Ten Mile Run, NJ Marine Weather and Tide Forecast

Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ten Mile Run, NJ

December 1, 2023 10:22 PM EST (03:22 UTC)
Sunrise 7:00AM   Sunset 4:33PM   Moonrise  9:21PM   Moonset 12:04PM 

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      Help
ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 933 Pm Est Fri Dec 1 2023
Overnight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain late this evening, then chance of rain. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat night..W winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain in the evening, then rain likely after midnight.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Rain.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then 2 to 3 ft after midnight. Rain likely, mainly in the evening.
Mon..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..W winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Tue..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..N winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.

ANZ300 933 Pm Est Fri Dec 1 2023
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters.. A weak wave of low pressure will impact the region through tonight. Another low moving toward the great lakes on Sunday will weaken, with a secondary low forming south of long island on Sunday. The low pressure lifts northeast of the area Sunday night. A trough of low pressure lingers on Monday with high pressure returning for Tuesday. Another low develops off the middle atlantic coast on Wednesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ten Mile Run CDP, NJ
   Hourly   EDIT   Help   Map

Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
      (on/off)   Help   
NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 939 PM EST Fri Dec 1 2023

Low pressure will move to the lower Ohio Valley tonight, but then weaken as it moves north of our area through Saturday. Another low and front will affect our weather late this weekend into Monday.
A series of high and low pressure systems will then move through the region next week.

As of 930 PM, the earlier widespread shield of rain is well to our northeast however a zone of some more organized rain remains across mostly southern New Jersey to Delmarva. Low to mid level warm air advection continues this evening and the 00z Sterling/Dulles RAOB shows a sharp inversion in the lowest levels with strong flow above the surface. This along with some trailing shortwave energy will maintain a zone of some rain but it will shift south and east into the overnight hours. Some of the high-resolution guidance continues to show a more showery scenario for a time overnight and the radar trends are looking more like this. Given the coverage thus far though, continued with the rain mention plus there is likely some drizzle occurring with the weaker radar returns. Made some tweaks to the hourly temperature, dew point and wind grids to keep them current based on observations/trends.

Otherwise, low pressure will track to the lower Great Lakes by Saturday morning. That will attempt to lift a surface warm front northward up the Atlantic coastal plain, however it will struggle to reach our area through tonight. The model forecast sounding show some drying in the mid levels and with less forcing this should result in some drizzle. Otherwise, plenty of low cloud cover is expected as all the low-level moisture is gathered below an inversion.

Some of the fog could become locally dense overnight. The extent of the fog however is of lower confidence given the widespread low cloud cover that is expected to be in place through the night. For now, expanded the patchy fog mention.

As we go through Saturday, our area is between systems and the low-level flow is forecast to be light. The day will start with low clouds and at least some fog and it should be a dry day.
There should be enough drying to result in the clouds lifting by midday with some breaks of sunshine. This time of year though with the low sun angle and lack of mixing tends to keep the lower clouds locked in, however the model forecast soundings do show the potential for some improvement in the afternoon under a light southwest wind. Despite the clouds, temperatures will be mild with afternoon highs reaching the 50s to low 60s.

The period starts with the region sandwiched in between a front to our north and one to our south and a southwest flow in the mid- levels. Weak low pressure may ride along the southern front and it inches closer to the forecast area. A shortwave aloft and an associated surface low will move across the Great Lake and into New York state on Sunday. Another weakening shortwave will approach the region on Monday.

Rain will spread across the region Saturday night, persist into Sunday, at least the first half, before moving out from the south to north late in the day or Sunday evening. Rainfall will mainly be on the lighter side totaling 0.25" to 0.50". Monday is trending dry.

Temperatures will run above normal through this period. Overnight lows Saturday night will range from the lower 40s to lower 50s across the forecast area. Highs on Sunday will range from the mid 40s to lower 60s. Lows Sunday night will range from the upper 30s to middle 40s. Sunday's highs will range from the lower 40s to upper 50s.

Winds will be fairly benign Saturday night and Sunday. They'll pick up from the west Sunday night and Monday and top out in the 10 to 20 mph range.

A series of high and low pressure systems move through the region next week though most of the week looks to be dry.

The period begins with high pressure building to the south of the region Monday night into Tuesday as the upper-level trough from the weekend deamplifies. This will result in a dry day with near normal temperatures.

