Saturday, July20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fair Haven, NJ

Version 3.4
NOTICE
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 5:41AMSunset 8:23PM Saturday July 20, 2019 6:52 PM EDT (22:52 UTC) Moonrise 10:47PMMoonset 9:04AM Illumination 85% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 19 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 403 Pm Edt Sat Jul 20 2019
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the evening.
Mon..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely with chance of tstms in the afternoon. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers and chance of tstms in the evening, then showers after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the evening.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Tue night..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..N winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 403 Pm Edt Sat Jul 20 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Region will reside between high pressure over the western atlantic and a cold front dropping south across eastern canada. The cold front will move across the region late Sunday afternoon into the evening. A wave of low pressure moves along the front Monday and Monday night as it slowly pushes through the local area. High pressure then returns for the remainder of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Haven borough, NJ
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.36, -74.03     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kphi 201927
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
327 pm edt Sat jul 20 2019

Synopsis
A ridge of high pressure will remain entrenched off the coast of the
southeastern u.S. Through Sunday. A cold front will approach and
progress through the region Monday into Tuesday. A cooler and drier
air mass will advect in for the remainder of the week.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
The heat continues to be the main story this afternoon with heat
indices at 100 to 105+ across much of the area under skies that are
generally mostly sunny. As we head through the late afternoon into
this evening will have to watch to our west as there could be a few
isolated storms over central pa that could make there way into our
eastern pa zones. Most likely, if anything occurs it will be
isolated. But that said, latest hrw nssl model run is a more
aggressive developing more widespread convection toward the mid to
late evening as weakening convection from this midwest helps ignite
new storms over the area is it moves into pa after 0z. Given this is
the outlier scenario I kept pops capped at 20% but this will have to
be watched. Otherwise, it will be another very warm and muggy night
with low temperatures at least as warm as this past overnight. Lows
will be mainly in the 70s except low 80s through most of the urban
corridor.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through 6 pm Sunday
The ongoing heat wave will continue into Sunday with rather extreme
heat indicies continuing area wide. Air temperatures are forecast to
be well into the mid to upper 90s outside of the highest terrain and
away from the immediate coast with dewpoints in the mid to upper
70s. Resulting heat index values are forecast to range from around
110-115 across most of central and southern nj, SE pa, and delmarva
away from the immediate coast. Across the lehigh valley, NW nj, and
immediate coastal areas, widespread values of 105-110 can be
expected. Values from 95-100 are expected across the southern
poconos. Otherwise, it should be a partly to mostly sunny but hazy
day. There will be a slow moving frontal boundary approaching from
the N NW by the mid to late afternoon and this could result in some
showers and storms affecting areas mainly north of philly through
the lehigh valley, the southern poconos and NW nj by late day.

Limiting factor will be capping and relatively dry layer just above
the cap which will tend to limit storm formation over eastern pa but
if any storms do develop they could become severe as ml capes will
be 2500-3500+ j kg with relatively steep mid level lapse rates as
well due to elevated mixed layer. Damaging winds would be the main
threat.

Long term Sunday night through Saturday
Summary: the main story in this period is the cold front
approaching and sliding through the region Monday into Tuesday,
which will bring potentially strong storms and heavy rain as
well as finally an end to the excessive heat.

Details:
Sunday night through Tuesday: cold front approaches the region,
especially starting on Monday. It still looks like it will take
some time for the front to move off shore as it may slow or even
stall over our region. Consequently, we could have multiple
rounds of thunderstorms, centered along the cold front. Ahead of
the front, the tropical maritime air mass will still be in
place, so heavy rain leading to flooding will remain a concern.

Also, lapse rates could be rather steep, increasing the threat
for strong, and possibly severe storms. An elevated mixed layer
could somewhat limit this threat, but will continue with the
mention of gusty winds for now. Though the tropical air mass
will still be in place for much of the region through peak
heating on Monday, persistent clouds should help to keep heat
index values below heat advisory warning criteria for most
locations. The one possible exception is southern de and
adjacent locations in md, which currently has forecasted maximum
heat index values of 100 - 105 f. Not enough confidence at this
point to extend the excessive heat warning into Monday. By
Tuesday, our region should really start to see some relief
behind the cold front, with highs likely to be in the 70s and
lower 80s across the region, and dew points dropping into the
60s.

Wednesday through Saturday: in the wake of the cold front,
expect temperatures slightly below normal Wednesday and
Thursday, with highs from the mid 70s to mid 80s, and lows in
the 50s and 60s. By the time we get to Friday, southerly return
flow could develop, bringing our temperatures to near or even
slightly above normal. None the less, it still looks like it
will be quite a bit more comfortable next weekend as compared to
this weekend. As far as precipitation, the mid and upper level
flow becomes much weaker by mid week. Consequently, there
doesn't appear to be a significant chance for widespread
precipitation after Tuesday.

Aviation 19z Saturday through Thursday
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Tonight... MainlyVFR. Winds generally southwest wind 6 knots or less.

Sunday...VFR expected. Hazy skies may limit visibility in some
areas. Isolated thunderstorms possible during the late afternoon
mainly from around phl pne northward. West winds around 5-10
kts.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Tuesday night... Periods of heavy showers
and thunderstorms expected. Several periods of MVFR likely with
ifr possible. West to southwest winds around 5 kts, becoming
northwest on Tuesday at 5 to 10 kt.

Tuesday night through Thursday...VFR conditions are expected.

Northwest at 5 to 10 kt becoming light and variable.

