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Marine Weather and Tides Fair Haven, NJ Version 3.4

NOTICE 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:12AM

Sunset 5:00PM

Monday January 20, 2020 7:53 AM EST (12:53 UTC)

Moonrise 4:22AM

Moonset 2:25PM

Illumination 22%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fair Haven borough, NJ

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Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA

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FXUS61 KPHI 201130 AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 630 AM EST Mon Jan 20 2020

SYNOPSIS. High pressure will build into the region today, cresting over our area Wednesday and Thursday before moving to the east on Friday. A low pressure system will approach from the west for Saturday, exiting the region on Sunday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/. A mid level short wave trough passed over our region early this morning. The feature brought an area of clouds and scattered flurries to southeastern Pennsylvania, northeastern Maryland, Delaware, and central and southern New Jersey.

Meanwhile, there was a deck of stratocumulus that was trapped under a temperature inversion. The clouds extended southeastward from Lake Ontario to Berks County, the Lehigh Valley and northwestern New Jersey. There were scattered snow flurries and isolated snow showers in those areas. The clouds are expected to continue eroding quickly this morning as cold dry air builds into our region.

Surface high pressure that was located in the Dakotas early this morning should work its way slowly down the Missouri River Valley today. The extensive air mass should bring a mainly clear sky to our region after the last of the morning clouds dissipate. The wind is forecast to be from the northwest around 15 mph with gusts near 25 mph. Maximum temperatures in our region should favor the lower 30s along and to the southeast of the Interstate 95 Corridor. Highs are expected to be in the 20s in areas to the northwest.

SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY/. The center of the surface high is forecast to slide from western Iowa to northeastern Missouri tonight. The air mass will continue to build slowly toward our region. We are anticipating a mainly clear sky with a northwest to north wind 5 to 10 mph.

Low temperatures are expected to be mainly in the teens, with some single digit readings in the elevated terrain of the Poconos and far northern New Jersey.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/. The main feature of the extended will be a large area of high pressure that builds into the Mid-Atlantic through the course of the week. The airmass starts off on the cold side and below the climatological normals but will moderate each day and reach near normal through mid-week before continuing to warm to above normal temperatures by the end of the work week.

Highs on Tuesday will be on the cool side as we continue to have northwest flow across the region with the center of the high still to our west. Temperatures will generally be in the 30s across the region with some 20s across the southern Poconos and northwest New Jersey. Tuesday night should feature good radiational cooling as there will be very limited clouds, if any at all, and little to no wind. Temperatures will then bottom out in the mid teens to lower 20s with cooler spots in the Poconos and northwest New Jersey.

For Wednesday, temperatures should be warming with the flow becoming very light across the region with high starting to build overhead. Highs will start to rise into the upper 30s to lower 40s (much closer to the normals for late January) during the daytime before dropping off again at night into the teens to lower 20s, although areas near the coast may remain in the mid to upper 20s overnight.

Clouds will increase starting on Thursday as the high slides overhead and starts to push to the east. Increasing cloudiness will then continue into Friday in advance of next system developing to our west/southwest and its movement towards our area. However, the increased cloudcover will not be enough to stop the air at the surface from warming each day and raising temperatures back above normal for late January. For Thursday temperatures will warm even further and reach well into the 40s across the forecast area. Friday looks to be the warmest day of the week with highs in the upper 40s and potentially reaching into the lower 50s as far north as the I-95 corridor. These highs will be on average around 10 degrees warmer than normal through the forecast area on Friday.

Model guidance continues to show a primary low moving from the plains and into the Ohio Valley with a secondary low developing over the western Gulf of Mexico and tracking along the northern Gulf and then up into the Mid-Atlantic around Saturday. The primary low occludes and weakens as the secondary low starts to deepen and strengthen as it approaches our area. Timing and location of the center of the low are still unsure as it could arrive as early as Saturday morning or later in the day. Timing will be important as temperatures will help to dictate the precipitation type as the storm enters and then moves through the region. One thing that is consistent so far is that it looks like we will have an abundance of warm air across much of the region with pockets of colder air across portions of our northern areas. Thermal profiles indicate that some mixing may occur, especially Saturday morning, before the warm air fully surges northward which could lead to some freezing rain or sleet so this will definitely be something to keep an eye on as the system develops through the week. The system is expected to pull away from our area on Sunday, with an end to the precipitation occuring from west to east, and the potential return of some slightly cooler air.

AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/. The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today . VFR under a mainly clear sky. Northwest wind 12 to 16 knots gusting around 25 knots. High confidence.

Tonight . VFR under a mainly clear sky. Northwest to north wind 5 to 10 knots. High confidence.

Outlook .

Tuesday through Wednesday . VFR conditions expected. Northwest winds around 10 knots on Tuesday, becoming light and variable on Wednesday. High confidence.

Wednesday night and Thursday . VFR conditions expected. Light and variable winds. High confidence.

