Friday, October18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
English, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:10AMSunset 6:15PM Friday October 18, 2019 7:43 PM EDT (23:43 UTC) Moonrise 9:28PMMoonset 11:42AM Illumination 72% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 338 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft this evening, then 1 ft or less.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Sun night..NE winds around 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..E winds around 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Tue night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Showers likely.
Wed..W winds around 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Chance of showers in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
ANZ300 338 Pm Edt Fri Oct 18 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds across the area tonight into Saturday, then to the east Saturday night. Tropical storm nestor is then forecast to track well south of the region Sunday into Sunday night. Weak high pressure follows for Monday before a frontal system moves across the area Tuesday into Tuesday night. High pressure will then close out the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near English , NJ
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.3, -74.37     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kphi 181948
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
348 pm edt Fri oct 18 2019

Synopsis
A large area of high pressure will gradually build east towards our
region through Saturday before shifting off shore Saturday night.

Low pressure is expected to progress from the carolinas on Saturday
night to the waters off the middle atlantic coast on Sunday and
Monday. A cold front is anticipated to approach from the west on
Tuesday and it should pass through our region on Tuesday night. High
pressure is expected to follow for Wednesday and Thursday.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
Low pressure to our northeast will continue to pull further away
tonight, and a center of high pressure will move overhead. This will
cause the winds to drop off to very light levels tonight, and also
present a good setup for radiational cooling with clear skies in
place. The main forecast issue tonight will be the low temperatures
and associated frost and freeze concerns as many places will see
their coldest night of the season so far. Similar to previous
forecaster, am definitely leaning on the cold side of the guidance
envelope for tonight, and have generally lowered the lows another
degree or two. Because of this, have expanded the frost advisory in
a couple of areas, basically in an effort to surround the urban
corridor, which will be too warm for frost. In addition, have issued
a freeze warning for sussex county in northern new jersey. It will
probably be marginal on whether we see a freeze, but temperatures
often drop off very efficiently in these conditions, so felt the
warning was justified. One possible inhibiting factor to cooling is
that we do start to see WAA aloft tonight. However, with the high
moving overhead we should decouple after sunset and see a fairly
strong inversion start to develop at the surface, mitigating the
warming aloft.

Outside of the frost freeze concerns, it will be an uneventful
overnight across the area.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through 6 pm Saturday
A very nice day is expected for Saturday. The high pressure center
will remain almost directly overhead for most of the day before
starting to shift off to the east towards evening. Dew points remain
low and we start to pick up better WAA aloft so as we mix out we
should make a strong recovery after the morning's cold start. Most
areas should make it into the low 60s, with a few mid 60s possible.

Dry conditions expected with plenty of sunshine. Winds will also be
light, gradually turning more southwesterly during the
afternoon.

Long term Saturday night through Friday
Overview: the main periods of concern in the long term are
Sunday when our area could be on the northwestern fringe of
the precipitation shield of nestor, and another period Tuesday
into Tuesday night with the approach of the next cold front.

Changes: no significant changes in the long term forecast with
this issuance.

Details:
Saturday night through Sunday... Tropical low pressure is
expected to move northeastward across the carolinas on Saturday
night, before passing off the coast near CAPE hatteras on
Sunday. The low is forecast to meander off the middle atlantic
coast into the early part of the new week. Our region should be
on the northwestern edge of the clouds and the precipitation
associated with the system from late Saturday night into Sunday.

We will continue to mention a chance of rain for northeastern
maryland, delaware and southern new jersey. While the NAM has a
track closer to the shore, the skill of the NAM is limited at
that range, so have gone with a non-nam blend through this
period. Consequently, do not expect any significant wind
concerns for our land zones with nestor.

Monday... Surface high pressure is expected to nose down from
the north and northeast for Monday as the clouds and rain push
out to sea.

Tuesday into Tuesday night... Strong low pressure is expected to
lift from the upper mississippi river valley and the western
great lakes on Monday into western ontario on Tuesday. The
feature is anticipated to pull a cold front through our region
on Tuesday night. Based on the expected upper level flow and the
position of the surface low, we are favoring the slower ecmwf
timing of the front. We will continue to mention a chance of
showers ahead of and with the boundary.

Wednesday and Thursday... It appears as though high pressure
will build from the southeastern states on Wednesday to the
waters off the middle atlantic coast on Thursday. We are
expecting dry weather both days.

Friday... Another cold front could approach the region at the end
of the week, but the timing of this is uncertain until we see
the timing of the mid week front.

Aviation 20z Friday through Wednesday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight... VFR. Northwest winds continuing but winds will diminish
early tonight to only around 5 kt and may go nearly calm or light
and variable in some areas later tonight. High confidence.

Saturday... VFR. Light westerly or northwesterly winds in the
morning turning to the southwest in the afternoon, but speeds
remaining light at only around 5 kt. High confidence.

Outlook...

Saturday night... StartingVFR conditions, and should stayVFR for
most TAF sites. At kilg and kmiv especially, conditions could lower
to MVFR or ifr toward morning. South to east wind 6 knots or less.

High confidence on most aspects except timing of MVFR or lower
conditions at kilg and kmiv.

Sunday... MVFR or even ifr conditions are possible, especially for
the delaware valley sites (kphl, kilg, kpne, and kttn) and the
coastal sites (kmiv and kacy) with rain and low ceilings. Moderate
confidence we will see a period of MVFR or lower at this sites, but
low confidence on the timing as it isn't likely to stick around all
day. East wind 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast. At kmiv and kacy,
higher winds, especially in the afternoon are possible; wind speeds
of 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt possible.