Marine
Through Sunday, winds should generally remain out of the south and
southwest around 10 knots. During this time wave heights on our
ocean waters are expected to be 2 to 3 feet. Waves on delaware bay
will likely be 2 feet or less.

Outlook...

Sunday night through Tuesday... A brief period of northwesterly
wind gusts up to 25 kt is possible behind a cold front which
will bring an abrupt shift from southwesterly to northwesterly
winds. In addition, stronger winds and locally higher waves are
possible in the vicinity of any thunderstorms through this
period.

Wednesday and Thursday... Winds and seas are likely to remain
below SCA criteria.

Rip currents...

a southerly wind around 10 mph is expected for today along the
coasts of delaware and new jersey. Breaking waves around 2 feet
are anticipated along with a medium period southerly swell. As a
result, there should be a low risk for the development of
dangerous rip currents for today.

Wave rip current conditions on Sunday are expected to be
similar to those of today along the coasts of new jersey and
delaware.

It appears as though there is some upwelling along the new
jersey coast, mainly from long beach island down to the atlantic
city area. Water temperatures right along the shore are in the
middle and upper 60s in spots.

Climate
Record maximum temperatures for:
7 20
site high year low year
abe 101 1980 76 1942
acy 97 1991 79 2015
phl 99 1930 81 2015
ilg 100 1895 79 2015
rdg 100 1980 77 1942
ttn 99 1980 78 2015
mpo 93 1980 69 1988
ged 100 1977 81 2013
7 21
site high year low year
abe 101 1980 75 1980
acy 99 1981 77 1991
phl 103 1930 79 2017
ilg 102 1957 77 1972
rdg 102 2011 77 2011
ttn 101 1930 78 1980
mpo 94 2011 72 2011
ged 101 1957 79 2017

Phi watches warnings advisories
Pa... Excessive heat warning until 10 pm edt Sunday for paz054-055-
060>062-070-071-101>106.

Nj... Excessive heat warning until 10 pm edt Sunday for njz001-
007>010-012>027.

De... Excessive heat warning until 10 pm edt Sunday for dez001>004.

Md... Excessive heat warning until 10 pm edt Sunday for mdz008-012-
015-019-020.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Johnson
near term... Fitzsimmons
short term... Fitzsimmons
long term... Johnson
aviation... Fitzsimmons johnson
marine... Fitzsimmons johnson
climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 7 mi52 min SW 8.9 G 8.9 91°F 85°F1008.7 hPa (-1.2)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 17 mi32 min SSW 14 G 16 82°F 78°F1008.4 hPa77°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 20 mi58 min 96°F 80°F1008.6 hPa
MHRN6 21 mi58 min WSW 9.9 G 13
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 21 mi52 min W 15 G 19 94°F 1008.3 hPa (-1.0)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 24 mi52 min 91°F 76°F1008.5 hPa (-0.9)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 34 mi58 min NW 6 G 11 89°F 72°F1008.8 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 40 mi22 min WSW 12 G 14 74°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 41 mi52 min W 9.9 G 13
44091 43 mi22 min 81°F3 ft
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 47 mi62 min SW 12 G 14 80°F 77°F3 ft1008.8 hPa (-1.1)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 48 mi62 min SW 9.7 G 12 86°F 1 ft74°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 48 mi76 min WSW 9.9 G 13 95°F 83°F1009 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
Last
24hr
W8
SW8
SW9
SW11
SW11
SW10
W8
W6
W10
W9
W7
SW7
G10
W12
W6
G9
W6
G9
W4
W8
G11
W5
W5
G8
W9
W6
G10
W4
SW7
SW9
1 day
ago
NE6
NE7
NE5
G9
NE7
G10
NE5
G8
NE6
NE4
NE2
E1
N2
N2
NE1
N1
SW1
W1
G4
--
S1
SE5
G8
S4
S8
S4
SW8
G11
SW12
SW12
G15
2 days
ago
SW9
S8
NE11
G16
S10
G14
SW4
SW5
SW4
SE4
S10
S7
G10
W4
W4
W4
--
SE4
S7
SE4
E3
E6
E6
E8
G11
SE7
G10
S6
G9
S4

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ14 mi56 minWSW 710.00 miFair96°F75°F51%1009.4 hPa

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
Last 24hrSW9SW8SW6SW7SW6SW6SW5SW4SW5SW5SW5W4SW6W5W5W5W6SW6W6W7W6W7W8SW7
1 day agoCalmN4N5NE6NE7NE7NE6N4N4N3NW4NW3CalmNW4SW3SW4SW4S7SW7S6SW9SW11SW8SW9
2 days agoS6S5S5W10S3NW4S4S8S4S5S3SW3W3SW4SE3CalmCalmW33E7E9CalmNW4N3

Tide / Current Tables for Oceanic Bridge, Navesink River, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
The Narrows
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:45 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:03 AM EDT     -2.07 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:46 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 09:04 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 10:03 AM EDT     1.40 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:06 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 04:16 PM EDT     -1.75 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 07:45 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 10:15 PM EDT     1.61 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 10:47 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

12
am
1
am
2
am
3
am
4
am
5
am
6
am
7
am
8
am
9
am
10
am
11
am
12
pm
1
pm
2
pm
3
pm
4
pm
5
pm
6
pm
7
pm
8
pm
9
pm
10
pm
11
pm
0.8-0.3-1.2-1.8-2.1-1.8-1.3-0.70.21.11.41.30.90.1-0.8-1.4-1.7-1.6-1.1-0.50.21.11.61.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (18,4,5,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.