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming ne 5 to 10 kt late this morning and afternoon. Seas around 3 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 2 to 3 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 9 seconds.
Wed..SE winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the E with a dominant period of 8 seconds. A chance of rain in the morning, then rain in the afternoon.
Wed night..SE winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt, becoming S 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt late in the evening, then becoming W 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft. SWell mainly from the se with a dominant period of 8 seconds. Rain until early morning.
Thu..W winds 25 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Thu night..W winds 20 to 25 kt. Gusts up to 40 kt, decreasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 3 ft.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less.
ANZ400 624 Am Edt Tue Oct 15 2019
Synopsis for the coastal waters from sandy hook nj to fenwick island de and for delaware bay.. High pressure will be across the middle atlantic today and then move offshore tonight. Low pressure will move across the great lakes region Wednesday while a second low forms near virginia. Both of these low will consolidate into a significant storm east of the area Wednesday night. The storm will move away Thursday as high pressure begins to build over the area. The high will settle over the region this weekend. Another storm will arrive for the beginning of next week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Brielle borough, NJ
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location: 40.1, -74.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 151028
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
628 am edt Tue oct 15 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will be across the middle atlantic today and then
move offshore tonight. Low pressure will move across the great
lakes region Wednesday while a second low forms near virginia.

Both of these low will consolidate into a significant storm east
of the area Wednesday night. The storm will move away Thursday
as high pressure begins to build over the area. The high will
settle over the region this weekend. Another storm will arrive
for the beginning of next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
High pressure located in central pennsylvania early this
morning will build eastward. The center of the air mass is
forecast to pass off the new jersey coast early this afternoon.

We are anticipating a mostly sunny sky for today with just a
few cumulus and cirrus overhead. A light northerly wind is
expected for this morning. The wind should become southerly
during the afternoon in the return flow on the back side of the
high.

Maximum temperatures are forecast to be mostly in the middle
and upper 60s in our region. Highs will likely favor the upper
50s and lower 60s in the elevated terrain of the poconos and far
northern new jersey.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Wednesday
The high should be centered off nantucket early this evening
before moving farther out to sea overnight.

We are expecting an increase in cloud cover in the southeast to
south flow. However, any rain should hold off until after
daybreak on Wednesday.

Low temperatures are forecast to be mostly in the upper 40s and
lower 50s in southeastern pennsylvania, central and southern
new jersey, delaware and northeastern maryland. Lows should
favor the lower and middle 40s from the poconos and the lehigh
valley into northwestern new jersey.

Long term Wednesday through Monday
Wed thu... The weather will quickly deteriorate Wednesday as
strong low pressure moves across the great lakes and its
associated front arrives from the west. A second low will form
on the front near virginia and then 'bomb' as it moves up along
our coastal waters and into new england. A soaking rain and
gusty winds will be over the area Wednesday afternoon an thru
much of the night. A one to two inch rain will occur over most
areas with locally higher totals if convection develops (low
probability). Rains will end from SW to NE overnight as gusty w
to NW develop. Gusts to 40 mph are possible. The gusty winds
will last into Thu before diminishing Thu night.

The models are mostly in agreement with the synoptic factors
with the system, but the exact details of how much rain and
where are yet to be resolved. The rains will be heavy at times
where they setup, but the overall length of precip will not be
much more than 12 hours. This will keep totals from getting too
excessive. Recent dry weather will allow for more absorption by
the soil, provided it doesn't rain at too great a rate. We put
the mention of heavy rains in the hwo for now.

Fri Sat sun... High pressure builds over the area and crests
over the middle atlantic sat. A dry weather regime will
accompany the high with mostly sunny days and mostly clear
nights. Temperatures will be a little below normal fri, near
normal Sat and above normal Sunday.

Mon... Another system will approach from the great lakes Monday.