Friday . VFR conditions expected. Increasing cloudiness with the potential for MVFR/IFR conditions and rain towards Friday night. Light north to northeast winds, becoming east to southeast around 5 knots. Generally high confidence with lower confidence on timing of lower conditions during the evening/night.

MARINE. Northwest wind gusts of 25 to 30 knots are expected into this evening. We have extended the Small Craft Advisory until midnight to allow the gusts a little extra time to subside. The wind gusts should fall to 15 to 20 knots after midnight as the pressure gradient continues to relax slowly.

Outlook .

Tuesday through Thursday . Sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions expected. Seas are expected to be around 1 to 3 feet. Winds will generally be out of the northwest around 10 to 15 knots on Tuesday diminishing to 5 to 10 knots for Wednesday and Thursday.

Friday . Seas will build through the day and may start to approach 5 feet by midday/early afternoon on Friday. A Small Craft Advisory may be needed for seas by Friday afternoon. Winds will generally be light but will increase out of the east/southeast later in the day, remaining well below advisory criteria.

PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. PA . None. NJ . None. DE . None. MD . None. MARINE . Small Craft Advisory until midnight EST tonight for ANZ430-431- 450>455.



Synopsis . Meola Near Term . Iovino Short Term . Iovino Long Term . Meola Aviation . Iovino/Meola Marine . Iovino/Meola

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ	7 mi	54 min		22°F	41°F		1023 hPa (+3.8)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor	17 mi	34 min	NNW 21 G 29	25°F			1022.7 hPa	15°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ	20 mi	54 min		23°F	41°F		1023.2 hPa (+3.8)
MHRN6	21 mi	66 min	NNW 13 G 18
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ	21 mi	54 min		21°F			1022.4 hPa (+3.5)
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY	24 mi	54 min		21°F	41°F		1022.7 hPa (+3.6)
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY	34 mi	54 min		22°F	38°F		1023.1 hPa (+3.6)
44022 - Execution Rocks	40 mi	24 min	NNW 14 G 19	22°F	32°F			12°F
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA	41 mi	54 min		23°F	37°F		1023.8 hPa (+3.4)
44091	43 mi	24 min			46°F	6 ft
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY	47 mi	64 min	23 G 29	26°F	45°F	6 ft	1020.4 hPa (+4.1)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound	48 mi	64 min	NNW 16 G 21	22°F		1 ft		11°F
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ	48 mi	78 min	NNW 5.1 G 12	23°F	37°F		1022.7 hPa

Wind History for Sandy Hook, NJ

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8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

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3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

Last 24hr

NW13 G16

SW11 G16

NW21

NW21

NW22

NW21

NW21

W20

W21

NW20 G26

NW19 G24

NW22 G29

NW19 G23

W22 G29

W22

NW19 G24

NW21 G26

NW25 G35

NW19 G24

NW22 G27

NW21 G27

N17 G24

N17 G24

N16 G27

1 day ago

E1

E4

S5 G9

SW6

SW11

SW9 G12

SE4

S4

S6 G9

SE6

S13 G17

S12 G16

SW11 G14

SW10

SW13 G17

SW20

SW17

SW12 G16

W11

W13

W14

W16

W13 G17

W15 G20

2 days ago

N23 G34

N23 G30

NW24

N17 G28

NW18

NW17

N13 G17

N15

NW16

NW15 G20

NW13 G21

NW15

NW16 G21

N11 G15

N10 G18

NW10 G14

NW8 G11

N7 G13

NW7 G10

N4 G9

NE4 G8

N5

NW4 G10

NW3

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Belmar-Farmingdale, NJ	14 mi	58 min	NW 17 G 22	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	21°F	10°F	62%	1022.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBLM

Wind History from BLM (wind in knots)

8 AM

9 AM

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7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

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3 AM

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Last 24hr

W5

SW5

W6

W17 G23

W17 G21

NW14 G26

NW15 G22

W15 G21

W18 G23

W14 G23

W11 G19

W12 G22

W15 G21

W12

W10 G16

W12

W13 G18

NW13 G21

NW17 G25

NW14 G21

NW18 G26

NW14

NW10

NW17 G22

1 day ago

N4

E3

Calm

6

SW12 G17

3

Calm

Calm

E7

SE3

SE8

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S6

S9 G14

SW15 G20

SW9 G23

SW9

SW13 G20

W9 G15

W8

W7

W9

W6

W7

2 days ago

NW20 G26

NW24 G28

NW21 G29

NW21 G29

NW20 G24

NW19 G24

NW13 G18

NW12

NW11

NW9

NW9

W8

NW4

W7

W5

NW6

NW4

W5

Calm

W4

W4

NW6

NW5

NW4

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Tide / Current Tables for Oceanic Bridge, Navesink River, Shrewsbury River, New Jersey

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Tide / Current Tables for The Narrows, Midchannel, New York Harbor, New York Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop



Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (7,2,3,4)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Philadelphia, PA

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