Sunday night... Lingering low clouds should clear out early in the
evening leading to mostly VFR conditions. Northeast wind 5 to 10
knots, becoming north. High confidence
Monday...VFR conditions expected. Northeast to east wind 5 to 10
knots. High confidence.

Monday night... StartingVFR, but conditions could lower to MVFR or
even ifr with rain showers, primarily at kabe and krdg late in the
night. East to southeast wind 5 to 10 knots. Low confidence.

Tuesday... MVFR or even ifr conditions are likely to spread across
the region through the day with periods of rain showers. High
confidence on conditions belowVFR, but low confidence on the timing
of flight category changes. Southeast to south wind around 10 knots.

Tuesday night... Starting off as MVFR or ifr, but conditions should
quickly improve toVFR behind a cold front which will be crossing
the region overnight. Winds starting southerly 5 to 10 kt, but will
have an abrupt shift to northwesterly with the cold front. Moderate
confidence on the overall pattern, but low confidence on the timing.

Wednesday... MostlyVFR conditions likely. Westerly winds of 5 to 15
kt. Moderate confidence.

Marine
Conditions are expected to remain below SCA criteria through
Saturday. Northwest winds 10 to 15 kt tonight gradually becoming
southwest on Saturday and decreasing. Seas 2 to 3 ft.

Outlook...

Saturday night through Sunday morning... Winds and seas should stay
below SCA criteria.

Sunday afternoon through Monday morning... East and northeast wind
gusts above 25 kt are likely. Gusts may get close to gale force, but
expect conditions to stay just below gale criteria at this time.

Waves are expected to build to 4 to 7 feet on our ocean waters.

Monday afternoon and Monday night... While wind gusts should drop
below 25 knots, waves on our ocean waters are forecast to remain in
the 4 to 6 foot range.

Tuesday... A southeast to south wind may gust in excess of 25 knots.

Waves on our ocean waters should be around 5 to 6 feet.

Tuesday night and Wednesday... An abrupt shift to northwesterly and
westerly winds with gusts above 25 kt is likely Tuesday night
continuing into Wednesday.

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... Frost advisory from 2 am to 9 am edt Saturday for paz060>062-
101>103-105.

Nj... Frost advisory from 2 am to 9 am edt Saturday for njz007>010-
012-013-019>022-027.

Freeze warning from 2 am to 9 am edt Saturday for njz001.

De... None.

Md... Frost advisory from 2 am to 9 am edt Saturday for mdz008.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Johnson
near term... O'brien
short term... O'brien
long term... Iovino johnson
aviation... Johnson o'brien
marine... Johnson o'brien


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 22 mi73 min NNW 13 G 16 53°F 59°F1013.6 hPa
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 23 mi73 min NE 1 G 2.9 55°F 59°F1014.1 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 26 mi73 min 54°F 61°F1013.6 hPa
MHRN6 26 mi73 min NW 9.9 G 13
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 29 mi73 min NW 17 G 20 53°F 1013.2 hPa
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 30 mi67 min Calm G 1 55°F 60°F1013.5 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 34 mi73 min 53°F 63°F1013.2 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 36 mi43 min NW 18 G 21 55°F 63°F1013.6 hPa (+2.2)41°F
BDSP1 44 mi73 min 58°F 64°F1013.9 hPa
44091 48 mi43 min 64°F4 ft
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 48 mi73 min N 13 G 18 53°F 61°F1013.7 hPa
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 48 mi73 min 58°F 63°F1013.2 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
Last
24hr
W22
G31
W21
G30
W22
G30
NW19
G23
W24
G33
NW19
G24
NW22
G30
NW23
NW21
G27
NW19
G26
NW17
G24
NW18
G24
NW14
G24
NW14
G21
NW18
G24
NW20
NW16
G23
NW15
G22
NW21
NW23
NW21
NW20
NW13
G19
N11
G17
1 day
ago
SE22
G30
SE14
G20
W20
G31
NW36
G44
NW35
NW26
G36
W29
G42
W30
G42
W28
G37
W29
G37
W22
G30
W24
G32
W27
G36
W24
G35
W30
G38
W29
W26
G34
W28
G38
W26
G37
W28
G39
W32
G42
W24
G33
W25
G31
W25
G33
2 days
ago
S12
S9
G12
S11
S9
SE6
G9
S7
G10
SE7
G10
SE8
SE7
G11
SE9
G13
SE9
G14
SE14
G17
SE14
G18
SE13
G18
SE13
G17
SE13
G16
SE11
G16
SE13
G21
SE16
G23
SE16
G22
SE18
G25
SE18
G22
SE19
G25
SE20
G28

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lakehurst Naval Air Station, NJ18 mi1.7 hrsNNW 410.00 miFair53°F39°F59%1013.2 hPa
Mcguire Air Force Base, NJ23 mi47 minN 410.00 miFair48°F37°F65%1013.9 hPa
Trenton, Mercer County Airport, NJ23 mi50 minN 510.00 miFair53°F36°F52%1013.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
Last 24hrSE5SE5E5SE5E7SE5SE8SE10E8SE12SE10
G17
SE13
G17
SE12
G18
SE15
G22
E18
G26
E14
G20
E14
G20
E11
G18
SE10
G19
E15
G23
SW7W30
G44
W18
G30
W22
G29
1 day agoW4NW5NW5W5NW4NW3W3NW4NW5NW5NW9NW833E7E6E5SE6SE4SE3SE4SE5SE3SE5
2 days agoE3N3NE3CalmCalmE3NW3NW4W3W3W5SW8SW8W8W11
G16
W8W8W6W5W5SW4SW4W6W5

Tide / Current Tables for Old Bridge, South River, Raritan River, New Jersey
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Sayreville, Raritan River, New Jersey
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help Weather Map
wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (19,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.