For Tuesday night into Wednesday, guidance has remained consistent with the consensus that another wave of upper-level energy develops and re-amplifies the upper-level trough and begins to dig it out of the midwest and move it eastward towards the Eastern Seaboard. Associated with this re-deepening trough is a surface clipper system that quickly progresses out of the Great Lakes region and into the Mid-Atlantic during this timeframe. The passage of this system looks to provide a quick hit of precipitation for Tuesday night into Wednesday, the vast majority of which will be rain. Some mixed precip/snow looks to be possible at the highest elevations in the Poconos and northwest New Jersey Tuesday night with cooler temperatures.
The surface low then passes offshore and model guidance suggests that it will rapidly strengthen once it does so.
However, guidance continues to suggest that it will be far enough offshore to result in a minimal effect on the weather in our region. At this time, the main impacts look to be slightly below normal temperatures and breezy conditions, particularly closer to the shore.

Strong high pressure and near normal temperatures look to build back in for Thursday and into Friday. Some guidance is suggesting another upper-level trough/surface low may pass through at the end of next week but this remains highly uncertain at this time.

The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Tonight...MVFR/IFR ceilings lowering to LIFR at times. Areas of mostly light rain ends by about 06z, however some drizzle should occur for a time thereafter. The rain/drizzle and also some fog will result in visibility restrictions. Light and variable to locally calm winds overall. Low confidence regarding mostly the visibility restrictions related to fog.

Saturday...IFR, locally LIFR, ceilings improve to MVFR early, then should improve to VFR by about 18z. Some fog in the morning will result in visibility restrictions. Light and variable winds, becoming southwesterly around 5 knots. Low confidence regarding the timing of improving conditions.


Saturday night...VFR to start. Becoming MVFR as rain spreads across the terminals. Patchy fog possible after midnight. Light northeast winds. Moderate confidence.

Sunday...MVFR/IFR conditions expected, likely persisting throughout the day. Northeast winds around 10 kts. Moderate confidence.

Sunday night...Returning to VFR as the precipitation comes to an end.
Winds becoming westerly around 15 kts. Some stronger gusts possible. Moderate confidence.

Monday...Monday is trending drier. Showers have been removed. VFR conditions expected. Breezy with west winds around 15 kts and gusts up to 25 kts. Moderate confidence.

Monday night and Tuesday...VFR. Westerly winds around 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Moderate confidence.

Tuesday night and Wednesday...Sub-VFR conditions possible with light rain. Winds 5-10 knots Tuesday night increasing to around 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots on Wednesday. Low confidence.

The conditions are expected to remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through Saturday. Some rain tonight into early Saturday.


Saturday night and Sunday...Sub-SCA conditions expected.

Sunday night and Monday...SCA conditions developing and continuing Monday.

Tuesday...SCA conditions not expected.

Wednesday...SCA conditions possible due to northwest to north wind gusts around 25 knots and seas up to 5 feet.


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesinHgDewPt
NBLP1 - 8548989 - Newbold, PA 22 mi52 min SE 1.9G1.9 45°F 40°F30.07
MHRN6 27 mi52 min S 5.1G7
BDRN4 - 8539094 - Burlington, Delaware River, NJ 28 mi52 min 0G1 44°F 39°F30.04
BGNN6 28 mi52 min 45°F 47°F30.05
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 30 mi52 min SSE 2.9G2.9 45°F 44°F30.09
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 32 mi52 min S 6G7 46°F 30.06
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 36 mi52 min 46°F 49°F30.01
BDSP1 40 mi52 min 46°F 45°F30.04
PHBP1 - 8545240 - Philadelphia, PA 45 mi52 min 46°F 44°F30.04
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 47 mi52 min 7.8G9.7 53°F30.04

toggle option: (graph/table)

Wind History for Newbold, PA
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherTempDewPtRHinHg
KSMQ SOMERSET,NJ 15 sm29 mincalm1/4 smOvercast Mist 41°F39°F93%30.02
KTTN TRENTON MERCER,NJ 16 sm29 minSE 031/2 smOvercast Mist 45°F43°F93%30.03
KLDJ LINDEN,NJ 23 sm7 minS 034 smOvercast Lt Rain 45°F43°F93%30.03

Wind History from SMQ
(wind in knots)

Tide / Current for New Brunswick, Raritan River, New Jersey
EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

New Brunswick, Raritan River, New Jersey, Tide feet

Tide / Current for Old Bridge, South River, Raritan River, New Jersey
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Old Bridge, South River, Raritan River, New Jersey, Tide feet

Weather Map
       (on/off)   Help

GEOS Local Image of Mid-Atlantic   

Philadelphia, PA,

NOTICE: Some pages have affiliate links to Amazon. As an Amazon Associate, I earn from qualifying purchases. Please read website Cookie, Privacy, and Disclamers by clicking HERE. To contact me click HERE. For my YouTube page click HERE