Increasing clouds Sun night and Mon with chances for rain
increasing Mon and lasting into Mon night. Temperatures Mon will
be above normal with highs reaching the mid upper 60s (n w) and
low 70s over SRN nj, metro philadelphia and delmarva.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg,
kilg, kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Today...VFR under a mostly clear sky. North wind 6 knots or
less, becoming south to southwest in the afternoon.

Tonight...VFR with an increase in cloud cover. South to
southeast wind 6 knots or less.

Outlook...

wed... Lowering CIGS with rain and gusty winds arriving by
afternoon. MVFR or ifr conditions by late afternoon.

Wed night... Low CIGS vsbys with rain. Ifr lifr likely. Gusty
winds. Llws expected.

Thu... Improving CIGS withVFR returning. Gusty winds 30 to 35 knots
possible.

Thu night Fri sat...VFR expected. Gusty winds Thu night and fri.

Marine
High pressure is forecast to build across the coastal waters of
new jersey and delaware for today and tonight. A north wind
around 10 to 15 knots this morning should become northeast to
east 5 to 10 knots this afternoon. A southeast wind 10 to 15
knots is expected for tonight.

Waves on our ocean waters will likely range from 2 to 3 feet.

They should be 2 feet or less on delaware bay.

Outlook...

wed thru thu... Increasing winds and seas Wed with gale
conditions by Wed night. Gales will last into thu. Rain wed
afternoon and night. Rough seas Wed night thu.

Thu night fri... Winds and seas slowly diminish fri. SCA into
fri night. Fair.

Sat... Sub-sca. Fair weather expected.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Gale watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday afternoon
for anz430-431-450>455.

Synopsis... O'hara
near term... Iovino
short term... Iovino
long term... O'hara
aviation... Cms iovino o'hara
marine... Iovino o'hara


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 26 mi50 min NNW 6 G 6 55°F 62°F1021.1 hPa (+1.5)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 27 mi30 min NNE 5.8 G 9.7 57°F 65°F1020.9 hPa46°F
44091 27 mi20 min 65°F3 ft
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 37 mi50 min N 1 G 1.9 50°F 63°F1021.9 hPa (+1.7)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 38 mi56 min 54°F 63°F1021 hPa
MHRN6 38 mi50 min WNW 5.1 G 7
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 38 mi50 min NNW 8 G 8.9 54°F 1020.7 hPa (+1.4)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 42 mi50 min 54°F 64°F1020.9 hPa (+1.5)
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 43 mi74 min NNE 1 G 1.9 50°F 64°F1021 hPa
JCRN4 - Jacques Cousteau Reserve, NJ 45 mi80 min NW 1.9 48°F 1021 hPa44°F
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi60 min NNE 12 G 14 58°F 64°F3 ft1020.2 hPa (+1.5)

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ7 mi54 minWNW 310.00 miFair45°F41°F86%1021.3 hPa
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ14 mi1.8 hrsN 010.00 miFair43°F42°F97%1020.2 hPa
Miller Air Park, NJ17 mi54 minN 010.00 miFair43°F0°F%1021.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW4W3W3W5SW8SW8W8W11
G16
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1 day agoNW6NW5N6N5NE5E7S6E7SE5SE4SE7SE3SE3SE5SE4S4CalmE3N3NE3CalmCalmE3NW3
2 days agoW6NW6NW6NE55W6NW7E6E5SE4SE5S3SW4W5W4W4W4W5W5W5W4W4NW5W5

Tide / Current Tables for Brielle, Route 35 bridge, Manasquan River, New Jersey
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Barnegat Inlet, Barnegat Bay, New Jersey Current
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Barnegat Inlet
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:28 AM EDT     -2.46 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:02 AM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:34 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:47 AM EDT     2.42 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 12:00 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 03:56 PM EDT     -2.63 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 06:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 06:41 PM EDT     0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:16 PM EDT     2.17 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.2-1.2-1.9-2.4-2.3-1.4-0.11.22.22.41.910-0.9-1.7-2.4-2.6-2.1-0.90.41.52.121.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.